Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 3,999.87 0.00 0.00% 0.7354 0.79 0.21 3,177.40 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -2,941.56 0.00 0.00 235.84 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 5,500.35 0.00 0.00% 0.7907 0.83 0.17 4,548.16 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -4,349.17 0.00 0.00 198.99 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.01% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 156.08 0.00 0.00 156.08 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 93.23 0.00 0.00 93.23 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 117.55 0.00% 0.8600 0.05 0.95 0.00 111.25 Tue Sep 10 2024 -101.09 0.00 0.00 10.16 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 3.24 0.00 0.00 3.24 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -17.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 175.00 0.00% 0.9421 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -164.86 0.00 0.00 -164.86 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -622.16 0.16 0.00 -621.99 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -890.00 0.00 0.00 -890.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -1,620.00 0.00 0.00 -1,620.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 2,749.86 0.00% 0.7301 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,007.54 0.00 0.00 -2,007.54 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 4,882.75 0.00 0.00 4,882.75 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 4,611.19 0.00 0.00 4,611.19 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 4,469.51 0.00 0.00 4,469.51 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 4,397.29 0.00 0.00 4,397.29 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 4,184.59 0.00 0.00 4,184.59 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 4,090.42 0.00 0.00 4,090.42 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 3,325.93 0.00 0.00 3,325.93 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 6.07 0.00 0.00% -455.5736 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 2,764.23 0.00 0.00 2,764.23 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 2,471.08 0.00 0.00 2,471.08 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 2,340.93 0.00 0.00 2,340.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 2,054.33 0.00 0.00 2,054.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 2,040.00 0.00 0.00 2,040.00 Trades
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 1,969.04 0.00 0.00 1,969.04 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 1,946.13 0.00 0.00 1,946.13 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 1,832.44 0.00 0.00 1,832.44 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 1,830.96 0.00 0.00 1,830.96 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.82 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 1,787.68 0.00 0.00 1,787.68 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 1,375.44 0.00 0.00 1,375.44 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 1,319.20 0.00 0.00 1,319.21 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 1,849.58 0.00% 0.3588 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,849.58 Sun Dec 31 2023 -663.59 0.00 0.00 1,185.99 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 4.07 0.00 0.01% -283.7738 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 1,155.90 0.03 0.00 1,155.93 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 1,050.02 0.00 0.00 1,050.02 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.00 14.70 0.00% -71.2679 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 1,047.30 0.02 0.00 1,047.32 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 1,005.00 0.00 0.00 1,005.00 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 8.21 0.00% -114.9745 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 944.10 0.00 0.00 944.10 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 931.27 0.00 0.00 931.27 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 909.95 0.00 0.00 909.95 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 827.25 0.00 0.00 827.25 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 781.55 0.00 0.00 781.55 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 765.61 0.00 0.00 765.61 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 755.81 0.00 0.00 755.81 Trades
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 692.55 0.00 0.00 692.55 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 692.34 0.00 0.00 692.34 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 647.80 0.00 0.00 647.80 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,999.60 0.00% 0.8998 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,999.60 Sun Dec 31 2023 -5,398.16 0.00 0.00 601.44 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 556.50 0.00 0.00 556.50 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 551.70 0.00 0.00 551.70 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 520.19 0.00 0.00 520.19 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 10.21 0.00 0.03% -49.5070 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 505.67 0.00 0.00 505.67 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 483.00 0.00 0.00 483.00 Trades
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 465.21 0.60 0.00 465.81 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Oct 02 2023 452.57 0.00 0.00 452.58 Trades
Will OpenSea airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.05 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 433.26 0.00 0.00 433.26 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 424.69 0.00 0.00 424.69 Trades
Will the bill making Daylight Savings Time permanent be signed into law by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 422.25 0.00 0.00 422.25 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 4.49 0.00 0.02% -91.3524 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 410.40 0.00 0.00 410.40 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 8.20 0.00 0.00% -47.6569 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 390.78 0.00 0.00 390.79 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 352.25 0.00 0.00 352.25 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 1.48 0.00 0.00% -235.8062 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 349.40 0.00 0.00 349.40 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 7.67 0.00 0.00% -44.9388 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 344.85 0.09 0.00 344.94 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 341.86 0.00 0.00 341.86 Trades
