Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 80.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 55.00 0.00 0.00 55.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 21.97 0.00 0.00 21.97 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.02 Tue Sep 10 2024 3.98 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 2.80 0.00 0.00 2.80 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -156.00 0.00 0.00 -156.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 271.52 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -236.22 0.00 0.00 -236.22 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 399.95 0.00% 0.6052 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -242.05 0.00 0.00 -242.05 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 620.01 0.00% 0.8362 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -518.44 0.00 0.00 -518.44 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 757.82 0.00 0.00% 0.8315 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -630.15 0.00 0.00 -630.15 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 750.00 0.00 0.00% 1.8777 0.79 0.21 595.78 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1,408.28 0.00 0.00 -812.49 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 10,549.67 0.00 0.00 10,549.67 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 6,482.86 0.00 0.00 6,482.86 Trades
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 14 2023 ✅ 5,637.11 0.00 0.00 5,637.11 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ 4,062.14 0.00 0.00 4,062.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.14 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 2,948.12 0.00 0.00 2,948.12 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ 2,229.99 0.00 0.00 2,229.99 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,999.09 0.00 0.00 1,999.09 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 7.41 0.00% -260.9519 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 1,932.70 0.00 0.00 1,932.70 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 1,770.36 0.00 0.00 1,770.36 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,497.73 0.00 0.00 1,497.73 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ 1,485.03 0.00 0.00 1,485.03 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 ✅ 1,402.04 0.00 0.00 1,402.04 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 1,229.45 0.00 0.00 1,229.45 Trades
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ 1,088.21 0.00 0.00 1,088.21 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 915.21 0.00 0.00 915.21 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 901.95 0.00 0.00 901.96 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 877.06 0.00 0.00 877.07 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 5,891.13 0.00% 0.8561 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,891.13 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -5,043.54 0.00 0.00 847.60 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 738.29 0.00 0.00 738.29 Trades
Will Coinbase list PEPE by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 713.87 0.00 0.00 713.87 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ 682.57 0.00 0.00 682.57 Trades
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 676.46 0.00 0.00 676.46 Trades
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 23 2023 ✅ 597.24 0.00 0.00 597.24 Trades
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 10 2023 ✅ 557.50 0.00 0.00 557.50 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 500.91 0.00% -1.1074 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 ✅ 554.69 0.00 0.00 554.69 Trades
Will a team win Super Bowl LVII by 14 or more points? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 ✅ 520.00 0.00 0.00 520.00 Trades
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 505.81 0.00 0.00 505.81 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 457.84 0.00 0.00 457.84 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 451.18 0.00 0.00 451.19 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 19 2022 ✅ 444.42 0.00 0.00 444.42 Trades
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 20 2023 ✅ 440.23 0.00 0.00 440.23 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 438.67 0.00 0.00 438.67 Trades
Will there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 435.94 0.00 0.00 435.95 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 404.09 0.00 0.00 404.10 Trades
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? Yes No 4.08 0.00 0.00% -98.3970 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 401.71 0.00 0.00 401.71 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 2,985.00 0.00 0.00% -0.1309 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 390.60 0.00 0.00 390.60 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 378.45 0.00 0.00 378.45 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 351.62 0.00 0.00 351.63 Trades
Will Coinbase list $PEPE by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 341.57 0.00 0.00 341.57 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 9.17 0.00 0.00% -35.1258 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 30 2022 ✅ 321.96 0.00 0.00 321.96 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ 313.98 0.00 0.00 313.98 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 312.73 0.00 0.00 312.73 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 310.21 0.00 0.00 310.21 Trades
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 305.46 0.00 0.00 305.47 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 290.55 0.00 0.00 290.55 Trades
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 269.25 0.00 0.00 269.25 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? $2000 $2500 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Jul 01 2024 ✅ 254.99 0.00 0.00 255.00 Trades
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 246.33 0.00 0.00 246.33 Trades
