Account
0x346e6264495004ff771285fdbf7f59c28cabb0ed Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | Trades | |||
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | Trades | |||
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | Trades | |||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | Trades | |||
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | Trades | |||
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.96 | Trades | |||
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -13.20 | 5.64 | 0.00 | -7.56 | Trades | |||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -339.8578 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.63 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | 552.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 554.34 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,401.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9861 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,401.41 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -3,354.13 | 404.77 | 0.00 | 452.05 | Trades | |
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.92 | 0.00% | -37.2590 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 295.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 295.14 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8,153.95 | 0.00% | 0.9909 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8,153.95 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -8,079.58 | 156.65 | 0.00 | 231.02 | Trades | |
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,897.04 | 0.00% | 0.9415 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,897.04 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -3,669.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 227.95 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 226.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 226.22 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 213.53 | 3.89 | 0.00 | 217.49 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 182.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 182.26 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 120.38 | 12.85 | 0.00 | 133.23 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 129.46 | 2.04 | 0.00 | 131.50 | Trades | ||
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 122.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.86 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 63.27 | 43.96 | 0.00 | 107.23 | Trades | ||
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 102.57 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 102.78 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | β | -26.72 | 122.04 | 0.00 | 95.31 | Trades | ||
Will the US have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than France, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.44 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.44 | Wed Mar 02 2022 | β | 91.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.83 | Trades | ||
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 81.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.74 | Trades | ||
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 81.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.50 | Trades | ||
Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 72.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.88 | Trades | ||
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 62.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.34 | Trades | ||
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? | Yes | No | 31.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.9016 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 31.61 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 28.50 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 60.11 | Trades | |
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.41 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 51.88 | 6.94 | 0.00 | 59.22 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.54 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 43.87 | 14.98 | 0.00 | 58.85 | Trades | ||
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | 48.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.64 | Trades | ||
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 06 2022 | β | 44.27 | 2.75 | 0.00 | 47.03 | Trades | ||
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 45.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.49 | Trades | ||
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | β | 41.07 | 2.40 | 0.00 | 43.47 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 347.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8782 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 347.60 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -305.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.35 | Trades | |
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 03 2022 | β | 41.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.56 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.20 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 20.67 | 18.73 | 0.00 | 39.41 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 301.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 301.28 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -262.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.17 | Trades | |
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 25 2022 | β | 38.79 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 38.81 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 37.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.55 | Trades | ||
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.81 | 0.00% | -13.2414 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 37.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.19 | Trades | |
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? | Yes | No | 10.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -2.5234 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.31 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | 26.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.33 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? | Democrat | Republican | 246.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8563 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 246.02 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -210.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.36 | Trades | |
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 19.39 | 11.56 | 0.00 | 30.95 | Trades | ||
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 38.16 | 0.00 | 0.02% | -0.7445 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 28.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.41 | Trades | |
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 5.26% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 28.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.22 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 27.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.99 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 26.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.73 | Trades | ||
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 15.46 | 10.74 | 0.00 | 26.20 | Trades | ||
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 02 2022 | β | 24.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.86 | Trades | ||
Will Italy have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Spain on March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 02 2022 | β | 22.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.90 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 219 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 22.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.52 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | β | 22.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.46 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 50,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | β | 18.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.30 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 19.17 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 19.18 | Trades | ||
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 19.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 17.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.57 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 16.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.78 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 11 2022 | β | 16.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.59 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 282.47 | 0.00% | 0.9446 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 282.47 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -266.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.65 | Trades | |
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 07 2022 | β | 15.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.22 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 355.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9580 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 355.45 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -340.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.93 | Trades | |
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 14.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.21 | Trades | ||
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 03 2022 | β | 13.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.93 | Trades | ||
Will @Whale_Alert tweet count be over 61,300 on January 31 (10 AM ET)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 31 2022 | β | 13.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.42 | Trades | ||
