1678653068000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x20f50f66
|
0x267bba26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$172.50
|
690.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1678651226000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x267bba26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$145.00
|
500.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1678651226000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$355.00
|
500.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1669085496000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x40547087
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$35.15
|
250.41
|
0.1404
|
|
Tx
|
1666720394000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$203.81
|
505.79
|
0.4030
|
|
Tx
|
1666719811000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
307.60
|
0.0650
|
|
Tx
|
1666641225000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$14.00
|
284.81
|
0.0492
|
|
Tx
|
1666640621000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$198.66
|
505.79
|
0.3928
|
|
Tx
|
1666640589000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$198.16
|
312.18
|
0.6348
|
|
Tx
|
1666617198000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
428.72
|
0.0467
|
|
Tx
|
1666616984000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$200.00
|
310.13
|
0.6449
|
|
Tx
|
1666372187000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
296.26
|
0.0675
|
|
Tx
|
1666372087000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Sell |
Democrat |
🔴 |
$152.84
|
323.58
|
0.4723
|
|
Tx
|
1666364909000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x7b53c487
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$200.00
|
296.00
|
0.6757
|
|
Tx
|
1666198130000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x7b53c487
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$252.10
|
734.70
|
0.3431
|
|
Tx
|
1666134588000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x7b53c487
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$250.00
|
734.71
|
0.3403
|
|
Tx
|
1665672611000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4.00
|
377.42
|
0.0106
|
|
Tx
|
1665614886000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa6997c69
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$200.00
|
428.35
|
0.4669
|
|
Tx
|
1665580472000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$103.00
|
404.04
|
0.2549
|
|
Tx
|
1665513901000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xa6997c69
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$200.00
|
478.48
|
0.4180
|
|
Tx
|
1665438984000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$100.00
|
271.15
|
0.3688
|
|
Tx
|
1665343599000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$96.00
|
579.87
|
0.1656
|
|
Tx
|
1665000885000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
391.26
|
0.2556
|
|
Tx
|
1664978573000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$392.72
|
573.75
|
0.6845
|
|
Tx
|
1664972747000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
446.62
|
0.6717
|
|
Tx
|
1664924004000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$200.00
|
780.79
|
0.2562
|
|
Tx
|
1664914007000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
394.61
|
0.2534
|
|
Tx
|
1664899805000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
717.67
|
0.4180
|
|
Tx
|
1664898301000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
389.24
|
0.2569
|
|
Tx
|
1664889627000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
387.44
|
0.2581
|
|
Tx
|
1664849981000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$120.00
|
455.73
|
0.2633
|
|
Tx
|
1664823661000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
399.72
|
0.2502
|
|
Tx
|
1664802959000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$62.88
|
252.09
|
0.2495
|
|
Tx
|
1664725519000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$85.46
|
365.75
|
0.2336
|
|
Tx
|
1664655638000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Republican |
🔵 |
$371.77
|
973.21
|
0.3820
|
|
Tx
|
1664655608000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$202.59
|
316.32
|
0.6405
|
|
Tx
|
1664655578000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$202.59
|
302.06
|
0.6707
|
|
Tx
|
1664654616000
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x08d381c9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$73.56
|
281.26
|
0.2615
|
|
Tx
|
1664653726000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$76.78
|
300.00
|
0.2559
|
|
Tx
|
1664644165000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbe369052
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$90.00
|
262.38
|
0.3430
|
|
Tx
|
1664644019000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbe369052
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
298.60
|
0.3349
|
|
Tx
|
1664643785000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$120.13
|
500.00
|
0.2403
|
|
Tx
|
1664568806000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$312.04
|
1,027.36
|
0.3037
|
|
Tx
|
1664568508000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$92.09
|
312.04
|
0.2951
|
|
Tx
|
1664484575000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbe369052
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$194.88
|
400.00
|
0.4872
|
|
Tx
|
1664473677000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$81.03
|
348.33
|
0.2326
|
|
Tx
|
1664473553000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Republican |
🔵 |
$220.22
|
600.00
|
0.3670
|
|
Tx
|
1664473463000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$103.80
|
368.47
|
0.2817
|
|
Tx
|
1664472927000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Republican |
🔵 |
$368.47
|
1,000.00
|
0.3685
|
|
Tx
|
1664467620000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$85.70
|
367.97
|
0.2329
|
|
Tx
|
1664374323000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$112.88
|
319.37
|
0.3535
|
|
Tx
|
1664373781000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xff6ac822
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$400.00
|
632.01
|
0.6329
|
|
Tx
|
1664203134000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x760528fa
