|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0076
|
0.9924
|
$3,168
|
$174,221
|
38,698
|
7,061 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0086
|
0.9914
|
$40,144
|
$552,732
|
72,627
|
6,891 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
Elections
|
Democratic |
Republican |
0.3830
|
0.6170
|
$74,470
|
$52,052
|
19,447
|
5,218 |
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
US politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$62,416
|
$12,962
|
14,510
|
4,927 |
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
|
Prices
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$25,611
|
$20,641
|
3,928
|
4,913 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$12,694
|
$48,171
|
60,978
|
4,508 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
Trump
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$4,915
|
$4,396
|
2,972
|
4,401 |
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$10,597
|
$19,013
|
35,691
|
4,054 |
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
US politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$12,574
|
$2,283
|
1,124
|
3,989 |
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$220,120
|
$148,553
|
221,512
|
3,458 |
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
|
Prices
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$5,162
|
$83,874
|
2,110
|
3,015 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
|
Prices
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$478
|
$84,174
|
1,458
|
2,586 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
|
Climate & Weather
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$1,871
|
$3,316
|
1,211
|
1,703 |
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
|
Stablecoins
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$272
|
$179,817
|
111,962
|
1,658 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?
|
US politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$3,362
|
$5,958
|
1,224
|
1,542 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024?
|
Twitter
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$1,205
|
$97,719
|
23,594
|
1,526 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0602
|
0.9398
|
$31
|
$22,019
|
3,408
|
1,472 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
Tech
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$5,203
|
$16,084
|
3,289
|
1,471 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$564
|
$21,301
|
0
|
1,441 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$10,243
|
$9,009
|
620
|
1,403 |
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
Celebrities
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$2,153
|
$32,827
|
14,030
|
1,399 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
US politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$1,731
|
$325
|
5,391
|
1,368 |
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0453
|
0.9547
|
$253
|
$302,859
|
39,943
|
1,185 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Solana ETF approved in 2024?
|
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$8,727
|
$10,865
|
18,803
|
1,163 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
US politics
|
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$696
|
$38
|
378
|
1,141 |
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
Academia
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$72
|
$38,499
|
5,140
|
1,049 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
US politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$763
|
$106
|
2,724
|
1,023 |
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
Tech
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$86
|
$85,651
|
11,336
|
914 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
US politics
|
Democratic |
Republican |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$17,584
|
$7,574
|
40,700
|
898 |
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
|
US politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$4,919
|
$27,479
|
42,972
|
854 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$108
|
$16,195
|
448
|
830 |
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$5,756
|
493
|
823 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$2,605
|
$15,150
|
2,395
|
794 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
OpenSea token in 2024?
|
Airdrops
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$4,434
|
0
|
684 |
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
|
Market caps
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$184
|
$21,725
|
26,462
|
666 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?
|
Celebrities
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$23,930
|
17,791
|
654 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?
|
Celebrities
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$52
|
$26,850
|
14,225
|
653 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$15,547
|
14,832
|
628 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
Academia
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$823
|
$29,140
|
5,312
|
604 |
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?
|
Middle East
|
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$25
|
$4,959
|
0
|
550 |
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?
|
Bills & Legislation
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$100
|
$39,403
|
5,099
|
538 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0398
|
0.9602
|
$12
|
$24,236
|
6,756
|
504 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.8603
|
0.1397
|
$1,889
|
$4,703
|
3,036
|
484 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Is John McAfee alive?
|
Exchanges
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$25
|
$191,604
|
34,447
|
387 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?
|
Tech
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$5
|
$16,075
|
0
|
369 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Canada federal election in 2024?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$7,910
|
3,311
|
327 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will America ban Zyn in 2024?
|
Twitter
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$9,913
|
22,937
|
315 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?
|
Finance
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$63,336
|
3,349
|
288 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0429
|
0.9571
|
$0
|
$5,076
|
4,890
|
284 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?
|
Trump
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$9,738
|
3,081
|
197 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$42
|
$20,878
|
12,216
|
184 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
|
Exchanges
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$15,227
|
1,190
|
140 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination?
|
Elections
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$1,044
|
2,266
|
139 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will 2024 be better than 2023?
|
US politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$1,474
|
0
|
62 |
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Hamas still holding hostages through end of 2023?
|
Middle East
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$32
|
1,180
|
8 |
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will FTX users get any money back by September 1?
|
Finance
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$100
|
44,449
|
3 |
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
MLB: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds 2023-05-13
|
Baseball
|
Marlins |
Reds |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sat May 13 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Sydney Sweeney $milk tweet deleted by Sunday?
|
Celebrities
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Libya hold national elections in 2023?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will a US/Iran nuclear deal be announced in 2023?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
MLB: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds 2023-05-12
|
Baseball
|
Marlins |
Reds |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Fri May 12 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
MLB: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves 2023-04-30
|
Baseball
|
Mets |
Braves |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31?
|
Finance
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
MLB: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres 2023-05-23
|
Baseball
|
Nationals |
Padres |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Tue May 23 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will any SEC team make the College Football Playoffs in the 2023-24 season?
|
Football
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first?
|
Film & TV
|
$2000 |
$25000 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns 2023-04-29
|
Basketball
|
Nuggets |
Suns |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sat Apr 29 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
MLB: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-04-28
|
Baseball
|
Tigers |
Orioles |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Fri Apr 28 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?
|
Space
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will Russell Brand be charged with a sex crime by November 1?
|
Celebrities
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023?
|
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
Space
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
Sydney Sweeney milk tweet deleted by end of day?
|
Celebrities
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
MLB: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-04-29
|
Baseball
|
Tigers |
Orioles |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0 |
Sat Apr 29 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 23 on June 30?
|
Forex
|
Yes |
No |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
$0
|
$0
|
396
|
0 |
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
| Total |
|
|
|
|
|
$537,954
|
$307,651,256
|
14,042,588
|
2,732,383 |
|
|
|
|
|