Account
0xd0db79306c38e8ce1969ce80dde58fa67a67b117 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12,749.56 | 0.00% | 0.9467 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 12,171.91 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -12,069.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.43 | Trades | ||
Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 753.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6871 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 598.91 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -518.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.91 | Trades | ||
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,249.70 | 0.00% | 0.9320 | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 1,242.07 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -1,164.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.35 | Trades | ||
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.94 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 65.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.99 | Trades | |||
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 919.48 | 0.00% | 0.8870 | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 859.02 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -815.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.48 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7220 | 0.87 | 0.13 | 218.31 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -180.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.81 | Trades | ||
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,592.23 | 0.00% | 0.9280 | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 1,501.65 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -1,477.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.05 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.8950 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 191.65 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -179.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.65 | Trades | ||
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 183.52 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -180.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.52 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.27 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 2.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.19 | Trades | |||
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | |||
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.40 | Trades | |||
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 09 2024 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | |||
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.06 | 0.00% | 0.9312 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 29.40 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -27.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.41 | Trades | ||
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.15 | 0.00% | 0.9510 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 100.64 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -99.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 | Trades | ||
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 26.36 | 0.00% | 0.9530 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 25.71 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -25.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | Trades | ||
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.28 | 0.00% | 0.9520 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 14.67 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -14.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | ||
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.88 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 1.81 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 30 2024 | -13.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.00 | Trades | ||
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.00 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 25 2024 | -18.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.40 | Trades | ||
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 24.39 | 0.00% | 0.8200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 39.25 | 0.00% | 0.8536 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 09 2024 | -33.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.50 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -39.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.50 | Trades | ||
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -42.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.50 | Trades | ||
Russian nuke in space in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.8800 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -44.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.00 | Trades | ||
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 59.52 | 0.00% | 0.8400 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? | Yes | No | 65.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -55.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.82 | Trades | ||
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -93.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.00 | Trades | ||
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9550 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 30 2024 | -95.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -95.50 | Trades | ||
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | No | 117.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 22 2024 | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
Fed rate cut by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9220 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 01 2024 | -184.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -184.40 | Trades | ||
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9140 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -228.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -228.50 | Trades | ||
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 304.28 | 0.00% | 0.9557 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -290.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -290.80 | Trades | ||
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.8600 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 31 2024 | -430.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -430.01 | Trades | ||
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9160 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -458.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -458.00 | Trades | ||
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 519.47 | 0.00% | 0.9569 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -497.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -497.07 | Trades | ||
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 650.00 | 0.00% | 0.8123 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -528.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -528.00 | Trades | ||
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 592.86 | 0.00% | 0.9378 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 29 2024 | -556.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -556.00 | Trades | ||
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 729.41 | 0.00% | 0.8555 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -624.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -624.00 | Trades | ||
Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 900.00 | 0.00% | 0.9247 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -832.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -832.25 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? | Yes | No | 1,000.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9605 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 01 2024 | -960.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -960.60 | Trades | ||
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,500.20 | 0.00% | 0.7857 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -1,178.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,178.74 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.8640 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -1,296.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,296.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 1,634.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,634.53 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 01 2023 | β | 1,008.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,008.03 | Trades | ||
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | β | 662.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 662.79 | Trades | ||
Will Biden drop out by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 16 2024 | β | 517.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 517.81 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 506.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 506.03 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | β | 502.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 502.75 | Trades | ||
Will Biden drop out by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 23 2024 | β | 458.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 458.14 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 452.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 452.17 | Trades | ||
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 450.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 450.38 | Trades | ||
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 423.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 423.47 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 398.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 398.70 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 358.12 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 358.20 | Trades | ||
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 17 2023 | β | 342.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 342.74 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 324.04 | 4.92 | 0.00 | 328.97 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 300.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 300.11 | Trades | ||
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 296.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 296.06 | Trades | |||
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 264.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 264.00 | Trades | ||
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 20 2024 | β | 260.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 260.83 | Trades | ||
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) | Presley | Reeves | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | 243.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 243.22 | Trades | ||
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 228.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 228.35 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 222.00 | Trades | ||
US bank failure in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 219.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 219.98 | Trades | ||
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | β | 212.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 212.76 | Trades | ||
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 212.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 212.37 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,801.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8877 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,801.42 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -1,599.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 202.39 | Trades | |
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 10 2023 | β | 198.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 198.15 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -29.5721 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | 193.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 193.43 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 184.75 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 184.80 | Trades | ||
