Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 Trades
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.24 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.03 0.97 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.35 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.97 0.00 0.00 -1.96 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.47 0.53 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -13.20 5.64 0.00 -7.56 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 1.63 0.00 0.00% -339.8578 1.00 0.00 1.63 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… 552.71 0.00 0.00 554.34 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 3,401.41 0.00 0.00% 0.9861 1.00 0.00 3,401.41 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… -3,354.13 404.77 0.00 452.05 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.00 7.92 0.00% -37.2590 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 295.14 0.00 0.00 295.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 8,153.95 0.00% 0.9909 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,153.95 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… -8,079.58 156.65 0.00 231.02 Trades
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,897.04 0.00% 0.9415 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,897.04 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -3,669.09 0.00 0.00 227.95 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 226.22 0.00 0.00 226.22 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.07 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 213.53 3.89 0.00 217.49 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… 182.26 0.00 0.00 182.26 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… 120.38 12.85 0.00 133.23 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 129.46 2.04 0.00 131.50 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 122.86 0.00 0.00 122.86 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.45 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 63.27 43.96 0.00 107.23 Trades
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 102.57 0.21 0.00 102.78 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 βœ… -26.72 122.04 0.00 95.31 Trades
Will the US have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than France, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.44 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.44 Wed Mar 02 2022 βœ… 91.39 0.00 0.00 91.83 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… 81.74 0.00 0.00 81.74 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… 81.50 0.00 0.00 81.50 Trades
Will Trump complete his first term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 72.88 0.00 0.00 72.88 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 62.23 0.00 0.00 62.34 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 31.61 0.00 0.00% -0.9016 1.00 0.00 31.61 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 28.50 0.01 0.00 60.11 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.41 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.41 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 51.88 6.94 0.00 59.22 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.54 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… 43.87 14.98 0.00 58.85 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… 48.64 0.00 0.00 48.64 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 βœ… 44.27 2.75 0.00 47.03 Trades
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? USA China 0.52 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.52 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… 45.97 0.00 0.00 46.49 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 βœ… 41.07 2.40 0.00 43.47 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? Yes No 347.60 0.00 0.00% 0.8782 1.00 0.00 347.60 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -305.26 0.00 0.00 42.35 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 βœ… 41.56 0.00 0.00 41.56 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.20 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 20.67 18.73 0.00 39.41 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 301.28 0.00 0.00% 0.8700 1.00 0.00 301.28 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -262.11 0.00 0.00 39.17 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 βœ… 38.79 0.01 0.00 38.81 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 37.55 0.00 0.00 37.55 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2.81 0.00% -13.2414 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 37.19 0.00 0.00 37.19 Trades
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? Yes No 10.31 0.00 0.00% -2.5234 1.00 0.00 10.31 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… 26.02 0.00 0.00 36.33 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 246.02 0.00 0.00% 0.8563 1.00 0.00 246.02 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -210.66 0.00 0.00 35.36 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 19.39 11.56 0.00 30.95 Trades
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? Yes No 38.16 0.00 0.02% -0.7445 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 28.41 0.00 0.00 28.41 Trades
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 5.26% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 βœ… 28.22 0.00 0.00 28.22 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 27.99 0.00 0.00 27.99 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… 26.73 0.00 0.00 26.73 Trades
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 15.46 10.74 0.00 26.20 Trades
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 βœ… 24.86 0.00 0.00 24.86 Trades
Will Italy have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 βœ… 22.90 0.00 0.00 22.90 Trades
Will there be more than 219 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 22.52 0.00 0.00 22.52 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 βœ… 22.46 0.00 0.00 22.46 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 50,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.79 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.79 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 βœ… 18.51 0.00 0.00 19.30 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 19.17 0.02 0.00 19.18 Trades
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.45% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 19.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 17.57 0.00 0.00 17.57 Trades
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 βœ… 16.78 0.00 0.00 16.78 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 βœ… 16.59 0.00 0.00 16.59 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 282.47 0.00% 0.9446 0.00 1.00 0.00 282.47 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -266.82 0.00 0.00 15.65 Trades
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 07 2022 βœ… 15.22 0.00 0.00 15.22 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 355.45 0.00 0.00% 0.9580 1.00 0.00 355.45 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -340.52 0.00 0.00 14.93 Trades
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 14.21 0.00 0.00 14.21 Trades
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 βœ… 13.93 0.00 0.00 13.93 Trades
Will @Whale_Alert tweet count be over 61,300 on January 31 (10 AM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 βœ… 13.42 0.00 0.00 13.42 Trades
