1708935155000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$1.00
|
1.72
|
0.5800
|
π |
Tx
|
1708935155000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$1.00
|
1.72
|
0.5800
|
π |
Tx
|
1707513686000
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Coin Toss Heads or Tails?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x21378fd6
|
Sell |
Tails |
|
$0.96
|
1.96
|
0.4900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707513686000
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Coin Toss Heads or Tails?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Heads |
|
$1.00
|
1.96
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707431282000
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1.49
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1707431282000
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x30e44387
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.49
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1707343762000
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.22
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1707343762000
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.22
|
1.22
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706734165000
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.67
|
1.67
|
0.4000
|
π |
Tx
|
1706734165000
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.67
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1706259553000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.10
|
5.00
|
0.6200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706259553000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x442bdd85
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.10
|
5.00
|
0.6200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706202611000
|
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.13
|
13.33
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1706202611000
|
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x0ee3a92d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$13.20
|
13.33
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706096257000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.37
|
3.33
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1706096257000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x209c21d4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.96
|
3.33
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706013396000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x82e74b77
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
2.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705963503000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
2.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705946528000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x780b0830
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.50
|
1.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705514189000
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Haley |
|
$0.32
|
1.32
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705514189000
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
DeSantis |
|
$1.00
|
1.32
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704581242000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x60073655
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.35
|
1.35
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704581242000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1.35
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704581038000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.63
|
5.26
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704581038000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.63
|
5.26
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704306596000
|
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xfeb58108
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.33
|
13.33
|
0.9250
|
π |
Tx
|
1704306596000
|
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
13.33
|
0.0750
|
π |
Tx
|
1704306502000
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xfeb58108
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.85
|
3.85
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704306502000
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
3.85
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1704101458000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.04
|
2.04
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1704101458000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
2.04
|
0.4900
|
π |
Tx
|
1704101283000
|
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1.54
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1704101283000
|
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x69026a45
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.54
|
1.54
|
0.3500
|
π |
Tx
|
1704101129000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
3.33
|
0.3000
|
π |
Tx
|
1704101129000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.33
|
3.33
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1703926159000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.06
|
1.06
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1703926159000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.06
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1703357290000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Democrats |
π΄ |
$1.00
|
1.14
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1703357290000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Republicans |
π΅ |
$0.14
|
1.14
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1701525040000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x4c2da46b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.08
|
2.08
|
0.5200
|
π |
Tx
|
1701525040000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
2.08
|
0.4800
|
π |
Tx
|
1701525018000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
4.00
|
0.2500
|
π |
Tx
|
1701525018000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
4.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1701524894000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x64cfb9f6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.26
|
5.26
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1701524894000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
5.26
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1700515801000
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.05
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700515801000
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.05
|
1.05
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700515781000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xc5a73720
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.92
|
1.92
|
0.4800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700515781000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.92
|
0.5200
|
π |
Tx
|
1699913515000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.45
|
1.48
|
0.9780
|
π |
Tx
|
1699913515000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.45
|
1.48
|
0.9780
|
π |
Tx
|
1698970135000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.30
|
5.00
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1698970135000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.30
|
5.00
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1697736741000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.54
|
4.54
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1697736741000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.54
|
4.54
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1697219419000
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x7c61fa02
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.15
|
2.26
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697219419000
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.11
|
2.26
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697219257000
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x2e000940
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.08
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1697219257000
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1.08
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1696953333000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.10
|
1.53
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696953333000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.10
|
1.53
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696798575000
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x0ce992da
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.43
|
2.26
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1696798575000
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.43
|
2.26
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1696798525000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x1f0a3435
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.55
|
4.55
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696798525000
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
4.55
|
0.2200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696798503000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.22
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696798503000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
1.22
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696674502000
|
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1.72
|
0.5800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696674502000
|
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x629bc4a1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.72
|
1.72
|
0.4200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696486093000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
5.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1696486093000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.00
|
5.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1696486041000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1.52
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1696486041000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.52
|
1.52
|
0.3400
|
π |
Tx
|
1696141560000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.56
|
2.56
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1696141560000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.00
|
2.56
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1695808918000
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.49
|
1.16
|
0.4200
|
π |
Tx
|
1695808918000
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.49
|
1.16
|
0.4200
|
π |
Tx
|
1695808894000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.34
|
2.94
|
0.1153
|
π |
Tx
|
1695808894000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x0d45bdb2
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.83
|
2.01
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1695808894000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x7c61fa02
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.77
|
0.93
|
0.8300
|
π |
Tx
|
1695367412000
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
2.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1695367412000
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xcb14f617
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
2.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1695108479000
|
Will X start charging all users?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.05
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1695108479000
|
Will X start charging all users?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x209c21d4
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.05
|
1.05
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1694762553000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.56
|
2.56
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1694762553000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
2.56
|
0.3900
|
π |
Tx
|
1693944350000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.54
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1693944350000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.54
|
1.54
|
0.3500
|
π |
Tx
|
1693212893000
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.14
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1693212893000
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x3db60dab
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.14
|
1.14
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1692957774000
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0xa2f1fecf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.13
|
2.13
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1692957774000
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.13
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1692952212000
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31?
|
0xe05e74d9
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$14.54
|
20.77
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1692942500000
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x0ce992da
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.68
|
13.41
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1692942500000
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.73
|
13.41
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1692941594000
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x0ce992da
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.47
|
7.36
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1692941594000
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.89
|
7.36
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1692709006000
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
2.53
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1692709006000
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA?
|
0x8b81ef56
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.53
|
2.53
|
0.2100
|
π |
Tx
|
1692554452000
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8b81ef56
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
8.33
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|