1709884940000
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April?
|
0x6a15056c
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$29.50
|
295.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1709835592000
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$182.50
|
250.00
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1709835592000
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$67.50
|
250.00
|
0.2700
|
π |
Tx
|
1709779824000
|
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address?
|
0x49b60d2c
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$15.00
|
300.00
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1707351029000
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$40.00
|
400.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1704275051000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x2a2c1dc9
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$70.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704270359000
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Jan 12?
|
0x139bb6ae
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$60.42
|
355.42
|
0.1700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704255462000
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Jan 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$126.82
|
678.00
|
0.1871
|
π |
Tx
|
1704255462000
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Jan 12?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$202.50
|
250.00
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1703991732000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.20
|
440.05
|
0.0050
|
π |
Tx
|
1703991732000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x6727da70
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$437.85
|
440.05
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1703991698000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.20
|
800.00
|
0.0040
|
π |
Tx
|
1703991698000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.20
|
800.00
|
0.0040
|
π |
Tx
|
1703909993000
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$25.00
|
500.00
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1703909993000
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xa2f1fecf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
500.00
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1703866843000
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
|
0xfeb58108
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$22.81
|
285.17
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1703268005000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$29.00
|
263.64
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1703266255000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$927.24
|
938.50
|
0.9880
|
π |
Tx
|
1703266255000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$12.46
|
1,038.50
|
0.0120
|
π |
Tx
|
1703090104000
|
Confederate Memorial at Arlington Cemetery removed by Jan 1?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$15.00
|
300.00
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1703085696000
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$130.00
|
500.00
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1703085696000
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ in 2023?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$370.00
|
500.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1703076036000
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$120.00
|
500.00
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1703010765000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x41c12898
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$231.56
|
308.75
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1703010765000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$99.16
|
400.00
|
0.2479
|
π |
Tx
|
1702954451000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$44.00
|
400.00
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1702397745000
|
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend?
|
0x033dc6e3
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$120.00
|
250.00
|
0.4800
|
π |
Tx
|
1701929428000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
500.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1701909926000
|
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$165.00
|
300.00
|
0.5500
|
π |
Tx
|
1701909926000
|
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x49b60d2c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$135.00
|
300.00
|
0.4500
|
π |
Tx
|
1701799398000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x2a2c1dc9
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$15.00
|
250.00
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1701715482000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x92967e67
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$26.90
|
672.62
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1701356871000
|
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30?
|
0x3ee3bb1f
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.90
|
950.00
|
0.0020
|
π |
Tx
|
1701153719000
|
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30?
|
0x3ee3bb1f
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.65
|
965.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1700978916000
|
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.78
|
775.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1700978916000
|
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$774.23
|
775.00
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1700972705000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0xb532895e
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$21.00
|
300.00
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1700888370000
|
Blast airdrop by May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$57.50
|
250.00
|
0.2300
|
π |
Tx
|
1700888370000
|
Blast airdrop by May?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$192.50
|
250.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1700841759000
|
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1700841547000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$21.00
|
420.00
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700841547000
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$399.00
|
420.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838792000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$456.50
|
500.00
|
0.9130
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838792000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$546.60
|
600.00
|
0.9110
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838792000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$207.90
|
2,350.00
|
0.0885
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838792000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$364.40
|
400.00
|
0.9110
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838792000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$228.00
|
250.00
|
0.9120
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838792000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$546.60
|
600.00
|
0.9110
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838726000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$253.00
|
275.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838726000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$98.91
|
1,246.42
|
0.0794
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838726000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x2a47d4bf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$33.55
|
419.42
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838726000
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$230.00
|
250.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838550000
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$570.00
|
600.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700838550000
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$570.00
|
600.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700761998000
|
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$607.50
|
750.00
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1700761998000
|
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$405.00
|
500.00
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1700761998000
|
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$275.50
|
1,450.00
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1700729022000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$70.24
|
439.00
|
0.1600
|
π |
Tx
|
1700729022000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x2e000940
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$70.24
|
439.00
|
0.1600
|
π |
Tx
|
1700719077000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$386.40
|
420.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1700719077000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$65.60
|
820.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700719077000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$368.00
|
400.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1700712800000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$125.00
|
500.00
|
0.2500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700712800000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$75.00
|
300.00
|
0.2500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700712800000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$75.00
|
300.00
|
0.2500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700619563000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$78.00
|
300.00
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1700599810000
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.50
|
1,500.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1700599132000
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023?
|
0x43372356
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$12.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.0080
|
π |
Tx
|
1700597644000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$79.46
|
274.00
|
0.2900
|
π |
Tx
|
1700597608000
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.68
|
406.00
|
0.0140
|
π |
Tx
|
1700440887000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$27.00
|
300.00
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1700400302000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
|
0xdb746494
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$208.00
|
800.00
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1700363980000
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?
|
0xba732f8a
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0120
|
π |
Tx
|
1700330226000
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$225.00
|
250.00
|
0.9000
|
π |
Tx
|
1700330226000
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$70.87
|
667.00
|
0.1063
|
π |
Tx
|
1700330226000
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$222.50
|
250.00
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1700146888000
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$34.30
|
358.34
|
0.0957
|
π |
Tx
|
1700018418000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?
|
0x90379386
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$543.21
|
557.14
|
0.9750
|
π |
Tx
|
1699936724000
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.09
|
305.00
|
0.0036
|
π |
Tx
|
1699165962000
|
Will a European team win LOL Worlds 2023?
|
0xd7307d60
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.56
|
280.00
|
0.0020
|
π |
Tx
|
1698976015000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.28
|
364.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1698976015000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$7.28
|
364.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1698879759000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$86.36
|
315.75
|
0.2735
|
π |
Tx
|
1698760578000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x542aae10
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.90
|
1,100.00
|
0.0090
|
π |
Tx
|
1698760578000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xc4eddd28
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2,475.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1698760578000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$34.90
|
3,600.00
|
0.0097
|
π |
Tx
|
1698718003000
|
Celestia token above $5 one week after airdrop?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$15.99
|
410.00
|
0.0390
|
π |
Tx
|
1698686564000
|
Will a European team win LOL Worlds 2023?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xe25b9180
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$711.56
|
712.99
|
0.9980
|
π |
Tx
|
1698686564000
|
Will a European team win LOL Worlds 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.43
|
712.99
|
0.0020
|
π |
Tx
|
1698686518000
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$114.00
|
300.00
|
0.3800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698686518000
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$186.00
|
300.00
|
0.6200
|
π |
Tx
|
1698510039000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$265.20
|
300.00
|
0.8840
|
π |
Tx
|
1698510039000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$353.50
|
400.00
|
0.8838
|
π |
Tx
|
1698366889000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0x2a2c1dc9
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$114.00
|
300.00
|
0.3800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698329824000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
RelayThief
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1698254216000
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.28
|
282.99
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1698254216000
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.28
|
282.99
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1697876192000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$27.50
|
250.00
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1697814258000
|
Will Kari Lake be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x49b8eeea
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1697814258000
|
Will Kari Lake be the next Speaker?
|
0x49b8eeea
|
0x47bc4b50
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$999.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|