Polymarket Whales

πŸŒ™ β˜€

Account

Trades

Etherscan
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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 11,007.70 0.00% 0.9418 0.05 0.95 0.00 10,508.96 Sat Aug 10 2024 -10,366.65 0.00 0.00 142.32 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 253.93 0.00 0.00% 0.3072 0.79 0.21 201.72 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -78.00 0.00 0.00 123.72 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 827.00 0.00% 0.8728 0.03 0.97 0.00 805.10 Tue Sep 10 2024 -721.82 0.00 0.00 83.28 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.94 Tue Sep 10 2024 65.05 0.00 0.00 65.99 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 0.00 969.85 0.00% 0.9163 0.03 0.97 0.00 941.33 Sun Jun 30 2024 -888.67 0.00 0.00 52.66 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7220 0.89 0.11 221.99 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -180.50 0.00 0.00 41.49 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1,593.31 0.00% 0.9280 0.06 0.94 0.00 1,502.67 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1,478.61 0.00 0.00 24.06 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.96 Tue Sep 10 2024 18.01 0.00 0.00 18.97 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 5.50 0.00 0.00 5.50 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 174.20 0.00% 0.9373 0.04 0.96 0.00 166.73 Sat Aug 10 2024 -163.28 0.00 0.00 3.45 Trades
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.27 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.27 Tue Sep 10 2024 2.92 0.00 0.00 3.19 Trades
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.01 0.99 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 275.26 0.00% 0.9109 0.08 0.92 0.00 252.58 Sat Aug 10 2024 -250.74 0.00 0.00 1.84 Trades
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 30.06 0.00% 0.9312 0.02 0.98 0.00 29.40 Tue Sep 10 2024 -27.99 0.00 0.00 1.41 Trades
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 26.36 0.00% 0.9530 0.02 0.98 0.00 25.71 Tue Sep 10 2024 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.88 0.00% 0.9200 0.03 0.97 0.00 1.81 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.73 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 20.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 -18.40 0.00 0.00 -18.40 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1,392.55 0.00% 0.9740 0.04 0.96 0.00 1,337.17 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1,356.28 0.00 0.00 -19.10 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 0.00 24.39 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 41.36 0.00% 0.6896 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -28.52 0.00 0.00 -28.52 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 39.25 0.00% 0.8536 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -33.50 0.00 0.00 -33.50 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -42.50 0.00 0.00 -42.50 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -44.00 0.00 0.00 -44.00 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9570 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -47.85 0.00 0.00 -47.85 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 0.00 59.52 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? Yes No 65.67 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -55.82 0.00 0.00 -55.82 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -93.00 0.00 0.00 -93.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 117.65 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 0.00 142.86 0.00% 0.8243 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -117.75 0.00 0.00 -117.75 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.8720 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -218.00 0.00 0.00 -218.00 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9140 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -228.50 0.00 0.00 -228.50 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.00 304.31 0.00% 0.8315 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -253.03 0.00 0.00 -253.03 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 500.02 0.00% 0.7900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -395.02 0.00 0.00 -395.02 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 451.83 0.00% 0.9534 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -430.78 0.00 0.00 -430.78 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 0.00 729.41 0.00% 0.8555 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -624.00 0.00 0.00 -624.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 1,350.00 0.00% 0.7941 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,072.00 0.00 0.00 -1,072.00 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.8938 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -1,072.51 0.00 0.00 -1,072.51 Trades
Will β‰₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 1,500.20 0.00% 0.7857 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,178.74 0.00 0.00 -1,178.74 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,800.07 0.00% 0.8583 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,545.07 0.00 0.00 -1,545.07 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 1,634.53 0.00 0.00 1,634.53 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… 1,008.03 0.00 0.00 1,008.03 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 βœ… 662.79 0.00 0.00 662.79 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 βœ… 517.81 0.00 0.00 517.81 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 506.03 0.00 0.00 506.03 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 502.75 0.00 0.00 502.75 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 βœ… 458.14 0.00 0.00 458.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 452.17 0.00 0.00 452.17 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 450.38 0.00 0.00 450.38 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 423.47 0.00 0.00 423.47 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 398.70 0.00 0.00 398.70 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 01 2024 βœ… 391.50 0.00 0.00 391.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 358.12 0.07 0.00 358.20 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 βœ… 342.74 0.00 0.00 342.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 324.04 4.92 0.00 328.97 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 300.11 0.00 0.00 300.11 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 296.06 0.00 0.00 296.06 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 264.00 0.00 0.00 264.00 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 βœ… 260.83 0.00 0.00 260.83 Trades
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) Presley Reeves 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… 243.22 0.00 0.00 243.22 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 228.35 0.00 0.00 228.35 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 222.00 0.00 0.00 222.00 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 219.98 0.00 0.00 219.98 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 βœ… 212.76 0.00 0.00 212.76 Trades
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 212.37 0.00 0.00 212.37 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? Yes No 1,801.42 0.00 0.00% 0.8877 1.00 0.00 1,801.42 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… -1,599.03 0.00 0.00 202.39 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 βœ… 198.15 0.00 0.00 198.15 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 6.54 0.00 0.00% -29.5721 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 βœ… 193.43 0.00 0.00 193.43 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… 184.75 0.05 0.00 184.80 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 178.35 0.00 0.00 178.35 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 βœ… 161.26 0.00 0.00 161.26 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… 152.79 0.00 0.00 152.79 Trades
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 151.21 0.00 0.00 151.21 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.52 0.00% -15.4271 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 131.46 0.00 0.00 131.46 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 3,748.41 0.00 0.00% 0.9653 1.00 0.00 3,748.41 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 βœ… -3,618.30 0.18 0.00 130.29 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… 117.83 0.00 0.00 117.83 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 117.15 0.00 0.00 117.15 Trades
