OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
126.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
113.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8830
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
163.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
521.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
521.92
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 11 2023
|
✅ |
427.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
427.73
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
369.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
369.47
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
285.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
285.73
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
270.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
270.59
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
106.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.46
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
✅ |
80.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.40
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
82.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3644
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
82.32
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.32
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of March 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
21.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.35
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
397.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
397.30
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
-389.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.95
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.06
|
Trades
|
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
240.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
240.07
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-237.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
✅ |
0.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.73
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.87
|
0.00% |
|
5.6976
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
✅ |
-10.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.65
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
221.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2254
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-74.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-74.32
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-281.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-281.21
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
82.33
|
637.37
|
|
|
1,018.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,737.97
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-350.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
82.33
|
637.37
|
|
|
668.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,387.97
|
|