1701835210000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x346e6264
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$340.52
|
355.45
|
0.9580
|
π |
Tx
|
1701835162000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x346e6264
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$340.52
|
347.12
|
0.9810
|
π |
Tx
|
1695185925000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x346e6264
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$380.00
|
397.12
|
0.9569
|
π |
Tx
|
1655422831000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1b989fec
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
527.57
|
0.9477
|
|
Tx
|
1655051996000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1b989fec
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
528.87
|
0.9454
|
|
Tx
|
1654402799000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1b989fec
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
528.40
|
0.9463
|
|
Tx
|
1654310005000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1b989fec
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
525.70
|
0.9511
|
|
Tx
|
1651505972000
|
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1eaf10a7
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$305.54
|
316.26
|
0.9661
|
|
Tx
|
1651338660000
|
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x440af375
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$276.94
|
350.43
|
0.7903
|
|
Tx
|
1650997410000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
264.89
|
0.9438
|
|
Tx
|
1650819850000
|
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1eaf10a7
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$403.44
|
433.75
|
0.9301
|
|
Tx
|
1650638151000
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd2b1027d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,376.07
|
1,516.85
|
0.9072
|
|
Tx
|
1650637590000
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd2b1027d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$275.73
|
306.67
|
0.8991
|
|
Tx
|
1650582199000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x61234ab9
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$400.00
|
458.22
|
0.8729
|
|
Tx
|
1650581555000
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd2b1027d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
435.25
|
0.9190
|
|
Tx
|
1650581507000
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x3c660c47
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$400.00
|
417.13
|
0.9589
|
|
Tx
|
1650581413000
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xcde5b9f5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
397.60
|
0.7545
|
|
Tx
|
1650568220000
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd2b1027d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,088.28
|
0.9189
|
|
Tx
|
1650515537000
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd2b1027d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$627.64
|
675.00
|
0.9298
|
|
Tx
|
1650508928000
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd2b1027d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$676.50
|
731.63
|
0.9247
|
|
Tx
|
1650507227000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x53095584
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$303.00
|
319.33
|
0.9489
|
|
Tx
|
1650467260000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$350.00
|
692.42
|
0.5055
|
|
Tx
|
1649721336000
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x5dc23005
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$463.21
|
500.77
|
0.9250
|
|
Tx
|
1649721238000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$301.63
|
382.78
|
0.7880
|
|
Tx
|
1649698612000
|
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x7dbd125c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$477.31
|
501.55
|
0.9517
|
|
Tx
|
1649698204000
|
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x7dbd125c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,022.13
|
0.9783
|
|
Tx
|
1649430133000
|
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xb46bad20
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$483.19
|
509.98
|
0.9475
|
|
Tx
|
1649429091000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x90ed7e3f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$516.59
|
625.50
|
0.8259
|
|
Tx
|
1649394666000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x4b98f63f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$980.22
|
1,025.96
|
0.9554
|
|
Tx
|
1649390759000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x4b98f63f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,025.97
|
0.9747
|
|
Tx
|
1649390643000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x8881af14
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$370.22
|
400.61
|
0.9241
|
|
Tx
|
1649388084000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x8881af14
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$341.22
|
365.76
|
0.9329
|
|
Tx
|
1649384684000
|
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xb46bad20
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
509.99
|
0.9804
|
|
Tx
|
1649383980000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
382.78
|
0.7837
|
|
Tx
|
1649383808000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x106f595a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
348.01
|
0.8621
|
|
Tx
|
1649383702000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x90ed7e3f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
625.50
|
0.7994
|
|
Tx
|
1649383606000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x8881af14
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,053.63
|
0.9491
|
|
Tx
|
1648485678000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xcc3bad8e
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$548.83
|
1,023.14
|
0.5364
|
|
Tx
|
1648219677000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xc9a19c31
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$340.14
|
1,456.45
|
0.2335
|
|
Tx
|
1648179149000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x8881af14
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$937.30
|
994.13
|
0.9428
|
|
Tx
|
1648178753000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1b989fec
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$320.26
|
351.07
|
0.9123
|
|
Tx
|
1648177837000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xc9a19c31
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$717.04
|
1,007.05
|
0.7120
|
|
Tx
|
1647619015000
|