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 178.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 178.35 | Trades | ||
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 15 2024 | β | 161.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 161.26 | Trades | ||
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | β | 152.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 152.79 | Trades | ||
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | 151.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 151.21 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 8.52 | 0.00% | -15.4271 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 131.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 131.46 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,748.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9653 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,748.41 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | β | -3,618.30 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 130.29 | Trades | |
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | 117.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 117.83 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 117.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 117.15 | Trades | ||
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | β | 110.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.53 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 3,750.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9713 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,750.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -3,642.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 107.64 | Trades | |
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 104.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 104.08 | Trades | ||
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 103.30 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 103.41 | Trades | ||
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 102.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.20 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? | Democrat | Republican | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 101.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 101.73 | Trades | ||
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 15 2023 | β | 101.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 101.00 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 99.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.68 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 97.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.45 | Trades | ||
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,344.43 | 0.00% | 0.9589 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,344.43 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -2,248.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.37 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 95.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.61 | Trades | ||
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | 94.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.08 | Trades | ||
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | 89.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.84 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 88.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.47 | Trades | ||
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 5.47 | 0.00 | 0.38% | -15.9905 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 87.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.50 | Trades | |
How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? | Less than 6.5 Million 6.5-7.5 Million 7.5-8.5 Million 8.5-9.5 Million 9.5-10.5 Million Greater than 10.5 Million |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Feb 07 2021 | β | 85.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.24 | Trades | ||||||
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.51 | 0.01% | -6.7372 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | β | 84.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.28 | Trades | |
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 82.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.38 | Trades | ||
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 81.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.50 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 78.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.34 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -11.4410 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | 76.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.59 | Trades | |
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 8.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -9.0102 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 73.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.89 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? | Democrat | Republican | 745.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9027 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 745.34 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -672.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.55 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 3.39 | 0.00% | -21.1160 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 71.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.48 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 01 2024 | β | 71.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.46 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 01 2023 | β | 70.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.65 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,503.24 | 0.00% | 0.9556 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,503.24 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -1,436.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.67 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 62.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.46 | Trades | ||
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 14 2023 | β | 61.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.11 | Trades | ||
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 68.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1453 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 68.80 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.80 | Trades | |
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 15 2023 | β | 58.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.25 | Trades | ||
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 57.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.45 | Trades | ||
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | β | 57.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.42 | Trades | ||||||
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 57.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.32 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | β | 57.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.03 | Trades | ||
Will Solana Network go down in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | 56.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.38 | Trades | ||
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? | Israel | Palestine | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | β | 55.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.77 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,000.29 | 0.00% | 0.9908 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,000.29 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | β | -5,945.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.92 | Trades | |
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 03 2021 | β | 54.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.76 | Trades | ||
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 759.18 | 0.00% | 0.9286 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 759.18 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -705.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.18 | Trades | |
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | Biden | Haley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | β | 53.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.00 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 52.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.67 | Trades | ||
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 52.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.60 | Trades | ||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 52.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.54 | Trades | ||
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 25 2024 | β | 52.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.50 | Trades | ||
Will LeBron announce his retirement by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 52.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.04 | Trades | ||
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | β | 51.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.05 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 50.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.75 | Trades | ||
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 50.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.50 | Trades | ||
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 50.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.50 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 10.80 | 0.00% | -4.6138 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 49.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.84 | Trades | |
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 492.63 | 0.00% | 0.8994 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 492.63 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -443.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.58 | Trades | |
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? | Yes | No | 7.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -6.4155 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 48.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.37 | Trades | |
Fed rate cut by March 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 20 2024 | β | 46.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.45 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 345.74 | 0.00% | 0.8700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 345.74 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -300.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.94 | Trades | |
Biden to drop out before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,750.00 | 0.00% | 0.9746 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,750.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -1,705.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.50 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.76% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 44.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.17 | Trades | ||
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 13 2023 | β | 43.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.49 | Trades | ||
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 43.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.03 | Trades | ||
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 42.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.76 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | 42.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.73 | Trades | ||