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.87 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.87 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… 12.19 0.00 0.00 13.06 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? Democrat Republican 96.61 0.00 0.00% 0.8657 1.00 0.00 96.61 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -83.63 0.00 0.00 12.98 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? Democrat Republican 91.63 0.00 0.00% 0.8671 1.00 0.00 91.63 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -79.45 0.00 0.00 12.18 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 161.55 0.00% 0.9285 0.00 1.00 0.00 161.55 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 11.55 Trades
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? Yes No 0.00 49.56 0.00% 0.7723 0.00 1.00 0.00 49.56 Mon Nov 08 2021 βœ… -38.28 0.01 0.00 11.30 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 3.36 0.00 0.00% -2.1594 1.00 0.00 3.36 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 βœ… 7.26 0.22 0.00 10.85 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.60 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 10.35 0.01 0.00 10.37 Trades
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? Yes No 29.56 0.00 0.00% 0.6696 1.00 0.00 29.56 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -19.79 0.00 0.00 9.76 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… 9.32 0.00 0.00 9.32 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 8.68 0.00 0.00 8.69 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 βœ… 8.36 0.00 0.00 8.36 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… 7.81 0.00 0.00 7.82 Trades
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? Yes No 555.21 0.00 0.00% 0.9868 1.00 0.00 555.21 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… -547.86 0.07 0.00 7.42 Trades
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.95 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… 6.64 0.00 0.00 6.64 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… 6.52 0.00 0.00 6.53 Trades
Will Japan or the USA win gold in Baseball at the 2020 Olympics? Japan USA 0.04 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 Sat Aug 07 2021 βœ… 6.36 0.00 0.00 6.40 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 4,189.74 0.00 0.00% 0.9986 1.00 0.00 4,189.74 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -4,183.85 0.03 0.00 5.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 βœ… 5.45 0.00 0.00 5.45 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 5.38 0.00 0.00 5.39 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by March 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… 4.49 0.00 0.00 4.49 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 βœ… 4.42 0.00 0.00 4.42 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… 4.42 0.00 0.00 4.42 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Free Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on May 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 βœ… 4.35 0.00 0.00 4.35 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 4.31 0.01 0.00 4.32 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 4.17 0.00 0.00 4.17 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other
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βœ… 3.48 0.00 0.00 3.48 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… 3.47 0.00 0.00 3.47 Trades
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 29 2021 βœ… 3.31 0.01 0.00 3.32 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1.80 on November 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 βœ… 2.56 0.00 0.00 2.56 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 26.98 0.00% 0.9111 0.00 1.00 0.00 26.98 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… -24.58 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will Elon musk have the highest net worth on April 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… 2.32 0.00 0.00 2.32 Trades
Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… 2.27 0.00 0.00 2.27 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.81 3.70% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.81 Sun Jun 20 2021 βœ… 1.27 0.04 0.00 2.12 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 2.02 0.00 0.00 2.02 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 1.63 0.00 0.00 1.64 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… 1.61 0.01 0.00 1.62 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 1.58 0.02 0.00 1.59 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? Yes No 0.29 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.29 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 1.28 0.00 0.00 1.57 Trades
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.26% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 12 2021 βœ… 1.53 0.00 0.00 1.53 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 βœ… 1.53 0.00 0.00 1.53 Trades
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 02 2021 βœ… 1.47 0.00 0.00 1.47 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 1.40 0.02 0.00 1.42 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.40 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.40 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… 0.32 0.35 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 1.06 0.00 0.00 1.06 Trades
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 15 2021 βœ… 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.91 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 0.20 0.61 0.00 0.81 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 99.99 0.76% 0.9921 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.99 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -99.20 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.68 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 βœ… 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.52 Trades
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 26 2021 βœ… 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 28 2021 βœ… 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… -0.57 0.00 0.00 0.43 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 13 2021 βœ… 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.32 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… -0.24 0.50 0.00 0.26 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 βœ… 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.24 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -0.14 0.23 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.15 0.00% 0.0165 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 0.14 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… -0.07 0.01 0.00 -0.06 Trades
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Grizzlies by more than 4.5 points in their April 10 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 βœ… -0.11 0.04 0.00 -0.07 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.11 0.02 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? Yes No 2.29 0.00 0.00% 0.4607 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… -1.06 0.96 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will 'Morbius' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 Mon Apr 04 2022 βœ… -0.22 0.02 0.00 -0.16 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -1.14 0.92 0.00 -0.22 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.34 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 0.00 0.09 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -0.54 0.12 0.00 -0.42 Trades
Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 06 2021 βœ… -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.83 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 24, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.56 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 βœ… -0.95 0.07 0.00 -0.88 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Lakers by more than 12.5 points in their April 7 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 07 2022 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in March 2022? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -1.80 0.74 0.00 -1.06 Trades
