1692906564000
|
Will CZ be arrested by Aug 31?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.02
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906564000
|
Will CZ be arrested by Aug 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
3.02
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906472000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.62
|
4.62
|
0.3500
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906472000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.00
|
4.62
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906434000
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
3.30
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906434000
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xe81578cc
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.30
|
3.30
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906410000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
3.16
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906410000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xa67209aa
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.16
|
3.16
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906382000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xe6b1bb1c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.62
|
4.62
|
0.3500
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906382000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.00
|
4.62
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906146000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x777fae71
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.23
|
4.23
|
0.2900
|
π |
Tx
|
1692906146000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.00
|
4.23
|
0.7100
|
π |
Tx
|
1689280054000
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher)
|
0x6a298049
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.56
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1689280054000
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher)
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
2.56
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279662000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
3.13
|
0.6400
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279662000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x9ac5c849
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.13
|
3.13
|
0.3600
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279556000
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
Oppenheimer |
|
$2.00
|
2.50
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279556000
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x47bc4b50
|
Sell |
Barbie |
|
$0.50
|
2.50
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279546000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.20
|
2.20
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279546000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.20
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279538000
|
North Korea missile test by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.38
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279538000
|
North Korea missile test by July 31?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xc5ddce55
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.00
|
2.38
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279250000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.15
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279250000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.15
|
2.15
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279238000
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher)
|
0x6a298049
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
3.85
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279238000
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher)
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.00
|
3.85
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279226000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.16
|
2.16
|
0.0720
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279226000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.16
|
0.9280
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279214000
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x51b636f2
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.17
|
2.17
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1689279214000
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6a298049
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.17
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1670452605000
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xa4e4ae92
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.39
|
3.59
|
0.9456
|
|
Tx
|
1670452567000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6.03
|
6.31
|
0.9562
|
|
Tx
|
1670452545000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.54
|
9.67
|
0.9864
|
|
Tx
|
1670070430000
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x5fa7bf44
|
Sell |
Ethereum |
|
$2.66
|
8.65
|
0.3078
|
|
Tx
|
1668701930000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.19
|
6.97
|
0.7441
|
|
Tx
|
1668701880000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Buy |
Democrat |
π΅ |
$3.00
|
3.84
|
0.7813
|
|
Tx
|
1668701738000
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xf941c738
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.88
|
0.7726
|
|
Tx
|
1668701682000
|
Will @jordanbpeterson tweet in 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x012a2b47
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
5.78
|
0.5190
|
|
Tx
|
1668701648000
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x4bebaf66
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.64
|
0.8237
|
|
Tx
|
1668701612000
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xa4e4ae92
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.59
|
0.8346
|
|
Tx
|
1668701584000
|
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x2db66562
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.81
|
0.7868
|
|
Tx
|
1668701393000
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x8d3244f6
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4.00
|
4.76
|
0.8411
|
|
Tx
|
1668701333000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xf414c775
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4.00
|
6.69
|
0.5981
|
|
Tx
|
1668533973000
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x501c8662
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.83
|
5.93
|
0.9826
|
|
Tx
|
1668533945000
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x6c982f29
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.66
|
8.61
|
0.8897
|
|
Tx
|
1668533895000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$1.18
|
4.50
|
0.2632
|
|
Tx
|
1667992867000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x2da61c36
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
7.85
|
0.6368
|
|
Tx
|
1667992829000
|
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xc7a19a37
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
8.71
|
0.5738
|
|
Tx
|
1667992795000
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x47a05b70
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
13.14
|
0.3806
|
|
Tx
|
1667992155000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x8da8ce38
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$10.28
|
10.34
|
0.9936
|
|
Tx
|
1667991308000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x26e282fb
|
Sell |
Democrat |
π΄ |
$8.09
|
8.25
|
0.9806
|
|
Tx
|
1667991268000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x45467ab3
|
Sell |
Democrat |
π΄ |
$4.19
|
4.27
|
