1722585701000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0xb8da0a33
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$27.64
|
31.02
|
0.8910
|
π |
Tx
|
1722564117000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x6a92fcb9
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$8.00
|
8.98
|
0.8910
|
π |
Tx
|
1722447691000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x49ae18c8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
51.02
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1722447691000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$50.00
|
51.02
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1721403467000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x9f13dcf6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.02
|
20.00
|
0.1510
|
π |
Tx
|
1721403467000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.53
|
3.55
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1721403467000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$20.00
|
23.55
|
0.8492
|
π |
Tx
|
1721077811000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x2ab83d83
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.04
|
0.21
|
0.1920
|
π |
Tx
|
1721077811000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x6c2ecdbf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4.83
|
5.97
|
0.8090
|
π |
Tx
|
1721077811000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
6.18
|
0.8090
|
π |
Tx
|
1712321606000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
5.66
|
0.8840
|
π |
Tx
|
1712321606000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.66
|
5.66
|
0.1160
|
π |
Tx
|
1712321590000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.99
|
6.00
|
0.3320
|
π |
Tx
|
1712321590000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.99
|
6.00
|
0.3320
|
π |
Tx
|
1712321574000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.31
|
11.31
|
0.1160
|
π |
Tx
|
1712321574000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
11.31
|
0.8840
|
π |
Tx
|
1712161253000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$6.60
|
15.00
|
0.4400
|
π |
Tx
|
1712161253000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$6.60
|
15.00
|
0.4400
|
π |
Tx
|
1712161235000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
5.15
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1712161235000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
5.15
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1711982792000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
10.75
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1711982792000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.75
|
10.75
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1711982754000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
3.70
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1711982754000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.70
|
3.70
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1711717391000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.17
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1711717391000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.17
|
2.17
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1710933321000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$18.00
|
18.15
|
0.9920
|
π |
Tx
|
1710933321000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$18.00
|
18.15
|
0.9920
|
π |
Tx
|
1710933287000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.58
|
6.42
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1710933287000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.58
|
6.42
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1710602007000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.80
|
12.00
|
0.9000
|
π |
Tx
|
1710602007000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.20
|
12.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1710601943000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.32
|
4.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1710601943000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.32
|
4.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1710601883000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.16
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1710601883000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.16
|
1.16
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1709564577000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
5.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1709564577000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
5.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1709560433000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.25
|
1.32
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1709560433000
|
US bank failure in March?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.07
|
1.32
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1709320368000
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.70
|
10.00
|
0.3700
|
π |
Tx
|
1709320368000
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$6.30
|
10.00
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1709320350000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$24.22
|
26.04
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1709320350000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd0db7930
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$24.22
|
26.04
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901180000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.00
|
2.07
|
0.9680
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901180000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.07
|
0.9680
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901164000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.11
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901164000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
2.11
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901103000
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
2.90
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901103000
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.90
|
2.90
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901071000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.47
|
2.47
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1708901071000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.47
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1708900569000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
3.19
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1708900569000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xc2d5826b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.19
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1708524705000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6.00
|
6.32
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1708524705000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.32
|
6.32
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1708451660000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Haley |
|
$1.00
|
1.06
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1708451660000
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Biden |
|
$0.06
|
1.06
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707518145000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
21.98
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707518145000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.98
|
21.98
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707517955000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.00
|
5.16
|
0.9690
|
π |
Tx
|
1707517955000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.16
|
5.16
|
0.0310
|
π |
Tx
|
1707486025000
|
US bank failure in February?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
7.14
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1707486025000
|
US bank failure in February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
7.14
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1707099183000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$24.00
|
26.88
|
0.8930
|
π |
Tx
|
1707099183000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.88
|
26.88
|
0.1070
|
π |
Tx
|
1706793979000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x3e6ebb4a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.25
|
7.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706793979000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.25
|
7.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706304571000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
10.75
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706304571000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
10.75
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706304541000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$12.00
|
15.79
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706304541000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.79
|
15.79
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1706215522000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x0c0e270c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
1.05
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706215522000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.05
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706215506000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
2.13
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1706215506000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.13
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1706187442000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.10
|
1.10
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706187442000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.00
|
1.10
|
0.9100
|
π |
Tx
|
1706187426000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xe25b9180
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.40
|
0.71
|
0.5600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706187426000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.40
|
0.71
|
0.5600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706186880000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.67
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1706186880000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x6af75d4e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.67
|
1.67
|
0.4000
|
π |
Tx
|
1705690936000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xfeb58108
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.63
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705690936000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
2.63
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705690912000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.00
|
7.94
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1705690912000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x8352cfe9
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.94
|
7.94
|
0.3700
|
π |
Tx
|
1705690882000
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.00
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1705690882000
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x404efa6b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.00
|
1.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159999000
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.00
|
0.10
|
0.0390
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159999000
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.10
|
0.10
|
0.9610
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159975000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.00
|
2.50
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159975000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x8698edbe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.00
|
2.50
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159873000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.60
|
2.60
|
0.2300
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159873000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.00
|
2.60
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159815000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.48
|
10.48
|
0.0460
|
π |
Tx
|
1704159815000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
10.48
|
0.9540
|
π |
Tx
|
1702158279000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x84f9909e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.01
|
0.92
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1702158279000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.91
|
0.92
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1702078229000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x0c59299d
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.25
|
7.25
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1702078229000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x0c59299d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.00
|
7.25
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|