Account
0x856f95bfdbb9b1401cfe56274c9a08df1e8ae1d7 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -7.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.67 | Trades | |||
Fed rate cut by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,075.00 | 0.00% | 0.1646 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 01 2024 | -341.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -341.57 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.92 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -3,595.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,595.02 | Trades | |||
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | 1,766.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,766.87 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 1,706.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,706.79 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,581.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,582.16 | Trades | ||
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | 1,439.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,439.32 | Trades | ||
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 1,175.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,175.00 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 14 2022 | ✅ | 663.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 663.54 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 556.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 556.21 | Trades | ||
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 482.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 482.08 | Trades | ||
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 455.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 455.10 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 440.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 440.55 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 402.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 402.45 | Trades | ||
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 402.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 402.22 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | ✅ | 339.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 339.72 | Trades | ||
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 292.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 292.09 | Trades | ||
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | 280.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 280.40 | Trades | ||
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 277.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 277.31 | Trades | ||
Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 237.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 237.34 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | 215.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 215.26 | Trades | ||
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 211.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 211.73 | Trades | ||
Will Basquiat’s “Untitled (One Eyed Man or Xerox Face)” sell for more than HK$170M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 205.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 205.49 | Trades | ||
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | ✅ | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | 168.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 168.41 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Koons' “Pancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 154.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 154.68 | Trades | ||
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | ✅ | 141.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 141.18 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 138.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 138.08 | Trades | ||
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 123.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.22 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? | Yes | No | 2,384.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,384.10 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 05 2023 | ✅ | -2,264.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.20 | Trades | |
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 114.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 114.77 | Trades | ||
NFL: Who will win Rams v. 49ers? | Rams | 49ers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 06 2022 | ✅ | 108.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 108.70 | Trades | ||
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 285.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 285.71 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -185.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Trades | |
Fed rate cut by January 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 99.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.96 | Trades | ||
Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 02 2021 | ✅ | 81.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.93 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 27 2023 | ✅ | 75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.00 | Trades | ||
Will Cy Twombly’s “Untitled (Rome)” sell for more than $45 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 68.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.07 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 62.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.94 | Trades | ||
Will Kippenberger's "Martin, Into the Corner, You Should Be Ashamed of Yourself" sell for more than 15 million on Christie's? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 62.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.91 | Trades | ||
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.00 | 0.00% | 0.4900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | ✅ | -48.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.49 | Trades | |
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 49.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.65 | Trades | ||
NFL: Will the Rams beat the Packers by more than 2.5 points in their November 28th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 28 2021 | ✅ | 49.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.01 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9510 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -951.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.00 | Trades | |
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 01 2023 | ✅ | 37.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.74 | Trades | ||
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | ✅ | 36.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.00 | Trades | ||
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 28.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.22 | Trades | ||||||
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 24.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.64 | Trades | ||
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 16.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.02 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 15.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.06 | Trades | ||
Will Matthew Stafford have the most passing yards in the 2021 NFL season on November 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 12.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.76 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | 11.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.17 | Trades | ||
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 11.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.06 | Trades | ||
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | 8.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.89 | Trades | ||
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 3.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.40 | Trades | ||
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | ✅ | 2.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.42 | Trades | ||
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.79 | Trades | ||
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.44 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | ✅ | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | Trades | ||
Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | -4.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.10 | Trades | ||
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami by January 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | -4.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.83 | Trades | ||
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 5? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 02 2021 | ✅ | -4.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.97 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -7.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.45 | Trades | ||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -9.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.42 | Trades | ||
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Game 1? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 05 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 05 2022 | ✅ | -17.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.11 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? | Democrat | Republican | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -17.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.60 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | ✅ | -19.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.54 | Trades | ||
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.0055 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 22 2024 | ✅ | -22.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.00 | Trades | |
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | -23.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.64 | Trades | ||
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | ✅ | -39.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.18 | Trades | ||
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 15 2021 | ✅ | -47.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.22 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -49.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.83 | Trades | ||
Will Brittney Griner play in her next scheduled game? | Yes | No | 688.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0726 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 06 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | ✅ | -60.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.50 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? | Yes | No | 2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 12 2023 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? | Yes | No | 1,702.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0482 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | ✅ | -82.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -82.08 | Trades | |
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -83.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -83.29 | Trades | ||
What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? | Less than 20m 20-30m More than 30m |
0.01 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | -99.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -99.73 | Trades | ||||||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | ✅ | -112.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -112.60 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -120.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -120.51 | Trades | ||
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Nu couché à la libellule” sell for more than HK$68M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -121.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -121.78 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 356.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | -139.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -139.00 | Trades | |
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 2,000.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0697 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -139.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -139.31 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -144.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -144.22 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | -167.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -167.78 | Trades | ||
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | ✅ | -175.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -175.58 | Trades | ||
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | -212.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -212.97 | Trades | ||
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? | Yes | No | 1,555.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1604 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 07 2024 | ✅ | -249.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -249.48 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | -260.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -260.00 | Trades | ||
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -260.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -260.29 | Trades | ||
Will Zao Wou-Ki’s “24.01.63” sell for more than HK$80M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -297.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -297.95 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -325.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -325.56 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | -358.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -358.59 | Trades | ||
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | -449.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -449.92 | Trades | ||
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -451.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -451.90 | Trades | ||
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.2400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -480.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -480.00 | Trades | |
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | ✅ | -497.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -497.66 | Trades | ||
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,246.47 | 0.00% | 0.4011 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -514.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -514.24 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -636.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -636.91 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 15 2022 | ✅ | -699.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -699.68 | Trades | ||
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,430.00 | 0.00% | 0.4900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | -700.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -700.70 | Trades | |
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -1,044.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,044.52 | Trades | ||
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? | Yes | No | 2,054.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6732 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 02 2023 | ✅ | -1,383.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,383.42 | Trades | |
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,572.49 | 0.00% | 0.4915 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | -1,756.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,756.00 | Trades | |
Resolved | 2,669.81 | 1,099.50 | -1,338.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,430.70 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,944.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,944.26 | ||||||||||||
Total | 2,669.81 | 1,099.50 | -5,282.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,513.56 |