1716652502000
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
104.17
|
0.0480
|
π |
Tx
|
1716652502000
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xa14b10b0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$99.17
|
104.17
|
0.9520
|
π |
Tx
|
1716400935000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$38.14
|
42.85
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1716400935000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$38.14
|
42.85
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1716400927000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xecdbd795
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$229.73
|
270.27
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1716400927000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$229.73
|
270.27
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1705284377000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$33.43
|
42.86
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1705284377000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$33.43
|
42.86
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1705284253000
|
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$43.43
|
57.14
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705284253000
|
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$13.71
|
57.14
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705283786000
|
CZ jail before March?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$14.32
|
34.92
|
0.4100
|
π |
Tx
|
1705283786000
|
CZ jail before March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.60
|
34.92
|
0.5900
|
π |
Tx
|
1705283430000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.00
|
166.67
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1705283430000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xd28e607b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$161.67
|
166.67
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1705276475000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$200.00
|
270.27
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705276475000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$70.27
|
270.27
|
0.2600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143289000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x452223c6
|
RelayThief
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$40.00
|
54.79
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143289000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$40.00
|
54.79
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143179000
|
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.00
|
100.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143179000
|
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4.00
|
100.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143159000
|
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.00
|
4.04
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143159000
|
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.04
|
4.04
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143151000
|
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4.00
|
100.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705143151000
|
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.00
|
100.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1705142483000
|
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$17.14
|
57.14
|
0.3000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705142483000
|
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$40.00
|
57.14
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705142215000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$77.14
|
107.14
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1705142215000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$30.00
|
107.14
|
0.2800
|
π |
Tx
|
1705138278000
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
55.56
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1705138278000
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$50.56
|
55.56
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1705137502000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xadc6eeca
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$137.20
|
343.00
|
0.4000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705137502000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$205.80
|
343.00
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1693846950000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x524cece3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$168.30
|
262.97
|
0.6400
|
π |
Tx
|
1693846950000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$42.10
|
65.78
|
0.6400
|
π |
Tx
|
1693846950000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$9.60
|
15.00
|
0.6400
|
π |
Tx
|
1693846950000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$220.00
|
343.75
|
0.6400
|
π |
Tx
|
1693846882000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
285.71
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1693846882000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x5bbdda8c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$265.71
|
285.71
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1693845944000
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$20.00
|
86.96
|
0.2300
|
π |
Tx
|
1693845944000
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$66.96
|
86.96
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1679234132000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$146.67
|
166.67
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1679234132000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
166.67
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1679234066000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xee292607
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$29.92
|
32.52
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1679234066000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xe2ca48ae
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$85.08
|
92.48
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1679234066000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
125.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1671992185000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30?
|
0xcccfdb92
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.50
|
2.50
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1671955996000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30?
|
0x479cffbf
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.00
|
5.00
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1671866659000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30?
|
0x4cc3522b
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$37.50
|
62.50
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1671860284000
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30?
|
0x4c0340f9
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$60.00
|
100.00
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1671825763000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31?
|
0xb0e63a82
|
0x452223c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$30.00
|
100.00
|
0.3000
|
π |
Tx
|
1671813261000
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xf6dbf30b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
216.68
|
0.0462
|
|
Tx
|
1671812807000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xa51e296d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
408.14
|
0.0025
|
|
Tx
|
1670572445000
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x74d42485
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
800.46
|
0.0062
|
|
Tx
|
1670572235000
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x21ba4908
