Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
82.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
82.30
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
65.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.25
|
Trades
|
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
63.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.65
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
63.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.05
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
37.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.35
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? |
1k |
2k |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
36.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.74
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $SOL be above $11 on January 3? |
Yes |
No |
40.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1247
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
40.08
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 03 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.08
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
34.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.05
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
30.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.93
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from March to April 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
25.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.86
|
Trades
|
Did US GDP grow 2.5% or more in Q1 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 26 2023
|
β
|
23.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.47
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Belgium beat Canada? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 23 2022
|
β
|
21.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.11
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
20.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.71
|
Trades
|
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G? |
Yes |
No |
31.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4830
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
31.06
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.06
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Dec 19 2022
|
β
|
13.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.86
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.08
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3241
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 24 2022
|
β
|
5.21
|
8.05
|
0.00
|
13.26
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
12.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.64
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by June 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.5173
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
24.19
|
Thu Jun 15 2023
|
β
|
-12.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.68
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Portugal beat Ghana? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.01
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.77
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.77
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
9.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.79
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
9.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.20
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina qualify from Group C? |
Yes |
No |
24.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6534
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
24.66
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-16.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.55
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
99.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
99.30
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-91.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.94
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
32.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7632
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
32.76
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.76
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
7.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.59
|
Trades
|
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
47.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1590
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
7.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.49
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
7.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.10
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Brazil beat Serbia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
6.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.93
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase list $PEPE by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
35.34
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-28.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.36
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
6.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.13
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.00
|
Thu Jan 12 2023
|
β
|
-14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 27 2022
|
β
|
5.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.73
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
6.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1946
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
6.73
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-1.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.42
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
7.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2849
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
7.06
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.05
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
β
|
4.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.36
|
Trades
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
4.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.32
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
4.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.11
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia |
Argentina |
Croatia |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
4.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.07
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.30
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
2.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.42
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
2.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.28
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in May 2022? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
1.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.97
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Brazil vs. South Korea |
Brazil |
South Korea |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 05 2022
|
β
|
1.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.92
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
23.72
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-21.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.90
|
Trades
|
Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 23, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 23 2022
|
β
|
1.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.78
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $92.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (OCT 2022 future) |
Yes |
No |
8.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0408
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 22 2022
|
β
|
0.36
|
1.33
|
0.00
|
1.69
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
1.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.58
|
Trades
|
Kamino airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.12
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-11.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.44
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.35
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0305
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Lens Protocol Airdrop by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.92
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.92
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.96
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.71
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.29
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? |
Yes |
No |
7.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4416
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
-3.39
|
2.75
|
0.00
|
-0.63
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 20? |
Yes |
No |
39.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0302
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 20 2022
|
β
|
-1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.20
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
3.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8747
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 17 2022
|
β
|
-3.18
|
0.61
|
0.00
|
-2.57
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.84
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? |
Yes |
No |
3.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9556
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.69
|
0.83
|
0.00
|
-2.86
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
β
|
-3.84
|
0.47
|
0.00
|
-3.37
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-4.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.18
|
Trades
|
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? |
Yes |
No |
4.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.4620
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 23 2022
|
β
|
-6.41
|
2.21
|
0.00
|
-4.21
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-4.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.74
|
Trades
|
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $150 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
22.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 07 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump have a Blue checkmark on April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
41.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.25
|
Trades
|
SUI above $1.00 on May 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.1400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 10 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.2916
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-11.07
|
3.54
|
0.00
|
-7.54
|
Trades
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 20 2022
|
β
|
-7.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.68
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-7.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.80
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
37.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2139
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-8.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.11
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-8.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.69
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
13.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.6716
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-8.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.99
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" Proposal pass? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 28 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.50
|
0.00% |
|
2.2492
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 29 2022
|
β
|
-10.12
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
-9.12
|
Trades
|
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Hasim Rahman Jr.? |
Jake Paul |
Hasim Rahman Jr. |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 06 2022
|
β
|
-9.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.85
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.11
|
0.00% |
|
3.6923
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 08 2022
|
β
|
-11.48
|
1.60
|
0.00
|
-9.88
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-9.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.90
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,900 on April 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 12 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Drift airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
71.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
marginfi airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
27.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Germany qualify from Group E? |
Yes |
No |
22.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4401
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Japan vs. Croatia |
Japan |
Croatia |
24.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4116
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 05 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Portugal vs. Switzerland |
Portugal |
Switzerland |
0.00
|
29.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.3403
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Tensor airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-10.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.12
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Uruguay beat South Korea? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
-10.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.23
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.04
|
0.00% |
|
3.0658
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
-18.51
|
8.11
|
0.00
|
-10.39
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.69
|
0.00% |
|
2.6790
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-12.56
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
-12.16
|
Trades
|
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
39.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.3080
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-12.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.24
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
116.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.1056
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
β
|
-12.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.27
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,500 or $2,500 first? |
$1,500 |
$2,500 |
0.00
|
7.07
|
0.00% |
|
1.9271
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-13.63
|
0.81
|
0.00
|
-12.82
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.00
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Which team will collect more points at the 2022 Belgian Grand Prix, Mercedes or Ferrari? |
Mercedes |
Ferrari |
23.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5531
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 28 2022
|
β
|
-13.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.13
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
46.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2863
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-13.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.41
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? |
Yes |
No |
5.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.9341
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
β
|
-15.52
|
1.73
|
0.00
|
-13.78
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
5.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.8583
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-16.86
|
2.85
|
0.00
|
-14.01
|
Trades
|
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina |
France |
Argentina |
29.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-14.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.07
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC be above $0.60 on June 4? |
Yes |
No |
49.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3019
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 04 2022
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1499
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? |
Yes |
No |
37.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
β
|
-16.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.33
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.69
|
0.00% |
|
2.2571
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
β
|
-19.61
|
2.85
|
0.00
|
-16.76
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 27? |
Yes |
No |
44.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4173
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 27 2022
|
β
|
-18.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.51
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.8126
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-19.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.63
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
119.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.1675
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
45.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
DOGE above 8Β’ on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
-20.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.58
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 5? |
Yes |
No |
6.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
4.6817
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 05 2022
|
β
|
-28.61
|
7.64
|
0.00
|
-20.97
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
6.5273
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
-24.42
|
3.31
|
0.00
|
-21.11
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
199.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1239
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-24.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.73
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-24.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.75
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.99
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
22.18
|
0.00% |
|
1.5225
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-33.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.76
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
53.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-39.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.30
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.63
|
0.00% |
|
19.3831
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
-50.88
|
6.24
|
0.00
|
-44.64
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
66.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7069
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-47.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-47.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
59.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9078
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
β
|
-53.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.84
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-63.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-63.65
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.35
|
0.00% |
|
6.1110
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 12 2022
|
β
|
-87.71
|
18.78
|
0.00
|
-68.93
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
152.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.6771
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-103.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-103.29
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
152.36
|
306.36
|
|
|
-924.60
|
75.12
|
0.00
|
-390.76
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
152.36
|
306.36
|
|
|
-924.60
|
75.12
|
0.00
|
-390.76
|
|