Account
0x267bba261832753f338c20091d027b4bb307d3e2 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 29.99 | 0.00% | 0.5300 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 2.16 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -15.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.74 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 1,962.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,962.15 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 13.64 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -77.9408 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.64 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | ✅ | 1,063.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,076.94 | Trades | |
| Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 968.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 968.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 652.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.3586 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 652.58 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 233.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 886.57 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 874.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 874.01 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 737.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 737.44 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 989.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4041 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 989.93 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 589.93 | Trades | |
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 460.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 460.66 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.06 | 0.00% | -147.6844 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 02 2022 | ✅ | 451.93 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 452.50 | Trades | |
| Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 30 2022 | ✅ | 422.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 422.79 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 945.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6346 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 945.42 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 345.42 | Trades | |
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | 314.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 314.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | ✅ | 283.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 283.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? | Yes | No | 5.83 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -44.5350 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 02 2022 | ✅ | 259.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 259.63 | Trades | |
| Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 227.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 227.75 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 925.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7563 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 925.54 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 225.54 | Trades | |
| Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 139.67 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 140.51 | Trades | ||
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | ✅ | 127.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 127.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 115.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 91.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | ✅ | 78.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 4.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -15.0670 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | ✅ | 66.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.75 | Trades | |
| Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 04 2023 | ✅ | 66.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.58 | Trades | ||
| Will “meta” be included in Facebook’s new name? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | 47.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.03 | Trades | ||
| Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 45.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.86 | Trades | ||
| Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 0.00 | 0.35 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 44.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.11 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? | Yes | No | 249.77 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8593 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 249.77 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 14 2022 | ✅ | -214.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.15 | Trades | |
| Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | ✅ | 33.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.59 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 22.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.15 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | 21.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | 12.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.87 | Trades | ||
| Will Vitalik Buterin have a CryptoPunk Twitter profile picture before September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 237.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0084 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 93.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0533 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? | Yes | No | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 4.7141 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | ✅ | -6.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.66 | Trades | |
| What rating will theneedledrop give Drake’s "Certified Lover Boy"? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -9.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.62 | Trades | |||
| Will Joe Biden’s disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 378.99 | 0.00% | 0.0264 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | -10.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.51 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -11.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.03 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -12.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 81.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2456 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? | Less than 20m 20-30m More than 30m |
0.00 168.97 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -40.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.83 | 0.00% | 17.8338 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | ✅ | -50.47 | 8.45 | 0.01 | -42.01 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 221.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2255 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -67.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.83 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -70.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -70.66 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 992.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0807 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -80.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.05 | Trades | |
| Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? | Venom 2 | No Time to Die | 0.00 | 336.23 | 0.00% | 0.2974 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 11 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 59 ETH on January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 231.02 | 0.00% | 0.4329 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 12.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 8.4105 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | ✅ | -103.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -103.93 | Trades | |
| Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 07 2021 | ✅ | -117.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -117.77 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | ✅ | -153.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -153.90 | Trades | ||
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? | Yes | No | 295.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6686 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 10 2022 | ✅ | -197.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -197.90 | Trades | |
| Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 327.56 | 0.00% | 0.6106 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | -211.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -211.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | -226.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -226.54 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 382.16 | 0.00% | 0.6047 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -231.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -231.08 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 1,190.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2668 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | ✅ | -317.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -317.50 | Trades | |
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 508.48 | 0.00% | 0.6549 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -333.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -333.00 | Trades | |
| Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 986.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3548 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | -350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -350.00 | Trades | |
| Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -388.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -388.41 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14? | Yes | No | 1,117.88 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3668 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 19 2021 | ✅ | -410.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -410.00 | Trades | |
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 656.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8147 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | ✅ | -535.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -535.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -876.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -876.86 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | -1,000.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.16 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | -2,246.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,246.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -3,512.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,512.58 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 3,776.91 | 0.36 | -4,832.54 | 9.86 | 0.01 | -1,045.40 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 2.16 | -15.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.74 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 3,776.91 | 2.51 | -4,848.44 | 9.86 | 0.01 | -1,059.14 | ||||||||||||