1702421333000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x68808dbb
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
100.00
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702421333000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2.00
|
100.00
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702301995000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17.44
|
23.25
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702301971000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$54.56
|
72.75
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702265259000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0xf84c33e8
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
4.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702250883000
|
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$123.00
|
150.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702250883000
|
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$27.00
|
150.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702250731000
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$31.20
|
120.00
|
0.2600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702250731000
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$88.80
|
120.00
|
0.7400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702246613000
|
$JTO above $2 one week after launch?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.45
|
205.00
|
0.0900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702246613000
|
$JTO above $2 one week after launch?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$186.55
|
205.00
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702061959000
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1.75
|
35.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702061959000
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$33.25
|
35.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702061885000
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$12.90
|
215.00
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702061885000
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$202.10
|
215.00
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702061560000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$237.15
|
255.00
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702061560000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$17.85
|
255.00
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702011043000
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$227.50
|
250.00
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702011043000
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$22.50
|
250.00
|
0.0900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887410000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x296bd652
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$126.00
|
150.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887410000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$24.00
|
150.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887394000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$22.00
|
200.00
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887394000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xecdbd795
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$178.00
|
200.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887378000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xecdbd795
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$237.75
|
250.00
|
0.9510
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887378000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$12.25
|
250.00
|
0.0490
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701886414000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$15.00
|
25.00
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701886414000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x817ccaea
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
25.00
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701885154000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$146.00
|
200.00
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701885154000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$54.00
|
200.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701885082000
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$33.00
|
100.00
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701885082000
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$67.00
|
100.00
|
0.6700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701816233000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$33.80
|
130.00
|
0.2600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701816233000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$96.20
|
130.00
|
0.7400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701811792000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xfeb58108
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$93.75
|
125.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701811792000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$31.25
|
125.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701760647000
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first?
|
0xfeb58108
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
$2000 |
|
$27.00
|
50.00
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701751373000
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.20
|
38.11
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701740804000
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
|
0x694bc3ed
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.89
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701718835000
|
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9ce03322
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$70.00
|
200.00
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701718835000
|
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$130.00
|
200.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701718721000
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
$2000 |
|
$26.50
|
50.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701718721000
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
$2500 |
|
$23.50
|
50.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701718669000
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
$2000 |
|
$27.00
|
50.00
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701718669000
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first?
|
0x2189ead2
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
$2500 |
|
$23.00
|
50.00
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552550000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.87
|
5.10
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552550000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x84fee50c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$28.13
|
35.61
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552550000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x84fee50c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$7.48
|
35.61
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552550000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.50
|
50.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552550000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
126.32
|
0.7916
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552333000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x39f21d8b
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$85.19
|
185.19
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552333000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$100.00
|
185.19
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552283000
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x84f9909e
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$34.75
|
84.75
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701552283000
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$50.00
|
84.75
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701551867000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$96.00
|
192.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701551867000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.84
|
7.84
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701551867000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
199.84
|
0.5004
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701399348000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$110.00
|
275.00
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701394389000
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$50.00
|
79.37
|
0.6300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701394389000
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$50.00
|
79.37
|
0.6300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701394041000
|
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x84f9909e
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
57.14
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701394041000
|
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
57.14
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701393943000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x6c2ecdbf
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$26.71
|
83.48
|
0.3200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701393387000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x84fee50c
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$45.41
|
62.81
|
0.7230
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701393387000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xaf9b5ed3
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$14.50
|
50.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701393387000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xb532895e
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$69.80
|
99.72
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701393387000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xb532895e
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$62.36
|
83.15
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701393387000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$100.00
|
358.49
|
0.2789
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701393387000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x84fee50c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$17.40
|
62.81
|
0.2770
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700818048000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$49.00
|
50.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700699799000
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$122.00
|
200.00
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700699799000
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$78.00
|
200.00
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700699073000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$13.05
|
15.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700699073000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$13.85
|
100.00
|
0.1385
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700699073000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$73.10
|
85.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698757000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x2189ead2
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$14.00
|
200.00
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698757000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$186.00
|
200.00
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698707000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$20.00
|
100.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698707000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$80.00
|
100.00
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698619000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$53.25
|
75.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698619000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$53.25
|
75.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698509000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$63.46
|
123.57
|
0.5136
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698509000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x2c61b5f8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$12.48
|
24.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698509000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$40.51
|
79.43
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698509000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x84fee50c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.47
|
20.14
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698453000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$28.00
|
200.00
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698453000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x42692cd7
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$11.56
|
82.56
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698453000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$16.44
|
117.44
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698409000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$145.80
|
150.00
|
0.9720
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698409000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$145.80
|
150.00
|
0.9720
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698077000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$184.20
|
200.00
|
0.9210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698077000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x2189ead2
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$188.60
|
205.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700698077000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$32.20
|
405.00
|
0.0795
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700594340000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xd3cbfe0b
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$22.58
|
56.45
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700594340000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$33.87
|
56.45
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700594230000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$12.50
|
50.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700594230000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$37.50
|
50.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700593532000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$9.50
|
50.00
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700593532000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$40.50
|
50.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700593346000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x2189ead2
|
0xe06500a1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$57.30
|
150.00
|
0.3820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700593346000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x2189ead2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$92.70
|
150.00
|
0.6180
|
📖 |
Tx
|