1716570141000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0xcdd75e90
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$143.88
|
165.38
|
0.8700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1716567843000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0xba92784c
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$6.69
|
7.69
|
0.8700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1716567679000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0x13ddf0b4
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$6.69
|
7.69
|
0.8700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1716567383000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0xf12e461e
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$13.38
|
15.38
|
0.8700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1716562698000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0x6c4e5ff0
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$3.35
|
3.85
|
0.8700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1715105367000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0xf871d288
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$81.24
|
92.01
|
0.8830
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1715025108000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0xe9990c72
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$0.01
|
0.01
|
0.8830
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1715025056000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0xe9990c72
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$19.88
|
22.51
|
0.8830
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1714931658000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0x07d42454
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$75.47
|
85.47
|
0.8830
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1706217191000
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?
|
0xccdf5a90
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$45.80
|
89.80
|
0.5100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1706214006000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$160.00
|
200.00
|
0.8000
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705494838000
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?
|
0xed7b3fc8
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$33.21
|
35.71
|
0.9300
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705469483000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4c0340f9
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$144.97
|
284.25
|
0.5100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705466263000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$153.00
|
300.00
|
0.5100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705453003000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$51.51
|
101.00
|
0.5100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705452985000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$77.01
|
151.00
|
0.5100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705359688000
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?
|
0xd2810aae
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$5.20
|
10.20
|
0.5100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705283082000
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?
|
0xde242261
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$253.31
|
342.31
|
0.7400
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705243973000
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?
|
0xf21e930f
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$13.29
|
14.29
|
0.9300
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705238458000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x78554861
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$408.00
|
800.00
|
0.5100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705186603000
|
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April?
|
0x850c68fd
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$20.13
|
134.23
|
0.1500
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705179416000
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?
|
0x837383c3
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$42.69
|
57.69
|
0.7400
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705179376000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x837383c3
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$16.25
|
31.25
|
0.5200
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705175322000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x345bd35e
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$2.60
|
5.00
|
0.5200
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705173106000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$158.00
|
200.00
|
0.7900
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705173106000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$158.00
|
200.00
|
0.7900
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705172722000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x7f763b10
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$9.59
|
10.00
|
0.9590
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705172722000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$86.22
|
89.82
|
0.9599
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705172722000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x817ccaea
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$76.63
|
79.82
|
0.9600
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705172230000
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$40.00
|
52.63
|
0.7600
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1705172230000
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$40.00
|
52.63
|
0.7600
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704744704000
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?
|
0x78ab2b8b
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$70.00
|
200.00
|
0.3500
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704743768000
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$20.25
|
25.00
|
0.8100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704743768000
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$4.75
|
25.00
|
0.1900
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704743384000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$40.00
|
62.50
|
0.6400
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704743384000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$22.50
|
62.50
|
0.3600
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704742898000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$100.00
|
106.38
|
0.9400
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704742898000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$6.08
|
101.38
|
0.0600
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704742898000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0xffa10ca8
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$0.30
|
5.00
|
0.0600
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704729987000
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?
|
0x62617d56
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$88.55
|
491.93
|
0.1800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704714980000
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$4.00
|
5.00
|
0.8000
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704493472000
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?
|
0x52d09409
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$9.84
|
491.93
|
0.0200
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704466058000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$39.77
|
69.77
|
0.5700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704466058000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$30.00
|
69.77
|
0.4300
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704465626000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$30.00
|
230.77
|
0.1300
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704465626000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$200.77
|
230.77
|
0.8700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704415469000
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February?
|
0xde242261
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$191.93
|
198.48
|
0.9670
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704372103000
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February?
|
0x93e2a87e
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$1.47
|
1.52
|
0.9670
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704363085000
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$50.00
|
63.29
|
0.7900
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704363085000
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$13.29
|
63.29
|
0.2100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704363035000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$30.00
|
40.00
|
0.7500
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1704363035000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$30.00
|
40.00
|
0.7500
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1703079124000
|
Will Tucker interview Putin?
|
0x9bcae167
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$11.13
|
18.86
|
0.5900
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1702695697000
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$0.89
|
1.00
|
0.8900
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1702557576000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$5.83
|
20.83
|
0.2800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1702557576000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$15.00
|
20.83
|
0.7200
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1702399025000
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x84f9909e
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$4.09
|
34.09
|
0.1200
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1702399025000
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$30.00
|
34.09
|
0.8800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1701451862000
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
|
0x96521506
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$15.00
|
20.00
|
0.7500
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1701441608000
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x0603d4d8
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$10.50
|
25.00
|
0.4200
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1701428624000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$20.00
|
100.00
|
0.2000
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1701426637000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$91.00
|
100.00
|
0.9100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1701426637000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$9.00
|
100.00
|
0.0900
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1700633137000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x974470e3
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$7.00
|
100.00
|
0.0700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1700567144000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x9483b8fd
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$20.44
|
40.00
|
0.5110
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1700566444000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xc673b1d6
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$4.55
|
8.90
|
0.5110
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1691867763000
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
|
0xf3c92b3b
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
Yes |
โ
|
$2.00
|
11.11
|
0.1800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1691117138000
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
Yes |
โ
|
$27.70
|
153.89
|
0.1800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1691054043000
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot?
|
0x11c3e418
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$26.29
|
28.89
|
0.9100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1691053375000
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot?
|
0x55171dfc
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$10.11
|
11.11
|
0.9100
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1691046721000
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15ยข and 65ยข EOW?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$20.40
|
120.00
|
0.1700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690998923000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$30.00
|
32.36
|
0.9270
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690998923000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x45580fea
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$2.36
|
32.36
|
0.0730
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690998659000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Buy |
Yes |
โ
|
$61.44
|
192.00
|
0.3200
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690998659000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
โ |
$130.56
|
192.00
|
0.6800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690897976000
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
|
0x5bbdda8c
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$15.91
|
198.91
|
0.0800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690896948000
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
|
0x8725a096
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$0.09
|
1.09
|
0.0800
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690895764000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0xa282f14c
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$45.00
|
75.00
|
0.6000
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690895764000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$30.00
|
75.00
|
0.4000
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690828015000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x717d2fec
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$0.97
|
50.97
|
0.0190
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690828015000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$50.00
|
50.97
|
0.9810
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690827963000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x5fc814d8
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$244.12
|
294.12
|
0.8300
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690827963000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$50.00
|
294.12
|
0.1700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690827747000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$142.31
|
192.31
|
0.7400
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690827747000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$50.00
|
192.31
|
0.2600
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690827519000
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x84abbf64
|
Sell |
Yes |
โ |
$50.00
|
64.94
|
0.7700
|
๐ |
Tx
|
1690827519000
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?
|
0x84abbf64
|
0x47bc4b50
|
Sell |
No |
โ
|
$14.94
|
64.94
|
0.2300
|
๐ |
Tx
|