1717370442000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3bd0f39c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$19.44
|
204.64
|
0.0950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1717370442000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$200.00
|
220.99
|
0.9050
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1717370442000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x07d42454
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.55
|
16.35
|
0.0950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710530191000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
113.25
|
0.8830
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710530191000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
113.25
|
0.8830
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710530161000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x0b644e44
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$150.00
|
163.04
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710530161000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$150.00
|
163.04
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710529919000
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
126.58
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710529919000
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$26.58
|
126.58
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706041059000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$390.00
|
400.00
|
0.9750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706041059000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
400.00
|
0.0250
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706041009000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$407.78
|
417.97
|
0.9756
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706041009000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$6.15
|
256.09
|
0.0240
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706041009000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$157.83
|
161.88
|
0.9750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704618111000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.50
|
116.78
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704618111000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.55
|
111.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704618111000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x1513b479
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$120.15
|
126.47
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704618111000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xffa10ca8
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4.75
|
5.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704618111000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$400.00
|
417.98
|
0.9570
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704618111000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x1f0a3435
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$56.38
|
58.73
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700508430000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$29.97
|
54.49
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700508430000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$24.52
|
54.49
|
0.4500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700508406000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$25.97
|
45.97
|
0.5650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700508406000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x68808dbb
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$25.97
|
45.97
|
0.5650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700469459000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x2e000940
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.47
|
45.97
|
0.0320
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700469459000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$44.50
|
45.97
|
0.9680
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700469415000
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$48.50
|
50.00
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700469415000
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$48.50
|
50.00
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1695052723000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$200.70
|
207.76
|
0.9660
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1695052723000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3db60dab
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$200.70
|
207.76
|
0.9660
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1695052171000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xcb14f617
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.30
|
2.50
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1695052171000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$54.00
|
100.00
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1695052171000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$17.38
|
33.42
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1695052171000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$125.68
|
235.92
|
0.5327
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1695052171000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$53.00
|
100.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692314371000
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x43a2f85e
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.34
|
62.02
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692314371000
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.04
|
13.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692314371000
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$69.64
|
75.02
|
0.9283
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691630823000
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$35.29
|
235.29
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691630823000
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$200.00
|
235.29
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x9d8a5a60
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.93
|
19.66
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x6b04e8a5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$22.70
|
27.02
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$200.00
|
235.93
|
0.8477
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x9d8a5a60
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.57
|
32.61
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.70
|
15.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x9d8a5a60
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.76
|
17.08
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x9d8a5a60
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.32
|
27.01
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x9d8a5a60
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.11
|
22.85
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307716000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$8.22
|
74.70
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307688000
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$250.00
|
268.62
|
0.9307
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307688000
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.50
|
50.00
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307688000
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$14.00
|
200.00
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690307688000
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.12
|
18.62
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1689278994000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xc6e0d022
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$373.78
|
381.41
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1689278994000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$389.35
|
397.30
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1689278994000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x45cc7857
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$15.57
|
15.89
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1689278960000
|
North Korea missile test by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$30.00
|
82.32
|
0.3644
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1689278960000
|
North Korea missile test by July 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xc5ddce55
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$32.50
|
50.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1689278960000
|
North Korea missile test by July 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x60e78a7d
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$19.80
|
30.00
|
0.6600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1689278960000
|
North Korea missile test by July 31?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x209c21d4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.02
|
2.32
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1688299770000
|
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8.39
|
419.35
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1688299770000
|
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$410.96
|
419.35
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687555681000
|
Will Messi sign for Barcelona?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x0b9a5211
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.25
|
225.07
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687555681000
|
Will Messi sign for Barcelona?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$237.67
|
240.07
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687555681000
|
Will Messi sign for Barcelona?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x51b1afc2
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.15
|
15.00
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687555525000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$110.96
|
410.96
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687555525000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xc555c839
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$300.00
|
410.96
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1649565727000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x106f595a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$168.79
|
993.90
|
0.1698
|
|
Tx
|
1643398483000
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of March 2022?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x0d83522b
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$150.00
|
171.35
|
0.8754
|
|
Tx
|
1643224942000
|
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$247.49
|
320.00
|
0.7734
|
|
Tx
|
1643224320000
|
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$258.15
|
321.87
|
0.8020
|
|
Tx
|
1643051430000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x4fe576bc
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
100.04
|
0.9996
|
|
Tx
|
1642371078000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x106f595a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$450.00
|
993.90
|
0.4528
|
|
Tx
|
1642357284000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0xc555c839
|
0xa51e296d
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$50.00
|
221.79
|
0.2254
|
|
Tx
|
1642169186000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022?
|
0xc555c839
|
0x762a9ee6
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$50.00
|
50.73
|
0.9857
|
|
Tx
|