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 328.40 0.00 0.00 328.40 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 6.95 0.00% -45.2916 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 314.69 0.00 0.00 314.69 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 305.21 0.00 0.00 305.21 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 290.38 0.00 0.00 290.38 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 289.38 0.00 0.00 289.39 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.92 0.00% -32.4400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 289.22 0.00 0.00 289.22 Trades
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 264.50 0.00 0.00 264.50 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 5.21 0.00 0.28% -49.7812 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 259.17 0.07 0.00 259.23 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 256.82 0.00 0.00 256.82 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 4.14 0.00% -55.6067 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 230.22 0.03 0.00 230.24 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 223.79 0.00 0.00 223.79 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 221.05 0.00 0.00 221.05 Trades
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 218.96 0.00 0.00 218.96 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 4.26 0.00 0.00% -51.1801 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 217.93 0.00 0.00 217.93 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1.41 0.00 0.00% -151.9966 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 214.20 0.01 0.00 214.21 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 4.07 0.00 0.01% -52.2654 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 212.96 0.01 0.00 212.98 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.09 0.00% -25.2944 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 204.63 0.00 0.00 204.63 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 202.41 0.00 0.00 202.41 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 3.47 0.00 0.00% -56.6974 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 196.91 0.00 0.00 196.91 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 182.88 0.00 0.00 182.88 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 181.88 0.00 0.00 181.88 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.07 0.00 14.29% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 181.72 0.00 0.00 181.72 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 3,000.00 0.00% 0.9410 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,000.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,823.00 0.00 0.00 177.00 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 176.27 0.00 0.00 176.27 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 170.09 0.00 0.00 170.09 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 7.14% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 168.37 0.00 0.00 168.37 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 167.72 0.00 0.00 167.72 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 17.45 0.00 0.00% -9.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 167.52 0.00 0.00 167.52 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 162.56 0.00 0.00 162.56 Trades
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 773.70 0.00% 0.7905 0.00 1.00 0.00 773.70 Sat Dec 30 2023 -611.58 0.00 0.00 162.12 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 155.66 0.00 0.00 155.66 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 153.73 0.00 0.00 153.73 Trades
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 153.36 0.00 0.00 153.36 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 6.54 0.00 0.00% -21.8840 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 143.15 0.00 0.00 143.15 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 2.40 0.00% -56.8753 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 136.47 1.61 0.00 138.08 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 133.86 0.00 0.00 133.86 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 128.00 0.00 0.00 128.00 Trades
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 126.25 0.00 0.00 126.25 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 118.27 0.00 0.00 118.27 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 116.36 0.00 0.00 116.36 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 4.70 0.00 0.00% -24.5076 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 115.07 0.00 0.00 115.07 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 7.88 0.00 0.00% -14.5774 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 114.90 0.00 0.00 114.90 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 106.12 0.00 0.00 106.12 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 104.77 0.00 0.00 104.77 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 98.46 0.00 0.00 98.46 Trades
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? Yes No 0.00 3,142.69 0.00% 0.9688 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,142.69 Fri Jun 30 2023 -3,044.58 0.00 0.00 98.11 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 96.00 0.00 0.00 96.00 Trades
Will George Santos resign by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 91.30 0.00 0.00 91.30 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.00% -43.9877 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 88.85 0.00 0.00 88.85 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 86.95 0.00 0.00 86.95 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.22 0.00% -20.4339 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 86.23 0.00 0.01 86.24 Trades
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.71 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 85.45 0.00 0.00 85.45 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 78.35 0.00 0.00 78.36 Trades
Will Brittney Griner play in her next scheduled game? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 76.63 0.00 0.00 76.63 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.34 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 74.15 0.00 0.00 74.15 Trades