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$79.32
|
79.83
|
0.9937
|
|
Tx
|
1670572067000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xa51e296d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
802.36
|
0.0037
|
|
Tx
|
1669801747000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xa51e296d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
1,235.24
|
0.0243
|
|
Tx
|
1665231344000
|
Will 'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' gross more than $18 million domestically on its opening weekend?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xb9c61bee
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
59.82
|
0.0167
|
|
Tx
|
1665231286000
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xcc7c2c96
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
196.69
|
0.2542
|
|
Tx
|
1665230910000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x5137cb11
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
394.91
|
0.0253
|
|
Tx
|
1662835892000
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x21ba4908
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
79.83
|
0.2505
|
|
Tx
|
1662835568000
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x028402f7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
280.86
|
0.0356
|
|
Tx
|
1662835532000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x11e2c6d7
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
157.27
|
0.6359
|
|
Tx
|
1662834460000
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x9e3fcf26
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
174.43
|
0.5733
|
|
Tx
|
1662834404000
|
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future)
|
0x452223c6
|
0x50e678b4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
232.64
|
0.0430
|
|
Tx
|
1657110618000
|
Will June Huh win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xea6ef0d7
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$32.47
|
32.68
|
0.9934
|
|
Tx
|
1657110562000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$75.47
|
209.04
|
0.3610
|
|
Tx
|
1657110236000
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x22c5a57c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
24.34
|
0.4108
|
|
Tx
|
1657110010000
|
Will Maryna Viazovska win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x2fa51ef5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$25.60
|
25.77
|
0.9936
|
|
Tx
|
1657109934000
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xac7a7e8a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$6.61
|
137.78
|
0.0480
|
|
Tx
|
1657109914000
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xac7a7e8a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$202.13
|
214.95
|
0.9404
|
|
Tx
|
1656398734000
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xac7a7e8a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$200.00
|
214.95
|
0.9304
|
|
Tx
|
1655140878000
|
Will June Huh win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xea6ef0d7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
32.69
|
0.6119
|
|
Tx
|
1655140848000
|
Will Hugo Duminil-Copin win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xce0de97d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
43.07
|
0.4643
|
|
Tx
|
1655140792000
|
Will Maryna Viazovska win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x2fa51ef5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
25.77
|
0.7761
|
|
Tx
|
1655140768000
|
Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x97bba7ab
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
31.56
|
0.6337
|
|
Tx
|
1655140414000
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xac7a7e8a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
137.78
|
0.1452
|
|
Tx
|
1654888939000
|
Will Sergei Shoigu remain Minister of Defense of Russia through July 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x7ad88526
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
47.84
|
0.1045
|
|
Tx
|
1654888677000
|
Will βJurassic World Dominionβ gross more than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x2b151f6c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
105.21
|
0.0475
|
|
Tx
|
1654157771000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x0ca0c09b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
69.69
|
0.7174
|
|
Tx
|
1654157631000
|
Will the floor price of goblintown.wtf be above 2 ETH on June 13?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x59949f13
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
36.89
|
0.1355
|
|
Tx
|
1654157575000
|
2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x2cb67763
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
29.54
|
0.3386
|
|
Tx
|
1654157441000
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xdbae5d06
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$48.88
|
56.90
|
0.8591
|
|
Tx
|
1652450434000
|
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x709e5777
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.09
|
138.01
|
0.0513
|
|
Tx
|
1652330249000
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xf466e416
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$60.91
|
103.38
|
0.5892
|
|
Tx
|
1652098173000
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xf466e416
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
103.39
|
0.4836
|
|
Tx
|
1652098085000
|
Will Ethereum's (ETH) price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in May 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x31417200
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
34.15
|
0.2928
|
|
Tx
|
1652097899000
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x43f32943
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$30.44
|
52.20
|
0.5831
|
|
Tx
|
1651616911000
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xbe648a2b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$21.38
|
34.74
|
0.6156
|
|
Tx
|
1651616693000
|
Will the Yuan be worth less than $0.15 USD by August 1, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3189cecc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
65.75
|
0.2281
|
|
Tx
|
1651591805000
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.012 by June 12?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x81ce470e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
54.39
|
0.3677
|
|
Tx
|
1651591661000
|
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x709e5777
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
138.01
|
0.0362
|
|
Tx
|
1651591539000
|
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3cf16b17
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$61.38
|
81.97
|
0.7488
|
|
Tx
|
1651591477000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$58.57
|
209.05
|
0.2802
|
|
Tx
|
1651408996000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
122.01
|
0.0410
|
|
Tx
|
1651408878000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x0daeba96
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$8.00
|
155.96
|
0.0513
|
|
Tx
|
1651408704000
|
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x3cf16b17
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$60.00
|
81.98
|
0.7319
|
|
Tx
|
1651407660000
|
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x97937dfd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$200.00
|
289.34
|
0.6912
|
|
Tx
|
1651406407000
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0x38f32165
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$16.70
|
64.98
|
0.2570
|
|
Tx
|
1651406131000
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xc077c717
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$61.72
|
63.59
|
0.9705
|
|
Tx
|
1649631835000
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
|
0x452223c6
|
0xdbae5d06
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
56.90
|
0.3515
|
|
Tx
|