Account
0xe35504c3c34eab3a6fa163def72b099970b69f13 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 451.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4428 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 214.63 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.63 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 6,104.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2457 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,104.32 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,604.32 | Trades | |
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 2,259.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,259.76 | Trades | ||
| Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,461.40 | 0.00% | 0.4063 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,461.40 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,461.40 | Trades | |
| Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 1,056.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,056.55 | Trades | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | ✅ | 609.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 609.88 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | ✅ | 433.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 433.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 16 2021 | ✅ | 411.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 411.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 851.57 | 0.00% | 0.5871 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 851.57 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 351.57 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | 296.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 296.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 490.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4080 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 490.20 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 290.20 | Trades | |
| [From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 254.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 254.75 | Trades | ||
| Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 250.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 250.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | 236.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 236.35 | Trades | ||
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 203.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 203.09 | Trades | ||
| Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 199.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 199.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 257.70 | 0.00% | 0.2525 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 257.70 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -65.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 192.63 | Trades | |
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 143.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | ✅ | 140.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 140.11 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | 139.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 139.55 | Trades | ||
| Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | 129.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 129.65 | Trades | ||||||
| Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 228.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4375 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 228.60 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128.60 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | 121.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 121.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 70.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 56.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.05 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 422.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8765 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 422.11 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -370.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.11 | Trades | |
| Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 49.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.06 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 40.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,016.08 | 0.00% | 0.9620 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,016.08 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | -977.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.61 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | 37.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.65 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of $MATIC (Polygon) or $ADA (Cardano) be higher on November 10th? | Cardano | Polygon | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | ✅ | 31.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | 31.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.17 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 30.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.57 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 24.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.59 | Trades | ||
| Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 37.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5375 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 37.21 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.21 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 16.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.82 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 114.28 | 0.00% | 0.8750 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 114.28 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.28 | Trades | |
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 2.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 17.17 | 0.00 | 7.10% | 0.4162 | 0.41 | 0.59 | 7.09 | 0.00 | ✅ | -7.15 | 0.00 | 2.33 | 2.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -18.03 | 19.70 | 0.00 | 1.67 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | Trades | ||
| What will the Margin of Victory be in the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
| Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 16th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.01 | 0.00% | 0.4984 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 17.36 | 0.00% | 0.4514 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -7.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.84 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -9.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.68 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -16.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.86 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 356.60 | 0.00% | 0.0561 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? | Yes | No | 28.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6922 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 07 2023 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | ✅ | -23.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.29 | Trades | ||
| Will 25 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 50% of residents by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | -24.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.91 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -61.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.40 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? | Yes | No | 110.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6770 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -102.59 | 22.77 | 0.00 | -79.63 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -90.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -90.95 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -93.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.86 | Trades | ||
| Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -182.47 | 53.12 | 0.00 | -129.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -149.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -149.41 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | Under 1% 1% to 2% Over 2% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -160.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -160.92 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 664.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | -186.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -186.17 | Trades | |
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -210.95 | 2.76 | 0.00 | -208.20 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -242.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -242.30 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -289.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -289.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -361.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -361.31 | Trades | ||
| Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -706.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -706.62 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -722.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -722.59 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | -795.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -795.92 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -836.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -836.56 | Trades | ||
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -946.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -946.04 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -966.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -966.49 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 7,290.32 | 4,701.05 | -4,887.38 | 98.35 | 2.33 | 7,204.67 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 214.63 | 0.00 | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.63 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 7,504.95 | 4,701.05 | -5,087.38 | 98.35 | 2.33 | 7,219.30 | ||||||||||||