Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.1319
|
0.8681
|
$0
|
$601,796
|
1,629
|
$65,684
|
1,174 |
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0850
|
0.9150
|
$4,956
|
$553,648
|
63,020
|
$852,332
|
3,019 |
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.0014
|
0.9986
|
$10
|
$420,647
|
313
|
$66,699
|
1,119 |
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0880
|
0.9120
|
$4,615
|
$407,768
|
1,180
|
$111,316
|
1,451 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.6991
|
0.3009
|
$1,403
|
$365,450
|
42,244
|
$227,601
|
872 |
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.0041
|
0.9959
|
$710
|
$357,910
|
154
|
$71,152
|
2,092 |
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.2773
|
0.7227
|
$78,704
|
$295,237
|
5,624
|
$67,293
|
3,408 |
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.7843
|
0.2157
|
$146
|
$284,513
|
1,689
|
$13,345
|
1,202 |
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.6882
|
0.3118
|
$22,457
|
$257,392
|
6,073
|
$76,433
|
2,594 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0219
|
0.9781
|
$18
|
$255,812
|
942
|
$78,420
|
1,132 |
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0027
|
0.9973
|
$0
|
$241,919
|
93
|
$87,688
|
831 |
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.8889
|
0.1111
|
$1,128
|
$202,582
|
5,667
|
$103,237
|
2,023 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0018
|
0.9982
|
$4,338
|
$175,042
|
111
|
$186,511
|
4,061 |
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season?
|
Sports
|
Yes |
No |
0.9319
|
0.0681
|
$8
|
$172,419
|
1,071
|
$36,744
|
1,006 |
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0352
|
0.9648
|
$2,217
|
$171,341
|
3,499
|
$404,847
|
3,101 |
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.5353
|
0.4647
|
$1,390
|
$148,202
|
537
|
$31,436
|
1,703 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0200
|
0.9800
|
$2,218
|
$137,814
|
100
|
$136,280
|
1,095 |
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0550
|
0.9450
|
$11,613
|
$132,042
|
50,920
|
$393,419
|
1,479 |
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.8080
|
0.1920
|
$45,926
|
$128,222
|
71,060
|
$162,564
|
190 |
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0593
|
0.9407
|
$78
|
$125,034
|
1,818
|
$34,623
|
989 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0048
|
0.9952
|
$2,157
|
$90,914
|
33
|
$27,152
|
335 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.1650
|
0.8350
|
$11,635
|
$87,000
|
7,857
|
$58,476
|
648 |
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.3776
|
0.6224
|
$0
|
$85,883
|
7,529
|
$22,280
|
443 |
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
US current affairs
|
Democratic |
Republican |
0.0831
|
0.9169
|
$17,717
|
$82,668
|
2,691
|
$15,383
|
320 |
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30?
|
Tech
|
Yes |
No |
0.0007
|
0.9993
|
$557
|
$79,490
|
148
|
$20,143
|
512 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
Coronavirus
|
Yes |
No |
0.0675
|
0.9325
|
$0
|
$77,969
|
1,974
|
$19,277
|
745 |
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.5330
|
0.4670
|
$6,627
|
$69,216
|
11,743
|
$59,313
|
579 |
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.9980
|
0.0020
|
$0
|
$60,347
|
138
|
$15,268
|
513 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.1530
|
0.8470
|
$51
|
$58,343
|
2,448
|
$12,092
|
753 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.9840
|
0.0160
|
$403
|
$56,859
|
268
|
$20,552
|
330 |
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0767
|
0.9233
|
$316
|
$53,125
|
680
|
$13,196
|
474 |
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022?
|
|
Yes |
No |
0.5031
|
0.4969
|
$4,565
|
$50,834
|
2,608
|
$10,685
|
288 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
US current affairs
|
Democratic |
Republican |
0.2786
|
0.7214
|
$6,225
|
$43,833
|
5,168
|
$17,958
|
1,432 |
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on June 30, 2022?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.9152
|
0.0848
|
$10,001
|
$40,482
|
1,234
|
$30,214
|
163 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?
|
Crypto
|
Do Kwon |
Sensei Algod |
0.0292
|
0.9708
|
$0
|
$40,451
|
463
|
$25,935
|
566 |
Tue Mar 14 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.4576
|
0.5424
|
$0
|
$40,084
|
1,049
|
$9,555
|
274 |
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?
