1667938544000
|
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc7a19a37
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.00
|
50.17
|
0.2990
|
|
Tx
|
1667933940000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x7795246f
|
Sell |
Democrat |
🔴 |
$17.32
|
43.94
|
0.3942
|
|
Tx
|
1667932876000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2da61c36
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$73.00
|
99.70
|
0.7321
|
|
Tx
|
1667932840000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2da61c36
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$74.00
|
100.00
|
0.7400
|
|
Tx
|
1667932578000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2da61c36
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$54.81
|
100.00
|
0.5481
|
|
Tx
|
1667929696000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2da61c36
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$79.63
|
300.30
|
0.2652
|
|
Tx
|
1667927888000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$12.00
|
34.38
|
0.3490
|
|
Tx
|
1667927606000
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x501c8662
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.93
|
22.32
|
0.1761
|
|
Tx
|
1667925460000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2da61c36
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$15.27
|
208.54
|
0.0732
|
|
Tx
|
1667924348000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2da61c36
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$25.00
|
808.54
|
0.0309
|
|
Tx
|
1667918016000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.36
|
118.53
|
0.0030
|
|
Tx
|
1667915566000
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xa0711fc0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$100.00
|
123.27
|
0.8112
|
|
Tx
|
1667912142000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xd9479355
|
Sell |
Democrat |
🔴 |
$18.22
|
33.53
|
0.5433
|
|
Tx
|
1667885394000
|
The Thiel Parlay
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x53d925a4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$8.82
|
16.08
|
0.5483
|
|
Tx
|
1667848606000
|
The Thiel Parlay
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x53d925a4
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
18.20
|
0.5493
|
|
Tx
|
1667848472000
|
The Thiel Parlay
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x53d925a4
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
18.64
|
0.5365
|
|
Tx
|
1667848180000
|
The Thiel Parlay
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x53d925a4
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
41.91
|
0.4773
|
|
Tx
|
1667837411000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$38.00
|
100.74
|
0.3772
|
|
Tx
|
1667824935000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$28.11
|
82.08
|
0.3425
|
|
Tx
|
1667795567000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3.00
|
201.42
|
0.0149
|
|
Tx
|
1667793703000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3.00
|
251.30
|
0.0119
|
|
Tx
|
1667581323000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x45467ab3
|
Sell |
Republican |
🔵 |
$68.22
|
182.45
|
0.3739
|
|
Tx
|
1667579861000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Buy |
Democrats |
🔵 |
$2.00
|
99.86
|
0.0200
|
|
Tx
|
1667579813000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Sell |
Democrat |
🔴 |
$35.63
|
91.56
|
0.3891
|
|
Tx
|
1667572437000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$18.55
|
46.66
|
0.3975
|
|
Tx
|
1667565213000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
45.58
|
0.4388
|
|
Tx
|
1667526994000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
229.71
|
0.0218
|
|
Tx
|
1667526950000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x61234ab9
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$29.72
|
249.99
|
0.1189
|
|
Tx
|
1667492016000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$1.21
|
65.92
|
0.0183
|
|
Tx
|
1667491755000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$1.86
|
100.00
|
0.0186
|
|
Tx
|
1667442657000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x61234ab9
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$6.56
|
50.00
|
0.1312
|
|
Tx
|
1667436386000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.06
|
632.65
|
0.0001
|
|
Tx
|
1667420755000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x61234ab9
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$14.15
|
100.00
|
0.1415
|
|
Tx
|
1667414877000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.25
|
667.19
|
0.0004
|
|
Tx
|
1667414627000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$11.91
|
37.00
|
0.3219
|
|
Tx
|
1667414503000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$25.00
|
76.68
|
0.3260
|
|
Tx
|
1667414339000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$30.00
|
98.32
|
0.3051
|
|
Tx
|
1667412819000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
136.91
|
0.7304
|
|
Tx
|
1667401817000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$3.23
|
100.00
|
0.0323
|
|
Tx
|
1667398528000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$75.00
|
200.76
|
0.3736
|
|
Tx
|
1667396598000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$4.25
|
128.52
|
0.0330
|
|
Tx
|
1667395821000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$6.83
|
200.00
|
0.0341
|
|
Tx
|
1667328132000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x45467ab3
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$50.00
|
182.45
|
0.2740
|
|
Tx
|
1667321144000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x760528fa
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$22.50
|
300.00
|
0.0750
|
|
Tx
|
1667312679000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$11.81
|
218.10
|
0.0542
|
|
Tx
|