Will President Biden mention SWIFT in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 73.97 0.00 0.00 73.97 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 8.22 0.00 0.00% -8.8964 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 73.13 0.00 0.00 73.13 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.69 0.00% -8.2880 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 72.00 0.00 0.00 72.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 72.00 0.00 0.00 72.00 Trades
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 6.20 0.00 0.01% -11.5494 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 71.56 0.01 0.00 71.57 Trades
Will Brian Kemp win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 69.64 0.00 0.00 69.64 Trades
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 66.25 0.00 0.00 66.25 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 63.13 0.00 0.00 63.13 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 59.96 0.00 0.00 59.96 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Jun 30 2023 59.79 0.00 0.00 59.80 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 1.39 0.00 0.00% -41.2097 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 57.22 0.02 0.00 57.24 Trades
Will Barbara Lee replace Feinstein? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 55.55 0.00 0.00 55.55 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.37 0.00% -6.6103 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 55.33 0.00 0.00 55.33 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 54.65 0.00 0.00 54.65 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 1,655.36 0.00% 0.9681 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,655.36 Fri Apr 07 2023 -1,602.53 0.00 0.00 52.83 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 52.46 0.00 0.00 52.46 Trades
Will Leondra Kruger be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 52.43 0.00 0.00 52.43 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 52.37 0.00 0.00 52.37 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk tweet “Doge” or “Dogecoin” before March 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 49.82 0.09 0.00 49.91 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 21.41 0.00% -2.2322 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 05 2023 47.80 0.00 0.00 47.80 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 47.42 0.00 0.00 47.42 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 734.45 0.00% 0.9358 0.00 1.00 0.00 734.45 Wed Mar 22 2023 -687.30 0.00 0.00 47.15 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.8875 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -355.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 5.43 0.00 0.00% -8.1013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 44.00 0.00 0.00 44.01 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 7.85 0.00% -5.2480 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 41.19 0.00 0.00 41.20 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 39.99 0.00 0.00 39.99 Trades
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? Rams Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 39.40 0.00 0.00 39.40 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 8.57 0.00 0.00% -4.3891 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 37.63 0.00 0.00 37.63 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 36.80 0.00 0.00 36.80 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 36.16 0.00 0.00 36.16 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 36.00 0.00 0.00 36.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 874.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9596 1.00 0.00 874.93 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -839.56 0.00 0.00 35.37 Trades
Will Ethereum's price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in April 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 35.19 0.00 0.00 35.19 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 35.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 Trades
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 34.85 0.00 0.00 34.85 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 32.88 0.00 0.00 32.88 Trades
Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 32.09 0.00 0.00 32.09 Trades
Will David McCormick win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 30.93 0.00 0.00 30.93 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 30.53 0.00 0.00 30.53 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.00% -4.4268 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 29.39 0.00 0.00 29.39 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 29.28 0.00 0.00 29.28 Trades
US/Iran declare war before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 29.00 0.00 0.00 29.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 28.50 0.00 0.00 28.50 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 6.76 0.00 0.00% -4.1718 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 28.20 0.00 0.00 28.20 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 5.47 0.00 0.38% -4.8972 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 26.80 0.00 0.00 26.80 Trades
Will Eric Greitens win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 26.80 0.00 0.00 26.80 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? Yes No 0.00 107.32 0.00% 0.7547 0.00 1.00 0.00 107.32 Fri Apr 07 2023 -81.00 0.00 0.00 26.32 Trades
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 21.91 0.00 0.00 21.91 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic advance to semifinals in the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 28 2022 20.68 0.00 0.00 20.68 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 10.95 0.00 0.00% -1.7692 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 19.36 0.77 0.00 20.14 Trades
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -980.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? Yes No 995.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 995.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 -975.10 0.00 0.00 19.90 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 26 2022 19.53 0.00 0.00 19.53 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 6.47 0.00 0.03% -2.9217 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 18.89 0.00 0.00 18.90 Trades
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 17.62 0.00 0.00 17.62 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 17.25 0.00 0.00 17.25 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 16.82 0.00 0.00 16.83 Trades
