1678446281000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0xe54e1ed3
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.75
|
275.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678441559000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x3ba25f66
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.25
|
125.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678365810000
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
2k |
|
$14.87
|
26.55
|
0.5600
|
π |
Tx
|
1678365810000
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
1k |
|
$11.68
|
26.55
|
0.4400
|
π |
Tx
|
1678365760000
|
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$6.00
|
10.00
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1678365760000
|
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.00
|
10.00
|
0.4000
|
π |
Tx
|
1678365061000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.65
|
15.00
|
0.7100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678365061000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.65
|
15.00
|
0.7100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678364925000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.00
|
13.73
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678364925000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$7.00
|
13.73
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678364789000
|
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$17.20
|
20.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1678364789000
|
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$17.20
|
20.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1677589227000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.25
|
3.96
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1677589227000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.71
|
3.96
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1677589191000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$8.00
|
400.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1677589191000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$392.00
|
400.00
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1677589125000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$11.25
|
15.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1677589125000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.75
|
15.00
|
0.2500
|
π |
Tx
|
1677511096000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x83388f40
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.07
|
31.48
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1677511096000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$12.88
|
40.24
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1677511096000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$48.77
|
71.72
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1677511050000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$19.59
|
61.21
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1677511050000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$65.17
|
95.84
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1677511050000
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x83388f40
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.08
|
34.63
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1676973466000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.25
|
75.00
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1676973466000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$69.75
|
75.00
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1676142844000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$17.19
|
33.70
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1675168695000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
25.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1675168629000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x70facd1e
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$0.08
|
0.16
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1675168619000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x569e37de
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$27.42
|
58.35
|
0.4700
|
π |
Tx
|
1675168567000
|
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xb2d62e28
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$15.72
|
50.72
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1675168397000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$96.00
|
100.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1674546109000
|
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" Proposal pass?
|
0x49201e51
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.00
|
15.00
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1673497799000
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022?
|
0x72dfe248
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.00
|
20.00
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1673286255000
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$13.00
|
20.00
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1673282341000
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.03
|
27.03
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1673282177000
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.04
|
26.00
|
0.5400
|
π |
Tx
|
1672222041000
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf6dbf30b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.82
|
31.32
|
0.0263
|
|
Tx
|
1672221995000
|
Will the price of $SOL be above $11 on January 3?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x4692ac40
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
40.08
|
0.1247
|
|
Tx
|
1672219345000
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xb8b693d1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.26
|
99.77
|
0.0026
|
|
Tx
|
1672219171000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.11
|
12.47
|
0.9706
|
|
Tx
|
1672219081000
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x6452363f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.79
|
64.19
|
0.0435
|
|
Tx
|
1671711466000
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf0f30337
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.26
|
10.00
|
0.9258
|
|
Tx
|
1671711228000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xbf9b95a0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$19.66
|
28.86
|
0.6812
|
|
Tx
|
1671711160000
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf941c738
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.32
|
14.91
|
0.9600
|
|
Tx
|
1671708540000
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x6452363f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.35
|
5.60
|
0.9555
|
|
Tx
|
1671363728000
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x43372356
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.10
|
36.55
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1671363448000
|
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xe6f0bcad
|
Sell |
Argentina |
|
$15.87
|
29.94
|
0.5300
|
π |
Tx
|
1670783865000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xcc3bad8e
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$29.28
|
58.35
|
0.5018
|
|
Tx
|
1670782682000
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x89f9a2da
|
Buy |
Argentina |
|
$10.00
|
14.07
|
0.7105
|
|
Tx
|
1670781672000
|
Will France win the 2022 World Cup?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xfd2bbbf6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$22.49
|
50.00
|
0.4499
|
|
Tx
|
1670781610000
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x5fa7bf44
|
Sell |
Ethereum |
|
$4.67
|
40.00
|
0.1167
|
|
Tx
|
1670612910000
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf6dbf30b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
31.32
|
0.1596
|
|
Tx