|
Coronavirus
|
Yes |
No |
0.0758
|
0.9242
|
$888
|
$35,935
|
858
|
$26,862
|
508 |
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.9260
|
0.0740
|
$0
|
$34,413
|
1,273
|
$20,168
|
272 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.3649
|
0.6351
|
$2,636
|
$34,231
|
17,507
|
$44,626
|
211 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0227
|
0.9773
|
$5
|
$34,081
|
1,039
|
$23,070
|
193 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.6057
|
0.3943
|
$1,424
|
$32,470
|
6,616
|
$14,228
|
362 |
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.2767
|
0.7233
|
$0
|
$31,717
|
3,257
|
$11,488
|
362 |
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.7256
|
0.2744
|
$0
|
$30,613
|
2,308
|
$12,683
|
463 |
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.4942
|
0.5058
|
$1,175
|
$30,077
|
3,359
|
$16,782
|
175 |
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0653
|
0.9347
|
$0
|
$28,868
|
3,386
|
$14,682
|
180 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.0027
|
0.9973
|
$147
|
$28,271
|
958
|
$28,305
|
256 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.0150
|
0.9850
|
$1,720
|
$25,737
|
165
|
$7,087
|
179 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Chess: Will Ding Liren win the 2022 Candidates Tournament?
|
Chess
|
Yes |
No |
0.0136
|
0.9864
|
$0
|
$24,383
|
100
|
$14,453
|
186 |
Tue Jul 05 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
US current affairs
|
Democratic |
Republican |
0.4261
|
0.5739
|
$0
|
$24,096
|
12,669
|
$15,691
|
203 |
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.0166
|
0.9834
|
$3,255
|
$24,054
|
100
|
$5,231
|
1,556 |
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.8995
|
0.1005
|
$59
|
$23,253
|
906
|
$11,155
|
164 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Arizona?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.4619
|
0.5381
|
$7
|
$22,118
|
1,019
|
$3,279
|
157 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.8702
|
0.1298
|
$10
|
$22,087
|
4,575
|
$25,807
|
60 |
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.0450
|
0.9550
|
$0
|
$21,959
|
2,000
|
$12,787
|
67 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.4132
|
0.5868
|
$1,180
|
$21,600
|
4,628
|
$11,292
|
185 |
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.4238
|
0.5762
|
$5,267
|
$20,798
|
2,084
|
$5,325
|
145 |
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.0040
|
0.9960
|
$23
|
$20,291
|
200
|
$5,890
|
201 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.9385
|
0.0615
|
$7,321
|
$19,997
|
1,922
|
$22,753
|
143 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 Chess Candidates Tournament: Will Firouzja or Rapport finish higher?
|
Chess
|
Firouzja |
Rapport |
0.4941
|
0.5059
|
$144
|
$19,950
|
673
|
$10,217
|
297 |
Tue Jul 05 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.4089
|
0.5911
|
$2,035
|
$19,452
|
8,302
|
$25,174
|
126 |
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.2840
|
0.7160
|
$184
|
$18,422
|
1,827
|
$10,086
|
252 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30?
|
NFTs
|
Yes |
No |
0.4887
|
0.5113
|
$1,641
|
$17,506
|
887
|
$7,261
|
277 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 Chess Candidates Tournament: Will Caruana or Nakamura finish higher?
|
Chess
|
Caruana |
Nakamura |
0.8718
|
0.1282
|
$101
|
$17,374
|
433
|
$5,433
|
222 |
Tue Jul 05 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.5454
|
0.4546
|
$357
|
$17,052
|
6,782
|
$18,896
|
220 |
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022?
|
NFTs
|
Yes |
No |
0.1436
|
0.8564
|
$1,555
|
$16,672
|
2,574
|
$6,441
|
100 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.0883
|
0.9117
|
$58
|
$16,577
|
1,500
|
$5,072
|
116 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022?
|
Coronavirus
|
Yes |
No |
0.0317
|
0.9683
|
$0
|
$16,360
|
1,584
|
$9,461
|
105 |
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1?
