Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
2,381.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,381.07
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
28,232.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28,232.64
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
27,364.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27,364.89
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
26,681.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26,681.16
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
18,826.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18,826.77
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
8,330.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,330.90
|
Trades
|
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
4,104.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,104.95
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
2,548.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,548.87
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
2,396.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,396.10
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
2,254.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,254.77
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2,055.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,055.65
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
1,646.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,646.41
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,618.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.6689
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,618.60
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-3,089.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,529.01
|
Trades
|
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
1,321.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,321.21
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
1,310.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,310.19
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
1,193.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,193.86
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
1,091.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,091.21
|
Trades
|
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
1,025.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,025.00
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,433.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.8799
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7,433.42
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-6,540.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
892.53
|
Trades
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
757.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
757.08
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
4,903.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8665
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4,903.06
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-4,248.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
654.64
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,515.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.9525
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12,515.77
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-11,920.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
594.83
|
Trades
|
TikTok/UMG deal before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,787.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.8071
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,787.78
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-2,250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
537.78
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16,394.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9698
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
16,394.31
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-15,899.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
495.12
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
391.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
391.60
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
354.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
354.44
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,764.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,764.71
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-1,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
264.71
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
256.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
256.38
|
Trades
|
Biden to drop out before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,833.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9689
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,833.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5,651.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
181.66
|
Trades
|
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,583.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,583.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,408.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
174.13
|
Trades
|
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9467
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,300.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2,177.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.70
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
310.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.6450
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
310.10
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.10
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? |
Yes |
No |
2,610.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9606
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,610.90
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-2,508.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.90
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
3,784.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9736
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3,784.83
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-3,684.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.01
|
Trades
|
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
860.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
860.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-782.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.40
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
74.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.70
|
Trades
|
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
615.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
615.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-553.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.50
|
Trades
|
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,222.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,222.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-2,166.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.55
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
52.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.18
|
Trades
|
TikTok sale announced in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
403.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.8751
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
403.70
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-353.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.44
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
32.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.31
|
Trades
|
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,490.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,490.82
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-1,461.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.82
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,879.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9870
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,879.32
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-1,854.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.43
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
994.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.9840
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
994.51
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-978.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.91
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
12.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.71
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-29.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.96
|
Trades
|
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? |
Yes |
No |
205.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
✅ |
-139.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-139.40
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
389.49
|
0.00% |
|
1.2067
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
✅ |
-470.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-470.01
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
649.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.7700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-546.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-546.01
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
2,280.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2696
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-614.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-614.60
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,650.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.2700
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-715.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-715.58
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
854.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-725.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-725.90
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,765.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.4553
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
✅ |
-803.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-803.58
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
5,885.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1837
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
-1,081.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,081.23
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
3,355.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-2,617.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,617.16
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
11,098.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3950
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-4,383.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,383.84
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,470.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.6835
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-9,890.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,890.80
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20,083.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.6608
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
-13,271.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13,271.31
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
47,872.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.4040
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
✅ |
-19,341.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19,341.19
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,298.79
|
64,006.04
|
|
|
7,955.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83,260.56
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
2,381.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,381.07
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,298.79
|
64,006.04
|
|
|
10,336.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85,641.63
|
|