1710508916000
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$980.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1709726925000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$284.79
|
3,999.91
|
0.0712
|
π |
Tx
|
1709726925000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x3cba2bd7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3,274.17
|
3,520.61
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1708657923000
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday?
|
0x44c1dfe4
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.0020
|
π |
Tx
|
1708656214000
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$18.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.0090
|
π |
Tx
|
1708656214000
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,982.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.9910
|
π |
Tx
|
1706992726000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xe56d7659
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$303.57
|
3,794.66
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706021168000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x4c29ffec
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,026.63
|
1,115.90
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706021168000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$89.27
|
1,115.90
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1704311406000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$341.57
|
2,075.00
|
0.1646
|
π |
Tx
|
1704311406000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xb46ef1a5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$939.12
|
1,118.00
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704311238000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x1e996521
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,328.04
|
1,428.00
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1701967324000
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$200.10
|
1,030.00
|
0.1943
|
π |
Tx
|
1700632923000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$402.85
|
1,678.55
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1698806629000
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$160.63
|
1,097.00
|
0.1464
|
π |
Tx
|
1697736449000
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$82.08
|
1,702.00
|
0.0482
|
π |
Tx
|
1695773191000
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1695773191000
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$51.86
|
3,060.00
|
0.0169
|
π |
Tx
|
1695773191000
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x75e03dfc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1695773047000
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$140.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1695741705000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
|
0x905f36d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$839.27
|
1,271.62
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1692560312000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x0b644e44
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$960.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1692534655000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xfc7e110e
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,350.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1692000999000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x5c5b6d4c
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,200.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1691557833000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xee292607
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,350.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1690868409000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x2444fe52
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$570.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5700
|
π |
Tx
|
1690866003000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x629bc4a1
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$670.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1688643571000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$75.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1688643571000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,552.00
|
1,600.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1685631945000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 5?
|
0x92967e67
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2,264.89
|
2,384.10
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1685618989000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,369.00
|
1,447.02
|
0.9461
|
π |
Tx
|
1683660200000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x67b2a93e
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$633.51
|
1,407.81
|
0.4500
|
π |
Tx
|
1678663899000
|
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$729.30
|
1,430.00
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678663899000
|
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$700.70
|
1,430.00
|
0.4900
|
π |
Tx
|
1678113643000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0xa97111e0
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,120.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.5600
|
π |
Tx
|
1668133501000
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x89869b86
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.69
|
1,251.00
|
0.0085
|
|
Tx
|
1667968352000
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x89869b86
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
1,009.34
|
0.0495
|
|
Tx
|
1667961735000
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x89869b86
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
1,094.07
|
0.0457
|
|
Tx
|
1667961005000
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x89869b86
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
1,147.65
|
0.0436
|
|
Tx
|
1660002091000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,119.66
|
0.4855
|
|
Tx
|
1659444512000
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xd9e0838e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,053.82
|
0.9489
|
|
Tx
|
1659399652000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,389.73
|
0.4556
|
|
Tx
|
1658935947000
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xce3107e5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
1,246.47
|
0.4011
|
|
Tx
|
1658854279000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3,943.12
|
9,011.84
|
0.4375
|
|
Tx
|
1656960689000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,445.72
|
0.4499
|
|
Tx
|
1656958143000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,566.12
|
0.4380
|
|
Tx
|
1656902813000
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xe74b400a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$412.67
|
1,186.36
|
0.3478
|
|
Tx
|
1655395191000
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x45874174
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.32
|
1,592.34
|
0.0002
|
|
Tx
|
1654658750000
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x45874174
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$700.00
|
1,592.35
|
0.4396
|
|
Tx
|
1651272414000
|
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xa36fbf5d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2,010.00
|
2,412.22
|
0.8333
|
|
Tx
|
1642027684000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$756.00
|
1,445.27
|
0.5231
|
|
Tx
|