49ers vs. Packers 49ers Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 238.00 0.00 0.00 238.00 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 237.50 0.00 0.00 237.51 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 ✅ 228.70 0.00 0.00 228.70 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 227.63 0.00 0.00 227.64 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 218.53 0.00 0.00 218.53 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 ✅ 213.75 0.00 0.00 213.75 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -34.3980 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ 212.66 0.00 0.00 212.67 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 208.32 0.00 0.00 208.32 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 202.50 0.00 0.00 202.50 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ again by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 ✅ 184.48 0.00 0.00 184.48 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 6.12 0.05% -27.1983 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ 166.32 14.28 0.01 180.61 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 177.63 0.00 0.00 177.63 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 176.44 0.00 0.00 176.44 Trades
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 163.60 0.00 0.00 163.60 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 ✅ 157.00 0.00 0.00 157.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3.20 0.00 0.00% -46.8803 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ 150.14 1.37 0.00 151.51 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ 145.40 0.00 0.00 145.40 Trades
Will Josh Dobbs start for the Vikings in Week 14? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Dec 11 2023 ✅ 145.02 0.00 0.00 145.03 Trades
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) Presley Reeves 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 145.00 0.00 0.00 145.00 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 144.75 0.00 0.00 144.75 Trades
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 04 2023 ✅ 141.88 0.00 0.00 141.88 Trades
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 137.22 0.00 0.00 137.23 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 132.57 0.00 0.00 132.58 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 3.66 0.00% -34.2751 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 ✅ 125.59 0.00 0.00 125.59 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 ✅ 122.14 0.00 0.00 122.14 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.52 0.00% -14.2382 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 121.33 0.00 0.00 121.33 Trades
Will $MATIC be above $1.50 on February 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 ✅ 118.00 0.00 0.00 118.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 116.05 0.00 0.00 116.05 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ 115.76 0.00 0.00 115.76 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 113.85 0.00 0.00 113.85 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 112.85 0.00 0.00 112.85 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 111.51 0.00 0.00 111.51 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.69 0.00% -16.3447 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 109.34 0.00 0.00 109.34 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 11.78 0.00 0.00% -9.1822 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ 108.14 0.59 0.00 108.74 Trades
Will $MATIC reach $1 by July 31? Yes No 70.42 0.00 0.00% -1.5085 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 106.23 0.02 0.00 106.26 Trades
Will @elonmusk have more than 22,726 tweets on February 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 10 2023 ✅ 105.06 0.00 0.00 105.06 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 103.37 0.00 0.00 103.38 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 ✅ 101.30 0.00 0.00 101.30 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 4.44 0.00 0.00% -22.8353 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 101.28 0.00 0.00 101.28 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 3.30 0.00 7.14% -28.0919 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ 92.69 0.34 0.00 93.03 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 800.00 0.00% -0.1054 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ 84.35 0.00 0.00 84.35 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 84.11 0.00 0.00 84.11 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 81.00 0.00 0.00 81.00 Trades
Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ 80.53 0.00 0.00 80.54 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 350.54 0.00 0.00% 0.7741 1.00 0.00 350.54 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -271.37 0.00 0.00 79.17 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 16 2023 ✅ 77.80 0.00 0.00 77.80 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 76.61 0.00 0.00 76.61 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Dec 02 2023 ✅ 72.79 0.00 0.00 72.80 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.09 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 72.49 0.00 0.00 72.49 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 71.77 0.00 0.00 71.77 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 453.57 0.00% -0.1517 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 68.79 0.00 0.00 68.79 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 65.60 0.00 0.00 65.60 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? $1,000 $2,000 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 63.97 0.00 0.00 63.97 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 07 2022 ✅ 61.76 0.00 0.00 61.76 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ 60.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 59.44 0.00 0.00 59.45 Trades
Will Trump mention "Joe/Joseph Biden" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ 59.20 0.00 0.00 59.20 Trades
Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 57.96 0.00 0.00 57.96 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 896.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0634 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 ✅ 56.80 0.00 0.00 56.80 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 56.28 0.00 0.00 56.28 Trades
Ethereum all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ 54.18 0.00 0.00 54.22 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 54.08 0.00 0.00 54.08 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.37 0.00% -6.3831 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 53.40 0.00 0.00 53.40 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0526 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 ✅ 52.61 0.00 0.00 52.61 Trades
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 52.50 0.00 0.00 52.50 Trades