|
NFTs
|
Yes |
No |
0.1004
|
0.8996
|
$5,020
|
$15,232
|
778
|
$3,321
|
79 |
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0144
|
0.9856
|
$7
|
$14,443
|
200
|
$6,531
|
127 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0045
|
0.9955
|
$0
|
$13,941
|
191
|
$14,463
|
186 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.1687
|
0.8313
|
$67
|
$13,018
|
1,250
|
$4,986
|
122 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Ryder Ripps BAYC (RR/BAYC) be above 1 ETH on June 30?
|
NFTs
|
Yes |
No |
0.4954
|
0.5046
|
$48
|
$13,016
|
526
|
$5,570
|
226 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0397
|
0.9603
|
$0
|
$12,501
|
1,011
|
$13,015
|
491 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0030
|
0.9970
|
$2
|
$12,399
|
100
|
$8,353
|
184 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.9322
|
0.0678
|
$0
|
$11,764
|
1,658
|
$10,872
|
206 |
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.1340
|
0.8660
|
$453
|
$11,333
|
2,124
|
$13,665
|
186 |
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Iowa?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.0642
|
0.9358
|
$0
|
$11,272
|
1,051
|
$4,264
|
96 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.5460
|
0.4540
|
$30
|
$11,184
|
2,715
|
$10,584
|
149 |
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.1061
|
0.8939
|
$231
|
$10,654
|
839
|
$8,333
|
123 |
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.5911
|
0.4089
|
$0
|
$10,397
|
2,644
|
$8,382
|
181 |
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0888
|
0.9112
|
$0
|
$10,349
|
1,503
|
$4,896
|
84 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.6613
|
0.3387
|
$0
|
$10,109
|
1,317
|
$3,192
|
135 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31?
|
Coronavirus
|
Yes |
No |
0.3422
|
0.6578
|
$105
|
$9,396
|
1,358
|
$4,417
|
155 |
Sat Jan 07 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022?
|
Coronavirus
|
Yes |
No |
0.2479
|
0.7521
|
$0
|
$9,180
|
3,805
|
$9,098
|
201 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.2653
|
0.7347
|
$0
|
$9,168
|
906
|
$3,928
|
129 |
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.3576
|
0.6424
|
$36
|
$9,074
|
3,056
|
$5,762
|
94 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.8374
|
0.1626
|
$0
|
$8,566
|
3,032
|
$8,202
|
183 |
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.0207
|
0.9793
|
$0
|
$7,554
|
620
|
$7,108
|
142 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.7525
|
0.2475
|
$0
|
$7,230
|
601
|
$2,248
|
131 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.0030
|
0.9970
|
$0
|
$7,156
|
91
|
$5,494
|
119 |
Mon Jun 27 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.1145
|
0.8855
|
$0
|
$7,041
|
3,454
|
$9,760
|
106 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?
|
NFTs
|
Token |
Public |
0.4361
|
0.5639
|
$0
|
$6,957
|
827
|
$7,173
|
130 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.4002
|
0.5998
|
$0
|
$6,672
|
4,320
|
$7,595
|
78 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Vermont?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.9507
|
0.0493
|
$0
|
$6,552
|
404
|
$1,773
|
50 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.2726
|
0.7274
|
$0
|
$6,384
|
2,895
|
$6,570
|
160 |
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.9233
|
0.0767
|
$413
|
$6,309
|
1,059
|
$5,926
|
183 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 Chess Candidates Tournament: Will Liren or Nepomniachtchi finish higher?
|
Chess
|
Liren |
Nepomniachtchi |
0.0151
|
0.9849
|
$0
|
$6,252
|
406
|
$4,272
|
122 |
Tue Jul 05 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by June 30, 2022?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.0013
|
0.9987
|
$0
|
$4,751
|
120
|
$9,220
|
112 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.0454
|
0.9546
|
$0
|
$4,538
|
1,187
|
$5,530
|
91 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0626
|
0.9374
|
$0
|
$4,213
|
1,569
|
$6,166
|
62 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.6578
|
0.3422
|
$0
|
$4,141
|
857
|
$3,902
|
155 |
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.2633
|
0.7367
|
$0
|
$4,115
|
1,010
|
$2,243
|
47 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Sergei Shoigu remain Minister of Defense of Russia through July 2022?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.9605
|
0.0395
|
$0
|
$4,108
|
573
|
$3,013
|
41 |
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.1950
|
0.8050
|
$897
|
$3,358
|
1,610
|
$5,180
|
113 |
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.1112
|
0.8888
|
$586
|
$3,343
|
1,093
|
$3,608
|
83 |
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.0442
|
0.9558
|
$0
|
$3,052
|
305
|
$2,411
|
59 |
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0534
|
0.9466
|
$0
|
$2,945
|
322
|
$1,368
|
37 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30?
