1656700881000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x42767501
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$977.47
|
1,016.08
|
0.9620
|
|
Tx
|
1652373369000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
2,461.40
|
0.4063
|
|
Tx
|
1652373275000
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xf466e416
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
851.57
|
0.5871
|
|
Tx
|
1650668016000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x106f595a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$813.50
|
966.06
|
0.8421
|
|
Tx
|
1646402380000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x1bdd7f4a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$747.53
|
1,357.42
|
0.5507
|
|
Tx
|
1642208334000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x106f595a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$558.76
|
966.06
|
0.5784
|
|
Tx
|
1642208220000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x371b3cee
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
947.53
|
0.5277
|
|
Tx
|
1641268506000
|
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x05d151fd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
449.69
|
0.5559
|
|
Tx
|
1641092684000
|
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x4c513917
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
5,328.97
|
0.1877
|
|
Tx
|
1640633660000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$787.76
|
1,008.12
|
0.7814
|
|
Tx
|
1640321089000
|
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x4c513917
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
775.35
|
0.6449
|
|
Tx
|
1640044421000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$307.16
|
2,017.91
|
0.1522
|
|
Tx
|
1639874808000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$284.91
|
2,000.00
|
0.1425
|
|
Tx
|
1639071359000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
4,922.29
|
0.1016
|
|
Tx
|
1639068901000
|
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x26064395
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$451.61
|
504.44
|
0.8953
|
|
Tx
|
1639068545000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
2,896.05
|
0.0863
|
|
Tx
|
1638818007000
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xd67c99e0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$350.00
|
392.96
|
0.8907
|
|
Tx
|
1638817885000
|
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x26064395
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$368.80
|
403.57
|
0.9139
|
|
Tx
|
1638026523000
|
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x26064395
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$400.00
|
417.88
|
0.9572
|
|
Tx
|
1631044329000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$850.42
|
1,677.03
|
0.5071
|
|
Tx
|
1631043743000
|
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x26064395
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$823.47
|
952.21
|
0.8648
|
|
Tx
|
1629224082000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$875.00
|
4,806.61
|
0.1820
|
|
Tx
|
1628044819000
|
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xdb5c2aca
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
535.42
|
0.5603
|
|
Tx
|
1628044731000
|
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xb282752f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
1,002.59
|
0.3990
|
|
Tx
|
1626391172000
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xe5bd9046
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
3,421.82
|
0.0877
|
|
Tx
|
1626209943000
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xe5bd9046
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
967.22
|
0.3102
|
|
Tx
|
1626209911000
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xe5bd9046
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$964.97
|
1,353.83
|
0.7128
|
|
Tx
|
1626188107000
|
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x1343cf95
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$511.25
|
840.61
|
0.6082
|
|
Tx
|
1626188001000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xc2131c4a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$475.87
|
543.56
|
0.8755
|
|
Tx
|
1626152456000
|
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x1343cf95
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$400.00
|
675.40
|
0.5922
|
|
Tx
|
1626152432000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xc2131c4a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$435.33
|
500.00
|
0.8707
|
|
Tx
|
1625890466000
|
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x26064395
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$366.00
|
480.88
|
0.7611
|
|
Tx
|
1625859824000
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xe5bd9046
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,353.83
|
0.7386
|
|
Tx
|
1625803934000
|
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x26064395
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
1,250.98
|
0.7994
|
|
Tx
|
1624988211000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xc2131c4a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
1,043.56
|
0.4791
|
|
Tx
|
1624829278000
|
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x9bf7ca3f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2,000.00
|
2,366.06
|
0.8453
|
|
Tx
|
1624677899000
|
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x9bf7ca3f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$700.98
|
2,941.15
|
0.2383
|
|
Tx
|
1624652967000
|
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x9bf7ca3f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$999.52
|
2,500.00
|
0.3998
|
|
Tx
|
1624564805000
|
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x9bf7ca3f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
5,396.96
|
0.1853
|
|
Tx
|
1623788672000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x8a99c035
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
481.28
|
0.6233
|
|
Tx
|
1623708490000
|
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xe594bbdd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,230.03
|
0.8130
|
|
Tx
|
1622392173000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xfc85c71e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,421.31
|
1,582.61
|
0.8981
|
|
Tx
|
1622392147000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xfc85c71e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$292.21
|
1,692.44
|
0.1727
|
|
Tx
|
1620869344000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xfc85c71e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$852.23
|
1,204.44
|
0.7076
|
|
Tx
|
1620683787000
|
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x062d0ec1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
647.88
|
0.7718
|
|
Tx
|
1620500933000
|
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x062d0ec1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$604.96
|
1,177.54
|
0.5137
|
|
Tx
|
1620500907000
|
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x062d0ec1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
524.69
|
0.4765
|
|
Tx
|
1620431011000
|
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x031f4497
|
Sell |
40,999 or fewer |
|
$400.36
|
500.00
|
0.8007
|
|
Tx
|
1620410644000
|
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x062d0ec1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$600.00
|
1,150.40
|
0.5216
|
|
Tx
|
1619935920000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xeb915066
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
640.11
|
0.7811
|
|
Tx
|
1619874957000
|
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x031f4497
|
Buy |
41,000-65,999 |
|
$280.00
|
421.55
|
0.6642
|
|
Tx
|
1619409623000
|
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x48f3387c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$664.27
|
708.14
|
0.9380
|
|
Tx
|
1618857789000
|
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xf01be110
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,001.91
|
3,781.08
|
0.2650
|
|
Tx
|
1618857619000
|
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xf01be110
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$767.62
|
999.64
|
0.7679
|
|
Tx
|
1618856619000
|
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xf01be110
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$800.00
|
999.64
|
0.8003
|
|
Tx
|
1618524212000
|
How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Bidenβs 100th day in office?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x6bd35f3e
|
Buy |
Short |
π |
$600.00
|
1,260.42
|
0.4760
|
|
Tx
|
1618419792000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xff5b2659
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$498.28
|
654.26
|
0.7616
|
|
Tx
|
1618010300000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xff5b2659
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$485.20
|
655.00
|
0.7408
|
|
Tx
|
1617298600000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$643.23
|
897.61
|
0.7166
|
|
Tx
|
1617158076000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x4a740a0d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
1,016.82
|
0.9835
|
|
Tx
|
1617158004000
|
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x48f3387c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
603.98
|
0.8278
|
|
Tx
|
1617122123000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xc7347a6d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,056.05
|
0.9469
|
|
Tx
|
1617122085000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
411.66
|
0.7288
|
|
Tx
|
1616871663000
|
Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xc82ad0d8
|
Buy |
Florida |
|
$500.00
|
629.65
|
0.7941
|
|
Tx
|
1616822569000
|
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x89ae2252
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
621.15
|
0.8050
|
|
Tx
|
1616822381000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
643.23
|
0.7773
|
|
Tx
|
1616822111000
|
Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe35504c3
|
0x97525780
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$350.00
|
600.17
|
0.5832
|
|
Tx
|