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 52.00 0.00 0.00 52.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 51.30 0.00 0.00 51.30 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 7.92 0.00 0.00% -6.0471 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ 47.92 0.00 0.00 47.92 Trades
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 3.76 0.00 0.00% -12.2600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 12 2022 ✅ 46.04 0.00 0.00 46.04 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 43.10 0.00 0.00 43.10 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 43.01 0.00 0.00 43.01 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ 40.86 0.00 0.00 40.86 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 13.00 0.00 0.00% -2.9008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 37.72 0.00 0.00 37.72 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 ✅ 36.90 0.00 0.00 36.90 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 36.67 0.00 0.00 36.67 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 35.66 0.00 0.00 35.66 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 35.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? Yes No 7.39 0.00 0.00% -4.5272 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 ✅ 33.45 0.80 0.00 34.25 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 31.50 0.00 0.00 31.50 Trades
Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 ✅ 31.50 0.00 0.00 31.50 Trades
Will there be another (1,074th) NFL Scorigami in October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ 31.12 0.00 0.00 31.13 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ 28.80 0.00 0.00 28.80 Trades
NFL Thursday: 49ers vs. Seahawks 49ers Seahawks 0.00 84.55 0.00% -0.3358 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ 28.40 0.00 0.00 28.40 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 5.91 0.00% -4.6475 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 ✅ 27.45 0.00 0.00 27.45 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 26.79 0.00 0.00 26.80 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 26.50 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 26.09 0.00 0.00 26.10 Trades
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? Yes No 4.99 0.00 0.00% -5.0834 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ 25.38 0.00 0.00 25.38 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 25.36 0.00 0.00 25.36 Trades
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 25.35 0.00 0.00 25.35 Trades
Will Charles Herbster win the Republican gubernatorial nomination in the 2022 Nebraska election on May 10? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue May 10 2022 ✅ 24.48 0.00 0.00 24.48 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 6.11 0.00 0.00% -3.6106 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ 22.07 0.00 0.00 22.07 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 6.76 0.00 0.00% -3.1855 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 21.55 0.00 0.00 21.55 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ 21.33 0.00 0.00 21.33 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 20.95 0.00 0.00 20.95 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 20.25 0.00 0.00 20.25 Trades
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 224.87 0.00 0.00% -0.0850 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ 19.11 0.00 0.00 19.11 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 ✅ 18.72 0.00 0.00 18.72 Trades
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 18.45 0.00 0.00 18.45 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 18.31 0.00 0.00 18.32 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 18.31 0.00 0.00 18.31 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ 18.20 0.00 0.00 18.20 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 1.68 0.00 0.00% -10.3714 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ 17.45 0.64 0.00 18.09 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 10.21 0.00 0.03% -1.6944 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 17.31 0.26 0.00 17.57 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 461.10 0.00% 0.9637 0.00 1.00 0.00 461.10 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -444.36 0.00 0.00 16.74 Trades
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 16.04 0.00 0.00 16.05 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 6.54 0.00 0.00% -2.4013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ 15.69 0.00 0.00 15.70 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 4.07 0.00 0.01% -3.7634 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 15.32 0.00 0.00 15.32 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 15.14 0.00 0.00 15.15 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -2.2245 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 14.67 0.00 0.00 14.67 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 13.91 0.00 0.00 13.91 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 13.20 0.00 0.00 13.20 Trades
Will Brian Kemp win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ 12.55 0.00 0.00 12.55 Trades
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -237.50 0.00 0.00 12.50 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15? Republicans Democrats 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 ✅ 11.40 0.00 0.00 11.40 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 10.82 0.00 0.00 10.82 Trades
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 10.40 0.00 0.00 10.40 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1700 on February 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 10 2023 ✅ 10.39 0.00 0.00 10.39 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 10.25 0.00 0.00 10.25 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $70k today? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 9.84 0.00 0.00 9.84 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 9.68 0.00 0.00 9.70 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 9.60 0.00 0.00 9.60 Trades
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August? Yes No 0.00 9.55 0.00% -1.0030 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ 9.58 0.00 0.00 9.58 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 9.38 0.00 0.00 9.38 Trades