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 991.42 | 0.00% | 0.9572 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 991.42 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -948.96 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 42.67 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 42.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.44 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? | Yes | No | 6.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -6.2915 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 40.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.42 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | 40.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.36 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 992.11 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 992.11 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -952.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.64 | Trades | |
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 37.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.97 | Trades | |||
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 598.30 | 0.02% | 0.9371 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 598.30 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | -560.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.62 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.43 | 0.00% | -3.5707 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 01 2022 | β | 37.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.23 | Trades | |
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | 36.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.56 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 36.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.32 | Trades | ||
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.6400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Jan 14 2024 | β | -64.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.00 | Trades | |
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 60.98 | 0.00% | 0.4100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 60.98 | Sun May 21 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.98 | Trades | |
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | β | 35.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.56 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | 35.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.53 | Trades | ||
NCAAB: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. San Diego State Aztecs 2023-03-24 | Alabama | San Diego State | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 24 2023 | β | 35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.00 | Trades | ||
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 516.71 | 0.00% | 0.9335 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 516.71 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | β | -482.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.38 | Trades | |
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 33.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.75 | Trades | ||
Fed rate cut by January 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,532.12 | 0.00% | 0.9868 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,532.12 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -2,498.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.47 | Trades | |
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 672.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9509 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 672.55 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -639.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.05 | Trades | |
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,999.99 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.9836 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,999.99 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 20 2022 | β | -1,967.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.76 | Trades | |
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 29 2023 | β | 31.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.19 | Trades | ||
Russian nuke in space by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,340.00 | 0.00% | 0.9769 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,340.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -1,308.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.02 | Trades | |
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 01 2023 | β | 30.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.93 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 30.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.59 | Trades | ||
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | β | 30.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.26 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Feb 24 2024 | β | 29.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.78 | Trades | ||
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 29.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.33 | Trades | ||
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 456.38 | 0.00% | 0.9367 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 456.38 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -427.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.88 | Trades | |
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 726.70 | 0.06% | 0.9605 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 726.70 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -697.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.71 | Trades | |
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 927.29 | 0.00% | 0.9698 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 927.29 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -899.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.02 | Trades | |
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? | 1k | 2k | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 28.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.00 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 4.65 | 0.00 | 0.01% | -6.0097 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 27.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.96 | Trades | |
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 27.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.56 | Trades | ||
Who will win Clippers v. Mavericks: Game 5? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 02 2021 | β | 27.23 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 27.56 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8633 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | β | -172.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.34 | Trades | |
SBF sentenced to life? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9463 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -473.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.85 | Trades | |
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 26.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.01 | Trades | ||
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.4800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.00 | Trades | |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 606.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9577 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 606.53 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -580.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.63 | Trades | |
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 534.77 | 0.00% | 0.9527 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 534.77 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -509.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.27 | Trades | |
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 126.32 | 0.00% | 0.8029 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 126.32 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -101.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.90 | Trades | |
Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship? | Packers | Buccaneers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 25 2021 | β | 24.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.43 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | 23.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.86 | Trades | ||
Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 414.57 | 0.00% | 0.9440 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 414.57 | Sun Dec 10 2023 | β | -391.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.22 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 22.18 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 22.35 | Trades | ||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 22.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.13 | Trades | ||
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.48 | 0.00% | 0.8549 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.48 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | β | -128.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.83 | Trades | |
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 12.22 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.7764 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 21.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.71 | Trades | |
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 21.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.55 | Trades | |||
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY? | Yes | No | 5.95 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -3.6204 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 21.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.54 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | -5.0157 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 20.05 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 20.05 | Trades | |
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 496.52 | 0.00% | 0.9601 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 496.52 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -476.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.82 | Trades | |
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.41 | 0.00% | 0.9345 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.41 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -280.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.67 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | 19.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.13 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trumpβs Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 19.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.13 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 92.32 | 0.00% | 0.7961 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 92.32 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -73.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.82 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 18.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.51 | Trades | ||
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9260 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -231.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.49 | Trades | |
Will the Jazz or the Grizzlies win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Jazz | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 18.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.38 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9853 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,250.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -1,231.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.34 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 18.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.07 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 3.99 | 0.00% | -4.5234 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 18.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.04 | Trades | |
