Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30? Yes No 42.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -5.04 0.00 0.00 -5.04 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 8.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 15.75 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -31.95 0.00 0.00 -31.95 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -74.00 0.00 0.00 -74.00 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 12.05 0.00 0.00 12.05 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Warriors by more than 2.5 points in their November 16th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 16 2021 βœ… 95.62 0.00 0.00 95.62 Trades
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Raptors by more than 9.5 points in their November 18th matchup? Yes No 0.00 190.13 0.00% 0.5260 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the 76ers by more than 7.5 points in their November 18th matchup? Yes No 616.21 0.00 0.00% 0.0162 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.00 215.90 0.00% 0.7653 0.00 1.00 0.00 215.90 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… -165.22 0.00 0.00 50.68 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 18th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? Cardano Solana 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… -49.71 0.00 0.00 -49.71 Trades
Will the Air Quality Index in Los Angeles be 65 or higher on November 18th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 βœ… -30.26 0.83 0.00 -29.43 Trades
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 βœ… 36.04 0.00 0.00 36.04 Trades
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)? Yes No 0.00 10.42 0.00% 9.2081 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 βœ… -95.94 18.23 0.00 -77.71 Trades
Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 βœ… 53.64 0.00 0.00 53.64 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,500 on November 24th, 12pm ET? Yes No 234.62 0.00 0.00% 0.4262 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will the price of $BCH (Bitcoin Cash) or $BNB (Binance Coin) be higher on November 25th? Bitcoin Cash Binance Coin 143.65 0.00 0.00% 0.1392 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021? Yes No 47.22 0.00 0.00% 0.5294 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? Yes No 0.00 86.29 0.00% 0.3477 0.00 1.00 0.00 86.29 Wed Dec 01 2021 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 56.29 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 260K for the week ending on November 27? Yes No 0.00 218.15 0.00% 0.9168 0.00 1.00 0.00 218.15 Thu Dec 02 2021 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 18.15 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? Yes No 141.65 0.00 0.00% 0.3530 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will total value locked in DeFi be $105 billion or higher on December 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 βœ… 63.50 0.00 0.00 63.50 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Trail Blazers by more than 13.5 points in their December 8 matchup? Yes No 26.91 0.00 0.00% 0.5575 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 08 2021 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? Magnus Carlsen Ian Nepomniachtchi 0.00 118.69 0.00% 0.2528 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 16 2021 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… 119.85 0.00 0.00 119.85 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 45.65 0.00 0.00 45.65 Trades
Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -15.20 0.00 0.00 -15.20 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? Bitcoin Ethereum 100.80 0.00 0.00% 0.3968 1.00 0.00 100.80 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 60.80 Trades
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? California Florida 221.93 0.00 0.00% 0.1126 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on the New Year's Eve (Dec 31)? Yes No 0.00 215.72 0.00% 0.9271 0.00 1.00 0.00 215.72 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 15.72 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 180.67 0.00 0.00 180.67 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -144.54 0.00 0.00 -144.54 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 90.37 0.00 0.00% 0.5533 1.00 0.00 90.37 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 40.37 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 81.04 0.00 0.00% 0.6170 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 308.94 0.00 0.00% -0.0941 1.00 0.00 308.94 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 29.06 0.00 0.00 338.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) price be closer to $42,069 or $69,420 at noon on January 11? $42,069 $69,420 0.00 372.96 0.00% 0.1207 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 11 2022 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? Yes No 0.00 124.98 0.00% 0.8206 0.00 1.00 0.00 124.98 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -102.55 0.00 0.00 22.43 Trades
Will Solana (SOL) reach an all-time high by January 14? Yes No 151.24 0.00 0.00% 0.0661 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 14 2022 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? France
USA
Italy
Spain		 0.00
137.38
142.42
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Fri Jan 14 2022 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? Yes No 209.71 0.00 0.00% 0.7153 1.00 0.00 209.71 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 59.71 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? Yes No 175.93 0.00 0.00% 0.8526 1.00 0.00 175.93 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 25.93 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 βœ… 11.85 0.00 0.00 11.85 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 βœ… 97.86 0.00 0.00 97.86 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.00 228.96 0.00% 0.4087 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 βœ… -93.57 0.00 0.00 -93.57 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia Brazil Croatia 60.40 0.00 0.02% 0.8120 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 09 2022 βœ… -49.05 11.05 0.00 -38.00 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Portugal vs. Morocco Portugal Morocco 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 βœ… 41.89 0.00 0.00 41.89 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England France England 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 βœ… 18.51 0.00 0.00 18.51 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia Argentina Croatia 0.00 135.41 0.00% 0.3055 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 βœ… -41.37 0.00 0.00 -41.37 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 βœ… -22.92 0.00 0.00 -22.92 Trades
Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 βœ… 25.53 0.00 0.00 25.53 Trades
Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from South America? Yes No 0.00 38.74 0.00% 0.5162 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 41.08 0.00% 0.4868 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.08 Mon Dec 19 2022 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 21.08 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 232.35 0.00 0.00% 0.0861 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 1,020.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0147 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… 34.50 0.00 0.00 34.50 Trades
NCAAB: Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Vermont Catamounts 2023-03-17 Marquette Vermont 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.2000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
NCAAB: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 2023-03-17 Purdue Fairleigh Dickinson 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 βœ… 702.50 0.00 0.00 702.50 Trades
NCAAB: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Lopes 2023-03-17 Gonzaga Grand Canyon 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 βœ… -36.00 0.00 0.00 -36.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? Yes No 0.00 266.00 0.00% 0.1594 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 βœ… -42.40 0.00 0.00 -42.40 Trades
