1721612636000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x67f49bf3
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$241.29
|
652.13
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1721612636000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$333.00
|
900.00
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1719550129000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8b5a7da2
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$195.00
|
300.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1719550045000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x3ada1157
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$390.00
|
600.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712776384000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xe1e70362
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$600.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710246616000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x777fae71
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$132.60
|
390.00
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709939935000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x3ce32f81
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$359.82
|
369.43
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709882679000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$255.49
|
336.17
|
0.7600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709882679000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xba2772df
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$80.68
|
336.17
|
0.2400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709876233000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$243.50
|
250.00
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707841540000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$198.64
|
662.14
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835477000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,500.00
|
1,595.74
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835477000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$95.74
|
1,595.74
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835375000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$101.36
|
337.86
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835375000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$101.36
|
337.86
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703363996000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x44d9200a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$420.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703363996000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,580.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702394836000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$63.46
|
288.46
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122599000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
256.41
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122539000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$457.34
|
749.74
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122539000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$300.00
|
769.23
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701837220000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x1f85e6e3
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$197.20
|
394.40
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701713506000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xadc6eeca
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$285.00
|
570.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701444725000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xadc6eeca
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$333.50
|
667.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701357297000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x509587cb
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$281.37
|
347.37
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338661000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$48.00
|
300.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338661000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$252.00
|
300.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297050000
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$475.00
|
500.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297050000
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$480.00
|
500.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297050000
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$45.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296982000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$195.00
|
250.00
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296938000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$123.33
|
333.33
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296938000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$210.00
|
333.33
|
0.6300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296878000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$204.00
|
261.54
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296878000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$195.00
|
250.00
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698230962000
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
628.93
|
0.1590
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698230962000
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
628.93
|
0.1590
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697535224000
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?
|
0xb113c889
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$80.50
|
805.00
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697052109000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x189ff748
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$273.00
|
300.00
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1696924647000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
1,034.13
|
0.9670
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1696924647000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xb532895e
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
1,034.13
|
0.9670
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1693020126000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xf792874d
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$838.67
|
986.67
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1693020126000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xf792874d
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$748.80
|
880.94
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692987267000
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate?
|
0x0b93be77
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$324.00
|
405.00
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692965489000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,680.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692885585000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x45580fea
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,371.70
|
1,595.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692873714000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x777fae71
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$221.00
|
1,700.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692873714000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,500.75
|
1,725.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692873666000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,958.18
|
4,602.53
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692873666000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x569e37de
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$644.35
|
4,602.53
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692871726000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x569e37de
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$55.65
|
397.47
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692871726000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x777fae71
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$77.00
|
550.00
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1692871726000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,032.00
|
1,200.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691169809000
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$100.00
|
400.70
|
0.2496
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691169809000
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$75.00
|
300.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691068153000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x22dbd51e
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$200.00
|
333.33
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691068153000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$200.00
|
333.33
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691068017000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$400.00
|
611.94
|
0.6537
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691068017000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$105.00
|
300.00
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1685329298000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
RelayThief
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$240.00
|
480.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1685186754000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x6d3c60a5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$500.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1678444943000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$500.00
|
613.40
|
0.8151
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1678444943000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x39bbb209
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$110.00
|
500.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1676824690000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$600.00
|
987.10
|
0.6078
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1676824690000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x98f66485
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$240.00
|
600.00
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1676814679000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$147.00
|
300.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1676814679000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
1,889.05
|
0.5294
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1676814679000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$288.00
|
600.00
|
0.4800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1676814679000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$240.00
|
500.00
|
0.4800
|
📖 |
Tx
|