1667312185000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x760528fa
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17.11
|
300.00
|
0.0570
|
|
Tx
|
1667307921000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$25.01
|
423.64
|
0.0590
|
|
Tx
|
1667306239000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$9.57
|
150.00
|
0.0638
|
|
Tx
|
1667236019000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$3.94
|
50.00
|
0.0788
|
|
Tx
|
1667224099000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x760528fa
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$13.61
|
200.00
|
0.0681
|
|
Tx
|
1667221624000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$26.00
|
71.51
|
0.3636
|
|
Tx
|
1667219480000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$10.95
|
100.00
|
0.1095
|
|
Tx
|
1667217973000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$9.78
|
86.40
|
0.1132
|
|
Tx
|
1667217498000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2.00
|
577.64
|
0.0035
|
|
Tx
|
1667187885000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Buy |
Republicans |
🔴 |
$175.00
|
200.74
|
0.8718
|
|
Tx
|
1667102781000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Buy |
Republicans |
🔴 |
$30.00
|
35.93
|
0.8349
|
|
Tx
|
1667099496000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Buy |
Republicans |
🔴 |
$100.00
|
120.61
|
0.8291
|
|
Tx
|
1667064535000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$28.02
|
150.00
|
0.1868
|
|
Tx
|
1667064133000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2.00
|
202.72
|
0.0099
|
|
Tx
|
1667064015000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x760528fa
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.96
|
248.48
|
0.0441
|
|
Tx
|
1667043665000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Democrats |
🔴 |
$18.49
|
86.04
|
0.2149
|
|
Tx
|
1667012780000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.37
|
99.99
|
0.0137
|
|
Tx
|
1666982969000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$21.84
|
81.67
|
0.2675
|
|
Tx
|
1666982748000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$15.91
|
58.57
|
0.2716
|
|
Tx
|
1666982670000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$16.51
|
60.00
|
0.2751
|
|
Tx
|
1666968518000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$8.94
|
25.00
|
0.3577
|
|
Tx
|
1666967634000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11.48
|
31.66
|
0.3627
|
|
Tx
|
1666965726000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
36.13
|
0.2768
|
|
Tx
|
1666965314000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
31.82
|
0.3143
|
|
Tx
|
1666961769000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
29.00
|
0.3449
|
|
Tx
|
1666960989000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$50.00
|
134.71
|
0.3712
|
|
Tx
|
1666930186000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.74
|
300.00
|
0.0158
|
|
Tx
|
1666888094000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Buy |
Republicans |
🔴 |
$25.00
|
44.59
|
0.5607
|
|
Tx
|
1666880108000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.91
|
100.00
|
0.0291
|
|
Tx
|
1666880062000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.37
|
100.00
|
0.0337
|
|
Tx
|
1666876186000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.95
|
100.00
|
0.0395
|
|
Tx
|
1666872651000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.69
|
100.00
|
0.0469
|
|
Tx
|
1666814376000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.68
|
50.00
|
0.0536
|
|
Tx
|
1666794803000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$9.00
|
248.48
|
0.0362
|
|
Tx
|
1666792131000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.59
|
50.00
|
0.0718
|
|
Tx
|
1666790517000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8.46
|
100.00
|
0.0846
|
|
Tx
|
1666753321000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.03
|
49.98
|
0.1006
|
|
Tx
|
1666750442000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.68
|
50.00
|
0.1135
|
|
Tx
|
1666732090000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$383.70
|
958.70
|
0.4002
|
|
Tx
|
1666720093000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.77
|
100.00
|
0.0377
|
|
Tx
|
1666719535000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$13.23
|
100.00
|
0.1323
|
|
Tx
|
1666699523000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.12
|
134.00
|
0.0382
|
|
Tx
|
1666699445000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$389.88
|
958.00
|
0.4070
|
|
Tx
|
1666641227000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$250.00
|
635.05
|
0.3937
|
|
Tx
|
1666640709000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$100.00
|
254.33
|
0.3932
|
|
Tx
|
1666640603000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$100.00
|
254.87
|
0.3924
|
|
Tx
|
1666640445000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$100.00
|
256.51
|
0.3898
|
|
Tx
|
1666639933000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$100.00
|
256.68
|
0.3896
|
|
Tx
|
1666639185000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$100.00
|
259.25
|
0.3857
|
|
Tx
|
1666613570000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
283.91
|
0.0352
|
|
Tx
|
1666570603000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8.34
|
250.00
|
0.0334
|
|
Tx
|
1666565421000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.78
|
100.00
|
0.0378
|
|
Tx
|
1666490451000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.15
|
50.00
|
0.0431
|
|
Tx
|
1666400269000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.24
|
50.00
|
0.0448
|
|
Tx
|
1666325359000
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister?
|
0xd752e6ba
|
0xa1c57283
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$63.16
|
146.13
|
0.4322
|
|
Tx
|