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 687.90 | 0.00% | 0.9739 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 687.90 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -669.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.93 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 17.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.36 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | -8.64 | 25.97 | 0.00 | 17.33 | Trades | ||
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | 17.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.07 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 1,222.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9862 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,222.40 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 01 2023 | β | -1,205.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.87 | Trades | |
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 05 2024 | β | 16.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.68 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 491.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9663 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 491.91 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -475.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.56 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 16.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.36 | Trades | ||
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 16.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.01 | Trades | ||
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 15.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.95 | Trades | ||
Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.77 | 0.00% | -4.7192 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.77 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 13.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.81 | Trades | |
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? | Yes | No | 241.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9347 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 241.78 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -225.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.79 | Trades | |
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 261.52 | 0.00% | 0.9407 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 261.52 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -246.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.51 | Trades | |
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.8462 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -84.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.38 | Trades | |
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 10.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.4475 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.45 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 4.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.12 | Trades | |
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.8510 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -85.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.90 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 146.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8991 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 146.85 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -132.04 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 14.88 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 9.52 | 5.35 | 0.00 | 14.87 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 3.63 | 11.02 | 0.00 | 14.65 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8571 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -85.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.29 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spearsβ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | 14.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.28 | Trades | ||
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9434 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -235.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.15 | Trades | |
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? | Yes | No | 250.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9440 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.35 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -236.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.01 | Trades | |
Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.86 | 0.00% | 0.9724 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.86 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -487.06 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 13.85 | Trades | |
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 4.07 | 0.00 | 0.01% | -3.3903 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 13.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.81 | Trades | |
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 13.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.44 | Trades | ||
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.99 | 0.00% | 0.8676 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.99 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -86.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.24 | Trades | |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 292.58 | 0.00% | 0.9554 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 292.58 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -279.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.06 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? | Yes | No | 1,003.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9871 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,003.31 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | β | -990.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.93 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.02 | 0.00% | -6.3967 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | 12.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.92 | Trades | |
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.38 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.9543 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | 12.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.46 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 5.47 | 6.91 | 0.00 | 12.39 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 12.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.36 | Trades | ||
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8771 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -87.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.28 | Trades | |
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 12.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.27 | Trades | ||
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | β | 12.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.22 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 5.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -2.2124 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 12.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 12.03 | Trades | |
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9530 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -238.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.75 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 11.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.71 | Trades | ||
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 11.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.70 | Trades | ||
Will there be another (1071st) NFL Scorigami in November 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 11.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.52 | Trades | ||
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? | Yes | No | 5.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.9214 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 11.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.49 | Trades | |
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? | Yes | No | 12.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.9341 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 11.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.49 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | 11.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.35 | Trades | ||
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 511.32 | 0.00% | 0.9779 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 511.32 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.32 | Trades | |
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 11.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.28 | Trades | ||
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYCβs $APE token be higher than $5 billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 199.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9444 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 199.99 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | -188.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.13 | Trades | |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 606.49 | 0.00% | 0.9819 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 606.49 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -595.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.99 | Trades | |
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 252.08 | 0.00% | 0.9567 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 252.08 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -241.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.91 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | 10.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.27 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 6.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.6650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | 10.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.25 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | β | 10.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.18 | Trades | ||
Will Taylor Swiftβs re-recording of her album βRedβ beat Kanye's "Donda" in first week streams? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 10.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.14 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 10.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.06 | Trades | ||
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 111.31 | 0.00% | 0.9096 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 111.31 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -101.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.06 | Trades | |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -240.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | |
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.8000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Thu Jun 01 2023 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | |
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? | Yes | No | 8.88 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.1258 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | 10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | 9.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.90 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum dip below $2000 by March 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9609 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -240.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.77 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 499.99 | 0.00% | 0.9808 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 499.99 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -490.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.58 | Trades | |
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? | Yes | No | 59.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 59.52 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.52 | Trades | |