NCAAB: Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 2023-03-19 Florida Atlantic Fairleigh Dickinson 0.00 383.00 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 19 2023 βœ… -45.96 0.00 0.00 -45.96 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -86.00 0.00 0.00 -86.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.4300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -43.00 0.00 0.00 -43.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 βœ… 8.78 0.00 0.00 8.78 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 75.44 0.00% 0.0017 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.13 Trades
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 122.42 0.00% 0.4084 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -42.00 0.00 0.00 -42.00 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -78.72 0.00 0.00 -78.72 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 199.99 0.00% 0.7072 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… -141.42 0.00 0.00 -141.42 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 766.00 0.00 0.00 766.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 18.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -39.00 0.00 0.00 -39.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -54.00 0.00 0.00 -54.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 150.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -120.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… 70.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 1.00 0.00 150.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -75.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Trades
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 βœ… 56.91 0.00 0.00 56.91 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 199.00 0.00% 0.6900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 βœ… -137.31 0.00 0.00 -137.31 Trades
Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 βœ… -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? Yes No 160.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2112 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -33.80 0.00 0.00 -33.80 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -56.00 0.00 0.00 -56.00 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -122.00 0.00 0.00 -122.00 Trades
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? Yes No 1.89 0.00 0.00% 64.6203 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -122.13 0.00 0.00 -122.13 Trades
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.1600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -32.00 0.00 0.00 -32.00 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1780 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -178.00 0.00 0.00 -178.00 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 βœ… -88.00 0.00 0.00 -88.00 Trades
OpenAI board out by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 βœ… 11.50 0.00 0.00 11.50 Trades
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -186.00 0.00 0.00 14.00 Trades
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -80.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -122.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.1385 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -13.85 0.00 0.00 -13.85 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 14.66 0.00% 1.0107 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 βœ… -14.81 0.00 0.00 -14.81 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 3.5200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 βœ… -88.00 0.00 0.00 -88.00 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.8200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 βœ… -123.00 0.00 0.00 -123.00 Trades
$JTO above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9100 1.00 0.00 205.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 βœ… -186.55 0.00 0.00 18.45 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 26.91 0.00% 0.4644 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… -12.50 0.00 0.00 -12.50 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -7.85 0.00 0.00 -7.85 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 255.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2551 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -65.05 0.00 0.00 -65.05 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.3300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -130.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 39.37 0.00 0.00% 0.7316 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -28.80 0.00 0.00 -28.80 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 53.10 0.00 0.00 53.10 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 36.71 0.00 0.00 36.71 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 179.71 0.00% 0.7282 0.00 1.00 0.00 179.71 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -130.87 0.00 0.00 48.84 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.1600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -24.00 0.00 0.00 -24.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.0490 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -12.25 0.00 0.00 -12.25 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 93.50 0.00 0.00 93.50 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -98.00 0.00 0.00 -98.00 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 64.60 0.00 0.00 64.60 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 48.29 0.00 0.00 48.29 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.1193 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 βœ… -23.85 0.00 0.00 -23.85 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 βœ… 119.49 0.00 0.00 119.49 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 120.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -31.20 0.00 0.00 -31.20 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 2.47 0.00 0.00 2.47 Trades
Bitcoin all time high today? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… -76.00 0.00 0.00 -76.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 βœ… -2.80 0.00 0.00 -2.80 Trades
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 βœ… -83.00 0.00 0.00 17.00 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 138.00 0.00% 0.1100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 βœ… -15.18 0.00 0.00 -15.18 Trades
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 βœ… -12.63 0.00 0.00 -12.63 Trades
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? Yes No 35.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6600 1.00 0.00 35.00 0.00 Mon Mar 11 2024 βœ… -23.10 0.00 0.00 11.90 Trades
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 6.86 0.00 0.00 6.86 Trades
BTC above $70,000 next friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 8.75 0.00 0.00 8.75 Trades
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… -24.80 0.00 0.00 -24.80 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 122.21 0.00 0.00 122.21 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 43.20 0.00 0.00 43.20 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 0.00 31.00 0.00% 0.4500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -13.95 0.00 0.00 -13.95 Trades
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -9.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -1.80 0.00 0.00 -1.80 Trades
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 7.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -2.24 0.00 0.00 -2.24 Trades
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -2.40 0.00 0.00 -2.40 Trades
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0650 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -3.25 0.00 0.00 -3.25 Trades
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? Yes No 490.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2810 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… -137.70 0.00 0.00 -137.70 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? $2000 $2500 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.4700 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 βœ… -23.50 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 425.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0470 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 125.00 0.00% 0.1320 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 βœ… -16.50 0.00 0.00 -16.50 Trades
Resolved 1,725.74 1,641.84 -2,737.55 30.11 0.00 660.14
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -102.24 0.00 0.00 -102.24
Total 1,725.74 1,641.84 -2,839.79 30.11 0.00 557.90