Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
3,999.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7354
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
3,177.40
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2,941.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
235.84
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
5,500.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7907
|
|
0.83 |
0.17 |
4,548.16
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-4,349.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
198.99
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
156.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.08
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
93.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.23
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
117.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
111.25
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-101.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.16
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
3.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.24
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.00
|
Trades
|
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
175.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9421
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-164.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-164.86
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-622.16
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
-621.99
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-890.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-890.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-1,620.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,620.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,749.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.7301
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2,007.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,007.54
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
4,882.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,882.75
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
✅ |
4,611.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,611.19
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 02 2023
|
✅ |
4,469.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,469.51
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
4,397.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,397.29
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
✅ |
4,184.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,184.59
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
4,090.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,090.42
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
3,325.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,325.93
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-455.5736
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
2,764.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,764.23
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
2,471.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,471.08
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
2,340.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,340.93
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
✅ |
2,054.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,054.33
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
2,040.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,040.00
|
Trades
|
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
1,969.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,969.04
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
1,946.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,946.13
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 08 2022
|
✅ |
1,832.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,832.44
|
Trades
|
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
✅ |
1,830.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,830.96
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.82
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
1,787.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,787.68
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
✅ |
1,375.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,375.44
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
1,319.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,319.21
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,849.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.3588
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,849.58
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-663.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,185.99
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
4.07
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-283.7738
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
1,155.90
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
1,155.93
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1,050.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,050.02
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.70
|
0.00% |
|
-71.2679
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
1,047.30
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
1,047.32
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
1,005.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,005.00
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.21
|
0.00% |
|
-114.9745
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
944.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
944.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
931.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
931.27
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
✅ |
909.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
909.95
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
827.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
827.25
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
781.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
781.55
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
765.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
765.61
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
✅ |
755.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
755.81
|
Trades
|
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
692.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
692.55
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
692.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
692.34
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
647.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
647.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,999.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.8998
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,999.60
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5,398.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
601.44
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
556.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
556.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
551.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
551.70
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 20 2022
|
✅ |
520.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
520.19
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
10.21
|
0.00
|
0.03% |
-49.5070
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
505.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
505.67
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
483.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
483.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
✅ |
465.21
|
0.60
|
0.00
|
465.81
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
452.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
452.58
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
433.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
433.26
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
424.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
424.69
|
Trades
|
Will the bill making Daylight Savings Time permanent be signed into law by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
✅ |
422.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
422.25
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.49
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-91.3524
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
410.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
410.40
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-47.6569
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
390.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
390.79
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
352.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
352.25
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
1.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-235.8062
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
349.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
349.40
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-44.9388
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
344.85
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
344.94
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
341.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
341.86
|
Trades
|
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
328.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
328.40
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.95
|
0.00% |
|
-45.2916
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
314.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
314.69
|
Trades
|
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 24 2022
|
✅ |
305.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
305.21
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
290.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
290.38
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
289.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
289.39
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.92
|
0.00% |
|
-32.4400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
289.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
289.22
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
264.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
264.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.21
|
0.00
|
0.28% |
-49.7812
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
259.17
|
0.07
|
0.00
|
259.23
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
256.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
256.82
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.14
|
0.00% |
|
-55.6067
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
230.22
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
230.24
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
223.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
223.79
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
221.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
221.05
|
Trades
|
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
218.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
218.96
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
4.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-51.1801
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
217.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
217.93
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-151.9966
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
214.20
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
214.21
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.07
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-52.2654
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
212.96
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
212.98
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.09
|
0.00% |
|
-25.2944
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
204.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
204.63
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.09% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
202.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
202.41
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
3.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-56.6974
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
196.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
196.91
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
✅ |
182.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
182.88
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
✅ |
181.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
181.88
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.07
|
0.00
|
14.29% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
181.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
181.72
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9410
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,000.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2,823.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
177.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
176.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
176.27
