1715113120000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$929.67
|
2,068.05
|
0.4495
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714752202000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,241.88
|
3,454.75
|
0.9384
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714637124000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x30e44387
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,770.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9540
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714637124000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,770.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9540
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713887118000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,323.12
|
2,356.11
|
0.9860
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713887118000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$32.99
|
2,356.11
|
0.0140
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461519000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$301.91
|
2,156.49
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461519000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,150.43
|
2,500.50
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461503000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,591.62
|
5,342.00
|
0.8595
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461503000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$397.88
|
2,842.00
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461503000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$352.50
|
2,500.00
|
0.1410
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713375372000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$230.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.0230
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713375372000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$9,770.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9770
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$796.19
|
6,124.55
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xecdbd795
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,350.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,180.79
|
4,805.51
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x2c036bf4
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,740.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20,010.00
|
23,000.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$304.85
|
2,345.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713289052000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,209.96
|
2,275.96
|
0.9710
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713289052000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,209.96
|
2,275.96
|
0.9710
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713288838000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$341.19
|
2,132.43
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713288838000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,375.00
|
2,825.93
|
0.8404
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713115335000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,103.99
|
2,534.93
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713115335000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,748.68
|
3,311.93
|
0.8299
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713092968000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,485.00
|
34,500.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713092968000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$30,015.00
|
34,500.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712836961000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$494.00
|
3,800.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712836961000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,306.00
|
3,800.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712316624000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,000.00
|
6,024.10
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712316624000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,024.10
|
6,024.10
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712316586000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$352.97
|
5,042.38
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712316586000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,000.00
|
5,376.34
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712311528000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$327.73
|
4,681.89
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712311528000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,000.00
|
5,383.89
|
0.9287
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712171366000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x27aed7b4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,098.83
|
8,452.56
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712171366000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10,000.00
|
11,494.25
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712156025000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,593.51
|
3,743.24
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712156025000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$129.73
|
3,243.24
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711592645000
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$64.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.0160
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711592645000
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,940.92
|
4,005.00
|
0.9840
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711023594000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,341.35
|
3,080.73
|
0.7600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711023594000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x3c0fcbbe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$583.52
|
2,431.34
|
0.2400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711023594000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,512.08
|
7,228.04
|
0.7626
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711023388000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,856.68
|
2,975.70
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711023236000
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,000.00
|
5,208.33
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711023236000
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$98.37
|
2,459.16
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711023236000
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$91.97
|
2,299.17
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710390298000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8a16fc7f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,172.84
|
6,172.84
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710390298000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5,000.00
|
6,172.84
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710346401000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,216.74
|
3,496.46
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710346401000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x0e8d61f1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$279.72
|
3,496.46
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710345883000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$61.91
|
4,127.06
|
0.0150
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710345883000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,065.15
|
4,127.06
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709915738000
|
Biden to drop out before April?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,845.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9690
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709915738000
|
Biden to drop out before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,845.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9690
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709914111000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xdcc9d68a
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5,865.03
|
6,058.92
|
0.9680
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709914111000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,834.03
|
7,058.92
|
0.9681
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709791590000
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,144.24
|
2,043.00
|
0.5601
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709788192000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,560.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709788192000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xb7471199
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,560.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709747815000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,617.16
|
3,355.33
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709747815000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xc4eddd28
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,631.95
|
2,092.24
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709747235000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,000.00
|
5,208.33
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709747235000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$208.33
|
5,208.33
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709725705000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,004.19
|
2,536.95
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709725705000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,670.81
|
2,114.95
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709706840000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xc4eddd28
|
Buy |
Haley |
|
$4,650.60
|
4,774.74
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709706840000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Haley |
|
$4,845.40
|
4,974.74
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709691021000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,310.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709691021000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$949.14
|
4,234.00
|
0.2242
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709690884000
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,934.70
|
2,650.28
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709690884000
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$715.58
|
2,650.28
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709690830000
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$589.70
|
2,191.15
|
0.2691
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709601774000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Haley |
|
$2,256.48
|
2,306.09
|
0.9785
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709049517000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Haley |
|
$2,500.00
|
2,603.09
|
0.9604
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709018286000
|
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$55.55
|
2,222.00
|
0.0250
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709018286000
|
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,166.45
|
2,222.00
|
0.9750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709013792000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Haley |
|
$4,747.50
|
4,997.37
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709013792000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Biden |
|
$150.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708888559000
|
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,508.00
|
2,610.90
|
0.9606
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707717031000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,400.60
|
8,001.72
|
0.9249
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707717031000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$160.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707470401000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x351a7216
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4,120.96
|
5,723.55
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707470401000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,120.96
|
5,723.56
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707447756000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,500.29
|
2,778.10
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707447756000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xc2d5826b
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$277.81
|
2,778.10
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707391024000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,200.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707391024000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10,000.00
|
11,359.35
|
0.8803
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707391024000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$257.95
|
2,345.00
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707195155000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,000.00
|
2,469.14
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707195155000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x351a7216
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,000.00
|
2,469.14
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707189023000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x351a7216
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,700.18
|
3,333.56
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707189023000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,620.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707189023000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,240.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707189023000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10,125.00
|
12,500.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707063894000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,761.00
|
2,968.82
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707063894000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x5a560d13
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,246.71
|
3,496.46
|
0.9286
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707017773000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xf4f3476b
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,484.89
|
3,067.77
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707017773000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$950.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|