Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
10.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.46
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
3.76
|
6.64
|
0.00
|
10.41
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
163.39
|
0.00% |
|
-2.4669
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
163.39
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
403.06
|
5.50
|
0.00
|
571.96
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
271.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
271.71
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-28.5663
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
219.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.22
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
4.33
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-50.4464
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
218.49
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
218.49
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
297.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2740
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
297.37
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
-81.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
215.90
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
183.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
183.75
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.22
|
0.00% |
|
-38.0766
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
160.68
|
8.03
|
0.00
|
168.71
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.39
|
0.00% |
|
-16.2913
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
120.43
|
3.12
|
0.00
|
123.55
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.63
|
0.00% |
|
-14.9320
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
113.99
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
114.08
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
β
|
106.68
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
106.72
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.21
|
0.00% |
|
-9.0985
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
74.71
|
29.43
|
0.00
|
104.14
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-35.3962
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
β
|
99.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
99.58
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.92
|
0.00% |
|
-28.3959
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
82.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
82.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.18
|
0.00% |
|
-36.9109
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
80.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.58
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
992.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9326
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
992.93
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
β
|
-926.03
|
6.59
|
0.00
|
73.48
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
73.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.30
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5.00 by June 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 20 2022
|
β
|
70.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.79
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.69
|
0.00% |
|
-37.0479
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
62.73
|
6.30
|
0.00
|
69.02
|
Trades
|
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.65
|
0.00% |
|
-6.9491
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
60.12
|
1.61
|
0.00
|
61.73
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
54.28
|
0.39% |
|
-0.7976
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 20 2022
|
β
|
43.29
|
10.92
|
0.00
|
54.22
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $10 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
4.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-9.3623
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 29 2022
|
β
|
44.32
|
9.82
|
0.00
|
54.13
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-12.9810
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
51.90
|
0.22
|
0.00
|
52.12
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 17, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-11.0659
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 17 2022
|
β
|
50.79
|
0.71
|
0.00
|
51.50
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4 by April 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 08 2022
|
β
|
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by April 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
β
|
47.11
|
2.88
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October? |
Yes |
No |
4.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-9.3602
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
41.83
|
3.79
|
0.00
|
45.63
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.23
|
0.00
|
0.28% |
-8.5595
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
44.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.73
|
Trades
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-19.8528
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
42.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.22
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on June 24, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
295.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.8673
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
295.60
|
Fri Jun 24 2022
|
β
|
-256.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.23
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.71
|
0.01% |
|
-5.3898
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 29 2022
|
β
|
30.76
|
7.28
|
0.00
|
38.04
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
5.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.5503
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
26.55
|
10.11
|
0.00
|
36.66
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-9.0866
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
33.95
|
2.59
|
0.00
|
36.54
|
Trades
|
Will $LUNA be above $10.00 on May 17, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
180.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.7211
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
165.59
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
β
|
-130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.59
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on July 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-8.3168
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
34.60
|
0.31
|
0.00
|
34.91
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
β
|
34.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.23
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
191.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.8292
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
191.57
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
β
|
-158.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.73
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.93
|
0.00
|
0.08% |
-2.3541
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 07 2022
|
β
|
16.31
|
16.38
|
0.00
|
32.70
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
29.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.90
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
8.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.5159
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
β
|
28.47
|
0.99
|
0.00
|
29.46
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.55
|
0.00% |
|
-0.5896
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 03 2022
|
β
|
3.86
|
24.97
|
0.00
|
28.84
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
10.21
|
0.00
|
0.03% |
-2.7949
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
28.55
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
28.57
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $4.50 by May 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
138.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7992
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
138.50
|
0.00
|
Wed May 25 2022
|
β
|
-110.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.81
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.23
|
0.00% |
|
-5.1854
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 09 2022
|
β
|
27.11
|
0.61
|
0.00
|
27.72
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.22
|
0.00% |
|
-4.9925
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
21.07
|
4.65
|
0.00
|
25.72
|
Trades
|
Will the US hit its highest recorded gas price per gallon according to AAA by March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
β
|
22.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.85
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $8.25 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
4.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.0376
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 19 2022
|
β
|
17.28
|
5.14
|
0.00
|
22.43
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
6.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.1842
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
β
|
22.02
|
0.31
|
0.00
|
22.33
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
10.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3913
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
4.15
|
17.67
|
0.01
|
21.83
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.1440
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
20.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.51
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.49
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.49
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
19.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.43
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
5.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.5134
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
β
|
18.56
|
1.10
|
0.00
|
19.66
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.24
|
0.00% |
|
-2.2897
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 22 2022
|
β
|
9.72
|
9.79
|
0.00
|
19.51
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.63
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-2.7281
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
18.10
|
1.06
|
0.01
|
19.17