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$79.84
|
300.00
|
0.2661
|
|
Tx
|
1664163269000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x760528fa
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$81.46
|
300.00
|
0.2715
|
|
Tx
|
1664078770000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$254.88
|
1,000.00
|
0.2549
|
|
Tx
|
1663961713000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$1,000.00
|
2,573.22
|
0.3886
|
|
Tx
|
1663940968000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbe369052
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$400.00
|
872.55
|
0.4584
|
|
Tx
|
1663940692000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$241.42
|
1,043.91
|
0.2313
|
|
Tx
|
1663787865000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.20
|
4,337.63
|
0.0000
|
|
Tx
|
1663078065000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$620.53
|
686.34
|
0.9041
|
|
Tx
|
1663004923000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$218.20
|
620.53
|
0.3516
|
|
Tx
|
1662999735000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$218.20
|
922.87
|
0.2364
|
|
Tx
|
1662999391000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$322.77
|
922.88
|
0.3497
|
|
Tx
|
1662999357000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$322.77
|
500.00
|
0.6455
|
|
Tx
|
1662949646000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,116.20
|
1,463.58
|
0.7627
|
|
Tx
|
1662949582000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$388.42
|
1,116.20
|
0.3480
|
|
Tx
|
1662949542000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$388.42
|
600.00
|
0.6474
|
|
Tx
|
1662858977000
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x8e4cf080
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$98.77
|
367.12
|
0.2690
|
|
Tx
|
1662858807000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xd9479355
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$131.40
|
367.14
|
0.3579
|
|
Tx
|
1662574088000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$360.85
|
537.94
|
0.6708
|
|
Tx
|
1662572174000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
425.10
|
0.7057
|
|
Tx
|
1662572138000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$200.00
|
284.54
|
0.7029
|
|
Tx
|
1662121429000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbc92e4ae
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$95.89
|
342.82
|
0.2797
|
|
Tx
|
1661518598000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbc92e4ae
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$250.21
|
617.73
|
0.4050
|
|
Tx
|
1661457265000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$350.61
|
677.75
|
0.5173
|
|
Tx
|
1659742148000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xbc92e4ae
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
617.74
|
0.4856
|
|
Tx
|
1659742128000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x861ca732
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
677.75
|
0.4426
|
|
Tx
|
1659698519000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,000.00
|
1,870.03
|
0.5348
|
|
Tx
|
1659698495000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x76e456c9
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$300.00
|
452.65
|
0.6628
|
|
Tx
|
1659698463000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$500.00
|
840.11
|
0.5952
|
|
Tx
|
1659698423000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xd9479355
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$500.00
|
783.14
|
0.6385
|
|
Tx
|
1659415547000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,000.00
|
1,972.16
|
0.5071
|
|
Tx
|
1641947945000
|
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x05d151fd
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$227.75
|
700.00
|
0.3254
|
|
Tx
|
1641495165000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x0a1cf8a4
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$58.26
|
398.92
|
0.1460
|
|
Tx
|
1641415956000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x0a1cf8a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$284.80
|
398.92
|
0.7139
|
|
Tx
|
1640988999000
|
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x4c513917
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$150.00
|
887.44
|
0.1690
|
|
Tx
|
1640985596000
|
Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x65efb46d
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$200.00
|
255.86
|
0.7817
|
|
Tx
|
1640985298000
|
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xddb9bdf1
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$600.00
|
791.53
|
0.7580
|
|
Tx
|
1640976330000
|
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x45478ccf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
782.40
|
0.6391
|
|
Tx
|
1640830284000
|
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x50794a56
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
742.44
|
0.4041
|
|
Tx
|
1640209631000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$333.00
|
508.48
|
0.6549
|
|
Tx
|
1640209306000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$68.92
|
403.59
|
0.1708
|
|
Tx
|
1640116819000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$300.00
|
785.75
|
0.3818
|
|
Tx
|
1640026196000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
904.63
|
0.5527
|
|
Tx
|
1639930019000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$500.00
|
969.38
|
0.5158
|
|
Tx
|
1638997449000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xe632388c
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11.59
|
1,160.18
|
0.0100
|
|
Tx
|
1638489347000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xe632388c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$200.00
|
570.27
|
0.3507
|
|
Tx
|
1638460549000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xe632388c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$200.00
|
589.92
|
0.3390
|
|
Tx
|
1638218925000
|
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc6dd3b34
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
402.86
|
0.0124
|
|
Tx
|
1638155128000
|
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?
|
0x267bba26
|
0xc6dd3b34
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$30.00
|
448.38
|
0.0669
|
|
Tx
|