1708147860000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
252.78
|
0.9890
|
π |
Tx
|
1708147860000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.78
|
252.78
|
0.0110
|
π |
Tx
|
1708089080000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0xc2d5826b
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$285.00
|
300.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1707969627000
|
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$237.00
|
250.00
|
0.9480
|
π |
Tx
|
1707968895000
|
Russian nuke in space by March 31?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$237.50
|
250.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1707968797000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$247.75
|
250.00
|
0.9910
|
π |
Tx
|
1707968617000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
251.26
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1707968617000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
251.26
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1707771654000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.25
|
250.00
|
0.0170
|
π |
Tx
|
1707771654000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$245.75
|
250.00
|
0.9830
|
π |
Tx
|
1707703764000
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x30e44387
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$400.00
|
416.67
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707703764000
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$400.00
|
416.67
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707588684000
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$277.84
|
302.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1707588684000
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$24.16
|
302.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1707588291000
|
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$264.38
|
278.00
|
0.9510
|
π |
Tx
|
1707588291000
|
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$264.38
|
278.00
|
0.9510
|
π |
Tx
|
1707587871000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.50
|
500.00
|
0.0230
|
π |
Tx
|
1707587871000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$488.50
|
500.00
|
0.9770
|
π |
Tx
|
1707254828000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$495.00
|
500.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707254828000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$495.00
|
500.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706825111000
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$22.50
|
250.00
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706825111000
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$227.50
|
250.00
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1706649961000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$500.00
|
504.54
|
0.9910
|
π |
Tx
|
1706649961000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.54
|
504.54
|
0.0090
|
π |
Tx
|
1706505263000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$500.00
|
508.65
|
0.9830
|
π |
Tx
|
1706505263000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x9fe5bd38
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$8.65
|
508.65
|
0.0170
|
π |
Tx
|
1706370847000
|
Will America ban Zyn in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
294.12
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706370847000
|
Will America ban Zyn in 2024?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x209c21d4
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$44.12
|
294.12
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1705775554000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$500.00
|
502.01
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1705775554000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.01
|
502.01
|
0.0040
|
π |
Tx
|
1705601404000
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
|
0xdee4d804
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$228.75
|
250.00
|
0.9150
|
π |
Tx
|
1705551199000
|
Trump and Biden both lose nomination?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$40.65
|
580.65
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1705551199000
|
Trump and Biden both lose nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$540.00
|
580.65
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1705469589000
|
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
251.76
|
0.9930
|
π |
Tx
|
1705469589000
|
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
251.76
|
0.9930
|
π |
Tx
|
1705469124000
|
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xc0eea700
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
316.46
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1705469124000
|
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
316.46
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1705429479000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.05
|
360.65
|
0.0140
|
π |
Tx
|
1705429479000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$500.00
|
507.10
|
0.9860
|
π |
Tx
|
1705348602000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
253.55
|
0.9860
|
π |
Tx
|
1705348602000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x5ddc89f0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.55
|
253.55
|
0.0140
|
π |
Tx
|
1705306893000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$242.50
|
250.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704830165000
|
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.50
|
250.00
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1704830165000
|
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
257.73
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704137023000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x4df81d35
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$20.00
|
250.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1704137023000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$230.00
|
250.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1703822402000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$316.80
|
320.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1703822402000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x296bd652
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$316.80
|
320.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1703530066000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$240.00
|
250.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1703350898000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$250.00
|
255.10
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1703350898000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
255.10
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1703182299000
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$162.50
|
250.00
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1703182299000
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$87.50
|
250.00
|
0.3500
|
π |
Tx
|
1702446679000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
252.53
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1702446679000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
252.53
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1702360467000
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$250.00
|
274.73
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1700387109000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31?
|
0x24c5e4c3
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$497.50
|
500.00
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1699718917000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$247.50
|
250.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1699643072000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$247.50
|
250.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1699633779000
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
258.26
|
0.9680
|
π |
Tx
|
1699633779000
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x43ca835f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$8.26
|
258.26
|
0.0320
|
π |
Tx
|
1699611315000
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023?
|
0xc6e0d022
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$496.00
|
500.00
|
0.9920
|
π |
Tx
|
1698994024000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4a96b5be
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$380.00
|
400.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1698866509000
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
255.10
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698866509000
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
255.10
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698802070000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$538.87
|
541.58
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1697234191000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x4a55b80f
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$237.00
|
250.00
|
0.9480
|
π |
Tx
|
1697135922000
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$291.00
|
300.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1696653999000
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.50
|
250.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1696653999000
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$247.50
|
250.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1696258764000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?
|
0xe4ae43cd
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$242.50
|
250.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1696199703000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32cf8efc
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$475.00
|
500.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1694886335000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$250.00
|
258.80
|
0.9660
|
π |
Tx
|
1694886335000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x3db60dab
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
258.80
|
0.9660
|
π |
Tx
|
1694754602000
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$420.00
|
446.81
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1694754602000
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$26.81
|
446.81
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1692003601000
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
|
0x19093e7f
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$459.69
|
499.66
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1690885318000
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
|
0xda7c78b0
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$308.68
|
331.91
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1690212375000
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
|
0x010eb418
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$235.00
|
250.00
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1687467885000
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$500.00
|
581.40
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687467885000
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$81.40
|
581.40
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1686396344000
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$60.00
|
250.00
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1686396344000
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$190.00
|
250.00
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1685038166000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x2d14c1fc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.02
|
1,004.02
|
0.0040
|
π |
Tx
|
1685038166000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,000.00
|
1,004.02
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1684776275000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x11bca1af
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$340.48
|
380.00
|
0.8960
|
π |
Tx
|
1684776275000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$340.48
|
380.00
|
0.8960
|
π |
Tx
|
1679281568000
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting?
|
0xb76ab67a
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
250.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1678951515000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?
|
0x68e522d1
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.50
|
250.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1675015855000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x7f2de588
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$30.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1674945273000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x7f2de588
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$74.40
|
2,480.00
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1673959361000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x3fdf390f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.18
|
2,000.00
|
0.0051
|
|
Tx
|
1673957727000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x4eb0125a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.34
|
1,000.00
|
0.0093
|
|
Tx
|
1673957131000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x4eb0125a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.78
|
1,000.00
|
0.0098
|
|
Tx
|
1670902809000
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xa4e4ae92
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$8.52
|
250.00
|
0.0341
|
|
Tx
|
1670608549000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$7.32
|
250.00
|
0.0293
|
|
Tx
|
1670092262000
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xa4e4ae92
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.80
|
250.00
|
0.0432
|
|
Tx
|
1669488779000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x1b989fec
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.94
|
499.95
|
0.0119
|
|
Tx
|
1669487579000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.04
|
250.00
|
0.0362
|
|
Tx
|
1668279508000
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x52778dfc
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$15.89
|
500.00
|
0.0318
|
|
Tx
|