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 27? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 27 2022
|
β
|
18.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.96
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
18.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.22
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5188
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
3.31
|
14.08
|
0.00
|
17.39
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.18
|
0.00% |
|
-1.8332
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
16.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.84
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
36.37
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-0.3984
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
14.49
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
14.55
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
β
|
13.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.79
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.30
|
0.00% |
|
-1.3569
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
11.26
|
1.91
|
0.00
|
13.18
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
12.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.92
|
Trades
|
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.04
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2912
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 04 2022
|
β
|
1.76
|
10.99
|
0.00
|
12.75
|
Trades
|
The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.0285
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
3.43
|
8.87
|
0.00
|
12.30
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.12
|
0.00% |
|
-1.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
11.37
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
11.88
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
108.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.8966
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
108.32
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
-97.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.19
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.4343
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
10.16
|
0.96
|
0.00
|
11.12
|
Trades
|
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.64
|
0.00% |
|
-6.5001
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 05 2023
|
β
|
10.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.68
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.9422
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
7.75
|
2.78
|
0.00
|
10.53
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.92
|
0.00% |
|
-0.9951
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
8.87
|
1.54
|
0.00
|
10.41
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 12 2022
|
β
|
9.14
|
0.48
|
0.00
|
9.62
|
Trades
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
9.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.58
|
Trades
|
Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
β
|
8.73
|
0.58
|
0.00
|
9.30
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $92.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (OCT 2022 future) |
Yes |
No |
8.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5184
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 22 2022
|
β
|
4.52
|
4.38
|
0.00
|
8.90
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
8.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.76
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 20 2022
|
β
|
-7.13
|
14.81
|
0.00
|
7.69
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.80
|
0.00% |
|
-1.3694
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
5.20
|
2.47
|
0.00
|
7.67
|
Trades
|
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 6.6% or higher on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
β
|
7.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.22
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
6.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.30
|
Trades
|
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.21
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.20
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
5.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.73
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
9.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.1051
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-1.05
|
6.50
|
0.00
|
5.46
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
5.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.44
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
4.65
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-1.0581
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
4.92
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
4.93
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
3.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.1762
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.66
|
5.27
|
0.00
|
4.62
|
Trades
|
Will βDoctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madnessβ gross between $180 million and $200 million on its opening weekend in the USA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.36
|
0.00% |
|
-0.4761
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 09 2022
|
β
|
3.50
|
0.73
|
0.00
|
4.24
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.13
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1530
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
2.47
|
1.33
|
0.00
|
3.80
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 29 2022
|
β
|
3.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.06
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on June 24, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
195.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.9865
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
195.92
|
Fri Jun 24 2022
|
β
|
-193.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.64
|
Trades
|
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? |
Mark Zuckerberg |
Michael Bloomberg |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 20 2022
|
β
|
-0.23
|
2.80
|
0.00
|
2.57
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
2.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
1.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.78
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.06
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
1.63
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
1.71
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 07 2023
|
β
|
-0.04
|
1.70
|
0.00
|
1.66
|
Trades
|
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.52
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0815
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
β
|
0.29
|
1.36
|
0.01
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 26 2022
|
β
|
1.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.49
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
1.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.47
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
1.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.32
|
Trades
|
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 10 2022
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
0.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.91
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9736
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-1.67
|
2.46
|
0.00
|
0.79
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.35
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0561
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 23 2022
|
β
|
0.36
|
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.77
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? |
Yes |
No |
4.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1153
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.51
|
0.95
|
0.00
|
0.44
|
Trades
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
β
|
0.37
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.18
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.0155
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 07 2022
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.36
|
0.00
|
0.28
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
6.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0177
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.12
|
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? |
Yes |
No |
17.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0046
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 18 2022
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.31
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0423
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.22
|
0.42
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 05 2022
|
β
|
-0.23
|
0.43
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? |
Yes |
No |
7.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0963
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 03 2022
|
β
|
-0.71
|
0.91
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? |
Yes |
No |
9.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0015
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 03 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.29
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0067
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
0.04
|
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
β
|
-1.44
|
1.59
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
8.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0013
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Golf: Will an American win the 2022 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 11 2022
|
β
|
-0.09
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kari Lake be certified as winner of the Arizona gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
7.03
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
0.0001
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on May 26, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.0009
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 26 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
5.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0011
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29? |
Yes |
No |
6.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0012
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.0111
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.06