1642027142000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
2,127.22
|
0.4701
|
|
Tx
|
1639442315000
|
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xb635ea65
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$200.00
|
1,273.95
|
0.1570
|
|
Tx
|
1639441995000
|
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xb635ea65
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$253.54
|
1,660.00
|
0.1527
|
|
Tx
|
1638968433000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$369.00
|
1,239.54
|
0.2977
|
|
Tx
|
1637856102000
|
Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x5cc3299e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$85.26
|
1,398.95
|
0.0609
|
|
Tx
|
1637283089000
|
What will the βOfficial Editionβ of the United States Constitution sell for at Sothebyβs?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x92bf4b88
|
Sell |
Less than 20m |
|
$0.27
|
1,790.26
|
0.0001
|
|
Tx
|
1637184762000
|
What will the βOfficial Editionβ of the United States Constitution sell for at Sothebyβs?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x92bf4b88
|
Buy |
Less than 20m |
|
$100.00
|
1,790.26
|
0.0559
|
|
Tx
|
1636761263000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x06f000aa
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
1,015.06
|
0.9852
|
|
Tx
|
1636226171000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x02e90748
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$741.93
|
1,500.00
|
0.4946
|
|
Tx
|
1636207964000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x02e90748
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
1,387.51
|
0.2162
|
|
Tx
|
1632958990000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$54.51
|
14,914.42
|
0.0037
|
|
Tx
|
1632958180000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
7,995.05
|
0.0063
|
|
Tx
|
1632958034000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
6,908.55
|
0.0072
|
|
Tx
|
1632857681000
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0dcfc0d1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$85.92
|
1,971.99
|
0.0436
|
|
Tx
|
1632836280000
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0dcfc0d1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$133.31
|
3,573.28
|
0.0373
|
|
Tx
|
1632333723000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,332.57
|
2,491.23
|
0.5349
|
|
Tx
|
1631407093000
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x59fc9213
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$33.83
|
1,999.76
|
0.0169
|
|
Tx
|
1631316623000
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0dcfc0d1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$173.00
|
1,075.92
|
0.1608
|
|
Tx
|
1630532002000
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x59fc9213
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$365.65
|
3,000.00
|
0.1219
|
|
Tx
|
1629905555000
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x59fc9213
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
1,439.81
|
0.1736
|
|
Tx
|
1629905371000
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x59fc9213
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
1,584.87
|
0.1577
|
|
Tx
|
1629671436000
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x59fc9213
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
1,399.01
|
0.1787
|
|
Tx
|
1629253963000
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x59fc9213
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
1,240.84
|
0.2015
|
|
Tx
|
1628803504000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
1,253.91
|
0.2393
|
|
Tx
|
1628473960000
|
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x433a9901
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$76.36
|
1,265.54
|
0.0603
|
|
Tx
|
1628471629000
|
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x433a9901
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
1,265.54
|
0.0790
|
|
Tx
|
1628298547000
|
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x27d1e789
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$702.16
|
1,263.63
|
0.5557
|
|
Tx
|
1628290792000
|
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xd6a39d6c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$186.00
|
1,000.03
|
0.1860
|
|
Tx
|
1628205773000
|
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x27d1e789
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
1,039.00
|
0.2887
|
|
Tx
|
1628197603000
|
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xd6a39d6c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
2,134.42
|
0.2343
|
|
Tx
|
1628184116000
|
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x27d1e789
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$551.32
|
1,730.96
|
0.3185
|
|
Tx
|
1628182389000
|
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xd6a39d6c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$450.73
|
1,523.34
|
0.2959
|
|
Tx
|
1627936178000
|
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xd6a39d6c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
1,523.34
|
0.3282
|
|
Tx
|
1627531142000
|
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x1cd0f9ff
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
5,102.24
|
0.0006
|
|
Tx
|
1627530824000
|
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x1cd0f9ff
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.03
|
5,970.95
|
0.0017
|
|
Tx
|
1627481942000
|
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x1cd0f9ff
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
1,287.36
|
0.0194
|
|
Tx
|
1627480462000
|
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x1cd0f9ff
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
1,744.56
|
0.0287
|
|
Tx
|
1627479832000
|
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x1cd0f9ff
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$75.00
|
1,030.47
|
0.0728
|
|
Tx
|
1627474208000
|
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0814e84a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.75
|
1,621.63
|
0.0035
|
|
Tx
|
1627427395000
|
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0814e84a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$47.00
|
1,091.65
|
0.0431
|
|
Tx
|
1627356084000
|
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x27d1e789
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$700.00
|
1,730.96
|
0.4044
|
|
Tx
|
1626724601000
|
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x907a2cf1
|
Sell |
Keiko Fujimori |
|
$79.49
|
8,243.19
|
0.0096
|
|
Tx
|
1625611660000
|
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x1a40fdb6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$36.68
|
2,646.19
|
0.0139
|
|
Tx
|
1625607198000
|
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x162fe12f
|
Sell |
Wiley |
|
$69.53
|
1,264.80
|
0.0550
|
|
Tx
|
1625415691000
|
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xe25fc2fa
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$111.17
|
2,044.20
|
0.0544
|
|
Tx
|
1625089922000
|
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x162fe12f
|
Buy |
Wiley |
|
$50.00
|
1,264.80
|
0.0395
|
|
Tx
|
1625078123000
|
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x162fe12f
|
Sell |
Wiley |
|
$58.69
|
1,269.60
|
0.0462
|
|
Tx
|
1624996800000
|
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x162fe12f
|
Buy |
Wiley |
|
$50.00
|
1,269.60
|
0.0394
|
|
Tx
|
1624641868000
|
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x1a40fdb6
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
2,915.88
|
0.1029
|
|
Tx
|