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 βœ… 110.53 0.00 0.00 110.53 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 3,750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9713 1.00 0.00 3,750.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -3,642.36 0.00 0.00 107.64 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 104.08 0.00 0.00 104.08 Trades
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 103.30 0.11 0.00 103.41 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 102.20 0.00 0.00 102.20 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.34 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 101.73 0.00 0.00 101.73 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 βœ… 101.00 0.00 0.00 101.00 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 99.68 0.00 0.00 99.68 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 97.45 0.00 0.00 97.45 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,344.43 0.00% 0.9589 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,344.43 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -2,248.06 0.00 0.00 96.37 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.07% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 95.61 0.00 0.00 95.61 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… 94.08 0.00 0.00 94.08 Trades
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 89.84 0.00 0.00 89.84 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 βœ… 88.47 0.00 0.00 88.47 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 5.47 0.00 0.38% -15.9905 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 87.50 0.00 0.00 87.50 Trades
How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? Less than 6.5 Million
6.5-7.5 Million
7.5-8.5 Million
8.5-9.5 Million
9.5-10.5 Million
Greater than 10.5 Million
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0.00
0.00
0.00
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0.00
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1.00
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Sun Feb 07 2021 βœ… 85.24 0.00 0.00 85.24 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 12.51 0.01% -6.7372 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 βœ… 84.28 0.00 0.00 84.28 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… 82.38 0.00 0.00 82.38 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 81.50 0.00 0.00 81.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 78.34 0.00 0.00 78.34 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 6.69 0.00 0.00% -11.4410 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… 76.59 0.00 0.00 76.59 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 8.20 0.00 0.00% -9.0102 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 73.88 0.00 0.00 73.89 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 745.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9027 1.00 0.00 745.34 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -672.80 0.00 0.00 72.55 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.39 0.00% -21.1160 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 71.48 0.00 0.00 71.48 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 βœ… 71.46 0.00 0.00 71.46 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… 70.65 0.00 0.00 70.65 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,503.24 0.00% 0.9556 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,503.24 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -1,436.57 0.00 0.00 66.67 Trades
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 62.46 0.00 0.00 62.46 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… 61.11 0.00 0.00 61.11 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 68.80 0.00 0.00% 0.1453 1.00 0.00 68.80 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 58.80 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… 58.25 0.00 0.00 58.25 Trades
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 57.45 0.00 0.00 57.45 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? 40,999 or fewer
41,000-65,999
66,000-99,999
100,000 or more
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0.00% 1.00
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Sat May 15 2021 βœ… 57.42 0.00 0.00 57.42 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 57.32 0.00 0.00 57.32 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 βœ… 57.03 0.00 0.00 57.03 Trades
Will Solana Network go down in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 56.38 0.00 0.00 56.38 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… 55.77 0.00 0.00 55.77 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 0.00 6,000.29 0.00% 0.9908 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,000.29 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… -5,945.37 0.00 0.00 54.92 Trades
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 βœ… 54.76 0.00 0.00 54.76 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… 54.50 0.00 0.00 54.50 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 759.18 0.00% 0.9286 0.00 1.00 0.00 759.18 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -705.00 0.00 0.00 54.18 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… 53.00 0.00 0.00 53.00 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 βœ… 52.67 0.00 0.00 52.67 Trades
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 52.60 0.00 0.00 52.60 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 52.54 0.00 0.00 52.54 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 βœ… 52.50 0.00 0.00 52.50 Trades
Will LeBron announce his retirement by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 52.04 0.00 0.00 52.04 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… 51.05 0.00 0.00 51.05 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 50.75 0.00 0.00 50.75 Trades
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 50.50 0.00 0.00 50.50 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 50.50 0.00 0.00 50.50 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 0.00 10.80 0.00% -4.6138 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 49.84 0.00 0.00 49.84 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.00 492.63 0.00% 0.8994 0.00 1.00 0.00 492.63 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -443.05 0.00 0.00 49.58 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 7.54 0.00 0.00% -6.4155 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 48.36 0.00 0.00 48.37 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 βœ… 46.45 0.00 0.00 46.45 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 345.74 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 1.00 0.00 345.74 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -300.80 0.00 0.00 44.94 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 1,750.00 0.00% 0.9746 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,750.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -1,705.50 0.00 0.00 44.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.76% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 44.17 0.00 0.00 44.17 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 βœ… 43.49 0.00 0.00 43.49 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 43.03 0.00 0.00 43.03 Trades
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 42.76 0.00 0.00 42.76 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 βœ… 42.73 0.00 0.00 42.73 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 991.42 0.00% 0.9572 0.00 1.00 0.00 991.42 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -948.96 0.21 0.00 42.67 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 42.44 0.00 0.00 42.44 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 6.42 0.00 0.00% -6.2915 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 40.42 0.00 0.00 40.42 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… 40.36 0.00 0.00 40.36 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 992.11 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 992.11 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -952.47 0.00 0.00 39.64 Trades