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 9.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.52 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 08 2024 | β | 9.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.41 | Trades | ||
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 802.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9883 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 802.35 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -793.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.35 | Trades | |
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 439.79 | 0.00% | 0.9788 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 439.79 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -430.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.33 | Trades | |
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 9.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.18 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? | Independent | Republican | 0.00 | 245.31 | 0.00% | 0.9632 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 245.31 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -236.28 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9.04 | Trades | |
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.8216 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | -41.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.92 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 4.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -2.1699 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 8.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.90 | Trades | |
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? | Yes | No | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5567 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 15 2023 | β | -11.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.87 | Trades | |
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 245.30 | 0.00% | 0.9643 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 245.30 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -236.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.75 | Trades | |
NBA: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat 2023-05-29 | Celtics | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 29 2023 | β | 8.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.75 | Trades | ||
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 457.73 | 0.00% | 0.9809 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 457.73 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -449.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.73 | Trades | |
Will the price of $BTC be above $33,000 on February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | 8.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.61 | Trades | ||
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9141 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 25 2022 | β | -91.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.59 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 299.99 | 0.00% | 0.9715 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 299.99 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | β | -291.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.54 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in May 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 10.31 | 0.00% | -0.8226 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 8.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.48 | Trades | |
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 125.00 | 0.00% | 0.9326 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 125.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -116.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.42 | Trades | |
Will the GΓ€vle Goat be destroyed in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 60.75 | 0.00% | 0.8633 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 60.75 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -52.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.30 | Trades | |
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.2320 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 8.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.26 | Trades | |
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 8.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.12 | Trades | ||
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB? | Dogecoin | Shiba Inu | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 8.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.10 | Trades | ||
Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9198 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | -91.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.02 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 7.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.91 | Trades | ||
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 126.88 | 0.00% | 0.9379 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 126.88 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -119.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.88 | Trades | |
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 237.64 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9671 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 237.64 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -229.82 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 7.85 | Trades | |
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 7.12 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 7.67 | Trades | ||
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? | Yes | No | 59.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8707 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 59.02 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -51.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.63 | Trades | |
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 7.18 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 7.56 | Trades | ||
Will Olivia Jade and Val Chmerkovskiy Win Season 30 of Dancing with the Stars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | 7.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.52 | Trades | ||
Will Netherlands win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 8.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.8365 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | 7.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.41 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 7.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.0046 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 7.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.24 | Trades | |
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 17 2022 | β | 7.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.15 | Trades | ||
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | 7.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.14 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | 6.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.95 | Trades | ||
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 713.21 | 0.00% | 0.9903 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 713.21 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -706.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.91 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.99 | 0.00% | 0.9325 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.99 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | β | -93.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.75 | Trades | |
Will @DonaldJTrumpJr post more than 70 new tweets by November 8th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | β | 6.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.62 | Trades | ||
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 94.95 | 0.00% | 0.9306 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 94.95 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -88.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.59 | Trades | |
Will US attack Iran by February 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 206.52 | 0.00% | 0.9684 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 206.52 | Thu Feb 15 2024 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.52 | Trades | |
US bank failure in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.8700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -43.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.50 | Trades | |
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 07 2021 | β | 6.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.44 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 1.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -3.2292 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | 6.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.26 | Trades | |
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.012 by June 12? | Yes | No | 5.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.1217 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 12 2022 | β | 6.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.13 | Trades | |
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | 6.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.07 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 6.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.06 | Trades | ||
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -94.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | |
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 242.15 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9753 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 242.15 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -236.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.98 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 6.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.9622 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 5.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.94 | Trades | |
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | 5.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.94 | Trades | ||
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 152.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9616 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 152.09 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -146.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.84 | Trades | |
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 4.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.1968 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 5.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.81 | Trades | |
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 5.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.79 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? | Yes | No | 9.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.6147 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 5.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.78 | Trades | |
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? | Yes | No | 191.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9701 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 191.35 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -185.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.72 | Trades | |
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.3809 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 5.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.72 | Trades | |
Hunter Biden arrested before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.95 | 0.00% | 0.9433 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.95 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -94.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | Trades | |
Will any Knicks game have greater than 20% attendance before the NBA season ends? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 17 2021 | β | 5.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.57 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 5.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.0457 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | β | 5.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.55 | Trades | |
