Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 25 2021
|
β
|
89.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.37
|
Trades
|
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
56.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1782
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
56.13
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.13
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
44.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.90
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
38.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.78
|
Trades
|
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
75.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5977
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
75.70
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-45.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.46
|
Trades
|
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? |
California |
Florida |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
28.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.24
|
Trades
|
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
101.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2641
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
26.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.74
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
58.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5606
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
58.41
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-32.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.67
|
Trades
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
17.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0083
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
17.58
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.73
|
Trades
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
12.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.07
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
9.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.42
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 14 2022
|
β
|
7.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.75
|
Trades
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
3.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.39
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 24 2021
|
β
|
0.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.73
|
Trades
|
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
9.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0468
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 05 2022
|
β
|
-0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.46
|
Trades
|
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.79
|
Trades
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0253
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.91
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on January 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 20 2022
|
β
|
-0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.93
|
Trades
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 400k or more by January 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
454.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.0044
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
β
|
-1.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.98
|
Trades
|
Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? |
Poland |
United Kingdom |
103.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0193
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 25 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
10.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1985
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
β
|
-2.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.07
|
Trades
|
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
38.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0738
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-2.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.83
|
Trades
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
502.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.0060
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-4.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.33
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-4.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.89
|
Trades
|
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.1389
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021? |
Yes |
No |
324.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0154
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 27 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
168.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0296
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
54.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0915
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
70.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0707
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 02 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
110.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0454
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
47.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.1056
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? |
Yes |
No |
53.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0971
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 15 2021
|
β
|
-5.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.15
|
Trades
|
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
260.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0307
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
38.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2615
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 08 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
156.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0640
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
49.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2164
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.68
|
Trades
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
318.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.0377
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
38.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5178
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 08 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
43.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4629
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
65.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3066
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1,261.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0214
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
β
|
-27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.00
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-42.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.29
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
80.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5893
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-47.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-47.17
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
207.82
|
0.01
|
|
|
-120.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87.14
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
207.82
|
0.01
|
|
|
-120.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87.14
|
|