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first? Artemis Starship 0.00 7.10 0.00% -2.3361 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 16.59 0.00 0.00 16.59 Trades
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 10 2023 16.50 0.00 0.00 16.50 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 15.79 0.00 0.00 15.79 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 15.08 0.00 0.00 15.08 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 14.91 0.00 0.00 14.91 Trades
Alien contact in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 14.85 0.00 0.00 14.86 Trades
Will Osmosis suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 13.68 0.00 0.00 13.68 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 13.15 0.00 0.00 13.15 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 12.63 0.00 0.00 12.63 Trades
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 07 2023 11.96 0.00 0.00 11.96 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 11.76 0.00 0.00 11.76 Trades
Will J. Michelle Childs be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 11.70 0.00 0.00 11.70 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 11.37 0.00 0.00 11.37 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 10.74 0.00 0.00 10.74 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 -490.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 9.42 0.00 0.00 9.42 Trades
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 9.08 0.00 0.00 9.08 Trades
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August? Yes No 0.00 9.56 0.00% -0.8965 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 8.57 0.00 0.00 8.57 Trades
Will Sherrilyn Ifill be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 8.41 0.00 0.00 8.41 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.19 0.00 0.00% -1.3548 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 8.38 0.00 0.00 8.38 Trades
Will David Perdue win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 8.37 0.00 0.00 8.37 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 0.00 68.44 0.00% 0.8865 0.00 1.00 0.00 68.44 Tue Jun 27 2023 -60.67 0.00 0.00 7.77 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by July 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 7.60 0.00 0.00 7.60 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Tue May 02 2023 -242.50 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.76% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 7.31 0.00 0.00 7.31 Trades
Will Sean Patrick Maloney be the next Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 85.00 0.00% 0.9190 0.00 1.00 0.00 85.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 -78.11 0.00 0.00 6.89 Trades
Will Andy Levin be the next Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 75.00 0.00% 0.9118 0.00 1.00 0.00 75.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 -68.39 0.00 0.00 6.61 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 6.44 0.00 0.00 6.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 6.12 0.00 0.00 6.12 Trades
Will OpenSea announce a token by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 5.85 0.00 0.00 5.85 Trades
Will Tim Ryan be the next Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 5.79 0.00 0.00 5.79 Trades
Will SVB fail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 5.60 0.00 0.00 5.60 Trades
What will the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) be on March 1st, 2022? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.58 0.42 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 5.01 0.00 0.00 5.01 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 7.39 0.00% -0.6703 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 4.95 0.00 0.00 4.96 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 8.02 0.00 0.00% -0.5846 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 4.69 0.00 0.00 4.69 Trades
Will President Biden mention Cryptocurrency in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 4.18 0.00 0.00 4.18 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 4.16 0.00 0.00 4.16 Trades
Will Nifty Gateway airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 4.12 0.00 0.00 4.12 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? Yes No 0.00 191.52 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 191.52 Fri Jun 30 2023 -187.69 0.00 0.00 3.83 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 3.38 0.38 0.00 3.77 Trades
NBA: Who will win Clippers vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 15 (10 PM ET)? Clippers Pelicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 3.48 0.00 0.00 3.48 Trades
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 2.90 0.00 0.00 2.90 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 2.76 0.00 0.00 2.76 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 2.45 0.00 0.00 2.45 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? Token Public 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 2.34 0.00 0.00 2.35 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 2.24 0.00 0.00 2.24 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 2.20 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 2.13 0.00 0.00 2.13 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 1.99 0.00 0.00 1.99 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 1.93 0.00 0.00 1.93 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 1.84 0.00 0.00 1.84 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 1.80 0.00 0.00 1.80 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 1.68 0.00 0.00 1.68 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 6.65 0.00 0.00% -0.2498 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 1.66 0.00 0.00 1.66 Trades
Will Holly Mitchell replace Feinstein? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 -13.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 1.36 0.00 0.00 1.36 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 1.30 0.00 0.00 1.30 Trades
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 1.09 0.00 0.00 1.09 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 16.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9344 1.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -14.95 0.00 0.00 1.05 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 French Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.97 Trades
