1678651226000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$355.00
|
500.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1666198130000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x7b53c487
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$252.10
|
734.70
|
0.3431
|
|
Tx
|
1666134588000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x7b53c487
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$250.00
|
734.71
|
0.3403
|
|
Tx
|
1664978573000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$392.72
|
573.75
|
0.6845
|
|
Tx
|
1664972747000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
446.62
|
0.6717
|
|
Tx
|
1664899805000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
717.67
|
0.4180
|
|
Tx
|
1664655638000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Republican |
🔵 |
$371.77
|
973.21
|
0.3820
|
|
Tx
|
1664568806000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$312.04
|
1,027.36
|
0.3037
|
|
Tx
|
1664472927000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Republican |
🔵 |
$368.47
|
1,000.00
|
0.3685
|
|
Tx
|
1664373781000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$400.00
|
632.01
|
0.6329
|
|
Tx
|
1664078770000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$254.88
|
1,000.00
|
0.2549
|
|
Tx
|
1663961713000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$1,000.00
|
2,573.22
|
0.3886
|
|
Tx
|
1663940968000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbe369052
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$400.00
|
872.55
|
0.4584
|
|
Tx
|
1663078065000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$620.53
|
686.34
|
0.9041
|
|
Tx
|
1662999391000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$322.77
|
922.88
|
0.3497
|
|
Tx
|
1662999357000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$322.77
|
500.00
|
0.6455
|
|
Tx
|
1662949646000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,116.20
|
1,463.58
|
0.7627
|
|
Tx
|
1662949582000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$388.42
|
1,116.20
|
0.3480
|
|
Tx
|
1662949542000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$388.42
|
600.00
|
0.6474
|
|
Tx
|
1662574088000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$360.85
|
537.94
|
0.6708
|
|
Tx
|
1662572174000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
425.10
|
0.7057
|
|
Tx
|
1661518598000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbc92e4ae
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$250.21
|
617.73
|
0.4050
|
|
Tx
|
1661457265000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$350.61
|
677.75
|
0.5173
|
|
Tx
|
1659742148000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbc92e4ae
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
617.74
|
0.4856
|
|
Tx
|
1659742128000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
677.75
|
0.4426
|
|
Tx
|
1659698519000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,000.00
|
1,870.03
|
0.5348
|
|
Tx
|
1659698495000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x76e456c9
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$300.00
|
452.65
|
0.6628
|
|
Tx
|
1659698463000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$500.00
|
840.11
|
0.5952
|
|
Tx
|
1659698423000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xd9479355
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$500.00
|
783.14
|
0.6385
|
|
Tx
|
1659415547000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,000.00
|
1,972.16
|
0.5071
|
|
Tx
|
1641415956000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x0a1cf8a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$284.80
|
398.92
|
0.7139
|
|
Tx
|
1640985298000
|
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xddb9bdf1
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$600.00
|
791.53
|
0.7580
|
|
Tx
|
1640976330000
|
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x45478ccf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
782.40
|
0.6391
|
|
Tx
|
1640830284000
|
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x50794a56
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
742.44
|
0.4041
|
|
Tx
|
1640209631000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$333.00
|
508.48
|
0.6549
|
|
Tx
|
1640116819000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
785.75
|
0.3818
|
|
Tx
|
1640026196000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
904.63
|
0.5527
|
|
Tx
|
1639930019000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
969.38
|
0.5158
|
|
Tx
|
1637442532000
|
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xcd05825a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
820.79
|
0.3655
|
|
Tx
|
1635900082000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbf59861d
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$314.64
|
1,005.82
|
0.3128
|
|
Tx
|
1635897072000
|
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x97bda488
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$520.96
|
2,226.56
|
0.2340
|
|
Tx
|
1635895690000
|
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x97bda488
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$737.47
|
2,038.65
|
0.3617
|
|
Tx
|
1635873066000
|
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x97bda488
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$535.63
|
1,032.44
|
0.5188
|
|
Tx
|
1635824403000
|
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x97bda488
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$850.78
|
1,720.26
|
0.4946
|
|
Tx
|
1635790226000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$850.78
|
6,708.13
|
0.1268
|
|
Tx
|
1635789916000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$681.04
|
2,219.88
|
0.3068
|
|
Tx
|
1635789742000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$681.04
|
1,018.95
|
0.6684
|
|
Tx
|
1635789424000