0.9818
|
|
Tx
|
1667991240000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x95c6c7ad
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$7.78
|
7.86
|
0.9886
|
|
Tx
|
1667991214000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x76e456c9
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$4.61
|
4.74
|
0.9733
|
|
Tx
|
1667991194000
|
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xcfef4809
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$7.12
|
7.19
|
0.9896
|
|
Tx
|
1667991170000
|
Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x195c3e9b
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.34
|
12.56
|
0.9825
|
|
Tx
|
1667873618000
|
Will βBlack Panther: Wakanda Foreverβ gross between $180-$220 million domestically in its opening weekend?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x19b4d34b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.13
|
5.40
|
0.5798
|
|
Tx
|
1667873492000
|
The Thiel Parlay
|
0x6a298049
|
0x53d925a4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
17.35
|
0.5763
|
|
Tx
|
1667873372000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x45467ab3
|
Buy |
Democrat |
π΅ |
$3.00
|
4.27
|
0.7022
|
|
Tx
|
1667873336000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x0e3dfbe6
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$3.00
|
4.50
|
0.6664
|
|
Tx
|
1667873310000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x7795246f
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$5.00
|
8.49
|
0.5888
|
|
Tx
|
1667873286000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x76e456c9
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$4.00
|
4.74
|
0.8435
|
|
Tx
|
1667873244000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xe6f71bb7
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$3.00
|
4.72
|
0.6351
|
|
Tx
|
1667873180000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x76e456c9
|
Sell |
Democrat |
π΄ |
$1.93
|
11.46
|
0.1688
|
|
Tx
|
1667873158000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xbe369052
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.95
|
4.84
|
0.1959
|
|
Tx
|
1667873136000
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x4af111ad
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.76
|
8.04
|
0.3434
|
|
Tx
|
1667873104000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xdf76edcb
|
Sell |
Democrat |
π΄ |
$6.82
|
7.94
|
0.8587
|
|
Tx
|
1667873082000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x45467ab3
|
Sell |
Democrat |
π΄ |
$5.19
|
7.67
|
0.6771
|
|
Tx
|
1667873054000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x7795246f
|
Sell |
Democrat |
π΄ |
$2.98
|
7.19
|
0.4142
|
|
Tx
|
1667873006000
|
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xcfef4809
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.28
|
38.57
|
0.1110
|
|
Tx
|
1667872934000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Sell |
Republicans |
π΅ |
$4.52
|
4.61
|
0.9803
|
|
Tx
|
1667608718000
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x6c982f29
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.58
|
9.66
|
0.4738
|
|
Tx
|
1667608654000
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x501c8662
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4.95
|
5.93
|
0.8334
|
|
Tx
|
1667608612000
|
Will βBlack Panther: Wakanda Foreverβ gross between $180-$220 million domestically in its opening weekend?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x19b4d34b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
5.40
|
0.5552
|
|
Tx
|
1667608584000
|
Will βBlack Panther: Wakanda Foreverβ gross more than $220 million domestically in its opening weekend?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x625f97e4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.84
|
0.7818
|
|
Tx
|
1667608550000
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x4af111ad
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.93
|
0.6822
|
|
Tx
|
1667608522000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
6.31
|
0.7918
|
|
Tx
|
1667608496000
|
Will $DOGE dip below $0.10 by Nov 30?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x1183a1ee
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
8.14
|
0.6142
|
|
Tx
|
1667187017000
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x4af111ad
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
5.11
|
0.5871
|
|
Tx
|
1667186943000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
7.72
|
0.6475
|
|
Tx
|
1667186717000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Buy |
Republicans |
π΄ |
$4.00
|
4.61
|
0.8669
|
|
Tx
|
1665649392000
|
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xcfef4809
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4.00
|
38.58
|
0.1037
|
|
Tx
|
1665649370000
|
Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x195c3e9b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4.00
|
4.76
|
0.8412
|
|
Tx
|
1665649320000
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xcc7c2c96
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$6.00
|
7.97
|
0.7532
|
|
Tx
|
1665649282000
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x099b6f3b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$6.00
|
8.96
|
0.6696
|
|
Tx
|
1665649232000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 13?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xf07b50dd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$6.00
|
9.19
|
0.6528
|
|
Tx
|
1665649186000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x43bb9966
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$6.00
|
6.75
|
0.8892
|
|
Tx
|
1665649162000
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x0be111c2
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$6.00
|
8.37
|
0.7168
|
|
Tx
|
1664726005000
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 190k for the week ending October 1?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xe841dfb3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
8.70
|
0.5746
|
|
Tx
|
1664725765000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x878543bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
7.50
|
0.6662
|
|
Tx
|
1663773829000
|
Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x195c3e9b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
7.81
|
0.6401
|
|
Tx
|
1663773803000
|
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xcfef4809
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
7.20
|
0.6947
|
|
Tx
|
1663773595000
|
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xaa86e210
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
15.37
|
0.3253
|
|
Tx
|
1663773531000
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x5adf2772
|
Sell |
Lower |
|
$11.00
|
11.18
|
0.9836
|
|
Tx
|
1663508863000
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x819911c1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.58
|
3.80
|
0.9426
|
|
Tx
|
1663508769000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x61234ab9
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$9.50
|
34.73
|
0.2736
|
|
Tx
|
1663508559000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on September 22?
|
0x6a298049
|
0x8cc06fe5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
6.36
|
0.7865
|
|
Tx
|
1663508339000
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xbe369052
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
4.85
|
0.6190
|
|
Tx
|
1663317718000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xc56acf15
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.90
|
15.07
|
0.9887
|
|
Tx
|
1663151027000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?
|
0x6a298049
|
0xa630c933
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.12
|
4.36
|
0.9434
|
|
Tx
|