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.09
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? |
Cisneros |
Cuellar |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
β
|
-0.31
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
-0.27
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0690
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.42
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.45
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.78
|
0.18
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.74
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $85.00 or more on September 26, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.80
|
0.00% |
|
1.2153
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
28.80
|
Mon Sep 26 2022
|
β
|
-35.00
|
5.38
|
0.00
|
-0.82
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.03
|
0.00% |
|
1.0077
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.07
|
4.10
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.4344
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
-1.65
|
0.67
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
6.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5621
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
-3.65
|
2.53
|
0.00
|
-1.12
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.79
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
0.3773
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
β
|
-2.56
|
1.24
|
0.00
|
-1.32
|
Trades
|
Will Joel Embiid win NBA β21-β22 MVP? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
-1.42
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
-1.34
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $8.00 or more on September 26, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
4.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.8961
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 26 2022
|
β
|
-13.07
|
11.20
|
0.00
|
-1.86
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.95
|
0.00% |
|
4.4640
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-13.16
|
10.56
|
0.00
|
-2.60
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 07 2022
|
β
|
-4.12
|
1.51
|
0.00
|
-2.61
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
6.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.5898
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 09 2022
|
β
|
-3.58
|
0.23
|
0.00
|
-3.34
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
-3.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.39
|
Trades
|
Will βThor: Love and Thunderβ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-3.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.96
|
Trades
|
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Who will win Kyrgios vs. Nadal? |
Kyrgios |
Nadal |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 08 2022
|
β
|
-4.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.08
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $87.50 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
7.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.6576
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 19 2022
|
β
|
-12.22
|
7.67
|
0.00
|
-4.55
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
β
|
-4.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.98
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 10 2022
|
β
|
-4.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.98
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $3,100 on April 28, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 28 2022
|
β
|
-14.75
|
9.37
|
0.00
|
-5.37
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-5.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.58
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on September 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9065
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
-6.02
|
0.31
|
0.00
|
-5.71
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-6.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.95
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
-7.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.06
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
3.1561
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
-13.92
|
6.42
|
0.00
|
-7.51
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-7.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.63
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.2120
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
β
|
-13.01
|
5.37
|
0.00
|
-7.64
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 17, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 17 2022
|
β
|
-8.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.37
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
-8.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.42
|
Trades
|
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? |
Yes |
No |
6.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.5478
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 06 2022
|
β
|
-10.30
|
0.72
|
0.00
|
-9.58
|
Trades
|
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-9.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.69
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC reach 1$ again by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 02 2022
|
β
|
-9.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.83
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.35
|
0.00% |
|
2.3142
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 18 2022
|
β
|
-14.70
|
4.22
|
0.00
|
-10.48
|
Trades
|
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
β
|
-13.60
|
2.96
|
0.00
|
-10.63
|
Trades
|
NCAA March Madness: What seed will the Champion be? |
1-3 |
4-16 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 04 2022
|
β
|
-12.22
|
1.32
|
0.00
|
-10.90
|
Trades
|
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
-12.24
|
1.33
|
0.00
|
-10.91
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
-12.63
|
0.64
|
0.00
|
-11.99
|
Trades
|
Will βDoctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madnessβ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? |
Yes |
No |
7.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.7972
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 09 2022
|
β
|
-14.07
|
0.90
|
0.00
|
-13.17
|
Trades
|
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.48
|
0.12% |
|
2.8081
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-15.39
|
0.80
|
0.00
|
-14.59
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.14
|
0.00% |
|
3.5016
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 18 2022
|
β
|
-21.50
|
5.92
|
0.00
|
-15.58
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.51
|
0.00% |
|
4.9634
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 29 2022
|
β
|
-22.36
|
6.67
|
0.00
|
-15.70
|
Trades
|
Will Nikola JokiΔ win NBA β21-β22 MVP? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
-19.21
|
2.89
|
0.00
|
-16.32
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 03 2022
|
β
|
-16.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.35
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-19.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.97
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
15.07
|
0.00% |
|
2.5777
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.07
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-38.84
|
3.76
|
0.00
|
-20.01
|
Trades
|
Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.45 on April 29th, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 29 2022
|
β
|
-23.13
|
1.40
|
0.00
|
-21.73
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.17
|
0.01% |
|
10.7048
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-33.98
|
11.03
|
0.00
|
-22.95
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from March to April 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2.19
|
0.00
|
0.06% |
15.8410
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
β
|
-34.74
|
3.59
|
0.00
|
-31.16
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
4.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
13.3430
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 03 2022
|
β
|
-57.57
|
25.52
|
0.00
|
-32.05
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.76
|
0.00% |
|
7.2833
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
β
|
-41.97
|
0.94
|
0.00
|
-41.04
|
Trades
|
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
-44.77
|
1.65
|
0.00
|
-43.12
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.42
|
0.00% |
|
6.6812
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-49.55
|
5.08
|
0.00
|
-44.47
|
Trades
|
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yes |
No |
6.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
7.4265
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
-50.36
|
3.65
|
0.00
|
-46.71
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.41
|
0.00% |
|
15.3019
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
β
|
-67.48
|
4.16
|
0.00
|
-63.33
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,700 on May 14, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
9.13
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
9.1177
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 14 2022
|
β
|
-83.22
|
6.36
|
0.00
|
-76.86
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.51
|
0.00% |
|
20.3363
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 27 2022
|
β
|
-132.40
|
1.98
|
0.00
|
-130.42
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
-174.16
|
14.76
|
0.00
|
-159.40
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? |
Yes |
No |
24.73
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
7.9856
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
24.73
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
β
|
-197.51
|
10.42
|
0.00
|
-162.36
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.68
|
0.00% |
|
33.8706
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
β
|
-260.18
|
0.44
|
0.00
|
-259.74
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
957.31
|
0.00% |
|
1.6489
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1,578.48
|
2.82
|
0.00
|
-1,575.66
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,453.54
|
1,164.77
|
|
|
-1,714.02
|
478.62
|
0.09
|
1,383.00
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
14.22
|
6.64
|
0.00
|
20.86
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,453.54
|
1,164.77
|
|
|
-1,699.80
|
485.26
|
0.09
|
1,403.86
|
|