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 12.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.06 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? | Democrat | Republican | 96.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8657 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 96.61 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -83.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.98 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? | Democrat | Republican | 91.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8671 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 91.63 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -79.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.18 | Trades | |
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 161.55 | 0.00% | 0.9285 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 161.55 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.55 | Trades | |
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 49.56 | 0.00% | 0.7723 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 49.56 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | β | -38.28 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11.30 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 3.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -2.1594 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.36 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | 7.26 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 10.85 | Trades | |
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 10.35 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10.37 | Trades | ||
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 29.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6696 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 29.56 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -19.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.76 | Trades | |
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 9.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.32 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 8.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.69 | Trades | ||
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 03 2022 | β | 8.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.36 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | 7.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.82 | Trades | ||
Will Iron Finance V2βs TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 555.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9868 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 555.21 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -547.86 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 7.42 | Trades | |
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 6.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.64 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 30 2023 | β | 6.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.53 | Trades | ||
Will Japan or the USA win gold in Baseball at the 2020 Olympics? | Japan | USA | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | 6.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.40 | Trades | ||
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 4,189.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9986 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,189.74 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -4,183.85 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 5.93 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 5.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.45 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 5.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.39 | Trades | ||
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by March 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | 4.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.49 | Trades | ||
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 03 2022 | β | 4.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.42 | Trades | ||
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 4.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.42 | Trades | ||
Will Truth Social be the #1 Free Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on May 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 10 2022 | β | 4.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.35 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 4.31 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 4.32 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 4.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.17 | Trades | ||
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.48 | Trades | |||||||
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | 3.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.47 | Trades | ||
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | β | 3.31 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3.32 | Trades | ||
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1.80 on November 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | β | 2.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.56 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 26.98 | 0.00% | 0.9111 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.98 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -24.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.40 | Trades | |
Will Elon musk have the highest net worth on April 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | 2.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.32 | Trades | ||
Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.27 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.81 | 3.70% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.81 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 1.27 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 2.12 | Trades | ||
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 2.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.02 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.64 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | 1.61 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1.62 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 1.58 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 1.59 | Trades | ||
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.57 | Trades | ||
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 12 2021 | β | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.53 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.53 | Trades | ||
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.47 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 1.40 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 1.42 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.40 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | Trades | ||
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 0.20 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.81 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.99 | 0.76% | 0.9921 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.99 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -99.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 | Trades | |
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | β | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.52 | Trades | ||
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | β | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | β | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | ||
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -0.24 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.26 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | β | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | Trades | ||
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -0.14 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.15 | 0.00% | 0.0165 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 04 2022 | β | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | -0.07 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.06 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Grizzlies by more than 4.5 points in their April 10 (7 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | β | -0.11 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.07 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -0.11 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.09 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4607 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -1.06 | 0.96 | 0.00 | -0.09 | Trades | |
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | Trades | ||
Will 'Morbius' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Mon Apr 04 2022 | β | -0.22 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.16 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | Trades | ||
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -1.14 | 0.92 | 0.00 | -0.22 | Trades | ||
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | Trades | ||
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? | Bored Apes | CryptoPunks | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -0.54 | 0.12 | 0.00 | -0.42 | Trades | ||
Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | β | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.83 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 24, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.56 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 24 2022 | β | -0.95 | 0.07 | 0.00 | -0.88 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Lakers by more than 12.5 points in their April 7 (10 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 07 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in March 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -1.80 | 0.74 | 0.00 | -1.06 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.07 | Trades | ||
Will Kim Kardashian announce sheβs pregnant by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.51 | Trades | ||
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.59 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $3,400 on April 8th, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | β | -1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.71 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.86 | Trades | ||
NCAAB: Who will win Michigan St Spartans vs. Davidson Wildcats, scheduled for March 18, 9:40 PM ET? | Michigan St Spartans | Davidson Wildcats | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 18 2022 | β | -2.74 | 0.75 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -4.08 | 2.05 | 0.00 | -2.02 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.04 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Lakers by more than 8.5 points in their March 13 (9 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.3397 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 13 2022 | β | -10.72 | 0.42 | 0.00 | -2.30 | Trades | |
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? | Do Kwon | Sensei Algod | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 14 2023 | β | -2.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.47 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -3.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.90 | Trades | ||
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -3.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.04 | Trades | |||
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Hawks by more than 5.5 points in their March 18, 7:40 PM ET matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 18 2022 | β | -34.21 | 30.94 | 0.00 | -3.27 | Trades | ||
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -3.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.57 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $3,100 on April 28, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 28 2022 | β | -4.77 | 1.09 | 0.00 | -3.68 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -3.90 | 0.20 | 0.00 | -3.70 | Trades | ||
NCAA March Madness: Who will win Wright State vs. Bryant, scheduled for March 16 (6.40 PM ET)? | Wright State | Bryant | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 16 2022 | β | -4.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.11 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | -5.47 | 1.26 | 0.00 | -4.19 | Trades | ||
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | -4.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.59 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.8% or higher on March 30? | Yes | No | 6.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7790 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 30 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the Saudi Arabia Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? | Max Verstappen | Charles Leclerc | 0.00 | 10.22 | 0.00% | 0.4892 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 28 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 22, 7:00 PM ET? | Heat | Hawks | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | -5.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.55 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 17 2022 | β | -6.14 | 0.53 | 0.00 | -5.60 | Trades | ||
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 18 2022 | β | -6.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.52 | Trades | ||
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -7.83 | 0.40 | 0.00 | -7.43 | Trades | ||
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? | Mark Zuckerberg | Michael Bloomberg | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | -7.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.92 | Trades | ||
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -9.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.07 | Trades | ||
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -9.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.40 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -12.55 | 3.04 | 0.00 | -9.51 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention SWIFT in the 2022 State of the Union Address? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -9.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.78 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | β | -10.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.59 | Trades | ||
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | -11.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.47 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -12.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.68 | Trades | ||
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -16.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.81 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 04 2021 | β | -19.76 | 2.94 | 0.00 | -16.82 | Trades | ||
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | β | -17.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.17 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -23.05 | 5.14 | 0.00 | -17.91 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | β | -19.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.77 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | -22.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.46 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -23.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.45 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | β | -25.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.26 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 54.17 | 0.00% | 0.5996 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -32.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.47 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 80 ETH on March 4, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.94 | 0.00% | 23.1298 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 04 2022 | β | -44.96 | 1.19 | 0.00 | -43.77 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | -50.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.47 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 110.69 | 0.00% | 1.5127 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 110.69 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -167.45 | 3.22 | 0.00 | -53.53 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | β | -58.97 | 0.10 | 0.00 | -58.87 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,876.79 | 0.00% | 1.0211 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,876.79 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | -2,937.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.80 | Trades | |
MLB: Who will win Mets vs. Phillies game on April 11? | Mets | Phillies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 11 2022 | β | -82.24 | 10.31 | 0.00 | -71.93 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | -80.30 | 6.38 | 0.00 | -73.92 | Trades | ||
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -85.93 | 0.32 | 0.00 | -85.60 | Trades | ||
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 17.22 | 0.00% | 5.0114 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -86.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -86.29 | Trades | |
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -87.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -87.55 | Trades | ||
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -101.81 | 13.21 | 0.00 | -88.60 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -138.27 | 31.46 | 0.00 | -106.81 | Trades | ||
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 146.24 | 0.00% | 0.9056 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -132.43 | 3.93 | 0.00 | -128.50 | Trades | |
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 27 2023 | β | -234.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -234.92 | Trades | ||
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 600.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.4068 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 600.46 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -844.74 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -244.27 | Trades | |
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 329.45 | 0.00% | 0.7902 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | -260.32 | 6.54 | 0.00 | -253.78 | Trades | |
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 275.28 | 0.00% | 1.4837 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 05 2022 | β | -408.44 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -408.40 | Trades | |
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 1,090.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6108 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -665.97 | 12.17 | 0.00 | -653.80 | Trades | |
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,177.85 | 0.00% | 2.1695 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | -2,555.34 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -2,555.30 | Trades | |
Resolved | 10,274.23 | 15,661.22 | -27,725.69 | 957.29 | 0.01 | -832.95 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.02 | -16.46 | 5.64 | 0.00 | -10.79 | ||||||||||||
Total | 10,274.23 | 15,661.25 | -27,742.15 | 962.93 | 0.01 | -843.73 |