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 5.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.54 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.28 | 0.00% | 0.9449 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.28 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -94.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | Trades | |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 5.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.50 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9459 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | -94.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.41 | Trades | |
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? | Bored Apes | CryptoPunks | 99.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9472 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.99 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -94.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.28 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 5.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.22 | Trades | ||
Will Tucker interview Putin? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 75.01 | 0.00% | 0.9333 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 75.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -70.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -95.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 30 2023 | β | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Eric Adams criminal charges before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -95.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 160.10 | 0.00% | 0.9690 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 160.10 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -155.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.97 | Trades | |
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 10.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.4631 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 4.91 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.92 | Trades | |
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 276.52 | 0.00% | 0.9822 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 276.52 | Fri Dec 29 2023 | β | -271.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.92 | Trades | |
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 96.68 | 0.00% | 0.9496 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 96.68 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -91.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.87 | Trades | |
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.26 | 0.00% | 0.9838 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.26 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -295.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.86 | Trades | |
Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | 4.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.74 | Trades | ||
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? | Yes | No | 94.50 | 0.00 | 0.12% | 0.9501 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 94.50 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -89.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.72 | Trades | |
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on March 1st, 2022? | Bored Apes | CryptoPunks | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9084 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -45.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.58 | Trades | |
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 301.06 | 0.00% | 0.9849 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 301.06 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -296.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.54 | Trades | |
Another House member censured by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 304.52 | 0.00% | 0.9852 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 304.52 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.52 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 3.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.4102 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | 4.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.51 | Trades | |
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.25 | 0.00% | 0.9850 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.25 | Fri May 19 2023 | β | -295.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | Trades | |
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 4.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | Trades | ||
Binance insolvent in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -45.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | Trades | |
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
100.00 100.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | β | -95.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.41 | Trades | ||||||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | β | 4.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.39 | Trades | ||
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 09 2022 | β | 4.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.29 | Trades | ||
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | 4.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.28 | Trades | ||
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | 4.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.23 | Trades | ||
Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 4.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.20 | Trades | ||
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 10.00% | 0.9585 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 11 2022 | β | -95.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.15 | Trades | |
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00% | 0.9725 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -145.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.13 | Trades | |
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 203.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9798 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 203.37 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -199.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.12 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 199.99 | 0.00% | 0.9795 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 199.99 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | β | -195.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.09 | Trades | |
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 83.66 | 0.01% | 0.9516 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 83.66 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -79.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.05 | Trades | |
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 152.04 | 0.00% | 0.9734 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 152.04 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -148.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.04 | Trades | |
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | β | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from February to March 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 11 2023 | β | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? | Germany | Poland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | 3.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.92 | Trades | ||
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 3.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.90 | Trades | ||
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 379.85 | 0.00% | 0.9899 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 379.85 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -376.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.82 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | 3.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.76 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 5.21 | 0.00 | 0.28% | -0.7185 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | 3.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.74 | Trades | |
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos? | Elon Musk | Jeff Bezos | 200.00 | 0.00 | 1.09% | 0.9815 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 20 2022 | β | -196.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70 | Trades | |
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | β | 3.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.63 | Trades | ||
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 203.56 | 0.00% | 0.9825 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 203.56 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.56 | Trades | |
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -46.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | Trades | |
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | β | 3.40 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 3.42 | Trades | ||
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 3.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.39 | Trades | ||
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.8669 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -21.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | Trades | |
Will Tim Tebow score a touchdown in the upcoming NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | 3.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.32 | Trades | ||
Will Iran officially join the war before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.76 | 0.00% | 0.9784 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.76 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -147.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.26 | Trades | |
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 53.19 | 0.00% | 0.9400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 53.19 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.19 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 3.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.10 | Trades | ||
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 103.09 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 103.09 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.09 | Trades | |
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 103.09 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 103.09 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.09 | Trades | |
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? | Yes | No | 100.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.46 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -97.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.01 | Trades | |
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 301.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 301.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -298.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.01 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 4.38 | 0.00% | -0.6806 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 2.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.98 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 2.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.96 | Trades | ||
Will President Bidenβs first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trumpβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.95 | Trades | ||
(In-game Trading) Will the Cowboys beat the Eagles by more than 3.5 points in their week three matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 27 2021 | β | 2.93 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2.93 | Trades | ||
