1668709151000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x037ef808
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.68
|
6.44
|
0.1055
|
|
Tx
|
1665517205000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4.42
|
14.01
|
0.3154
|
|
Tx
|
1665517181000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x106f595a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.67
|
70.87
|
0.0095
|
|
Tx
|
1665516975000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x399ea157
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.42
|
6.47
|
0.6824
|
|
Tx
|
1665405724000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$37.29
|
113.44
|
0.3287
|
|
Tx
|
1665007679000
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xbe648a2b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
70.71
|
0.0707
|
|
Tx
|
1664976233000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x037ef808
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
42.91
|
0.2330
|
|
Tx
|
1664969675000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
6.48
|
0.7716
|
|
Tx
|
1664969623000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
10.08
|
0.1985
|
|
Tx
|
1664969313000
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x8cbee0a1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$59.18
|
60.30
|
0.9814
|
|
Tx
|
1664625756000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xf8ab7333
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.11
|
34.47
|
0.0032
|
|
Tx
|
1658226865000
|
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x6a52f108
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.83
|
38.35
|
0.0738
|
|
Tx
|
1658226799000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.83
|
5.00
|
0.5657
|
|
Tx
|
1658096666000
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x8cbee0a1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$47.11
|
60.30
|
0.7813
|
|
Tx
|
1658096566000
|
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x2a44229a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
65.23
|
0.3066
|
|
Tx
|
1658096548000
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xb70b0d1f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
43.20
|
0.4629
|
|
Tx
|
1657583117000
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xaf3bce1a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
47.34
|
0.1056
|
|
Tx
|
1657582874000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xcf0d2e86
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
110.16
|
0.0454
|
|
Tx
|
1657582796000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x106f595a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
70.88
|
0.0705
|
|
Tx
|
1656592769000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xf8ab7333
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
34.47
|
0.1450
|
|
Tx
|
1656592685000
|
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x7e6bb13d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$48.49
|
49.00
|
0.9895
|
|
Tx
|
1655461161000
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xdbae5d06
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$35.36
|
58.42
|
0.6052
|
|
Tx
|
1655461023000
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xdbae5d06
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$22.60
|
55.99
|
0.4037
|
|
Tx
|
1651278972000
|
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x1af62b24
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.46
|
9.79
|
0.0468
|
|
Tx
|
1651278498000
|
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x42bf4c5f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.21
|
73.97
|
0.0028
|
|
Tx
|
1651278474000
|
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xb46bad20
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.25
|
63.27
|
0.0039
|
|
Tx
|
1649715160000
|
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x7e6bb13d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$39.08
|
49.01
|
0.7973
|
|
Tx
|
1649714940000
|
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x42bf4c5f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
73.97
|
0.0135
|
|
Tx
|
1649714870000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
156.29
|
0.0640
|
|
Tx
|
1649714802000
|
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xb46bad20
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
63.27
|
0.0158
|
|
Tx
|
1649714752000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
85.04
|
0.5879
|
|
Tx
|
1649714652000
|
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xf85e2502
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
54.63
|
0.0915
|
|
Tx
|
1649714548000
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x43f32943
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
12.75
|
0.3921
|
|
Tx
|
1649714488000
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xdbae5d06
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
55.99
|
0.3572
|
|
Tx
|
1645439758000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$48.77
|
49.68
|
0.9817
|
|
Tx
|
1643112290000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xeea288cd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.93
|
125.92
|
0.0233
|
|
Tx
|
1643021016000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4487ab48
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
717.77
|
0.0139
|
|
Tx
|
1642819517000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4487ab48
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
267.83
|
0.0187
|
|
Tx
|
1642769091000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
49.69
|
0.2013
|
|
Tx
|
1642735703000
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on January 20, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x8243a58d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.07
|
29.45
|
0.0025
|
|
Tx
|
1642585743000
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on January 20, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x8243a58d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
29.45
|
0.0340
|
|
Tx
|
1642585625000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xaeaf2016