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
✅ |
170.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
170.09
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.14% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
✅ |
168.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
168.37
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
167.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
167.72
|
Trades
|
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? |
Yes |
No |
17.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-9.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
✅ |
167.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
167.52
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
162.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
162.56
|
Trades
|
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
773.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7905
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
773.70
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-611.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
162.12
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
155.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
155.66
|
Trades
|
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
✅ |
153.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.73
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
153.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.36
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-21.8840
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
143.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
143.15
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.40
|
0.00% |
|
-56.8753
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
✅ |
136.47
|
1.61
|
0.00
|
138.08
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
✅ |
133.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
133.86
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
128.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
128.00
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
126.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.25
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
118.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.27
|
Trades
|
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
116.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.36
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
4.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-24.5076
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
115.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.07
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-14.5774
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
114.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.90
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
✅ |
106.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.12
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
✅ |
104.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
104.77
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
98.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
98.46
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,142.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.9688
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,142.69
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3,044.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
98.11
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
✅ |
96.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.00
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos resign by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
91.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
91.30
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.02
|
0.00% |
|
-43.9877
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
88.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.85
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
86.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
86.95
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.22
|
0.00% |
|
-20.4339
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
86.23
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
86.24
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
85.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.45
|
Trades
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
78.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.36
|
Trades
|
Will Brittney Griner play in her next scheduled game? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 06 2022
|
✅ |
76.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.63
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
74.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.15
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden mention SWIFT in the 2022 State of the Union Address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
73.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.97
|
Trades
|
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-8.8964
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
73.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.13
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.69
|
0.00% |
|
-8.2880
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
✅ |
72.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
72.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
Yes |
No |
6.20
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-11.5494
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
✅ |
71.56
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
71.57
|
Trades
|
Will Brian Kemp win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
✅ |
69.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.64
|
Trades
|
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
66.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.25
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
63.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.13
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
59.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.96
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
59.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.80
|
Trades
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? |
Yes |
No |
1.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-41.2097
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
57.22
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
57.24
|
Trades
|
Will Barbara Lee replace Feinstein? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 04 2024
|
✅ |
55.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.55
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.37
|
0.00% |
|
-6.6103
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
55.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.33
|
Trades
|
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
54.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.65
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,655.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.9681
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,655.36
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
-1,602.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.83
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
52.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.46
|
Trades
|
Will Leondra Kruger be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
52.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.43
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
52.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.37
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk tweet “Doge” or “Dogecoin” before March 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 18 2022
|
✅ |
49.82
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
49.91
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.41
|
0.00% |
|
-2.2322
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
✅ |
47.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
47.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.42
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
734.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.9358
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
734.45
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-687.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.15
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8875
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-355.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-8.1013
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.01
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.85
|
0.00% |
|
-5.2480
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
41.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.20
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
39.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.99
|
Trades
|
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? |
Rams |
Bengals |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 13 2022
|
✅ |
39.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.40
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.3891
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
37.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.63
|
Trades
|
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
36.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.80
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
36.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.16
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
36.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
874.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9596
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
874.93
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-839.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.37
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum's price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in April 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
✅ |
35.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.19
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 24 2022
|
✅ |
34.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.85
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
32.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.88
|
Trades
|
Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
32.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.09
|
Trades
|
Will David McCormick win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
✅ |
30.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.93
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
30.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.53
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.4268
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
29.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.39
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
29.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.28
|
Trades
|
US/Iran declare war before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
29.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
28.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.50
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
6.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.1718
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
28.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.20
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.47
|
0.00
|
0.38% |
-4.8972
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
26.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.80
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Greitens win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
26.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
107.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.7547
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
107.32
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
-81.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.32
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
21.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.91
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic advance to semifinals in the 2022 Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 28 2022
|
✅ |
20.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.68
|
Trades
|
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
Yes |
No |
10.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.7692
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 18 2022
|
✅ |
19.36
|
0.77
|
0.00
|
20.14
|
Trades
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-980.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? |
Yes |
No |
995.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
995.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
✅ |
-975.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.90
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 26 2022
|
✅ |
19.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.53
|
Trades
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.47
|
0.00
|
0.03% |
-2.9217
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
18.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.90