|
Ukraine & Russia
|
Yes |
No |
0.9959
|
0.0041
|
$0
|
$2,919
|
150
|
$3,320
|
108 |
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0778
|
0.9222
|
$6
|
$2,908
|
328
|
$1,144
|
59 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.8865
|
0.1135
|
$75
|
$2,828
|
250
|
$2,875
|
79 |
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0463
|
0.9537
|
$0
|
$2,741
|
321
|
$1,481
|
26 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.1230
|
0.8770
|
$0
|
$2,691
|
1,712
|
$4,572
|
53 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will João Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0381
|
0.9619
|
$0
|
$2,595
|
300
|
$1,508
|
52 |
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Nevada?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.4103
|
0.5897
|
$76
|
$2,431
|
1,074
|
$2,117
|
113 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.0923
|
0.9077
|
$0
|
$2,330
|
615
|
$3,074
|
56 |
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Colorado?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.8350
|
0.1650
|
$16
|
$2,306
|
1,300
|
$3,475
|
50 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Sergio Moro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
Global Politics
|
Yes |
No |
0.0407
|
0.9593
|
$0
|
$2,257
|
300
|
$1,480
|
52 |
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will 'Thor: Love and Thunder' get a 75% or higher Tomatometer Score?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.8799
|
0.1201
|
$0
|
$2,137
|
1,635
|
$7,773
|
34 |
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Pennsylvania?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.5475
|
0.4525
|
$33
|
$1,862
|
909
|
$1,859
|
87 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.7240
|
0.2760
|
$6
|
$1,813
|
156
|
$496
|
33 |
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.1572
|
0.8428
|
$0
|
$1,752
|
1,115
|
$2,627
|
31 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0655
|
0.9345
|
$0
|
$1,644
|
327
|
$1,251
|
41 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.5843
|
0.4157
|
$0
|
$1,634
|
1,008
|
$1,590
|
59 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0720
|
0.9280
|
$16
|
$1,501
|
405
|
$1,492
|
37 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.0376
|
0.9624
|
$0
|
$1,444
|
320
|
$1,634
|
23 |
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.4608
|
0.5392
|
$0
|
$1,426
|
1,222
|
$2,372
|
49 |
Fri Dec 02 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.9054
|
0.0946
|
$0
|
$1,366
|
1,728
|
$9,359
|
68 |
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Nevada?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.4669
|
0.5331
|
$29
|
$1,317
|
300
|
$2,281
|
24 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Georgia?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.4762
|
0.5238
|
$0
|
$1,309
|
300
|
$2,071
|
64 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will SEC approve Bitwise ETF by June 29?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0513
|
0.9487
|
$1,300
|
$1,300
|
1,073
|
$6,918
|
27 |
Wed Jun 29 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Chess: Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2022 Candidates Tournament?
|
Chess
|
Yes |
No |
0.1183
|
0.8817
|
$0
|
$1,294
|
82
|
$3,633
|
67 |
Tue Jul 05 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in New Hampshire?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.5850
|
0.4150
|
$4
|
$1,247
|
300
|
$1,146
|
38 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Greitens win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.3850
|
0.6150
|
$2
|
$1,236
|
847
|
$1,531
|
120 |
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Will Novak Djokovic win Men's Singles?
|
Sports
|
Yes |
No |
0.5512
|
0.4488
|
$89
|
$1,229
|
2,202
|
$6,929
|
46 |
Sun Jul 10 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Maryna Viazovska win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.7762
|
0.2238
|
$0
|
$1,106
|
400
|
$1,142
|
25 |
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Michigan?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.6775
|
0.3225
|
$32
|
$1,005
|
494
|
$1,630
|
65 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
Business
|
Yes |
No |
0.0725
|
0.9275
|
$0
|
$982
|
344
|
$5,079
|
37 |
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.4803
|
0.5197
|
$51
|
$979
|
748
|
$1,362
|
57 |
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Minnesota?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.7250
|
0.2750
|
$12
|
$976
|
300
|
$639
|
28 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Wisconsin?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.4175
|
0.5825
|
$21
|
$897
|
300
|
$733
|
83 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.3951
|
0.6049
|
$0
|
$890
|
2,913
|
$3,604
|
11 |
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Will Iga Świątek win Women's Singles?
