1703194319000
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.20
|
2.20
|
0.0900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703194319000
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.00
|
2.20
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703194229000
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
3.13
|
0.6400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703194229000
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.13
|
3.13
|
0.3600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702728587000
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.00
|
4.35
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702728587000
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.35
|
4.35
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702213292000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xe8b705b9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.95
|
3.95
|
0.2400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702213292000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.95
|
0.7600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987513000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
3.08
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987513000
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.08
|
3.08
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987444000
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.00
|
2.70
|
0.7400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987444000
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.70
|
2.70
|
0.2600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987398000
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.12
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987398000
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.12
|
1.12
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987208000
|
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.86
|
2.86
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701987208000
|
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.00
|
2.86
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701894104000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x0d0107a3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.26
|
6.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701894104000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.26
|
6.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701812112000
|
Will US attack Iran in 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.08
|
2.08
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701812112000
|
Will US attack Iran in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.08
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701731802000
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.61
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701731802000
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.61
|
3.61
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701731798000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.82
|
6.82
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701731798000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.00
|
6.82
|
0.4400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701539563000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
3.23
|
0.6200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701539563000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.23
|
3.23
|
0.3800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701509077000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2.97
|
9.00
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701509077000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9a538593
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.97
|
9.00
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701509035000
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.00
|
4.15
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701509035000
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3d8a89a2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4.00
|
4.15
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701509019000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xb532895e
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.00
|
3.13
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701509019000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.13
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701508887000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.52
|
27.27
|
0.0558
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701508887000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x54397015
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6.35
|
6.54
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701508887000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.33
|
20.73
|
0.0640
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701508873000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.00
|
4.27
|
0.9360
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701508873000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.27
|
4.27
|
0.0640
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701370607000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.00
|
3.23
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701370607000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.23
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701316994000
|
Will Manchester United make it out of their group?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x6b552487
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.08
|
5.71
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701316994000
|
Will Manchester United make it out of their group?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4.63
|
5.71
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701316870000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.19
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701316870000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.19
|
3.19
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701316692000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.00
|
27.27
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701316692000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$24.27
|
27.27
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701291128000
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.00
|
4.06
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701291128000
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.06
|
4.06
|
0.0150
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701206517000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.04
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701206517000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xd7307d60
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.04
|
1.04
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701206230000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
11.63
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701206230000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
11.63
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911757000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3d8a89a2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.00
|
3.15
|
0.9520
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911757000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.15
|
0.9520
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911633000
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.11
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911633000
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3d8a89a2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.00
|
3.11
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911577000
|
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3d8a89a2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.00
|
3.11
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911577000
|
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.11
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911189000
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.19
|
3.19
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911189000
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.19
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911165000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xfeb58108
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4.00
|
4.17
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700911165000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.00
|
4.17
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700860504000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x4d1c3030
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3.00
|
7.50
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700860504000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.00
|
7.50
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700860300000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xe4a1fa9c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
5.21
|
0.9590
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700860300000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
5.21
|
0.9590
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700600200000
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
5.43
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700600200000
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.43
|
5.43
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700415661000
|
Will a Chinese team win LOL Worlds 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
5.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700415661000
|
Will a Chinese team win LOL Worlds 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x936375db
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
5.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700342581000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
12.50
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700342581000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x91066a5b
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.50
|
12.50
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700334703000
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.16
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700334703000
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.16
|
3.16
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317297000
|
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.00
|
76.92
|
0.0130
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317297000
|
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$75.92
|
76.92
|
0.9870
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317167000
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.16
|
8.16
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317167000
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.00
|
8.16
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317101000
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$33.48
|
34.48
|
0.9710
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317101000
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.00
|
34.48
|
0.0290
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317033000
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.27
|
2.27
|
0.1200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317033000
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.27
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317015000
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.25
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700317015000
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.25
|
2.25
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700316997000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2.00
|
2.06
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700316997000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.06
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700310787000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
6.33
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700310787000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.33
|
6.33
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700160725000
|
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.88
|
4.88
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700160725000
|
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.00
|
4.88
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699707026000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.00
|
6.25
|
0.6400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699707026000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xceec9a0b
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4.00
|
6.25
|
0.6400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699387187000
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.16
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699387187000
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xb532895e
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.00
|
3.16
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699387135000
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0xc15578ee
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.33
|
3.33
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699387135000
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.33
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697804009000
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x0e1ebcc3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.71
|
4.71
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697804009000
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.00
|
4.71
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1696762092000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.17
|
0.9450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1696762092000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.17
|
3.17
|
0.0550
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1696761984000
|
Another African coup by October 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x55e83ae8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.23
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|