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 13 2022
|
✅ |
17.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.62
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
17.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.25
|
Trades
|
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 02 2022
|
✅ |
16.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.83
|
Trades
|
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first? |
Artemis |
Starship |
0.00
|
7.10
|
0.00% |
|
-2.3361
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
16.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.59
|
Trades
|
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 10 2023
|
✅ |
16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.50
|
Trades
|
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? |
Cisneros |
Cuellar |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
✅ |
15.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.79
|
Trades
|
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
✅ |
15.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.08
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
14.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.91
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
14.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.86
|
Trades
|
Will Osmosis suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
13.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.68
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
13.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.15
|
Trades
|
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
✅ |
12.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.63
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 07 2023
|
✅ |
11.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.96
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
11.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.76
|
Trades
|
Will J. Michelle Childs be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
11.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.70
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 20 2022
|
✅ |
11.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.37
|
Trades
|
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 27 2022
|
✅ |
10.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.74
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
500.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
✅ |
-490.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
✅ |
9.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.42
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
9.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.08
|
Trades
|
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.56
|
0.00% |
|
-0.8965
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
8.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.57
|
Trades
|
Will Sherrilyn Ifill be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
8.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.41
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.3548
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
8.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.38
|
Trades
|
Will David Perdue win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
✅ |
8.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.37
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
68.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.8865
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
68.44
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
✅ |
-60.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.77
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by July 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
7.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
250.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
-242.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.76% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
7.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.31
|
Trades
|
Will Sean Patrick Maloney be the next Secretary of Labor? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9190
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
85.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-78.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.89
|
Trades
|
Will Andy Levin be the next Secretary of Labor? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9118
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
75.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-68.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.61
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
6.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.44
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
6.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.12
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce a token by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
5.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.85
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Ryan be the next Secretary of Labor? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
5.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.79
|
Trades
|
Will SVB fail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
5.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.60
|
Trades
|
What will the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) be on March 1st, 2022? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.58 |
0.42 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
5.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.01
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.39
|
0.00% |
|
-0.6703
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
4.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.96
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5846
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
4.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.69
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden mention Cryptocurrency in the 2022 State of the Union Address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
4.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.18
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
4.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.16
|
Trades
|
Will Nifty Gateway airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
4.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.12
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
191.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
191.52
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-187.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.83
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
3.38
|
0.38
|
0.00
|
3.77
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win Clippers vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 15 (10 PM ET)? |
Clippers |
Pelicans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 15 2022
|
✅ |
3.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.48
|
Trades
|
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
2.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.90
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
2.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.76
|
Trades
|
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
2.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.45
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? |
Token |
Public |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
2.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.35
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
2.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.24
|
Trades
|
Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.20
|
Trades
|
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
2.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.13
|
Trades
|
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.99
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
1.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.93
|
Trades
|
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.84
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.80
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.68
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2498
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
1.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.66
|
Trades
|
Will Holly Mitchell replace Feinstein? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Mon Nov 04 2024
|
✅ |
-13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
1.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.36
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
1.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.09
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9344
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
16.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 French Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 05 2022
|
✅ |
0.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.97
|
Trades
|
Will Royal airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.94
|
Trades
|
Will Known Origin airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Will RabbitHole airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.89
|
Trades
|
Will Zora airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.87
|
Trades
|
Will Foundation airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.86
|
Trades
|
Will Hop Protocol airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.79
|
Trades
|
Will Showtime airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.78
|
Trades
|
Will Cozy Finance airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.78
|
Trades
|
Will Zerion airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.76
|
Trades
|
Will Fractional airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 18 2022
|
✅ |
0.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.71
|
Trades
|
Will Opyn airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.68
|
Trades
|
Will Rainbow airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.67
|
Trades
|
Will Zapper airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.65
|
Trades
|
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 05 2023
|
✅ |
0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
Will Phantom airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.55
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.47
|
Trades
|
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
41.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
41.74
|
Thu Apr 27 2023
|
✅ |
-41.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9425
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.31
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
5.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9437
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.30
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 03 2022
|
✅ |
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
-0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.29
|
Trades
|
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
-0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.95
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
✅ |
-0.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Will Terra USD (UST) fall below 50 cents by July 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-1.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.36
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-1.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.56
|
Trades
|
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
-1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
6.6216
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
✅ |
-21.17
|
19.27
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
✅ |
-1.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.91
|
Trades
|
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
-1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.99
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-2.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.73
|
Trades
|
Will Ronna McDaniel be reelected as RNC Chair? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 27 2023
|
✅ |
-2.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.75
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 30 ETH or more on May 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
9.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3831
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 15 2022
|
✅ |
-3.66
|
0.63
|
0.00
|
-3.04
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-3.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.40
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
✅ |
-4.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.66
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.50
|
0.00% |
|
1.0538
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
-4.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.74
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden mention "anti-vaxxers" in his press conference on January 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 19 2022
|
✅ |
-4.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.78
|
Trades
|
