1713973076000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xfc0a8294
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2.00
|
40.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713629523000
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x44c1dfe4
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$273.88
|
464.20
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713629523000
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$273.88
|
464.20
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713295811000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$335.85
|
6,716.98
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713295811000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6,381.13
|
6,716.98
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704135705000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x0b644e44
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$160.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704060238000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1.80
|
100.00
|
0.0180
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701921204000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xdc118cb5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4.40
|
17.60
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701920467000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xdc118cb5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.25
|
1.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701907019000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x817ccaea
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.50
|
2.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701906198000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x26e8bcbe
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$147.99
|
591.96
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701906012000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x26e8bcbe
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$48.25
|
192.99
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701892078000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023?
|
0xb1dce46d
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$488.00
|
500.00
|
0.9760
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887272000
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$197.00
|
200.00
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887272000
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$197.00
|
200.00
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701835162000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$157.99
|
161.05
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701623895000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.52
|
0.53
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701492830000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0xcc5dbde7
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$331.99
|
338.42
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701388743000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$37.99
|
44.18
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701380161000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xe6be8a33
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.94
|
944.80
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701379605000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0xb1dce46d
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$567.67
|
586.44
|
0.9680
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701379007000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023?
|
0xb1dce46d
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$487.00
|
500.00
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701378945000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0xb1dce46d
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$50.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701341913000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.83
|
0.87
|
0.9540
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338013000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.03
|
33.97
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338013000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$33.94
|
33.97
|
0.9990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701337969000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.11
|
110.00
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701337969000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.11
|
110.00
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701336941000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0xfd43ec84
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.01
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701321173000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0x296bd652
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$403.22
|
416.55
|
0.9680
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701309828000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0xa282f14c
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$76.52
|
500.10
|
0.1530
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701306914000
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.04
|
6.04
|
0.0060
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701306900000
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.01
|
335.01
|
0.0060
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701306892000
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.35
|
558.35
|
0.0060
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701306431000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$39.32
|
39.96
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701300946000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xea55ad78
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$9.10
|
9.25
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701279921000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0x92fcee9c
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.10
|
0.10
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701257939000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$172.00
|
200.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701251961000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$240.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.2400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701226845000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$500.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701221493000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$400.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701216391000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x54397015
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$12.30
|
15.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701206230000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
11.63
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701182500000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0x183a2a0b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$946.42
|
995.18
|
0.9510
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701182474000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023?
|
0x183a2a0b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$563.01
|
578.63
|
0.9730
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701182448000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0x183a2a0b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$497.89
|
508.57
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701172996000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$152.99
|
611.95
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701166432000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x337988c0
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$488.00
|
500.00
|
0.9760
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701166422000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x337988c0
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$64.15
|
65.19
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701166422000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x337988c0
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$180.84
|
183.78
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701163015000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x91066a5b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.69
|
6.77
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701162951000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0x91066a5b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.80
|
4.00
|
0.9510
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701162845000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x91066a5b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$59.13
|
68.75
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701140342000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.78
|
0.82
|
0.9510
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701127119000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x509587cb
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701125011000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023?
|
0xceec9a0b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$16.29
|
16.74
|
0.9730
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701122814000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$240.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.1200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701120963000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$140.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701119758000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xfecc7c8d
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$60.28
|
61.26
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701118545000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$59.68
|
73.68
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701118545000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$14.00
|
73.68
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701115851000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.02
|
0.99
|
0.0240
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701113278000
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
|
0xaa9a8d03
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$52.71
|
54.17
|
0.9730
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701111312000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xcc09449b
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.00
|
22.22
|
0.0450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701107120000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0xeb26c70a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$36.47
|
486.23
|
0.0750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701095265000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x6c31696c
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.33
|
1.00
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701073302000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$26.57
|
106.28
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701073212000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xe06500a1
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.28
|
1.30
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701071344000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0xc5034f62
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.14
|
4.90
|
0.8450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701058860000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?
|
0xb532895e
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$499.00
|
500.00
|
0.9980
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701056956000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xb532895e
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$29.59
|
986.40
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701056146000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x48f184ee
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.41
|
13.60
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701052431000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x6544eec2
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
102.04
|
0.0490
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701052309000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x6544eec2
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
102.04
|
0.0490
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701050617000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xe06500a1
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$366.29
|
372.25
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701039386000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x26e8bcbe
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$51.18
|
465.28
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701039386000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x26e8bcbe
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$48.82
|
443.81
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701039356000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x26e8bcbe
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$33.68
|
306.18
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701039338000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x26e8bcbe
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$40.02
|
121.27
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701034356000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x9788e494
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.65
|
5.75
|
0.9820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701034060000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x65e12124
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$348.22
|
354.60
|
0.9820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701026718000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x0fb9cf9a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$137.14
|
139.65
|
0.9820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701026521000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xdb746494
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$68.75
|
275.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701024477000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x7bfc70b1
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$53.88
|
53.99
|
0.9980
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701002485000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x296bd652
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$129.00
|
150.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701002133000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0x296bd652
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.15
|
0.16
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700998903000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
aenews
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$90.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700995272000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x6f1da1b0
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.68
|
9.01
|
0.0750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700979972000
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?
|
0xea034373
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.82
|
63.04
|
0.0130
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700973877000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0xb532895e
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$38.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0380
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700972743000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xb532895e
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$46.99
|
49.99
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700972705000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xb532895e
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$232.50
|
250.00
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700959419000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x71dd518e
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$21.88
|
25.44
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700957072000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$90.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700956382000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x26e8bcbe
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$258.18
|
259.74
|
0.9940
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700935957000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x2e000940
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.36
|
4.76
|
0.0750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700922235000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0x296bd652
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$24.81
|
25.84
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700912124000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xea034373
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.58
|
31.58
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700893955000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x0e1ebcc3
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$283.57
|
284.14
|
0.9980
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700884440000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.94
|
1.00
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|