1711118144000
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xb532895e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$30.58
|
278.00
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1711118144000
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$890.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1711118144000
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$79.42
|
722.00
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1710505740000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$415.00
|
500.00
|
0.8300
|
π |
Tx
|
1710505740000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$415.00
|
500.00
|
0.8300
|
π |
Tx
|
1709757536000
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$288.00
|
599.99
|
0.4800
|
π |
Tx
|
1709757536000
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$311.99
|
599.99
|
0.5200
|
π |
Tx
|
1709739764000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$187.50
|
250.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1709739764000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$187.50
|
250.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1709277200000
|
US/Iran declare war before March?
|
0x9c88c0ad
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$465.14
|
465.61
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1709277135000
|
US/Iran declare war before March?
|
0x9c88c0ad
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$533.86
|
534.39
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1709063063000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x24c8cf69
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.60
|
466.87
|
0.0120
|
π |
Tx
|
1709063063000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$678.90
|
687.26
|
0.9878
|
π |
Tx
|
1709043470000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$730.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1709043470000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x88caf892
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$270.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.2700
|
π |
Tx
|
1708650178000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xf7cbcd89
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$244.50
|
250.00
|
0.9780
|
π |
Tx
|
1708526881000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$481.00
|
650.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1708526881000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$481.00
|
650.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1708480860000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x37e486d7
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,526.17
|
1,575.00
|
0.9690
|
π |
Tx
|
1707742225000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xf4f3476b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$509.04
|
707.00
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1707742225000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$509.04
|
707.00
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1707320227000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$785.28
|
969.48
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707320227000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x8a16fc7f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$184.20
|
969.48
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707136148000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xc6e0d022
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$820.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706812204000
|
US/Iran declare war before March?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$30.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706812204000
|
US/Iran declare war before March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$970.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706797347000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$204.08
|
309.20
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706797347000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$151.30
|
445.00
|
0.3400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705962346000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$770.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1705962346000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x60073655
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$230.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.2300
|
π |
Tx
|
1705700509000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x5a181dcf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$119.99
|
705.81
|
0.1700
|
π |
Tx
|
1705700509000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x45cc7857
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$336.00
|
400.00
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705700509000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,087.82
|
1,305.81
|
0.8331
|
π |
Tx
|
1705615339000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0050
|
π |
Tx
|
1705615339000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$995.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1705611628000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$800.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705611628000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$64.60
|
323.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705611628000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$95.40
|
477.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705602703000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x850c68fd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$74.41
|
310.03
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705602703000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$543.42
|
715.03
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705410731000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$449.00
|
590.79
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705410388000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$148.60
|
571.52
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705410388000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$740.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705091426000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$709.20
|
985.00
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1705091426000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$709.20
|
985.00
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704995694000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$949.60
|
1,104.19
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704995694000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$70.00
|
500.00
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704995694000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$42.00
|
300.00
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704993426000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3,040.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704993426000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x27aed7b4
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$960.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704945664000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$520.52
|
676.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704945664000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$520.52
|
676.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704491379000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x899d495a
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$429.99
|
499.99
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704405800000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x0b42a7ed
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$292.28
|
339.86
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704220314000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$80.00
|
400.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1704220314000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$819.60
|
1,022.00
|
0.8020
|
π |
Tx
|
1702390228000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$195.00
|
250.00
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1702390228000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x27aed7b4
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$55.00
|
250.00
|
0.2200
|
π |
Tx
|
1702304053000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$403.65
|
425.00
|
0.9498
|
π |
Tx
|
1702304053000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x5f211a24
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$380.00
|
400.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1701859211000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x9a538593
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$411.92
|
484.61
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1701692801000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x5f211a24
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$360.00
|
400.00
|
0.9000
|
π |
Tx
|
1701285208000
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$980.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1701285208000
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xa2b57744
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
500.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1701285208000
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
500.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1701242027000
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting?
|
0x8356953c
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$245.00
|
250.00
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700731675000
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xe42af500
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$426.30
|
435.00
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700064778000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$177.33
|
611.47
|
0.2900
|
π |
Tx
|
1700064778000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$104.83
|
361.47
|
0.2900
|
π |
Tx
|
1700064778000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xe179320f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$72.50
|
250.00
|
0.2900
|
π |
Tx
|
1699965553000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$160.00
|
500.00
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1699965553000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xe179320f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$160.00
|
500.00
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1699544217000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$99.45
|
255.00
|
0.3900
|
π |
Tx
|
1699544217000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$155.55
|
255.00
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1699404424000
|
Will Ohioβs abortion referendum pass?
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
500.00
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1699391919000
|
Will Ohioβs abortion referendum pass?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$60.00
|
500.00
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1699391919000
|
Will Ohioβs abortion referendum pass?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$440.00
|
500.00
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698447234000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$11.65
|
291.20
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1698447234000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$11.65
|
291.20
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1698324520000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$76.72
|
274.00
|
0.2800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698324520000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x23849120
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$76.72
|
274.00
|
0.2800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698324516000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x5bbdda8c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$341.54
|
461.54
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1698324516000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$120.00
|
461.54
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1698244963000
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$266.12
|
286.15
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1698200743000
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker?
|
0xc0eea700
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$268.22
|
383.72
|
0.6990
|
π |
Tx
|
1698180015000
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$14.23
|
569.15
|
0.0250
|
π |
Tx
|
1698180015000
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$14.23
|
569.15
|
0.0250
|
π |
Tx
|
1698174246000
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$28.13
|
255.71
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1698166929000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.57
|
385.60
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1698166929000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.57
|
385.60
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1698160992000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$35.00
|
500.00
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1698160992000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$465.00
|
500.00
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1698159119000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0xc0eea700
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$62.79
|
627.88
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1698159119000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$62.79
|
627.88
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1698152037000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$60.00
|
272.73
|
0.2200
|
π |
Tx
|
1698152037000
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$212.73
|
272.73
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698089304000
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker?
|
0x79c57285
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$343.63
|
354.99
|
0.9680
|
π |
Tx
|
1698085992000
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$90.20
|
257.14
|
0.3508
|
π |
Tx
|
1697742910000
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$305.19
|
350.79
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1697742910000
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker?
|
0xe8e46bdb
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$305.19
|
350.79
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|