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -1.07 0.00 0.00 -1.07 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -1.52 0.00 0.00 -1.51 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -1.59 0.00 0.00 -1.59 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,400 on April 8th, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Apr 08 2022 βœ… -1.71 0.00 0.00 -1.71 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -1.86 0.00 0.00 -1.86 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Michigan St Spartans vs. Davidson Wildcats, scheduled for March 18, 9:40 PM ET? Michigan St Spartans Davidson Wildcats 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 βœ… -2.74 0.75 0.00 -1.98 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… -4.08 2.05 0.00 -2.02 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -2.04 0.00 0.00 -2.04 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Lakers by more than 8.5 points in their March 13 (9 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 8.00 0.00 0.00% 1.3397 1.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 Sun Mar 13 2022 βœ… -10.72 0.42 0.00 -2.30 Trades
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? Do Kwon Sensei Algod 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 14 2023 βœ… -2.47 0.00 0.00 -2.47 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.30 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.30 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -3.20 0.00 0.00 -2.90 Trades
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -3.04 0.00 0.00 -3.04 Trades
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Hawks by more than 5.5 points in their March 18, 7:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 βœ… -34.21 30.94 0.00 -3.27 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -3.57 0.00 0.00 -3.57 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,100 on April 28, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 βœ… -4.77 1.09 0.00 -3.68 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -3.90 0.20 0.00 -3.70 Trades
NCAA March Madness: Who will win Wright State vs. Bryant, scheduled for March 16 (6.40 PM ET)? Wright State Bryant 0.34 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.34 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 βœ… -4.45 0.00 0.00 -4.11 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? Yes No 0.00 0.27 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.03 Sun Feb 21 2021 βœ… -5.47 1.26 0.00 -4.19 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… -4.59 0.00 0.00 -4.59 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.8% or higher on March 30? Yes No 6.42 0.00 0.00% 0.7790 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 30 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the Saudi Arabia Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 0.00 10.22 0.00% 0.4892 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 22, 7:00 PM ET? Heat Hawks 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 βœ… -5.55 0.00 0.00 -5.55 Trades
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 βœ… -6.14 0.53 0.00 -5.60 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 βœ… -6.52 0.00 0.00 -6.52 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -7.83 0.40 0.00 -7.43 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? Mark Zuckerberg Michael Bloomberg 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -7.93 0.00 0.00 -7.92 Trades
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.20 0.80 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -9.07 0.00 0.00 -9.07 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -9.41 0.00 0.00 -9.40 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… -12.55 3.04 0.00 -9.51 Trades
Will President Biden mention SWIFT in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -9.78 0.00 0.00 -9.78 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 βœ… -10.59 0.00 0.00 -10.59 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… -11.48 0.00 0.00 -11.47 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -12.69 0.00 0.00 -12.68 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… -16.81 0.00 0.00 -16.81 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid? Yes No 0.01 0.00 8.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 04 2021 βœ… -19.76 2.94 0.00 -16.82 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 βœ… -17.17 0.00 0.00 -17.17 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -23.05 5.14 0.00 -17.91 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 βœ… -19.77 0.00 0.00 -19.77 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.88% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… -22.46 0.00 0.00 -22.46 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -23.45 0.00 0.00 -23.45 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 βœ… -25.26 0.00 0.00 -25.26 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 54.17 0.00% 0.5996 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -32.48 0.00 0.00 -32.47 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 80 ETH on March 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.94 0.00% 23.1298 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 βœ… -44.96 1.19 0.00 -43.77 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 βœ… -50.47 0.00 0.00 -50.47 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 110.69 0.00% 1.5127 0.00 1.00 0.00 110.69 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -167.45 3.22 0.00 -53.53 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 βœ… -58.97 0.10 0.00 -58.87 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,876.79 0.00% 1.0211 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,876.79 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… -2,937.59 0.00 0.00 -60.80 Trades
MLB: Who will win Mets vs. Phillies game on April 11? Mets Phillies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 βœ… -82.24 10.31 0.00 -71.93 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… -80.30 6.38 0.00 -73.92 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -85.93 0.32 0.00 -85.60 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 17.22 0.00% 5.0114 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -86.29 0.00 0.00 -86.29 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -87.55 0.00 0.00 -87.55 Trades
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -101.81 13.21 0.00 -88.60 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -138.27 31.46 0.00 -106.81 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 146.24 0.00% 0.9056 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -132.43 3.93 0.00 -128.50 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 βœ… -234.92 0.00 0.00 -234.92 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 600.46 0.00 0.00% 1.4068 1.00 0.00 600.46 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -844.74 0.01 0.00 -244.27 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 329.45 0.00% 0.7902 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… -260.32 6.54 0.00 -253.78 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 275.28 0.00% 1.4837 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 βœ… -408.44 0.04 0.00 -408.40 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 1,090.34 0.00 0.00% 0.6108 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -665.97 12.17 0.00 -653.80 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 1,177.85 0.00% 2.1695 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -2,555.34 0.04 0.00 -2,555.30 Trades
Resolved 10,274.23 15,661.22 -27,725.69 957.29 0.01 -832.95
Unresolved 0.00 0.02 -16.46 5.64 0.00 -10.79
Total 10,274.23 15,661.25 -27,742.15 962.93 0.01 -843.73