1710004191000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$769.94
|
785.65
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1709958707000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$301.53
|
437.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1709951117000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xe0368af7
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$438.00
|
500.00
|
0.8760
|
π |
Tx
|
1708390875000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x30e44387
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$672.00
|
8,400.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1708090620000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$319.32
|
950.00
|
0.3361
|
π |
Tx
|
1707955845000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$450.00
|
750.00
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1707955845000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$380.00
|
950.00
|
0.4000
|
π |
Tx
|
1707672014000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x2b2c5c84
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$365.04
|
1,352.00
|
0.2700
|
π |
Tx
|
1707423370000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$475.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707423370000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x27aed7b4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$475.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707422938000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x27aed7b4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,139.14
|
5,995.49
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707422938000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4,856.35
|
5,995.49
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707340865000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$850.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1707332435000
|
Ukraine aid package in February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$269.86
|
422.00
|
0.6395
|
π |
Tx
|
1706725581000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$261.72
|
1,454.00
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706614662000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$328.00
|
400.00
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706614662000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$638.31
|
3,546.17
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706614662000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,640.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706614662000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$935.76
|
1,141.17
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706100336000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$912.00
|
1,900.00
|
0.4800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706100336000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$576.00
|
1,200.00
|
0.4800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706100336000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$336.00
|
700.00
|
0.4800
|
π |
Tx
|
1704917582000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x899d495a
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$450.01
|
2,500.05
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1704910844000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xac07afe3
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$631.43
|
693.88
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1704897921000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x625711e9
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$473.38
|
1,893.50
|
0.2500
|
π |
Tx
|
1704893719000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$302.97
|
1,893.54
|
0.1600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704893719000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x7a1cb7d3
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$302.97
|
1,893.54
|
0.1600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704889255000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xf223ad32
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$561.00
|
2,805.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1704848154000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xf0d743a9
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
3,125.00
|
0.1600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704836583000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$276.71
|
1,844.72
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1704836583000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x42af933f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,568.01
|
1,844.72
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1703783147000
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$253.10
|
820.00
|
0.3087
|
π |
Tx
|
1702044162000
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$382.50
|
500.00
|
0.7650
|
π |
Tx
|
1701178965000
|
George Santos expelled in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$395.00
|
500.00
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1697226155000
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xa1e9ab4d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$277.18
|
615.96
|
0.4500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697226155000
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$346.88
|
630.96
|
0.5498
|
π |
Tx
|
1697155009000
|
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$462.50
|
500.00
|
0.9250
|
π |
Tx
|
1684603219000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x613d57e2
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$341.68
|
432.50
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1684275199000
|
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xcb91b2f0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$447.69
|
658.37
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1684275199000
|
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$370.00
|
1,190.51
|
0.3108
|
π |
Tx
|
1684275199000
|
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$350.00
|
500.00
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1684275163000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$370.00
|
500.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1684275163000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xee292607
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$370.00
|
500.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1678149209000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x32e3742a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4,320.43
|
6,261.49
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1678149209000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$744.00
|
2,400.00
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678149209000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$510.35
|
739.64
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1678149209000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x92967e67
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$310.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678149209000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xf6129c47
