Account
0x2189ead2174bb4655458494822b2cbc56c3a04b7 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.87 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 15.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.75 | Trades | |||
| Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | 8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.00 | Trades | |||
| Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 42.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -5.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.04 | Trades | ||
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |||
| Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -31.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.95 | Trades | |||
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3700 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -74.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.00 | Trades | ||
| Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? | Yes | No | 490.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2810 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 30 2024 | -137.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -137.70 | Trades | ||
| Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 766.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 766.00 | Trades | ||
| NCAAB: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 2023-03-17 | Purdue | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 17 2023 | β | 702.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 702.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 308.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0941 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 308.94 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 29.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 338.00 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 180.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 180.67 | Trades | ||
| Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | β | 122.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.21 | Trades | ||
| Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | 119.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.85 | Trades | ||
| Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 14 2024 | β | 119.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.49 | Trades | ||
| Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | 97.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.86 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Nets beat the Warriors by more than 2.5 points in their November 16th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | β | 95.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.62 | Trades | ||
| Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 93.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.50 | Trades | ||
| Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.6100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -122.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.00 | Trades | |
| Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? | Yes | No | 150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | β | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.00 | Trades | |
| Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | β | 70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.00 | Trades | ||
| Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -130.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.00 | Trades | |
| Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 64.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.60 | Trades | ||
| Will total value locked in DeFi be $105 billion or higher on December 7th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | β | 63.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.50 | Trades | ||
| Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 100.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3968 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.80 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.80 | Trades | |
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 209.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7153 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 209.71 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.71 | Trades | |
| Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | 56.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 86.29 | 0.00% | 0.3477 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 86.29 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.29 | Trades | |
| Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 53.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.64 | Trades | ||
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 53.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.10 | Trades | ||
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sothebyβs auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 215.90 | 0.00% | 0.7653 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 215.90 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -165.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.68 | Trades | |
| Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 179.71 | 0.00% | 0.7282 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 179.71 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -130.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.84 | Trades | |
| Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 48.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 45.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.65 | Trades | ||
| SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | β | 43.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.20 | Trades | ||
| World Cup: Saturday - Portugal vs. Morocco | Portugal | Morocco | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 10 2022 | β | 41.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.89 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 90.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5533 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 90.37 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.37 | Trades | |
| Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 36.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.71 | Trades | ||
| Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | β | 36.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | 34.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.00 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? | $2000 | $2500 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.4700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Mon Jul 01 2024 | β | -23.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.50 | Trades | |
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 175.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8526 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 175.93 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.93 | Trades | |
| Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | 25.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.53 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 124.98 | 0.00% | 0.8206 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 124.98 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | -102.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.43 | Trades | |
| Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 41.08 | 0.00% | 0.4868 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 41.08 | Mon Dec 19 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.08 | Trades | |
| Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.8000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Trades | |
| World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England | France | England | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 10 2022 | β | 18.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.51 | Trades | ||
| $JTO above $2 one week after launch? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 15 2023 | β | -186.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.45 | Trades | |
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 260K for the week ending on November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 218.15 | 0.00% | 0.9168 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 218.15 | Thu Dec 02 2021 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.15 | Trades | |
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 18.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | β | -83.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.00 | Trades | |
| Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on the New Year's Eve (Dec 31)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 215.72 | 0.00% | 0.9271 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 215.72 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.72 | Trades | |
| Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -186.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.00 | Trades | |
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 12.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.05 | Trades | ||
| Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 35.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 11 2024 | β | -23.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.90 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | 11.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.85 | Trades | ||
| OpenAI board out by end of week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 26 2023 | β | 11.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.50 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 24 2023 | β | 8.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.78 | Trades | ||
| BTC above $70,000 next friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | β | 8.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.75 | Trades | ||
| WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | β | 6.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.86 | Trades | ||
| Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | β | 2.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.47 | Trades | ||
| Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 75.44 | 0.00% | 0.0017 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | Trades | |
| Coinbase a top 25 app in March? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.80 | Trades | |
| $WIF listed on Coinbase in March? | Yes | No | 7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -2.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.24 | Trades | |
| Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? | Yes | No | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.40 | Trades | |
| Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | β | -2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.80 | Trades | |
| Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? | Yes | No | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -3.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.25 | Trades | |
| Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -7.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.0300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 30 2023 | β | -9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.00 | Trades | |
| NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the 76ers by more than 7.5 points in their November 18th matchup? | Yes | No | 616.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0162 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Solana (SOL) reach an all-time high by January 14? | Yes | No | 151.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0661 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.0490 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -12.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.25 | Trades | |
| Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 26.91 | 0.00% | 0.4644 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 30 2023 | β | -12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.50 | Trades | |
| Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 08 2024 | β | -12.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.63 | Trades | ||
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.1385 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -13.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.85 | Trades | |
| Kate Middleton video appearance in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 31.00 | 0.00% | 0.4500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -13.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.95 | Trades | |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.66 | 0.00% | 1.0107 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 08 2023 | β | -14.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.81 | Trades | |
| NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Trail Blazers by more than 13.5 points in their December 8 matchup? | Yes | No | 26.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5575 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 08 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 1,020.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0147 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 138.00 | 0.00% | 0.1100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | β | -15.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.18 | Trades | |
| Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -15.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.20 | Trades | ||
| Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 125.00 | 0.00% | 0.1320 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 15 2024 | β | -16.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.50 | Trades | |
| Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | Biden | Haley | 425.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0470 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will the price of $BCH (Bitcoin Cash) or $BNB (Binance Coin) be higher on November 25th? | Bitcoin Cash | Binance Coin | 143.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1392 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? | Yes | No | 232.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0861 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from South America? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 38.74 | 0.00% | 0.5162 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -22.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.00 | Trades | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | -22.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.92 | Trades | ||
| Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.1193 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 01 2024 | β | -23.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.85 | Trades | |
| Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00% | 0.1600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | |
| ETH above $4,000 next Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | β | -24.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 47.22 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5294 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? | California | Florida | 221.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1126 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| American aid to Israel by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 39.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7316 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -28.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.80 | Trades | |
| Will the Air Quality Index in Los Angeles be 65 or higher on November 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | -30.26 | 0.83 | 0.00 | -29.43 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? | Magnus Carlsen | Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 118.69 | 0.00% | 0.2528 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
| All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -31.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.20 | Trades | |
| BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.1600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | -32.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.00 | Trades | |
| Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.3300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -33.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.00 | Trades | |
| BTC above $28,000 at end of August? | Yes | No | 160.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2112 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -33.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.80 | Trades | |
| NCAAB: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Lopes 2023-03-17 | Gonzaga | Grand Canyon | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 17 2023 | β | -36.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.00 | Trades | |
| World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia | Brazil | Croatia | 60.40 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.8120 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 09 2022 | β | -49.05 | 11.05 | 0.00 | -38.00 | Trades | |
| Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -39.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.00 | Trades | |
| NCAAB: Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Vermont Catamounts 2023-03-17 | Marquette | Vermont | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 17 2023 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
| World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia | Argentina | Croatia | 0.00 | 135.41 | 0.00% | 0.3055 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | β | -41.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -41.37 | Trades | |
| Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -42.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.00 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 266.00 | 0.00% | 0.1594 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 17 2023 | β | -42.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.40 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.4300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -43.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -43.00 | Trades | |
| Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
0.00 137.38 142.42 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Bitcoin (BTC) price be closer to $42,069 or $69,420 at noon on January 11? | $42,069 | $69,420 | 0.00 | 372.96 | 0.00% | 0.1207 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | |
| NCAAB: Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 2023-03-19 | Florida Atlantic | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0.00 | 383.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 19 2023 | β | -45.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.96 | Trades | |
| Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 18th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? | Cardano | Solana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -49.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 141.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3530 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 81.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6170 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 122.42 | 0.00% | 0.4084 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -54.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.00 | Trades | |
| Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -56.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -56.00 | Trades | ||
| Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? | Yes | No | 255.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2551 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -65.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -65.05 | Trades | |
| Bitcoin all time high today? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | β | -76.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.00 | Trades | |
| Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.42 | 0.00% | 9.2081 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | -95.94 | 18.23 | 0.00 | -77.71 | Trades | |
| Will NATO expand by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -78.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -78.72 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -86.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -86.00 | Trades | |
| Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 16 2023 | β | -88.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -88.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 3.5200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 13 2023 | β | -88.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -88.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 228.96 | 0.00% | 0.4087 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -93.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.57 | Trades | |
| Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -98.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -98.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,500 on November 24th, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 234.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4262 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Raptors by more than 9.5 points in their November 18th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 190.13 | 0.00% | 0.5260 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -122.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -122.00 | Trades | |
| Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? | Yes | No | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 64.6203 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -122.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -122.13 | Trades | |
| Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00% | 0.8200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 15 2023 | β | -123.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -123.00 | Trades | |
| Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 199.00 | 0.00% | 0.6900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | -137.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -137.31 | Trades | |
| Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 199.99 | 0.00% | 0.7072 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | -141.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -141.42 | Trades | |
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -144.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -144.54 | Trades | ||
| ETH above $2,000 at end of September? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1780 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | -178.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -178.00 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 1,725.74 | 1,641.84 | -2,599.85 | 30.11 | 0.00 | 797.84 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | -239.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -239.94 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 1,725.74 | 1,641.84 | -2,839.79 | 30.11 | 0.00 | 557.90 | ||||||||||||