Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
4.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7100
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
3.92
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.92
|
Trades
|
The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.5763
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
17.35
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.35
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
✅ |
5.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.75
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 18 2022
|
✅ |
5.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.71
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
✅ |
4.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.91
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.6933
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
14.69
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-10.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
4.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.22
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 04 2022
|
✅ |
3.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.86
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? |
Yes |
No |
8.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5738
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
8.71
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.71
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 190k for the week ending October 1? |
Yes |
No |
8.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5746
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
8.70
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 06 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.70
|
Trades
|
Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
3.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.35
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.6788
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.31
|
Fri Aug 05 2022
|
✅ |
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.31
|
Trades
|
Will $DOGE dip below $0.10 by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
3.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.14
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.10
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 38.0% or higher on July 21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 21 2022
|
✅ |
3.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.03
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
7.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6368
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
7.85
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.85
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.5981
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.69
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.69
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on July 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 18 2022
|
✅ |
2.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.61
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15? |
Republicans |
Democrats |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
✅ |
2.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.60
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 09 2022
|
✅ |
2.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.59
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
2.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.46
|
Trades
|
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.7168
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
8.37
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.37
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
2.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.28
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 11 2022
|
✅ |
2.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.02
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.01
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
1.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.97
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
1.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.94
|
Trades
|
Will the Kansas "Value Them Both" anti-abortion amendment pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
1.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.79
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
1.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.66
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
4.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.62
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.62
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
✅ |
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
6.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
6.41
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.41
|
Trades
|
Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 03 2022
|
✅ |
1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on July 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
✅ |
1.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.37
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be 75 ETH or above on August 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
✅ |
1.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
✅ |
1.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.12
|
Trades
|
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.3011
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.60
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
✅ |
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.12
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
0.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.89
|
Trades
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.7726
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.88
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross more than $220 million domestically in its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 13 2022
|
✅ |
0.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.84
|
Trades
|
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.78
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.77
|
Trades
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
4.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8411
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.76
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 08 2022
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.76
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
✅ |
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.63
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
0.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.59
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
0.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.52
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 70 ETH or above on Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.51
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
2.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.50
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.39
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9025
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.32
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.32
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.30
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.17
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9280
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.16
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.15
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross between $180-$220 million domestically in its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 13 2022
|
✅ |
0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9950
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.02
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
-0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.18
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.99
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.57
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
4.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
2.31
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.69
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
✅ |
-0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2000 by August 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.5735
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 20 2022
|
✅ |
-1.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.96
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
3.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-2.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.05
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-2.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.24
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.34
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-2.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.45
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
-2.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.62
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.6351
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will @jordanbpeterson tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.5190
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.8237
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.5315
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 29 2022
|
✅ |
-3.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.03
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.7026
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
-3.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.13
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
✅ |
-3.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.72
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
8.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.5471
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
8.47
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
-13.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.63
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.6946
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
-4.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.90
|
Trades
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.6470
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7101
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on July 25? |
Yes |
No |
6.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7587
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 25 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.5977
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on September 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.7865
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter? |
Yes |
No |
15.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3253
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.6662
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 07 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.3806
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.85
|
0.00% |
|
1.3425
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-5.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.18
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7398
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 18 2022
|
✅ |
-5.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.18
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.6696
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.6528
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? |
Yes |
No |
10.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 05 2022
|
✅ |
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.8266
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-7.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.01
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
9.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7858
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
-7.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.31
|
Trades
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.7817
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-8.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.03
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.6065
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
-8.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.66
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
✅ |
-17.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.62
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51.87
|
81.58
|
|
|
-176.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.90
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.92
|
0.00
|
|
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.92
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55.79
|
81.58
|
|
|
-179.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.98
|
|