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.44 0.00 0.00% -1.3099 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ 8.43 0.46 0.00 8.89 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7.40 0.00 0.00 7.40 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7.20 0.00 0.00 7.20 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 6.89 0.00 0.00 6.89 Trades
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 6.64 0.00 0.00 6.64 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 6.34 0.00 0.00 6.34 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 6.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5.95 0.00 0.00 5.96 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5.20 0.00 0.00 5.20 Trades
Will the price of $BLUR be above $0.50 on February 28? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 28 2023 ✅ 5.19 0.00 0.00 5.20 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal play in the 2022 Wimbledon? Yes No 0.00 4.06 0.00% -1.1903 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 4.83 0.00 0.00 4.83 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 4.35 0.00 0.00 4.35 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.65 0.00 0.01% -0.4404 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 2.93 1.36 0.00 4.29 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 3.74 0.00 0.00 3.74 Trades
Will Solana ($SOL) hit $35 or $50 first? $35 $50 0.00 6.51 0.00% -0.4842 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 3.15 0.00 0.00 3.15 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? Yes No 5.99 0.00 0.00% -0.4182 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ 2.25 0.00 0.00 2.25 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their May 20, 9:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 5.57 0.00% 0.0642 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ -0.36 2.50 0.00 2.15 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 6.46 0.01% -0.2515 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 1.62 0.11 0.00 1.74 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ 1.56 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 602.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0016 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? Yes No 0.05 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.57 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 3.99 0.00 0.01% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Trades
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 29 2023 ✅ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Chile vote to change its constitution? Yes No 7.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.07 Trades
NBA: Who will win Celtics vs. Heat, scheduled for May 25, 8:30 PM ET? Celtics Heat 0.00 5.72 0.00% 0.0244 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 25 2022 ✅ -0.14 0.05 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 0.00 4.66 0.00% 0.1909 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ -0.89 0.59 0.00 -0.29 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 6.89 0.00 0.00% 0.0523 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 12 2022 ✅ -0.36 0.06 0.00 -0.30 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 0.00 7.69 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.69 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -0.85 0.00 0.00 -0.84 Trades
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4973 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -1.99 0.19 0.00 -1.80 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 6.92 0.00 0.00% 0.2785 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 12 2022 ✅ -1.93 0.07 0.00 -1.85 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 2,351.65 0.00% 0.0009 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.03 0.00 0.00 -2.03 Trades
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 102.04 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -2.04 0.00 0.00 -2.04 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? Yes No 0.00 136.49 0.00% 0.0183 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 03 2023 ✅ -2.50 0.00 0.00 -2.50 Trades
Will $MATIC be above $0.60 on June 4? Yes No 6.83 0.00 0.00% 0.5045 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 04 2022 ✅ -3.45 0.40 0.00 -3.05 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,500 or $2,500 first? $1,500 $2,500 0.00 7.08 0.00% 0.5282 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -3.74 0.36 0.00 -3.38 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 113.76 0.00 0.00% 0.0337 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -3.84 0.00 0.00 -3.84 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -3.98 0.00 0.00 -3.98 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -4.24 0.00 0.00 -4.24 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.75 0.00% 0.9832 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -4.67 0.00 0.00 -4.67 Trades
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? Yes No 0.00 149.53 0.00% 0.0464 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 ✅ -6.95 2.03 0.00 -4.92 Trades
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 5.12 0.00 0.00% 1.0698 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -5.48 0.00 0.00 -5.47 Trades
Will Jalen Brunson join the Knicks for the 2022-23 NBA season? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -5.78 0.00 0.00 -5.78 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -6.05 0.00 0.00 -6.05 Trades
Will "inflation" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -7.35 0.00 0.00 -7.35 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -7.49 0.00 0.00 -7.49 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -7.77 0.00 0.00 -7.77 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 173.50 0.00% 0.0461 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -8.01 0.00 0.00 -8.01 Trades
Will the US soldier be released from North Korea by July 25? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 343.54 0.00 0.00% 0.0280 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ -9.62 0.00 0.00 -9.62 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -9.90 0.00 0.00 -9.89 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -9.97 0.00 0.00 -9.97 Trades
