Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
230.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-160.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-160.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-174.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-174.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8830
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-176.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-176.60
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-296.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
104.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
88.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
79.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.87
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
โ
|
78.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.71
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
โ
|
-51.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3914
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
35.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
13.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.70
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
75.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
โ
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
69.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.4300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
69.77
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.77
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
34.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.72
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
23.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.91
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
62.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
62.50
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7333
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
60.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
-44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.00
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
63.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
63.29
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.29
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
โ
|
13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
52.63
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.63
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
11.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.44
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
7.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.73
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9670
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-193.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.60
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
106.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
106.38
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.38
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
89.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.9599
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
89.82
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-86.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.60
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
40.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-36.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.60
|
Trades
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
50.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
โ
|
-46.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.50
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.9810
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.97
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.97
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-0.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
โ
|
-0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.36
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
โ
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
โ
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
20.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
134.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-20.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.13
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15ยข and 65ยข EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
120.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
โ
|
-20.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.40
|
Trades
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8083
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-24.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.25
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
294.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
145.00
|
1,311.36
|
|
|
-917.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
538.39
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-540.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-540.60
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
145.00
|
1,311.36
|
|
|
-1,458.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.21
|
|