Will Royal airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.94 Trades
Will Known Origin airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
Will RabbitHole airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.89 0.00 0.00 0.89 Trades
Will Zora airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.87 0.00 0.00 0.87 Trades
Will Foundation airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.86 Trades
Will Hop Protocol airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Will Showtime airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
Will Cozy Finance airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
Will Zerion airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.76 Trades
Will Fractional airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.71 Trades
Will Opyn airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.68 Trades
Will Rainbow airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.67 Trades
Will Zapper airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.58 Trades
Will Phantom airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.55 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.47 Trades
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.42 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? Yes No 0.00 41.74 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.74 Thu Apr 27 2023 -41.32 0.00 0.00 0.42 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.37 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 5.31 0.00% 0.9425 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.31 Wed Mar 01 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 5.30 0.00 0.00% 0.9437 1.00 0.00 5.30 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 05 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.29 Trades
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.95 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 -0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.98 Trades
Will Terra USD (UST) fall below 50 cents by July 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -1.36 0.00 0.00 -1.36 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -1.56 0.00 0.00 -1.56 Trades
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -1.60 0.00 0.00 -1.60 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3.20 0.00 0.00% 6.6216 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -21.17 19.27 0.00 -1.90 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 -1.91 0.00 0.00 -1.91 Trades
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 -1.99 0.00 0.00 -1.99 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 -2.73 0.00 0.00 -2.73 Trades
Will Ronna McDaniel be reelected as RNC Chair? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 -2.75 0.00 0.00 -2.75 Trades
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 30 ETH or more on May 15, 2022? Yes No 9.56 0.00 0.00% 0.3831 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 15 2022 -3.66 0.63 0.00 -3.04 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -3.40 0.00 0.00 -3.40 Trades
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 -4.66 0.00 0.00 -4.66 Trades
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? Yes No 0.00 4.50 0.00% 1.0538 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -4.74 0.00 0.00 -4.74 Trades
Will President Biden mention "anti-vaxxers" in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 -4.78 0.00 0.00 -4.78 Trades
Will Vicky Hartzler win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 -5.39 0.00 0.00 -5.39 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -5.44 0.00 0.00 -5.44 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 -6.82 0.00 0.00 -6.82 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -6.84 0.00 0.00 -6.84 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -7.16 0.00 0.00 -7.16 Trades
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 -7.47 0.00 0.00 -7.47 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 9.09 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 -8.09 0.00 0.00 -8.09 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -9.11 0.00 0.00 -9.11 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 26 2022 -9.80 0.00 0.00 -9.80 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 03 2023 -9.86 0.00 0.00 -9.86 Trades
PA-07 House: Will a Democrat (Wild) or Republican (Scheller) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 18.22 0.00% 0.5490 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 -10.54 0.00 0.00 -10.54 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 -11.69 0.00 0.00 -11.69 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -11.94 0.00 0.00 -11.94 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 -12.65 0.00 0.00 -12.65 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on May 25? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 25 2022 -14.26 0.00 0.00 -14.26 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 -14.87 0.00 0.00 -14.87 Trades
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -15.57 0.00 0.00 -15.57 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -15.60 0.00 0.00 -15.59 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 -18.71 0.00 0.00 -18.71 Trades
Will @jordanbpeterson tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -19.28 0.00 0.00 -19.28 Trades
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 3.52 0.00% 7.6191 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -26.82 5.86 0.00 -20.95 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 -21.47 0.00 0.00 -21.47 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 13.01 0.00 0.00% 1.7055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -22.19 0.00 0.00 -22.19 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -22.54 0.00 0.00 -22.54 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -22.88 0.00 0.00 -22.88 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 -23.74 0.00 0.00 -23.74 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -23.84 0.00 0.00 -23.84 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 -24.60 0.00 0.00 -24.60 Trades
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.20 0.80 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -26.63 0.00 0.00 -26.63 Trades