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 37.97 0.00 0.00 37.97 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 598.30 0.02% 0.9371 0.00 1.00 0.00 598.30 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… -560.68 0.00 0.00 37.62 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 10.43 0.00% -3.5707 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 βœ… 37.23 0.00 0.00 37.23 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… 36.56 0.00 0.00 36.56 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 36.32 0.00 0.00 36.32 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.6400 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 βœ… -64.00 0.00 0.00 36.00 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 60.98 0.00% 0.4100 0.00 1.00 0.00 60.98 Sun May 21 2023 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 35.98 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… 35.56 0.00 0.00 35.56 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 35.53 0.00 0.00 35.53 Trades
NCAAB: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. San Diego State Aztecs 2023-03-24 Alabama San Diego State 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 βœ… 35.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 Trades
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 516.71 0.00% 0.9335 0.00 1.00 0.00 516.71 Sun Feb 11 2024 βœ… -482.33 0.00 0.00 34.38 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… 33.75 0.00 0.00 33.75 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 2,532.12 0.00% 0.9868 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,532.12 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -2,498.65 0.00 0.00 33.47 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 672.55 0.00 0.00% 0.9509 1.00 0.00 672.55 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -639.50 0.00 0.00 33.05 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? Yes No 1,999.99 0.00 0.02% 0.9836 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 βœ… -1,967.24 0.00 0.00 32.76 Trades
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 βœ… 31.19 0.00 0.00 31.19 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 1,340.00 0.00% 0.9769 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,340.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -1,308.98 0.00 0.00 31.02 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… 30.93 0.00 0.00 30.93 Trades
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… 30.59 0.00 0.00 30.59 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 βœ… 30.26 0.00 0.00 30.26 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 βœ… 29.78 0.00 0.00 29.78 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 29.33 0.00 0.00 29.33 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 456.38 0.00% 0.9367 0.00 1.00 0.00 456.38 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -427.50 0.00 0.00 28.88 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 726.70 0.06% 0.9605 0.00 1.00 0.00 726.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -697.99 0.00 0.00 28.71 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 927.29 0.00% 0.9698 0.00 1.00 0.00 927.29 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -899.27 0.00 0.00 28.02 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? 1k 2k 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 28.00 0.00 0.00 28.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 4.65 0.00 0.01% -6.0097 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… 27.96 0.00 0.00 27.96 Trades
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.50 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 βœ… 27.56 0.00 0.00 27.56 Trades
Who will win Clippers v. Mavericks: Game 5? Clippers Mavericks 0.00 0.00 25.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 βœ… 27.23 0.34 0.00 27.56 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8633 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 βœ… -172.66 0.00 0.00 27.34 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9463 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -473.15 0.00 0.00 26.85 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 26.01 0.00 0.00 26.01 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.4800 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -24.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 606.53 0.00 0.00% 0.9577 1.00 0.00 606.53 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -580.90 0.00 0.00 25.63 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 534.77 0.00% 0.9527 0.00 1.00 0.00 534.77 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -509.50 0.00 0.00 25.27 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 126.32 0.00% 0.8029 0.00 1.00 0.00 126.32 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -101.42 0.00 0.00 24.90 Trades
Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship? Packers Buccaneers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 25 2021 βœ… 24.43 0.00 0.00 24.43 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… 23.86 0.00 0.00 23.86 Trades
Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman? Yes No 0.00 414.57 0.00% 0.9440 0.00 1.00 0.00 414.57 Sun Dec 10 2023 βœ… -391.35 0.00 0.00 23.22 Trades
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 22.18 0.17 0.00 22.35 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 22.13 0.00 0.00 22.13 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 0.00 150.48 0.00% 0.8549 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.48 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… -128.65 0.00 0.00 21.83 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 12.22 0.00 0.00% -1.7764 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… 21.71 0.00 0.00 21.71 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 21.55 0.00 0.00 21.55 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY? Yes No 5.95 0.00 0.00% -3.6204 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 21.54 0.00 0.00 21.54 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.01% -5.0157 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… 20.05 0.00 0.01 20.05 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 βœ… 19.85 0.00 0.00 19.85 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 496.52 0.00% 0.9601 0.00 1.00 0.00 496.52 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -476.70 0.00 0.00 19.82 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 300.41 0.00% 0.9345 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.41 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -280.74 0.00 0.00 19.67 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… 19.13 0.00 0.00 19.13 Trades
Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 19.13 0.00 0.00 19.13 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 92.32 0.00% 0.7961 0.00 1.00 0.00 92.32 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -73.50 0.00 0.00 18.82 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 18.51 0.00 0.00 18.51 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9260 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -231.51 0.00 0.00 18.49 Trades
Will the Jazz or the Grizzlies win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? Jazz Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 18.38 0.00 0.00 18.38 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1,250.00 0.00% 0.9853 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -1,231.65 0.00 0.00 18.34 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 18.07 0.00 0.00 18.07 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.99 0.00% -4.5234 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 18.04 0.00 0.00 18.04 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 687.90 0.00% 0.9739 0.00 1.00 0.00 687.90 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -669.97 0.00 0.00 17.93 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… 17.36 0.00 0.00 17.36 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 βœ… -8.64 25.97 0.00 17.33 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 17.07 0.00 0.00 17.07 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 1,222.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9862 1.00 0.00 1,222.40 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 βœ… -1,205.52 0.00 0.00 16.87 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 βœ… 16.68 0.00 0.00 16.68 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 491.91 0.00 0.00% 0.9663 1.00 0.00 491.91 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -475.34 0.00 0.00 16.56 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… 16.36 0.00 0.00 16.36 Trades
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.03% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 16.01 0.00 0.00 16.01 Trades
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 βœ… 15.95 0.00 0.00 15.95 Trades
Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2.77 0.00% -4.7192 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.77 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 13.05 0.00 0.00 15.81 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 241.78 0.00 0.00% 0.9347 1.00 0.00 241.78 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 βœ… -225.99 0.00 0.00 15.79 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 261.52 0.00% 0.9407 0.00 1.00 0.00 261.52 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -246.00 0.00 0.00 15.51 Trades
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8462 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -84.62 0.00 0.00 15.38 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 10.45 0.00 0.00% -0.4475 1.00 0.00 10.45 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 4.67 0.00 0.00 15.12 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8510 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -85.10 0.00 0.00 14.90 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 146.85 0.00 0.00% 0.8991 1.00 0.00 146.85 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -132.04 0.07 0.00 14.88 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 9.52 5.35 0.00 14.87 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… 3.63 11.02 0.00 14.65 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8571 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -85.71 0.00 0.00 14.29 Trades
Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 βœ… 14.28 0.00 0.00 14.28 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9434 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -235.85 0.00 0.00 14.15 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 250.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9440 1.00 0.00 250.35 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -236.34 0.00 0.00 14.01 Trades
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 500.86 0.00% 0.9724 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.86 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -487.06 0.05 0.00 13.85 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 4.07 0.00 0.01% -3.3903 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… 13.81 0.00 0.00 13.81 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.70% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 βœ… 13.44 0.00 0.00 13.44 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 0.00 99.99 0.00% 0.8676 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.99 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -86.75 0.00 0.00 13.24 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 292.58 0.00% 0.9554 0.00 1.00 0.00 292.58 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -279.52 0.00 0.00 13.06 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? Yes No 1,003.31 0.00 0.00% 0.9871 1.00 0.00 1,003.31 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… -990.38 0.00 0.00 12.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.00% -6.3967 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… 12.92 0.00 0.00 12.92 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 12.50 0.00 0.00 12.50 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? Yes No 6.38 0.00 0.00% -1.9543 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… 12.46 0.00 0.00 12.46 Trades
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 28 2021 βœ… 5.47 6.91 0.00 12.39 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 12.36 0.00 0.00 12.36 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8771 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -87.71 0.00 0.00 12.28 Trades
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 βœ… 12.27 0.00 0.00 12.27 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… 12.22 0.00 0.00 12.22 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 5.43 0.00 0.00% -2.2124 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… 12.02 0.01 0.00 12.03 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9530 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -238.25 0.00 0.00 11.75 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 βœ… 11.71 0.00 0.00 11.71 Trades
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 11.70 0.00 0.00 11.70 Trades
Will there be another (1071st) NFL Scorigami in November 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 11.52 0.00 0.00 11.52 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? Yes No 5.98 0.00 0.00% -1.9214 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… 11.49 0.00 0.00 11.49 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 12.30 0.00 0.00% -0.9341 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 11.49 0.00 0.00 11.49 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 βœ… 11.35 0.00 0.00 11.35 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 511.32 0.00% 0.9779 0.00 1.00 0.00 511.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 11.32 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 11.28 0.00 0.00 11.28 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $5 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 199.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9444 1.00 0.00 199.99 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -188.86 0.00 0.00 11.13 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 606.49 0.00% 0.9819 0.00 1.00 0.00 606.49 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -595.50 0.00 0.00 10.99 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 0.00 252.08 0.00% 0.9567 0.00 1.00 0.00 252.08 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -241.17 0.00 0.00 10.91 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 βœ… 10.27 0.00 0.00 10.27 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? Yes No 6.16 0.00 0.00% -1.6650 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 βœ… 10.25 0.00 0.00 10.25 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 βœ… 10.18 0.00 0.00 10.18 Trades
Will Taylor Swift’s re-recording of her album β€œRed” beat Kanye's "Donda" in first week streams? Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 10.14 0.00 0.00 10.14 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 10.06 0.00 0.00 10.06 Trades
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 111.31 0.00% 0.9096 0.00 1.00 0.00 111.31 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -101.24 0.00 0.00 10.06 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -240.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? Yes No 8.88 0.00 0.00% -1.1258 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 βœ… 9.90 0.00 0.00 9.90 Trades
Will Ethereum dip below $2000 by March 1? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9609 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -240.23 0.00 0.00 9.77 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 499.99 0.00% 0.9808 0.00 1.00 0.00 499.99 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -490.41 0.00 0.00 9.58 Trades
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? Yes No 59.52 0.00 0.00% 0.8400 1.00 0.00 59.52 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 9.52 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 9.52 0.00 0.00 9.52 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 βœ… 9.41 0.00 0.00 9.41 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 802.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9883 1.00 0.00 802.35 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -793.00 0.00 0.00 9.35 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.00 439.79 0.00% 0.9788 0.00 1.00 0.00 439.79 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -430.45 0.00 0.00 9.33 Trades
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 9.18 0.00 0.00 9.18 Trades
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? Independent Republican 0.00 245.31 0.00% 0.9632 0.00 1.00 0.00 245.31 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -236.28 0.01 0.00 9.04 Trades
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.8216 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… -41.07 0.00 0.00 8.92 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 4.10 0.00 0.00% -2.1699 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 8.90 0.00 0.00 8.90 Trades
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5567 1.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 Wed Feb 15 2023 βœ… -11.13 0.00 0.00 8.87 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 245.30 0.00% 0.9643 0.00 1.00 0.00 245.30 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -236.55 0.00 0.00 8.75 Trades
