1713295811000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6,381.13
|
6,716.98
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712720175000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x30e44387
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,400.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.6800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712350789000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,600.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711963001000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x4c2da46b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$260.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711921303000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x4c2da46b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$400.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711458541000
|
Biden to drop out before April?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x1f0a3435
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$349.17
|
350.57
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710908194000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6356fb47
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,275.14
|
1,371.12
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710862113000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x3cba2bd7
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,253.89
|
1,424.87
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710007558000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x60da1b46
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,378.39
|
5,542.26
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709993944000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4cc3522b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$790.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709987726000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x46a121e4
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$474.00
|
600.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709467444000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x484285ca
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$317.22
|
373.20
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708691962000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x7f33603d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$13,389.00
|
16,948.10
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708215664000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x862f9e0d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$6,484.71
|
8,208.49
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708215664000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x862f9e0d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,433.21
|
1,791.51
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707592903000
|
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24?
|
0xa11b12f8
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
1,052.63
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707569369000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xf89214be
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5,910.12
|
8,208.50
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x7c2e62c8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,545.35
|
15,673.63
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17,263.39
|
24,314.63
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$725.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$355.00
|
500.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$788.81
|
1,111.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,160.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707483867000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x862f9e0d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,285.71
|
1,785.71
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707284188000
|
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xc6e0d022
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$820.96
|
864.17
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707063894000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,761.00
|
2,968.82
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706992726000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xe56d7659
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,689.97
|
2,956.01
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706925436000
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?
|
0xf2bc0a4b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,220.86
|
1,233.19
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706924732000
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?
|
0xf2bc0a4b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,299.16
|
2,392.46
|
0.9610
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706374163000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x45580fea
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,630.29
|
1,753.00
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706294090000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x2adc715c
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,592.50
|
1,750.00
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706164758000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x27aed7b4
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,208.73
|
1,257.78
|
0.9610
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706129429000
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?
|
0xa7abfe0f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,185.10
|
1,233.20
|
0.9610
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706128797000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$555.24
|
3,470.27
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706073241000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x79a5b3c5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$480.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706072303000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$18,133.90
|
21,334.00
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706059620000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$8,630.25
|
10,274.11
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706059620000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$16,600.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706058898000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$12,717.38
|
15,509.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706057906000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$820.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706038588000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x067cb832
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,861.89
|
3,490.11
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706025921000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$270.54
|
334.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706025921000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,080.54
|
1,334.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706025921000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$810.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014116000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x2f73d167
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,793.27
|
4,992.99
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014068000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,568.39
|
5,036.05
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014068000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,665.29
|
5,226.05
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705958208000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xbd8ddfbc
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$23,700.00
|
30,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705958208000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$23,700.00
|
30,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705952414000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,325.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705952414000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,818.90
|
5,318.69
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705952414000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9ac5c849
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,317.41
|
2,485.69
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705951854000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xfeb58108
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$910.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705951854000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,248.60
|
2,470.99
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705913778000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xb875930e
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$448.94
|
561.17
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705863899000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x4c0340f9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$520.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705863899000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x4c0340f9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$520.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705863899000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,300.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705863899000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,740.02
|
5,265.00
|
0.5204
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705757672000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$409.32
|
2,274.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705704194000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,192.95
|
2,169.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705704194000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,100.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705699525000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$405.84
|
456.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705699525000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$294.36
|
2,774.00
|
0.1061
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705699525000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$258.10
|
290.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705699525000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$410.40
|
456.00
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705699525000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$623.00
|
700.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705688583000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xc49ad799
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$715.31
|
786.06
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705658144000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x60073655
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,173.44
|
16,693.74
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705658144000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,173.44
|
16,693.74
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705657694000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x6af75d4e
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$349.26
|
831.57
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705657694000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,538.49
|
2,652.57
|
0.5800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705657694000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x5a181dcf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$911.18
|
1,571.00
|
0.5800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705593342000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,700.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705576052000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x44c1dfe4
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$698.51
|
1,397.02
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705575360000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,301.49
|
6,602.98
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705573944000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,550.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705573944000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$620.05
|
1,215.78
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705570885000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$909.95
|
1,784.22
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705570070000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,242.39
|
4,983.10
|
0.4500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705569582000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x9ac5c849
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$580.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705569582000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x9ac5c849
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$580.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705563096000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$800.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705519609000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x569e37de
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$343.00
|
700.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705519609000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$396.27
|
808.71
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705519609000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,212.67
|
2,474.83
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705508881000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xa2b57744
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$450.00
|
500.00
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,700.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11,117.81
|
20,977.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,700.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442449000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,425.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442423000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$7,425.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705427333000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd6663cfc
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,373.08
|
1,525.64
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705409324000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x88dcc6f5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5,109.97
|
5,677.74
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705394692000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd598f5f7
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$666.50
|
775.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705351494000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,277.02
|
4,560.77
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705351201000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$840.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705351201000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,160.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705350816000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$725.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705346166000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x74d1ad14
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,231.91
|
1,339.03
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|