Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
1,250.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,250.92
|
Trades
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 06 2024
|
β
|
4,456.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,456.38
|
Trades
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
2,371.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.5982
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 11 2021
|
β
|
3,790.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,790.17
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
1,611.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,611.27
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
1,375.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,375.38
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,240.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,240.59
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
1,119.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,119.38
|
Trades
|
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
900.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
900.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
852.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
852.14
|
Trades
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
747.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
747.48
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
641.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
641.17
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
β
|
606.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
606.72
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on September 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
598.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
598.25
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
579.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
579.90
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,000.01
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0577
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
576.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
576.85
|
Trades
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
540.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
540.15
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
273.46
|
0.00% |
|
-1.8034
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
493.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
493.16
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
β
|
441.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
441.08
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
367.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
367.60
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
322.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
322.42
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 09 2022
|
β
|
307.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
307.85
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
285.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
285.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
250.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.14
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 07 2022
|
β
|
243.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
243.19
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
323.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.7235
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 07 2022
|
β
|
233.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
233.78
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
178.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
178.45
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.76
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
149.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
149.68
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.00
|
Trades
|
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs |
Raiders |
Chiefs |
132.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.4198
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
β
|
55.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.68
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 13 2021
|
β
|
55.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.08
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
54.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.54
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the 76ers by more than 6.5 points in their November 9th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
504.42
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0677
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 09 2021
|
β
|
34.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.15
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
β
|
28.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.38
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
27.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.50
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
574.71
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0420
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
24.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.15
|
Trades
|
Emmys 2022: Will βWhite Lotusβ win Outstanding Limited Series? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
β
|
9.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.11
|
Trades
|
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 20 2021
|
β
|
6.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.44
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
59.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3420
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-20.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.34
|
Trades
|
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
114.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.2189
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
588.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.0425
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.60
|
0.00% |
|
4.3815
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-33.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.29
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-33.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.58
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-37.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.80
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2,107.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0237
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
1,216.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0449
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
-54.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.65
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-60.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.68
|
Trades
|
Will Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
516.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1390
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-71.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-71.85
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9? |
Yes |
No |
1,633.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0490
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 09 2022
|
β
|
-80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
-97.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-97.42
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Pacers beat the 76ers by more than 2.5 points in their November 13th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
443.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.2254
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 13 2021
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Trail Blazers beat the 76ers by more than 6.5 points in their November 20th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
194.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.5151
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 20 2021
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
NFL: Will the Bills beat the Saints by more than 6.5 points in their November 25th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
318.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.3139
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 25 2021
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
213.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.4682
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
NFL: Will the Buccaneers beat the Washington by more than 8.5 points in their November 14th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
571.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2189
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 14 2021
|
β
|
-125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.00
|
Trades
|
Kanye digital release of 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
629.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2151
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-135.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-135.37
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
1,115.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1858
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
-207.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-207.14
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
466.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4714
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-219.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-219.97
|
Trades
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-225.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-225.67
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,946.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.1018
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
-300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-300.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? |
Yes |
No |
1,208.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3103
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
β
|
-375.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-375.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1,828.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2188
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
β
|
-400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-400.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 24 2021
|
β
|
-441.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-441.22
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
-477.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-477.47
|
Trades
|
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 29 2021
|
β
|
-495.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-495.72
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4,828.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1036
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 27 2021
|
β
|
-1,026.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,026.44
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs |
Eagles |
Chiefs |
2,084.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 12 2023
|
β
|
-1,083.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,083.68
|
Trades
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? |
Yes |
No |
6,748.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2062
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-1,391.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,391.49
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
14,839.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14,839.41
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
1,250.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,250.92
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
16,090.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16,090.33
|
|