|
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x97bda488
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$658.70
|
1,305.50
|
0.5046
|
|
Tx
|
1635742435000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbf59861d
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$541.18
|
1,400.00
|
0.3866
|
|
Tx
|
1635362523000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$814.75
|
2,081.30
|
0.3915
|
|
Tx
|
1635308942000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$814.75
|
2,421.74
|
0.3364
|
|
Tx
|
1635308878000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbf59861d
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,594.94
|
2,405.82
|
0.6630
|
|
Tx
|
1635292720000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbf59861d
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$509.42
|
1,363.00
|
0.3738
|
|
Tx
|
1634848895000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
964.09
|
0.5186
|
|
Tx
|
1634760606000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbf59861d
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$352.65
|
1,000.00
|
0.3527
|
|
Tx
|
1634746162000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
1,977.57
|
0.5057
|
|
Tx
|
1634741939000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$827.87
|
2,000.00
|
0.4139
|
|
Tx
|
1634691851000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbf59861d
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
2,363.51
|
0.4231
|
|
Tx
|
1634686925000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$383.44
|
1,000.00
|
0.3834
|
|
Tx
|
1634676598000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
2,023.34
|
0.4942
|
|
Tx
|
1634675932000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x894ea4b7
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
841.25
|
0.3566
|
|
Tx
|
1634603653000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
2,293.64
|
0.4360
|
|
Tx
|
1634407756000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
1,194.16
|
0.4187
|
|
Tx
|
1634329336000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$483.93
|
2,566.00
|
0.1886
|
|
Tx
|
1634321682000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$528.33
|
2,000.00
|
0.2642
|
|
Tx
|
1634316570000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$398.85
|
1,500.00
|
0.2659
|
|
Tx
|
1634157950000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$400.00
|
1,427.16
|
0.2803
|
|
Tx
|
1634153878000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
965.18
|
0.3108
|
|
Tx
|
1634101160000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,500.00
|
4,865.56
|
0.3083
|
|
Tx
|
1634067837000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
1,061.48
|
0.2826
|
|
Tx
|
1634049532000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
2,740.29
|
0.3649
|
|
Tx
|
1634049380000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$500.00
|
1,387.48
|
0.3604
|
|
Tx
|
1633465608000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
852.31
|
0.5866
|
|
Tx
|
1633465508000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$989.52
|
2,012.21
|
0.4918
|
|
Tx
|
1633461923000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$400.00
|
714.23
|
0.5600
|
|
Tx
|
1633315065000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
1,053.73
|
0.4745
|
|
Tx
|
1633196066000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,500.00
|
2,584.72
|
0.5803
|
|
Tx
|
1633154111000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
2,024.21
|
0.4940
|
|
Tx
|
1633104071000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
1,514.39
|
0.6603
|
|
Tx
|
1632945739000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,200.84
|
3,009.64
|
0.3990
|
|
Tx
|
1632934336000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
729.45
|
0.6854
|
|
Tx
|
1632871185000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
1,395.34
|
0.7167
|
|
Tx
|
1632869373000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,044.45
|
3,000.00
|
0.3481
|
|
Tx
|
1632796584000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,039.30
|
3,013.06
|
0.3449
|
|
Tx
|
1632771800000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,009.14
|
3,000.00
|
0.3364
|
|
Tx
|
1632721814000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,093.26
|
3,000.00
|
0.3644
|
|
Tx
|
1632424608000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$446.37
|
1,000.00
|
0.4464
|
|
Tx
|
1632424163000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$451.65
|
1,000.00
|
0.4517
|
|
Tx
|
1632321656000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$334.10
|
546.25
|
0.6116
|
|
Tx
|
1632237033000
|
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xe06e9264
|
Buy |
SC |
|
$276.70
|
654.86
|
0.4225
|
|
Tx
|
1632118627000
|
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xe06e9264
|
Buy |
WI |
|
$334.15
|
861.59
|
0.3878
|
|
Tx
|
1632113766000
|
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xe06e9264
|
Buy |
WI |
|
$251.94
|
673.87
|
0.3739
|
|
Tx
|
1632030077000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$354.04
|
667.12
|
0.5307
|
|
Tx
|
1631816631000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$382.09
|
1,000.00
|
0.3821
|
|
Tx
|
1631572960000
|
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x69295bc6
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$535.00
|
656.65
|
0.8147
|
|
Tx
|
1631472183000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$600.00
|
1,008.34
|
0.5950
|
|
Tx
|
1631470489000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$265.97
|
452.80
|
0.5874
|
|
Tx
|
1631365826000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
1,649.51
|
0.6062
|
|
Tx
|
1631333655000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
1,710.41
|
0.5847
|
|
Tx
|
1631323499000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
1,804.24
|
0.5543
|
|
Tx
|