|
Sports
|
Yes |
No |
0.3874
|
0.6126
|
$103
|
$843
|
1,467
|
$9,665
|
27 |
Sun Jul 10 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Wisconsin?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.3300
|
0.6700
|
$12
|
$769
|
300
|
$713
|
56 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in New Mexico?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.5625
|
0.4375
|
$4
|
$741
|
300
|
$729
|
41 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Pennsylvania?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.6378
|
0.3622
|
$0
|
$739
|
643
|
$1,260
|
51 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.6346
|
0.3654
|
$0
|
$705
|
383
|
$663
|
41 |
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Vicky Hartzler win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.1185
|
0.8815
|
$9
|
$669
|
776
|
$2,116
|
49 |
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Arizona?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.3450
|
0.6550
|
$9
|
$600
|
444
|
$1,130
|
43 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $10 Billion a week after its launch?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.4777
|
0.5223
|
$0
|
$595
|
571
|
$985
|
49 |
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
US current affairs
|
Yes |
No |
0.2406
|
0.7594
|
$0
|
$580
|
2,681
|
$4,784
|
30 |
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Georgia?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.2411
|
0.7589
|
$25
|
$574
|
510
|
$951
|
26 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Maine?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.6999
|
0.3001
|
$12
|
$532
|
300
|
$526
|
15 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Hugo Duminil-Copin win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.5044
|
0.4956
|
$0
|
$384
|
125
|
$465
|
20 |
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will June Huh win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
Science
|
Yes |
No |
0.6381
|
0.3619
|
$0
|
$325
|
125
|
$377
|
18 |
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Ohio?
|
US current affairs
|
Democrat |
Republican |
0.1458
|
0.8542
|
$0
|
$166
|
1,272
|
$3,274
|
10 |
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend?
|
Pop Culture
|
Yes |
No |
0.5669
|
0.4331
|
$134
|
$134
|
130
|
$527
|
11 |
Tue Jul 05 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2022 Tour de France?
|
Sports
|
Yes |
No |
0.5468
|
0.4532
|
$3
|
$109
|
280
|
$408
|
10 |
Sun Jul 24 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Cricket: Who will win Sri Lanka vs. Australia, 1st Test WTC?
|
Sports
|
Sri Lanka |
Australia |
0.2506
|
0.7494
|
$40
|
$40
|
42
|
$87
|
3 |
Sun Jul 03 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Which team will collect more points at the 2022 British GP, Red Bull or Ferrari?
|
Sports
|
Red Bull |
Ferrari |
0.5213
|
0.4787
|
$16
|
$16
|
2,493
|
$2,616
|
3 |
Sun Jul 03 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
UFC 275: Who will win - Valentina Shevchenko or Talia Santos?
|
Sports
|
Valentina Shevchenko |
Talia Santos |
0.8600
|
0.1400
|
$0
|
$0
|
50
|
$125
|
0 |
Sat Jun 11 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15?
|
NFTs
|
Doodles |
CloneX |
0.5000
|
0.5000
|
$0
|
$0
|
100
|
$100
|
0 |
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.6400
|
0.3600
|
$0
|
$0
|
75
|
$100
|
0 |
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by December 1, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.8890
|
0.1110
|
$0
|
$0
|
55
|
$100
|
0 |
Thu Dec 01 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Will $LUNA be above $10.00 on May 17, 2022?
|
Crypto
|
Yes |
No |
0.0815
|
0.9185
|
$0
|
$0
|
100
|
$100
|
0 |
Tue May 17 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
UFC 275: Who will win - Glover Teixeira or Jiri Prochazka?
|
Sports
|
Glover Teixeira |
Jiri Prochazka |
0.3700
|
0.6300
|
$0
|
$0
|
96
|
$125
|
0 |
Sat Jun 11 2022
|
|
Whales
|
LPs
|
Trades
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
$283,468
|
$217,986,958
|
4,506,314
|
$36,932,158
|
1,734,766 |
|
|
|
|
|