Will βTop Gun: Maverickβ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.69 | 0.00% | -0.2963 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | 2.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.87 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 10.00% | 0.9856 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | β | -197.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.87 | Trades | |
Will Hamas surrender before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 259.11 | 0.00% | 0.9891 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 259.11 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -256.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.81 | Trades | |
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? | Yes | No | 10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -7.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | Trades | |
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 11 2021 | β | 2.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.75 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.91 | 0.00% | -0.7002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 2.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.74 | Trades | |
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? | Yes | No | 6.64 | 0.00 | 0.01% | -0.3936 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.61 | Trades | |
Will Roman Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | β | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 30 2023 | β | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
Anthony Fauci jail by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 116.67 | 0.00% | 0.9786 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 116.67 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -114.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | |
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | β | 2.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.39 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? | Democrat | Republican | 95.77 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9752 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 95.77 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -93.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.37 | Trades | |
Minouche Shafik out as Columbia President before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.04 | 0.00% | 0.9848 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.04 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -147.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.28 | Trades | |
Will Kim Kardashian announce sheβs pregnant by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 8.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.2838 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 2.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.28 | Trades | |
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.10 | 0.00% | -0.4456 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.27 | Trades | |
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.20 | Trades | ||
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | β | 2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.16 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00% | 0.9857 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -147.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.15 | Trades | |
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 2.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.09 | Trades | ||
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 202.02 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 202.02 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.02 | Trades | |
Will George Santos resign by January 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Israel win Eurovision 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 12 2023 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Tue May 02 2023 | β | -98.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | |
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? | Barbie | Oppenheimer | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 6.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.2822 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | 1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.91 | Trades | |
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.89 | Trades | ||
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.86 | Trades | ||
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | β | 1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.85 | Trades | ||
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9635 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -48.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.83 | Trades | |
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.81 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | Trades | ||
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 251.76 | 0.00% | 0.9930 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 251.76 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.76 | Trades | |
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 20 2023 | β | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Trades | ||
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | β | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Trades | ||
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? | Yes | No | 2.39 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.7299 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Trades | |
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9655 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -48.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.72 | Trades | |
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 31.06 | 0.00% | 0.9469 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 31.06 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -29.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.65 | Trades | |
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | β | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.64 | Trades | ||
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9840 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -98.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.60 | Trades | |
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.50 | 0.02% | 0.9226 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20.50 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -18.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.59 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9843 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | -98.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.57 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 211 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9844 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -98.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.56 | Trades | |
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.55 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 65.00 | 0.00% | 0.9765 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 65.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -63.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.52 | Trades | |
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.52 | 0.00% | 0.9850 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.52 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.52 | Trades | |
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 121.11 | 0.00% | 0.9875 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 121.11 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -119.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.51 | Trades | |
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | β | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.51 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 12 2023 | β | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase list $PEPE by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | β | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
Will a world leader shit themselves before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 91.69 | 0.00% | 0.9837 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 91.69 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -90.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 250,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 11.11% | 0.9853 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | β | -98.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.47 | Trades | |
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.41 | Trades | ||
NFL: Will the 49ers beat the Seahawks by more than 3.5 points in their December 5 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9862 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Dec 05 2021 | β | -98.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.38 | Trades | |
US military intervention by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 26.34 | 0.00% | 0.9490 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.34 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.34 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | β | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.34 | Trades | ||
Will Morocco win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.02% | -0.7078 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | Trades | |
Will the USA or European Union report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16? | USA | European Union | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.31 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 | Trades | ||
Alex Jones banned from X again in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 43.75 | 0.00% | 0.9714 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 43.75 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -42.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 | Trades | |
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.23 | Trades | ||
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9756 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -48.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.22 | Trades | |
Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.21 | 0.00% | 0.9880 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.21 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.21 | Trades | |
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 7.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1715 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | 1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.21 | Trades | |
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.54 | 0.00% | 0.8479 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.54 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | β | -6.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.15 | Trades | |
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.10 | 0.00% | -0.1586 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 03 2022 | β | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.13 | Trades | |
Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 5? | Jazz | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.29% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | β | -0.02 | 1.11 | 0.00 | 1.09 | Trades | ||
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 14 2022 | β | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||
North Korea nuke by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 41.03 | 0.00% | 0.9750 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 41.03 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | Trades | |
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 51.02 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 51.02 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.02 | Trades | |
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.01 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | Trades | |