Will Vicky Hartzler win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
-5.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.39
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-5.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.44
|
Trades
|
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
✅ |
-6.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.82
|
Trades
|
The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-6.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.84
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-7.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.16
|
Trades
|
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
-7.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.47
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-8.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.09
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.11
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 26 2022
|
✅ |
-9.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.80
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 03 2023
|
✅ |
-9.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.86
|
Trades
|
PA-07 House: Will a Democrat (Wild) or Republican (Scheller) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
18.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.5490
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
✅ |
-10.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.54
|
Trades
|
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
✅ |
-11.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.69
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-11.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.94
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 15 2022
|
✅ |
-12.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.65
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on May 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 25 2022
|
✅ |
-14.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.26
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
-14.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.87
|
Trades
|
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
-15.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.57
|
Trades
|
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-15.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.59
|
Trades
|
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
✅ |
-18.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.71
|
Trades
|
Will @jordanbpeterson tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-19.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.28
|
Trades
|
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.52
|
0.00% |
|
7.6191
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
✅ |
-26.82
|
5.86
|
0.00
|
-20.95
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
-21.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.47
|
Trades
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
13.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.7055
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-22.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.19
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-22.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.54
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
✅ |
-22.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.88
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
✅ |
-23.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.74
|
Trades
|
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-23.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.84
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
✅ |
-24.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.60
|
Trades
|
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.20 |
0.80 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-26.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.63
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.03
|
0.00% |
|
5.5842
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.03
|
Tue May 03 2022
|
✅ |
-33.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.66
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
-32.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.76
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 20 2022
|
✅ |
-33.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.41
|
Trades
|
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
✅ |
-35.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.75
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 09 2022
|
✅ |
-46.63
|
8.42
|
0.00
|
-38.22
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-39.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.50
|
Trades
|
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
✅ |
-43.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.51
|
Trades
|
Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 22 2022
|
✅ |
-43.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.64
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.07
|
0.00% |
|
14.7877
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
✅ |
-45.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.33
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,899.27
|
0.00% |
|
1.0245
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,899.27
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,945.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.52
|
Trades
|
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 03 2022
|
✅ |
-52.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.34
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-52.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.89
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
-54.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.59
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
✅ |
-56.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.60
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-61.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-62.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-62.05
|
Trades
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-75.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.47
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-78.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-78.77
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
-92.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-92.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
✅ |
-93.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.53
|
Trades
|
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 28 2022
|
✅ |
-94.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-94.74
|
Trades
|
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-95.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-95.66
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
-98.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-98.52
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-110.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.43
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
749.99
|
0.00% |
|
1.1480
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
749.99
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-860.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-111.00
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.91
|
0.00% |
|
20.2229
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
✅ |
-119.53
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
-119.44
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-145.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-145.29
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
✅ |
-145.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-145.43
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-146.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-146.69
|
Trades
|
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
-155.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-155.03
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 08 2022
|
✅ |
-155.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-155.29
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-158.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-158.43
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-161.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-161.39
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.15
|
0.00% |
|
60.4200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
-190.10
|
10.05
|
0.00
|
-180.05
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
27.7073
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
-183.89
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-183.87
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.63
|
0.00% |
|
75.2712
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-197.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-197.96
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 15 2023
|
✅ |
-233.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.24
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
10.81
|
0.00% |
|
25.6911
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-277.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-277.64
|
Trades
|
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 10 2022
|
✅ |
-287.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-287.59
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-305.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-305.39
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.42
|
0.00% |
|
42.7930
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-317.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-317.37
|
Trades
|
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.10
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 05 2022
|
✅ |
-323.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-323.94
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
10.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
30.6040
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-324.65
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
-324.65
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
350.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9619
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-336.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-336.66
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 17 2023
|
✅ |
-352.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-352.90
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
-357.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-357.35
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
✅ |
-383.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-383.85
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
1,100.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3661
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
✅ |
-402.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-402.80
|
Trades
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.64
|
0.00% |
|
265.9363
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-435.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-435.32
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-499.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-499.14
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-661.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-661.96
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.39
|
0.00% |
|
163.7206
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-718.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-718.13
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,104.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-949.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-949.60
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,705.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.5912
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1,008.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,008.36
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
9.98
|
0.00% |
|
102.9319
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-1,027.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,027.37
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
3.74
|
0.00% |
|
326.1242
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-1,218.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,218.42
|
Trades
|
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
-2,416.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,416.37
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,098.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.6981
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
-2,861.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,861.45
|
Trades
|
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
✅ |
-5,227.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,227.34
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,891.28
|
22,550.05
|
|
|
37,665.67
|
48.10
|
0.06
|
62,155.16
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,725.56
|
111.26
|
|
|
-12,460.83
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
-4,623.85
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9,616.84
|
22,661.31
|
|
|
25,204.83
|
48.26
|
0.06
|
57,531.31
|
|