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 6.03 0.00% 5.5842 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.03 Tue May 03 2022 -33.69 0.00 0.00 -27.66 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 -32.76 0.00 0.00 -32.76 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 -33.41 0.00 0.00 -33.41 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -35.00 0.00 0.00 -35.00 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 -35.75 0.00 0.00 -35.75 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 -46.63 8.42 0.00 -38.22 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -39.50 0.00 0.00 -39.50 Trades
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? Yes No 0.37 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 -43.51 0.00 0.00 -43.51 Trades
Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 22 2022 -43.64 0.00 0.00 -43.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 3.07 0.00% 14.7877 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 -45.33 0.00 0.00 -45.33 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 1,899.27 0.00% 1.0245 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,899.27 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,945.79 0.00 0.00 -46.52 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -52.34 0.00 0.00 -52.34 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -52.90 0.00 0.00 -52.89 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -54.59 0.00 0.00 -54.59 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 -56.60 0.00 0.00 -56.60 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -61.50 0.00 0.00 -61.50 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -62.05 0.00 0.00 -62.05 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -75.47 0.00 0.00 -75.47 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 -78.77 0.00 0.00 -78.77 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 -92.50 0.00 0.00 -92.50 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 -93.53 0.00 0.00 -93.53 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 -94.74 0.00 0.00 -94.74 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -95.66 0.00 0.00 -95.66 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -98.52 0.00 0.00 -98.52 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -110.43 0.00 0.00 -110.43 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 749.99 0.00% 1.1480 0.00 1.00 0.00 749.99 Wed Mar 22 2023 -860.99 0.00 0.00 -111.00 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 5.91 0.00% 20.2229 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 -119.53 0.09 0.00 -119.44 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -145.29 0.00 0.00 -145.29 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -145.43 0.00 0.00 -145.43 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -146.69 0.00 0.00 -146.69 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 -155.03 0.00 0.00 -155.03 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 -155.29 0.00 0.00 -155.29 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 -158.43 0.00 0.00 -158.43 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -161.39 0.00 0.00 -161.39 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 3.15 0.00% 60.4200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 -190.10 10.05 0.00 -180.05 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.01% 27.7073 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 -183.89 0.01 0.00 -183.87 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 2.63 0.00% 75.2712 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 -197.96 0.00 0.00 -197.96 Trades
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 15 2023 -233.24 0.00 0.00 -233.24 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 0.00 10.81 0.00% 25.6911 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -277.64 0.00 0.00 -277.64 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 -287.59 0.00 0.00 -287.59 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -305.39 0.00 0.00 -305.39 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 7.42 0.00% 42.7930 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -317.37 0.00 0.00 -317.37 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 -323.94 0.00 0.00 -323.94 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.61 0.00 0.00% 30.6040 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -324.65 0.00 0.01 -324.65 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 350.00 0.00% 0.9619 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -336.66 0.00 0.00 -336.66 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 17 2023 -352.90 0.00 0.00 -352.90 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 -357.35 0.00 0.00 -357.35 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 -383.85 0.00 0.00 -383.85 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 1,100.17 0.00 0.00% 0.3661 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 -402.80 0.00 0.00 -402.80 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.00 1.64 0.00% 265.9363 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -435.32 0.00 0.00 -435.32 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -499.14 0.00 0.00 -499.14 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -661.96 0.00 0.00 -661.96 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.39 0.00% 163.7206 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -718.13 0.00 0.00 -718.13 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 1,104.19 0.00% 0.8600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -949.60 0.00 0.00 -949.60 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,705.66 0.00% 0.5912 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -1,008.36 0.00 0.00 -1,008.36 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 9.98 0.00% 102.9319 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -1,027.38 0.00 0.00 -1,027.37 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.74 0.00% 326.1242 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -1,218.43 0.00 0.00 -1,218.42 Trades
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 -2,416.37 0.00 0.00 -2,416.37 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,098.63 0.00% 0.6981 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -2,861.45 0.00 0.00 -2,861.45 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 -5,227.34 0.00 0.00 -5,227.34 Trades
Resolved 1,891.28 22,550.05 37,665.67 48.10 0.06 62,155.16
Unresolved 7,725.56 111.26 -12,460.83 0.16 0.00 -4,623.85
Total 9,616.84 22,661.31 25,204.83 48.26 0.06 57,531.31