NBA: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat 2023-05-29 Celtics Heat 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 29 2023 βœ… 8.75 0.00 0.00 8.75 Trades
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? Yes No 0.00 457.73 0.00% 0.9809 0.00 1.00 0.00 457.73 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -449.00 0.00 0.00 8.73 Trades
Will the price of $BTC be above $33,000 on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 βœ… 8.61 0.00 0.00 8.61 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9141 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 βœ… -91.41 0.00 0.00 8.59 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 299.99 0.00% 0.9715 0.00 1.00 0.00 299.99 Tue Mar 08 2022 βœ… -291.45 0.00 0.00 8.54 Trades
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in May 2022? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.00 10.31 0.00% -0.8226 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… 8.48 0.00 0.00 8.48 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 125.00 0.00% 0.9326 0.00 1.00 0.00 125.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -116.58 0.00 0.00 8.42 Trades
Will the GΓ€vle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 60.75 0.00% 0.8633 0.00 1.00 0.00 60.75 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -52.45 0.00 0.00 8.30 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 6.71 0.00 0.00% -1.2320 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… 8.26 0.00 0.00 8.26 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 βœ… 8.12 0.00 0.00 8.12 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB? Dogecoin Shiba Inu 0.00 0.00 1.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 βœ… 8.10 0.00 0.00 8.10 Trades
Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.02% 0.9198 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 βœ… -91.98 0.00 0.00 8.02 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 7.91 0.00 0.00 7.91 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 126.88 0.00% 0.9379 0.00 1.00 0.00 126.88 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -119.00 0.00 0.00 7.88 Trades
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? Yes No 237.64 0.00 0.00% 0.9671 1.00 0.00 237.64 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -229.82 0.04 0.00 7.85 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 7.12 0.55 0.00 7.67 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 59.02 0.00 0.00% 0.8707 1.00 0.00 59.02 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -51.39 0.00 0.00 7.63 Trades
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 7.18 0.38 0.00 7.56 Trades
Will Olivia Jade and Val Chmerkovskiy Win Season 30 of Dancing with the Stars? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 βœ… 7.52 0.00 0.00 7.52 Trades
Will Netherlands win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 8.86 0.00 0.00% -0.8365 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 βœ… 7.41 0.00 0.00 7.41 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? Yes No 7.20 0.00 0.00% -1.0046 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… 7.23 0.00 0.00 7.24 Trades
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 βœ… 7.15 0.00 0.00 7.15 Trades
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 02 2021 βœ… 7.14 0.00 0.00 7.14 Trades
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… 6.95 0.00 0.00 6.95 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 713.21 0.00% 0.9903 0.00 1.00 0.00 713.21 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -706.30 0.00 0.00 6.91 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 99.99 0.00% 0.9325 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.99 Tue Mar 08 2022 βœ… -93.24 0.00 0.00 6.75 Trades
Will @DonaldJTrumpJr post more than 70 new tweets by November 8th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 βœ… 6.62 0.00 0.00 6.62 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 94.95 0.00% 0.9306 0.00 1.00 0.00 94.95 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -88.36 0.00 0.00 6.59 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 206.52 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 206.52 Thu Feb 15 2024 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 6.52 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -43.50 0.00 0.00 6.50 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 07 2021 βœ… 6.44 0.00 0.00 6.44 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? Yes No 1.94 0.00 0.00% -3.2292 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… 6.26 0.00 0.00 6.26 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.012 by June 12? Yes No 5.46 0.00 0.00% -1.1217 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 12 2022 βœ… 6.13 0.00 0.00 6.13 Trades
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 βœ… 6.07 0.00 0.00 6.07 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? Bezos Musk 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… 6.06 0.00 0.00 6.06 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -94.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 6.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 242.15 0.00 0.00% 0.9753 1.00 0.00 242.15 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -236.17 0.00 0.00 5.98 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -0.9622 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… 5.94 0.00 0.00 5.94 Trades
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 βœ… 5.94 0.00 0.00 5.94 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 152.09 0.00 0.00% 0.9616 1.00 0.00 152.09 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -146.25 0.00 0.00 5.84 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? Yes No 4.86 0.00 0.00% -1.1968 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 5.81 0.00 0.00 5.81 Trades
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 5.79 0.00 0.00 5.79 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 9.40 0.00 0.00% -0.6147 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 5.78 0.00 0.00 5.78 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 191.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9701 1.00 0.00 191.35 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -185.62 0.00 0.00 5.72 Trades
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% -0.3809 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… 5.71 0.00 0.00 5.72 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 99.95 0.00% 0.9433 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.95 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -94.28 0.00 0.00 5.67 Trades
Will any Knicks game have greater than 20% attendance before the NBA season ends? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 17 2021 βœ… 5.57 0.00 0.00 5.57 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from August to September 2022? Yes No 5.31 0.00 0.00% -1.0457 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 βœ… 5.55 0.00 0.00 5.55 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 5.54 0.00 0.00 5.54 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 100.28 0.00% 0.9449 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.28 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -94.75 0.00 0.00 5.53 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 5.50 0.00 0.00 5.50 Trades
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9459 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… -94.58 0.00 0.00 5.41 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 99.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9472 1.00 0.00 99.99 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -94.72 0.00 0.00 5.28 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 5.22 0.00 0.00 5.22 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 0.00 75.01 0.00% 0.9333 0.00 1.00 0.00 75.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -70.01 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -95.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Eric Adams criminal charges before April? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -95.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 160.10 0.00% 0.9690 0.00 1.00 0.00 160.10 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -155.13 0.00 0.00 4.97 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.60 0.00 0.00% -0.4631 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 4.91 0.00 0.01 4.92 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 276.52 0.00% 0.9822 0.00 1.00 0.00 276.52 Fri Dec 29 2023 βœ… -271.60 0.00 0.00 4.92 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 96.68 0.00% 0.9496 0.00 1.00 0.00 96.68 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -91.81 0.00 0.00 4.87 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 300.26 0.00% 0.9838 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.26 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -295.40 0.00 0.00 4.86 Trades
Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 βœ… 4.74 0.00 0.00 4.74 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 94.50 0.00 0.12% 0.9501 1.00 0.00 94.50 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -89.78 0.00 0.00 4.72 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on March 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9084 1.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -45.42 0.00 0.00 4.58 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 0.00 301.06 0.00% 0.9849 0.00 1.00 0.00 301.06 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -296.52 0.00 0.00 4.54 Trades
Another House member censured by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 304.52 0.00% 0.9852 0.00 1.00 0.00 304.52 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 4.52 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3.20 0.00 0.00% -1.4102 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… 4.51 0.00 0.00 4.51 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? Yes No 0.00 300.25 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.25 Fri May 19 2023 βœ… -295.75 0.00 0.00 4.50 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 4.50 0.00 0.00 4.50 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -45.50 0.00 0.00 4.50 Trades
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? Healthcare Workers
WHO
Joe Biden
Anthony Fauci
Other
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
Mon Dec 13 2021 βœ… -95.59 0.00 0.00 4.41 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 βœ… 4.39 0.00 0.00 4.39 Trades
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 09 2022 βœ… 4.29 0.00 0.00 4.29 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… 4.28 0.00 0.00 4.28 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 βœ… 4.23 0.00 0.00 4.23 Trades
Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 4.20 0.00 0.00 4.20 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? Yes No 100.00 0.00 10.00% 0.9585 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 βœ… -95.85 0.00 0.00 4.15 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.9725 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -145.88 0.00 0.00 4.13 Trades
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? Yes No 203.37 0.00 0.00% 0.9798 1.00 0.00 203.37 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -199.25 0.00 0.00 4.12 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 199.99 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 199.99 Tue Mar 08 2022 βœ… -195.90 0.00 0.00 4.09 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 0.00 83.66 0.01% 0.9516 0.00 1.00 0.00 83.66 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -79.61 0.00 0.00 4.05 Trades
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? Yes No 0.00 152.04 0.00% 0.9734 0.00 1.00 0.00 152.04 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -148.00 0.00 0.00 4.04 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from February to March 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? Germany Poland 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 βœ… 3.92 0.00 0.00 3.92 Trades
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 3.90 0.00 0.00 3.90 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 379.85 0.00% 0.9899 0.00 1.00 0.00 379.85 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -376.03 0.00 0.00 3.82 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… 3.76 0.00 0.00 3.76 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 5.21 0.00 0.28% -0.7185 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… 3.74 0.00 0.00 3.74 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos? Elon Musk Jeff Bezos 200.00 0.00 1.09% 0.9815 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 βœ… -196.30 0.00 0.00 3.70 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 βœ… 3.63 0.00 0.00 3.63 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 203.56 0.00% 0.9825 0.00 1.00 0.00 203.56 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 3.56 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -46.50 0.00 0.00 3.50 Trades
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 5.26% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 19 2021 βœ… 3.40 0.02 0.00 3.42 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 3.39 0.00 0.00 3.39 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.8669 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -21.67 0.00 0.00 3.33 Trades
Will Tim Tebow score a touchdown in the upcoming NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… 3.32 0.00 0.00 3.32 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 0.00 150.76 0.00% 0.9784 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.76 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -147.50 0.00 0.00 3.26 Trades
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 53.19 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 53.19 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 3.19 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 3.10 0.00 0.00 3.10 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 103.09 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 103.09 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 3.09 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 103.09 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 103.09 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 3.09 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? Yes No 100.46 0.00 0.00% 0.9700 1.00 0.00 100.46 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -97.45 0.00 0.00 3.01 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 301.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 301.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -298.00 0.00 0.00 3.01 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.38 0.00% -0.6806 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 2.98 0.00 0.00 2.98 Trades
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 2.96 0.00 0.00 2.96 Trades
Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… 2.95 0.00 0.00 2.95 Trades
(In-game Trading) Will the Cowboys beat the Eagles by more than 3.5 points in their week three matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 27 2021 βœ… 2.93 0.01 0.00 2.93 Trades
Will β€˜Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 9.69 0.00% -0.2963 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… 2.87 0.00 0.00 2.87 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 200.00 10.00% 0.9856 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 βœ… -197.13 0.00 0.00 2.87 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 0.00 259.11 0.00% 0.9891 0.00 1.00 0.00 259.11 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -256.30 0.00 0.00 2.81 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 1.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -7.20 0.00 0.00 2.80 Trades
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 11 2021 βœ… 2.75 0.00 0.00 2.75 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? Yes No 0.00 3.91 0.00% -0.7002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 2.74 0.00 0.00 2.74 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.01% -0.3936 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… 2.61 0.00 0.00 2.61 Trades
Will Roman Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 βœ… 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Anthony Fauci jail by EoY? Yes No 0.00 116.67 0.00% 0.9786 0.00 1.00 0.00 116.67 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -114.17 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 βœ… 2.39 0.00 0.00 2.39 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 95.77 0.00 0.00% 0.9752 1.00 0.00 95.77 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -93.40 0.00 0.00 2.37 Trades