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
38.63
|
0.5178
|
|
Tx
|
1642585597000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x1f22459c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
38.25
|
0.2615
|
|
Tx
|
1642585343000
|
Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x6c7c2bcf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
324.98
|
0.0154
|
|
Tx
|
1642585243000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xeea288cd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
125.92
|
0.0397
|
|
Tx
|
1642585135000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4487ab48
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
155.78
|
0.0128
|
|
Tx
|
1642415343000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x02503926
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
168.73
|
0.0296
|
|
Tx
|
1642415321000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4487ab48
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
120.41
|
0.0831
|
|
Tx
|
1641447558000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xdfe227cf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.00
|
138.41
|
0.0144
|
|
Tx
|
1641376884000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xdfe227cf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
179.78
|
0.0556
|
|
Tx
|
1641376828000
|
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x45478ccf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
10.21
|
0.9798
|
|
Tx
|
1641282670000
|
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x45478ccf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$19.35
|
27.02
|
0.7161
|
|
Tx
|
1641282618000
|
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x6108fe23
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
153.81
|
0.0325
|
|
Tx
|
1641085028000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 400k or more by January 8?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x35a51f65
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
355.05
|
0.0028
|
|
Tx
|
1640959692000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 400k or more by January 8?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x35a51f65
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.98
|
99.71
|
0.0098
|
|
Tx
|
1640959662000
|
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x3680ba7d
|
Sell |
Florida |
|
$0.98
|
1.00
|
0.9795
|
|
Tx
|
1640897976000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xb6cba485
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.91
|
36.10
|
0.0253
|
|
Tx
|
1640897930000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x67a3628f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
245.49
|
0.0041
|
|
Tx
|
1640822041000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x67a3628f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.00
|
256.59
|
0.0078
|
|
Tx
|
1640821935000
|
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x3680ba7d
|
Sell |
Florida |
|
$1.96
|
2.00
|
0.9787
|
|
Tx
|
1640821899000
|
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x3680ba7d
|
Sell |
Florida |
|
$1.96
|
2.00
|
0.9787
|
|
Tx
|
1640810261000
|
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x45478ccf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$35.90
|
58.89
|
0.6096
|
|
Tx
|
1640810167000
|
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4c513917
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
56.13
|
0.1782
|
|
Tx
|
1640810141000
|
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x6108fe23
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
106.36
|
0.0282
|
|
Tx
|
1640623191000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$49.90
|
63.66
|
0.7839
|
|
Tx
|
1640018768000
|
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4470fcae
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$24.66
|
79.42
|
0.3105
|
|
Tx
|
1640016267000
|
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4470fcae
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
32.58
|
0.3070
|
|
Tx
|
1640015917000
|
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xc2385773
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
36.01
|
0.1389
|
|
Tx
|
1639859594000
|
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x4470fcae
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
17.03
|
0.2936
|
|
Tx
|
1639771705000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xa8bdb4a0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.50
|
101.25
|
0.0346
|
|
Tx
|
1639741958000
|
Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x056285df
|
Buy |
Poland |
|
$2.00
|
103.84
|
0.0193
|
|
Tx
|
1639741850000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xa8bdb4a0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$50.16
|
53.82
|
0.9321
|
|
Tx
|
1639612573000
|
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xb635ea65
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.15
|
53.02
|
0.0971
|
|
Tx
|
1639612519000
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xd7511a6e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.15
|
7.00
|
0.7352
|
|
Tx
|
1639400506000
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xa8bdb4a0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$19.92
|
53.82
|
0.3702
|
|
Tx
|
1639273809000
|
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xb00c3ef9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$7.92
|
8.65
|
0.9157
|
|
Tx
|
1639273771000
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xd7511a6e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
24.58
|
0.2034
|
|
Tx
|
1639273739000
|
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x3680ba7d
|
Buy |
Florida |
|
$2.00
|
30.35
|
0.0659
|
|
Tx
|
1639273665000
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0xf6340fb0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
13.39
|
0.7466
|
|
Tx
|
1639273617000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xc268fdf1
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
63.66
|
0.0785
|
|
Tx
|