Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
42.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
37.43
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-33.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
270.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
133.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
133.79
|
Trades
|
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 04 2022
|
β
|
89.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.34
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 15 2022
|
β
|
64.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.41
|
Trades
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
59.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.33
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
57.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
57.27
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
28.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.88
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum's (ETH) price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
24.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.15
|
Trades
|
Will Hugo Duminil-Copin win the 2022 Fields Medal? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
β
|
23.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.07
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 03 2022
|
β
|
19.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.69
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
16.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.91
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
54.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
54.79
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.79
|
Trades
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
24.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4108
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
24.34
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.34
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.5900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
34.92
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-20.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.32
|
Trades
|
Will June Huh win the 2022 Fields Medal? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
β
|
12.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.47
|
Trades
|
Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
β
|
11.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.56
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
10.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.91
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 14 2022
|
β
|
10.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.44
|
Trades
|
Will Maryna Viazovska win the 2022 Fields Medal? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 14 2022
|
β
|
5.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.61
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
4.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.96
|
Trades
|
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
3.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.43
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
2.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.09
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
1.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.72
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
1.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.39
|
Trades
|
Will 'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' gross more than $18 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
59.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0167
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
-3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.30
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
166.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
122.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0410
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of goblintown.wtf be above 2 ETH on June 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.1355
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 13 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will βJurassic World Dominionβ gross more than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
105.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0475
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 12 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sergei Shoigu remain Minister of Defense of Russia through July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
47.84
|
0.00% |
|
0.1045
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
800.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0062
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
155.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.0513
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
280.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0356
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game? |
Yes |
No |
29.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3386
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 11 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
394.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.0253
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 01 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
232.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0430
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
216.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0462
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-11.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.26
|
Trades
|
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January? |
Yes |
No |
204.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0588
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.37
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-14.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.82
|
Trades
|
Will the Yuan be worth less than $0.15 USD by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
65.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.2281
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
166.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
285.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
86.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.012 by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
54.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3677
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 12 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
34.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6156
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 02 2022
|
β
|
-21.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.38
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
112.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.2592
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 21 2022
|
β
|
-29.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.20
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
107.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2,445.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0139
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-34.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
196.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2542
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
174.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.5733
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30? |
Yes |
No |
170.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-102.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.75
|
89.73
|
|
|
-125.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.09
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.43
|
0.00
|
|
|
-233.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-196.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62.18
|
89.73
|
|
|
-359.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-207.10
|
|