Minouche Shafik out as Columbia President before March? Yes No 0.00 150.04 0.00% 0.9848 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.04 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -147.76 0.00 0.00 2.28 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? Yes No 8.02 0.00 0.00% -0.2838 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… 2.28 0.00 0.00 2.28 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? Yes No 0.00 5.10 0.00% -0.4456 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 2.27 0.00 0.00 2.27 Trades
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 2.20 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 15 2021 βœ… 2.16 0.00 0.00 2.16 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.9857 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -147.85 0.00 0.00 2.15 Trades
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 2.09 0.00 0.00 2.09 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 202.02 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 202.02 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 2.02 Trades
Will George Santos resign by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 βœ… 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Israel win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -98.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 6.76 0.00 0.00% -0.2822 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… 1.91 0.00 0.00 1.91 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 1.89 0.00 0.00 1.89 Trades
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 βœ… 1.86 0.00 0.00 1.86 Trades
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 βœ… 1.85 0.00 0.00 1.85 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9635 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -48.17 0.00 0.00 1.83 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… 1.81 0.00 0.00 1.81 Trades
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… 1.80 0.00 0.00 1.80 Trades
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? Yes No 0.00 251.76 0.00% 0.9930 0.00 1.00 0.00 251.76 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -250.00 0.00 0.00 1.76 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 βœ… 1.75 0.00 0.00 1.75 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 1.75 0.00 0.00 1.75 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? Yes No 2.39 0.00 0.00% -0.7299 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 βœ… 1.75 0.00 0.00 1.75 Trades
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9655 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -48.28 0.00 0.00 1.72 Trades
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 31.06 0.00% 0.9469 0.00 1.00 0.00 31.06 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -29.41 0.00 0.00 1.65 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 βœ… 1.64 0.00 0.00 1.64 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9840 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -98.40 0.00 0.00 1.60 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 20.50 0.02% 0.9226 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.50 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -18.92 0.00 0.00 1.59 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9843 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 βœ… -98.43 0.00 0.00 1.57 Trades
Will there be more than 211 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9844 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -98.44 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 1.55 0.00 0.00 1.55 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? Yes No 0.00 65.00 0.00% 0.9765 0.00 1.00 0.00 65.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -63.48 0.00 0.00 1.52 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 101.52 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 101.52 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 1.52 Trades
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 121.11 0.00% 0.9875 0.00 1.00 0.00 121.11 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -119.60 0.00 0.00 1.51 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… 1.51 0.00 0.00 1.51 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 βœ… 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will Coinbase list $PEPE by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will a world leader shit themselves before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 91.69 0.00% 0.9837 0.00 1.00 0.00 91.69 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -90.19 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 250,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 100.00 11.11% 0.9853 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 βœ… -98.53 0.00 0.00 1.47 Trades
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… 1.41 0.00 0.00 1.41 Trades
NFL: Will the 49ers beat the Seahawks by more than 3.5 points in their December 5 matchup? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9862 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 βœ… -98.61 0.00 0.00 1.38 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 26.34 0.00% 0.9490 0.00 1.00 0.00 26.34 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 1.34 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 02 2021 βœ… 1.34 0.00 0.00 1.34 Trades
Will Morocco win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 1.88 0.00 0.02% -0.7078 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 βœ… 1.33 0.00 0.00 1.33 Trades
Will the USA or European Union report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16? USA European Union 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 βœ… 1.31 0.00 0.00 1.31 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 1.25 0.00 0.00 1.25 Trades
Alex Jones banned from X again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 43.75 0.00% 0.9714 0.00 1.00 0.00 43.75 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -42.50 0.00 0.00 1.25 Trades
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.88% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 1.23 0.00 0.00 1.23 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9756 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -48.78 0.00 0.00 1.22 Trades
Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January? Yes No 0.00 101.21 0.00% 0.9880 0.00 1.00 0.00 101.21 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 1.21 Trades
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 7.05 0.00 0.00% -0.1715 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… 1.21 0.00 0.00 1.21 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 0.00 7.54 0.00% 0.8479 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.54 Tue Dec 13 2022 βœ… -6.40 0.00 0.00 1.15 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022? Yes No 0.00 7.10 0.00% -0.1586 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 βœ… 1.13 0.00 0.00 1.13 Trades
Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 5? Jazz Clippers 0.00 0.00 14.29% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 16 2021 βœ… -0.02 1.11 0.00 1.09 Trades
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.01% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 βœ… 1.08 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 0.00 41.03 0.00% 0.9750 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.03 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 1.03 Trades
Will Kanye release β€˜Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 0.00 51.02 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 51.02 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 1.02 Trades
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? Yes No 0.00 101.01 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 101.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 1.01 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -99.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… -24.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 βœ… 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.06 0.00% -0.1896 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 15.96 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.96 Fri Nov 24 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
US/Iran declare war before March? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9910 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -99.10 0.00 0.00 0.90 Trades
Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.88 Trades
