1708811710000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
11.12
|
0.8990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708811710000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.12
|
11.12
|
0.1010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708811592000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
11.11
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708811592000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
11.11
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701723057000
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
12.66
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701723057000
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.66
|
12.66
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701722999000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6.21
|
16.21
|
0.3830
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701722999000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
16.21
|
0.6170
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701722889000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$28.46
|
38.46
|
0.7400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701722889000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
38.46
|
0.2600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701641014000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$18.00
|
18.46
|
0.9750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701641014000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$18.00
|
18.46
|
0.9750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640970000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.12
|
0.9880
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640970000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x67aee398
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.12
|
10.12
|
0.0120
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640924000
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x717d2fec
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.25
|
25.31
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640924000
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.06
|
5.00
|
0.0110
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640924000
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$30.00
|
30.31
|
0.9898
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640856000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.75
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640856000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.75
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640810000
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
23.56
|
0.8490
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640810000
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.56
|
23.56
|
0.1510
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640800000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xd7307d60
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.02
|
0.54
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640800000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xb113c889
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$9.48
|
9.78
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640800000
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.31
|
0.9695
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640756000
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.21
|
10.21
|
0.0210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640756000
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.21
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640740000
|
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6b552487
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.20
|
10.20
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640740000
|
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.20
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640622000
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x1285b38d
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.10
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640622000
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.10
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640424000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x148f8504
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$37.62
|
47.62
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640424000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
47.62
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640288000
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.04
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640288000
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x1f0a3435
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.04
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640218000
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.15
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701640218000
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.15
|
10.15
|
0.0150
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698527703000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
22.00
|
0.0910
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698527703000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$20.00
|
22.00
|
0.9090
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697530349000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.87
|
15.87
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697530349000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
15.87
|
0.6300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697530056000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$0.35
|
0.65
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1697530056000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xb46ef1a5
|
Buy |
Republican |
🔴 |
$0.30
|
0.65
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687783769000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$145.42
|
148.54
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687783769000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$145.42
|
148.54
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687783505000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$56.67
|
66.67
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687783505000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
66.67
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687778693000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$29.62
|
30.26
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687778693000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$29.62
|
30.26
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718635000
|
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x7b26b9c0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.29
|
0.9722
|
|
Tx
|
1687718529000
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x3640fed9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.15
|
6.97
|
0.0221
|
|
Tx
|
1687718337000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
11.11
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718337000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6d50d140
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.11
|
11.11
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718295000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x7f2de588
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.15
|
10.15
|
0.0150
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718295000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.15
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718225000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.31
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718225000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.31
|
10.31
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718097000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
102.67
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687718097000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
102.67
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683232337000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
100.60
|
0.9940
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683232337000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x117322cc
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
100.60
|
0.9940
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683232013000
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
12.99
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683232013000
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.99
|
12.99
|
0.2300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683231205000
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.99
|
10.99
|
0.0900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683231205000
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.99
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683229187000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.13
|
0.9870
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683229187000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.13
|
0.9870
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683229049000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.62
|
20.62
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1683229049000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
20.62
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1682715111000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6eeacefe
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.13
|
0.9870
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1682715111000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.13
|
0.9870
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1672938070000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.3% or higher on January 7?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x83a103c3
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.46
|
0.6826
|
|
Tx
|
1669324900000
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x4bebaf66
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
12.26
|
0.8154
|
|
Tx
|
1667334561000
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6f5fffa4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$16.62
|
80.50
|
0.2064
|
|
Tx
|
1667334555000
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6f5fffa4
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$22.05
|
29.23
|
0.7543
|
|
Tx
|
1665757074000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x43bb9966
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.21
|
28.63
|
0.0771
|
|
Tx
|
1665757052000
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6a50e910
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.92
|
63.37
|
0.0618
|
|
Tx
|
1665742469000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x11e2c6d7
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.74
|
24.50
|
0.7649
|
|
Tx
|
1665742225000
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6f5fffa4
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.51
|
2.78
|
0.5410
|
|
Tx
|
1665741781000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xff6ac822
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$15.48
|
16.06
|
0.9637
|
|
Tx
|
1665741598000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x43bb9966
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$16.52
|
22.48
|
0.7347
|
|
Tx
|
1665741470000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x2288ab9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$15.69
|
17.68
|
0.8871
|
|
Tx
|
1665740972000
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6a50e910
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17.05
|
26.04
|
0.6548
|
|
Tx
|
1665740510000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x43bb9966
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.52
|
3.32
|
0.1567
|
|
Tx
|
1665740238000
|
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x65521059
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.61
|
12.59
|
0.8430
|
|
Tx
|
1665740178000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xa51e296d
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$50.68
|
53.07
|
0.9549
|
|
Tx
|
1665740144000
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6a50e910
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6.87
|
11.10
|
0.6187
|
|
Tx
|
1665740130000
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x6a50e910
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.91
|
2.50
|
0.3650
|
|
Tx
|
1665660652000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x43bb9966
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$8.86
|
9.44
|
0.9381
|
|
Tx
|
1664813985000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
13.25
|
0.7547
|
|
Tx
|
1664813945000
|
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x65521059
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
12.59
|
0.7942
|
|
Tx
|
1663690219000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x11e2c6d7
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$18.76
|
24.51
|
0.7655
|
|
Tx
|
1663567647000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $87.50 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future)
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xe670fa25
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$17.60
|
18.76
|
0.9380
|
|
Tx
|
1663353019000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xa51e296d
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$50.00
|
53.07
|
0.9421
|
|
Tx
|
1663352767000
|
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0xaa0c0599
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
104.16
|
0.9600
|
|
Tx
|
1663352445000
|
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x0c8ee7eb
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.68
|
0.9360
|
|
Tx
|
1662925859000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x0199f041
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$193.67
|
197.60
|
0.9801
|
|
Tx
|
1662925773000
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x5fa7bf44
|
Buy |
Ethereum |
|
$10.00
|
17.63
|
0.5671
|
|
Tx
|
1662925618000
|
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x5e9a3e7f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.59
|
0.9441
|
|
Tx
|
1662739967000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x1b989fec
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.23
|
0.9778
|
|
Tx
|
1662739825000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022?
|
0x6eeacefe
|
0x947628b9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.06
|
0.9943
|
|
Tx
|