NCAA March Madness: Who will win Wright State vs. Bryant, scheduled for March 16 (6.40 PM ET)?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xfe02b048
|
Sell |
Wright State |
|
$351.03
|
356.00
|
0.9860
|
|
Tx
|
1647618689000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$337.38
|
2,000.00
|
0.1687
|
|
Tx
|
1647573219000
|
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xf8e20e65
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$493.08
|
499.67
|
0.9868
|
|
Tx
|
1647572379000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1516c78b
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$429.70
|
458.48
|
0.9372
|
|
Tx
|
1647572327000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1b989fec
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,358.51
|
1,513.35
|
0.8977
|
|
Tx
|
1647572221000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x42767501
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$458.26
|
504.22
|
0.9089
|
|
Tx
|
1647536455000
|
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x7894d934
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
437.40
|
0.6859
|
|
Tx
|
1647536041000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$323.70
|
400.00
|
0.8093
|
|
Tx
|
1647481984000
|
NCAA March Madness: Who will win Wright State vs. Bryant, scheduled for March 16 (6.40 PM ET)?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xfe02b048
|
Buy |
Wright State |
|
$415.09
|
416.72
|
0.9961
|
|
Tx
|
1647481880000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$402.88
|
500.00
|
0.8058
|
|
Tx
|
1647061160000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1b989fec
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,770.00
|
2,848.15
|
0.9726
|
|
Tx
|
1647061072000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x42767501
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$800.00
|
820.54
|
0.9750
|
|
Tx
|
1647060984000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x1516c78b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
508.49
|
0.9833
|
|
Tx
|
1647060618000
|
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xf8e20e65
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3,965.19
|
4,000.00
|
0.9913
|
|
Tx
|
1647059112000
|
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xf8e20e65
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,019.83
|
0.9806
|
|
Tx
|
1647059054000
|
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xf8e20e65
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
517.13
|
0.9669
|
|
Tx
|
1646884825000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$795.81
|
1,006.10
|
0.7910
|
|
Tx
|
1646865436000
|
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xf8e20e65
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2,848.63
|
2,900.37
|
0.9822
|
|
Tx
|
1646865304000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd8cfb3ee
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,848.63
|
3,000.00
|
0.9495
|
|
Tx
|
1646344675000
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 80 ETH on March 4, 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x12812054
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$428.07
|
500.00
|
0.8561
|
|
Tx
|
1646339555000
|
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xe8985921
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,515.15
|
1,565.75
|
0.9677
|
|
Tx
|
1646339443000
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x126c185c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,745.15
|
1,776.11
|
0.9826
|
|
Tx
|
1645979373000
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x126c185c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$886.28
|
1,008.93
|
0.8784
|
|
Tx
|
1645938590000
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x126c185c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$303.00
|
309.15
|
0.9801
|
|
Tx
|
1645938236000
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x126c185c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2,000.00
|
2,046.16
|
0.9774
|
|
Tx
|
1645889997000
|
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xe8985921
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$714.95
|
767.67
|
0.9313
|
|
Tx
|
1645889825000
|
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xa570a159
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$714.95
|
723.88
|
0.9877
|
|
Tx
|
1645889645000
|
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xe8985921
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$493.89
|
535.19
|
0.9228
|
|
Tx
|
1645889551000
|
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xa570a159
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$493.89
|
500.00
|
0.9878
|
|
Tx
|
1645383964000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$277.14
|
1,000.00
|
0.2771
|
|
Tx
|
1643687229000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$289.96
|
1,499.00
|
0.1934
|
|
Tx
|
1643224148000
|
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x511d011a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
414.63
|
0.9647
|
|
Tx
|
1629613756000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x42101a33
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$288.61
|
883.01
|
0.3268
|
|
Tx
|
1617932535000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xc7347a6d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$444.43
|
8,918.84
|
0.0498
|
|
Tx
|
1617932367000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xc7347a6d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4,279.95
|
4,608.25
|
0.9288
|
|
Tx
|
1611256474000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,500.00
|
1,570.69
|
0.9550
|
|
Tx
|
1611256304000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$343.00
|
359.17
|
0.9550
|
|
Tx
|
1611256280000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
523.57
|
0.9550
|
|
Tx
|
1611185822000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,047.98
|
0.9542
|
|
Tx
|
1610133150000
|
Will Trump complete his first term?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x2954629f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$290.00
|
362.88
|
0.7992
|
|
Tx
|
1610133076000
|
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0xd2d782b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$800.00
|
833.62
|
0.9597
|
|
Tx
|
1609526560000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
547.52
|
0.9132
|
|
Tx
|
1607029574000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0x346e6264
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,970.00
|
2,146.11
|
0.9179
|
|
Tx
|