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 30 2023 | β | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -99.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | β | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? | Yes | No | 25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.06 | 0.00% | -0.1896 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | |
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.96 | 0.00% | 0.9400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.96 | Fri Nov 24 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | |
US/Iran declare war before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9910 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -99.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.90 | Trades | |
Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.88 | Trades | ||
NFL Saturday: Giants vs. Eagles | Giants | Eagles | 0.00 | 20.00 | 0.00% | 0.9565 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Sat Jan 21 2023 | β | -19.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 | Trades | |
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | β | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.86 | Trades | ||
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9830 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -49.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | Trades | |
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.9% or more in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 17 2022 | β | 0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.82 | Trades | ||
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.81 | 0.00% | 0.9920 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.81 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.81 | Trades | |
Who will win 76ers vs. Wizards: Game 3? | 76ers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | β | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | Trades | ||
Will Sergei Shoigu remain Minister of Defense of Russia through July 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.19 | 0.00% | -0.1283 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 | Trades | |
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 | Trades | ||
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -24.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | |
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 13 2023 | β | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 29 2023 | β | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.74 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9930 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | β | -99.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.70 | Trades | |
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 11.11% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 | Trades | ||
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 161.23 | 0.00% | 0.9960 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 161.23 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -160.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | |
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9937 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -99.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.63 | Trades | |
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.5820 | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 58.70 | β | -58.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Tue Jun 13 2023 | β | -24.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by October 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 28 2023 | β | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 15.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0291 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 | Trades | |
NFL: Will the Eagles beat the Jets by more than 6.5 points in their December 5 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 05 2021 | β | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? | Yes | No | 27.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 27.27 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -27.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | Trades | |
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.25 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.25 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | |
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl LVII? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
Will NATO expand by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | Trades | ||
Will there be 850,000 or more total ETH burned before November 10th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | β | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | ||
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
Will Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will SEC approve Bitwise ETF by June 29? | Yes | No | 24.95 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.0024 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 29 2022 | β | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.05 | 0.00% | 0.0582 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -0.47 | 0.15 | 0.00 | -0.32 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -1.41 | 0.15 | 0.00 | -1.26 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.81 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -4.59 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -4.56 | Trades | ||
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.66 | 0.00% | 2.0257 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | -7.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.41 | Trades | |
Will there be an NFL Scorigami in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 79.68 | 0.00% | 0.0979 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -7.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.80 | Trades | |
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 17 2023 | β | -9.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.85 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? | Yes | No | 16.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 128.38 | 0.00% | 0.0779 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 04 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
George Santos expelled in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 24.86 | 0.00% | 0.4100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -10.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.19 | Trades | |
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.48 | 0.00% | 1.6227 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -12.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.13 | Trades | |
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | -12.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.15 | Trades | ||
Will another US bank fail in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -12.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.75 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.5600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | -19.99 | 5.38 | 0.00 | -14.62 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? | Yes | No | 42.50 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.3442 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | β | -14.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.63 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -15.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.77 | Trades | ||
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.74 | 0.00% | 0.5318 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -16.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.34 | Trades | |
Will Iron Financeβs Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.8000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27.33 | 0.00% | 0.9149 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 36.23 | 0.00% | 0.6900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 21 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? | Yes | No | 38.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 17 2023 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -25.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.51 | Trades | ||
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.6800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | β | -34.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.00 | Trades | |
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 3? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 27 2021 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 22 2021 | β | -36.78 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -36.76 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -38.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -38.55 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | ||
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -50.31 | 7.69 | 0.00 | -42.62 | Trades | ||
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 75.00 | 0.00% | 0.7267 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -54.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.50 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 106.48 | 0.00% | 0.6259 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -66.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -66.64 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 24 2022 | β | -74.52 | 3.15 | 0.00 | -71.37 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $BTC be above $43,000 on February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | -79.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -79.40 | Trades | ||
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 22 2022 | β | -83.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -83.54 | Trades | ||
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9185 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 05 2023 | β | -91.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -91.85 | Trades | |
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 01 2023 | β | -93.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.00 | Trades | |
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9481 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | -94.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -94.81 | Trades | |
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -110.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -110.28 | Trades | ||
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -162.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -162.50 | Trades | |
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -164.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -164.33 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 252.94 | 0.00% | 0.6931 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -175.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -175.30 | Trades | |
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 305.76 | 0.00% | 0.8019 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | β | -245.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -245.20 | Trades | |
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | β | -421.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -421.39 | Trades | ||
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 537.39 | 0.00% | 0.7951 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -427.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -427.25 | Trades | |
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9261 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 28 2022 | β | -926.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -926.10 | Trades | |
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,475.01 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -5,201.25 | 1.45 | 0.00 | -5,199.80 | Trades | |
Resolved | 20,630.54 | 42,879.33 | -52,828.55 | 75.61 | 0.06 | 10,857.00 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 817.22 | 16,323.25 | -25,348.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8,207.96 | ||||||||||||
Total | 21,447.76 | 59,202.59 | -78,176.98 | 75.61 | 0.06 | 2,649.04 |