|
1670612676000
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x41000202
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.14
|
21.76
|
0.0066
|
|
Tx
|
1670247072000
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x8f3504eb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$21.60
|
36.56
|
0.5908
|
|
Tx
|
1670246880000
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf0f30337
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
36.00
|
0.5555
|
|
Tx
|
1670246628000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x40547087
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.00
|
36.35
|
0.0550
|
|
Tx
|
1670246100000
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Portugal vs. Switzerland
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf5be59d4
|
Buy |
Switzerland |
|
$10.00
|
29.38
|
0.3403
|
|
Tx
|
1670245998000
|
World Cup: Monday - Brazil vs. South Korea
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf42a7a1d
|
Buy |
Brazil |
|
$15.00
|
16.92
|
0.8867
|
|
Tx
|
1670245954000
|
World Cup: Monday - Japan vs. Croatia
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x3add2291
|
Buy |
Japan |
|
$10.00
|
24.30
|
0.4116
|
|
Tx
|
1669312020000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from October to November 2022?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xe4d94d53
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$16.01
|
23.60
|
0.6784
|
|
Tx
|
1669311892000
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Portugal beat Ghana?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x4fe98f56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$41.00
|
41.90
|
0.9786
|
|
Tx
|
1669311194000
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Uruguay beat South Korea?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf2ea22df
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.01
|
17.86
|
0.0004
|
|
Tx
|
1669237713000
|
Will Argentina qualify from Group C?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xd9399490
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$16.11
|
24.66
|
0.6534
|
|
Tx
|
1669237637000
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Brazil beat Serbia?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xc61a80fc
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
21.93
|
0.6839
|
|
Tx
|
1669237463000
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Portugal beat Ghana?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x4fe98f56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
41.91
|
0.7159
|
|
Tx
|
1669237040000
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Belgium beat Canada?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x3ad79a37
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$61.11
|
62.16
|
0.9831
|
|
Tx
|
1669228854000
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Uruguay beat South Korea?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf2ea22df
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.24
|
17.87
|
0.5727
|
|
Tx
|
1669228816000
|
Will Germany qualify from Group E?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x7e0cb058
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
22.72
|
0.4401
|
|
Tx
|
1669228324000
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf941c738
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
14.91
|
0.6706
|
|
Tx
|
1669228084000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
33.71
|
0.4450
|
|
Tx
|
1669226989000
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Belgium beat Canada?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x3ad79a37
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$40.00
|
62.16
|
0.6435
|
|
Tx
|
1669226935000
|
Will France win the 2022 World Cup?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xfd2bbbf6
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
97.14
|
0.1544
|
|
Tx
|
1669226863000
|
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x1bb8f917
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
31.06
|
0.4830
|
|
Tx
|
1668592584000
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x4bebaf66
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$9.63
|
11.85
|
0.8128
|
|
Tx
|
1668591746000
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xb8b693d1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
99.77
|
0.0501
|
|
Tx
|
1668591559000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
17.42
|
0.8609
|
|
Tx
|
1668591221000
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x4bebaf66
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
12.31
|
0.8125
|
|
Tx
|
1668591171000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x40547087
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.81
|
14.12
|
0.8370
|
|
Tx
|
1668590949000
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x6c982f29
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$27.81
|
29.30
|
0.9494
|
|
Tx
|
1668436701000
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x41000202
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.04
|
21.76
|
0.4614
|
|
Tx
|
1668161075000
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x5fa7bf44
|
Sell |
Ethereum |
|
$10.04
|
30.00
|
0.3347
|
|
Tx
|
1667648722000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x40547087
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$8.71
|
14.12
|
0.6170
|
|
Tx
|
1667648672000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$8.00
|
12.47
|
0.6414
|
|
Tx
|
1667133285000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x760528fa
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.86
|
16.71
|
0.9493
|
|
Tx
|
1667133157000
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x6c982f29
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$15.86
|
30.00
|
0.5288
|
|
Tx
|
1667133105000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$8.99
|
13.38
|
0.6716
|
|
Tx
|
1667131916000
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x57334fe5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$8.74
|
20.00
|
0.4371
|
|
Tx
|
1667131732000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x399ea157
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.25
|
32.80
|
0.0075
|
|
Tx
|
1664803297000
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x57334fe5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$7.85
|
20.12
|
0.3901
|
|
Tx
|
1664800125000
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x57334fe5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.85
|
12.76
|
0.6151
|
|
Tx
|
1664224617000
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x57334fe5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$7.50
|
12.77
|
0.5875
|
|
Tx
|
1663842435000
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x57334fe5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$8.92
|
22.15
|
0.4028
|
|
Tx
|
1663842141000
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x5adf2772
|
Sell |
Higher |
|
$0.01
|
40.09
|
0.0002
|
|
Tx
|
1663841508000
|
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0xc7ac19f2
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.63
|
45.88
|
0.1227
|
|
Tx
|
1663345227000
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x5adf2772
|
Buy |
Higher |
|
$8.70
|
40.10
|
0.2169
|
|
Tx
|
1663345145000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x861ca732
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.52
|
3.95
|
0.8909
|
|
Tx
|
1663141250000
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x5fa7bf44
|
Buy |
Ethereum |
|
$48.47
|
92.18
|
0.5259
|
|
Tx
|
1663141212000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
32.81
|
0.7620
|
|
Tx
|
1663141162000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting?
|
0xed6cfe2f
|
0x9cb9aa27
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
100.07
|
0.1499
|
|
Tx
|