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$465.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1676241159000
|
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x47bc4b50
|
Buy |
Eagles |
|
$1,083.68
|
2,084.00
|
0.5200
|
π |
Tx
|
1673059166000
|
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xe0dbdb7f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$320.00
|
400.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1670373966000
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x41000202
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
569.18
|
0.4392
|
|
Tx
|
1669469772000
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xf0f30337
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
572.42
|
0.4367
|
|
Tx
|
1668441874000
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x6c982f29
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
768.18
|
0.6509
|
|
Tx
|
1666804658000
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x8b5e7f64
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
484.22
|
0.5163
|
|
Tx
|
1666788339000
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x8b5e7f64
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
964.29
|
0.5185
|
|
Tx
|
1666555335000
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xa1c57283
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
299.04
|
0.8360
|
|
Tx
|
1666527654000
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xa1c57283
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$350.00
|
450.45
|
0.7770
|
|
Tx
|
1666473110000
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x8b5e7f64
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
1,152.67
|
0.4338
|
|
Tx
|
1666472932000
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x8b5e7f64
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
609.09
|
0.4105
|
|
Tx
|
1666462707000
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xa1c57283
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$427.00
|
527.65
|
0.8093
|
|
Tx
|
1666292692000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x099b6f3b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$962.32
|
1,000.00
|
0.9623
|
|
Tx
|
1666200558000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x099b6f3b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$404.78
|
587.05
|
0.6895
|
|
Tx
|
1666109327000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x099b6f3b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
866.39
|
0.4617
|
|
Tx
|
1666011651000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x099b6f3b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
653.92
|
0.3823
|
|
Tx
|
1665855770000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x099b6f3b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$350.00
|
987.91
|
0.3543
|
|
Tx
|
1664314802000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xbe369052
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$327.12
|
631.51
|
0.5180
|
|
Tx
|
1664313284000
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x8b5e7f64
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
657.56
|
0.3802
|
|
Tx
|
1664213689000
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x8b5e7f64
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
705.88
|
0.3542
|
|
Tx
|
1664213642000
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x8b5e7f64
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
750.42
|
0.3331
|
|
Tx
|
1663529210000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xbe369052
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
631.83
|
0.3957
|
|
Tx
|
1663167589000
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x6c982f29
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
569.59
|
0.4389
|
|
Tx
|
1662553803000
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x6c982f29
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
545.32
|
0.5501
|
|
Tx
|
1661872790000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x5ce0c9cd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
734.00
|
0.3406
|
|
Tx
|
1661459934000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x46405733
|
Buy |
Democrats |
π΅ |
$250.00
|
345.72
|
0.7231
|
|
Tx
|
1661459900000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x46405733
|
Buy |
Democrats |
π΅ |
$250.00
|
352.38
|
0.7095
|
|
Tx
|
1661459866000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x46405733
|
Buy |
Democrats |
π΅ |
$250.00
|
359.75
|
0.6949
|
|
Tx
|
1661449316000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x31dec0d3
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
776.99
|
0.3218
|
|
Tx
|
1661434276000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x31dec0d3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
672.49
|
0.7435
|
|
Tx
|
1661343427000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x31dec0d3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
453.84
|
0.5509
|
|
Tx
|
1661343359000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x31dec0d3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
496.35
|
0.5037
|
|
Tx
|
1639522892000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$750.00
|
1,543.97
|
0.4858
|
|
Tx
|
1638465703000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xe632388c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
340.89
|
0.7334
|
|
Tx
|
1638456878000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xe632388c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$345.05
|
473.02
|
0.7295
|
|
Tx
|
1638195634000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x13ccb8c8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
330.38
|
0.7567
|
|
Tx
|
1638030353000
|
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x5fd51bf7
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$473.56
|
2,934.05
|
0.1614
|
|
Tx
|
1638021503000
|
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x5fd51bf7
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
1,399.24
|
0.3573
|
|
Tx
|
1637955617000
|
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x5fd51bf7
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
860.98
|
0.5807
|
|
Tx
|
1637438373000
|
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x5fd51bf7
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
673.83
|
0.7420
|
|
Tx
|
1637421094000
|
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xcd05825a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
1,350.77
|
0.3702
|
|
Tx
|
1636387859000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x02e90748
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$315.00
|
1,177.05
|
0.2676
|
|
Tx
|
1636387615000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x02e90748
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
1,124.71
|
0.2667
|
|
Tx
|
1636227909000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0x02e90748
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,221.78
|
2,524.02
|
0.4841
|
|
Tx
|
1634729827000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
1,150.13
|
0.4347
|
|
Tx
|
1634325718000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x32e3742a
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
1,225.24
|
0.4081
|
|
Tx
|