NFL Saturday: Giants vs. Eagles Giants Eagles 0.00 20.00 0.00% 0.9565 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.00 Sat Jan 21 2023 βœ… -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.87 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 26 2021 βœ… 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.86 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9830 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -49.15 0.00 0.00 0.85 Trades
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.9% or more in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 βœ… 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.82 Trades
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 100.81 0.00% 0.9920 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.81 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 0.81 Trades
Who will win 76ers vs. Wizards: Game 3? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 29 2021 βœ… 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Will Sergei Shoigu remain Minister of Defense of Russia through July 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.19 0.00% -0.1283 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 βœ… 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -24.25 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 βœ… 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 29 2023 βœ… 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9930 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 βœ… -99.30 0.00 0.00 0.70 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? Yes No 0.04 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.68 Trades
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? Yes No 0.00 161.23 0.00% 0.9960 0.00 1.00 0.00 161.23 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -160.59 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9937 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… -99.37 0.00 0.00 0.63 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.5820 0.41 0.59 0.00 58.70 βœ… -58.20 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 βœ… -24.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by October 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 βœ… 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 15.66 0.00 0.00% -0.0291 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 βœ… 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
NFL: Will the Eagles beat the Jets by more than 6.5 points in their December 5 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 βœ… 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? Yes No 27.27 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 27.27 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? Yes No 0.00 25.25 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.25 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 Trades
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 βœ… 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.14 Trades
Will there be 850,000 or more total ETH burned before November 10th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 βœ… 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will SEC approve Bitwise ETF by June 29? Yes No 24.95 0.00 0.01% 0.0024 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 29 2022 βœ… -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.05 0.00% 0.0582 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -0.47 0.15 0.00 -0.32 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? WI SC 0.00 0.00 0.01% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… -1.41 0.15 0.00 -1.26 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œfolks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -1.81 0.00 0.00 -1.81 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… -4.59 0.04 0.00 -4.56 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 3.66 0.00% 2.0257 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 βœ… -7.41 0.00 0.00 -7.41 Trades
Will there be an NFL Scorigami in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 79.68 0.00% 0.0979 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -7.80 0.00 0.00 -7.80 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 βœ… -9.85 0.00 0.00 -9.85 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 16.13 0.00 0.00% 0.6200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? Yes No 0.00 128.38 0.00% 0.0779 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 24.86 0.00% 0.4100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -10.19 0.00 0.00 -10.19 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 7.48 0.00% 1.6227 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -12.13 0.00 0.00 -12.13 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… -12.15 0.00 0.00 -12.15 Trades
Will another US bank fail in March? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -12.75 0.00 0.00 -12.75 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.5600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -14.00 0.00 0.00 -14.00 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 βœ… -19.99 5.38 0.00 -14.62 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? Yes No 42.50 0.00 0.01% 0.3442 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 βœ… -14.63 0.00 0.00 -14.63 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -15.77 0.00 0.00 -15.77 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.00 30.74 0.00% 0.5318 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -16.34 0.00 0.00 -16.34 Trades
Will Iron Finance’s Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? Yes No 0.00 27.33 0.00% 0.9149 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 36.23 0.00% 0.6900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 38.46 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -25.51 0.00 0.00 -25.51 Trades
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.6800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 βœ… -34.00 0.00 0.00 -34.00 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 3? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 27 2021 βœ… -35.00 0.00 0.00 -35.00 Trades
Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 22 2021 βœ… -36.78 0.02 0.00 -36.76 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -38.55 0.00 0.00 -38.55 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -50.31 7.69 0.00 -42.62 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 75.00 0.00% 0.7267 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -54.50 0.00 0.00 -54.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 0.00 106.48 0.00% 0.6259 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -66.64 0.00 0.00 -66.64 Trades
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 βœ… -74.52 3.15 0.00 -71.37 Trades
Will the price of $BTC be above $43,000 on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 βœ… -79.40 0.00 0.00 -79.40 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 βœ… -83.54 0.00 0.00 -83.54 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9185 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 βœ… -91.85 0.00 0.00 -91.85 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… -93.00 0.00 0.00 -93.00 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9481 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -94.81 0.00 0.00 -94.81 Trades
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -110.28 0.00 0.00 -110.28 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -162.50 0.00 0.00 -162.50 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -164.33 0.00 0.00 -164.33 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 252.94 0.00% 0.6931 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -175.30 0.00 0.00 -175.30 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 305.76 0.00% 0.8019 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… -245.20 0.00 0.00 -245.20 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 βœ… -421.39 0.00 0.00 -421.39 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 537.39 0.00% 0.7951 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -427.25 0.00 0.00 -427.25 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9261 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 βœ… -926.10 0.00 0.00 -926.10 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,475.01 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… -5,201.25 1.45 0.00 -5,199.80 Trades
Resolved 20,630.54 42,879.33 -52,355.70 75.61 0.06 11,329.85
Unresolved 423.71 15,573.64 -23,109.50 0.00 0.00 -7,112.15
Total 21,054.26 58,452.98 -75,465.20 75.61 0.06 4,217.70