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Will Novak Djokovic win Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 48.86 0.00% 0.2047 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 10 2022 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in March? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ -10.34 0.00 0.00 -10.34 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 0.00 31.16 0.00% 0.3463 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 10 2023 ✅ -10.79 0.00 0.00 -10.79 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? Yes No 6.55 0.00 0.00% 1.7321 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -11.35 0.00 0.00 -11.35 Trades
NBA: Who will win Mavericks vs. Warriors, scheduled for May 24, 9:00 PM ET? Mavericks Warriors 0.00 1,700.47 0.00% 0.0071 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 313.88 0.00% 0.0414 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -13.00 0.00 0.00 -13.00 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -13.27 0.00 0.00 -13.27 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ -13.59 0.00 0.00 -13.59 Trades
NHL: Who will win Flames vs. Oilers, scheduled for May 26, 9:40 PM ET? Flames Oilers 3.79 0.00 0.01% 9.9598 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 26 2022 ✅ -37.79 23.84 0.00 -13.95 Trades
Will Biden announce he is running for president by Friday? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 28 2023 ✅ -14.00 0.00 0.00 -14.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? Yes No 105.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1386 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ -14.55 0.00 0.00 -14.55 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 ✅ -14.73 0.00 0.00 -14.73 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 0.00 126.02 0.00% 0.1190 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Mavericks vs. Warriors, scheduled for May 22, 9:00 PM ET? Mavericks Warriors 80.82 0.00 0.00% 0.2160 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 22 2022 ✅ -17.46 2.06 0.00 -15.40 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 63.69 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -15.92 0.00 0.00 -15.92 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -16.00 0.00 0.00 -16.00 Trades
Will ‘The Marvels’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Morbius'? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ -16.00 0.00 0.00 -16.00 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -16.50 0.00 0.00 -16.50 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 111.61 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -16.74 0.00 0.00 -16.74 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by May 31? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -18.00 0.00 0.00 -18.00 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -18.05 0.00 0.00 -18.05 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -18.65 0.00 0.00 -18.65 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? Yes No 0.00 83.75 0.00% 0.2300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 ✅ -19.26 0.00 0.00 -19.26 Trades
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 285.90 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -20.50 0.00 0.00 -20.50 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -24.69 0.00 0.00 -24.69 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $16 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.5000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 ✅ -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 78.79 0.00 0.00% 0.3180 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -25.05 0.00 0.00 -25.05 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -25.91 0.00 0.00 -25.91 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 ✅ -26.10 0.00 0.00 -26.10 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -28.00 0.00 0.00 -28.00 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -29.01 0.00 0.00 -29.01 Trades
Will ETH hit $2000 by August 19? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 20 2022 ✅ -29.62 0.00 0.00 -29.62 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 100.66 0.00% 0.2980 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Goblintowns be above 1 ETH on June 3? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 ✅ -30.09 0.00 0.00 -30.08 Trades
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -31.50 0.00 0.00 -31.50 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -32.94 0.00 0.00 -32.94 Trades
Will anyone say "Obama" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 75.00 0.00% 0.4400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 ✅ -34.50 0.00 0.00 -34.50 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -36.00 0.00 0.00 -36.00 Trades
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $70.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 810.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0449 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ -36.42 0.00 0.00 -36.42 Trades
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 ✅ -36.82 0.00 0.00 -36.82 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? Yes No 750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -37.50 0.00 0.00 -37.50 Trades
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? Yes No 291.95 0.00 0.00% 0.1336 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -38.99 0.00 0.00 -38.99 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 560.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0713 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -40.37 0.00 0.00 -40.37 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -40.43 0.00 0.00 -40.43 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.0583 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -40.80 0.00 0.00 -40.80 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -42.00 0.00 0.00 -42.00 Trades
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 125.00 0.00% 0.3400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -42.50 0.00 0.00 -42.50 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -43.25 0.00 0.00 -43.25 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.2900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -43.50 0.00 0.00 -43.50 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -44.49 0.00 0.00 -44.49 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 ✅ -45.65 0.00 0.00 -45.65 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.3100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -46.50 0.00 0.00 -46.50 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 4,018.32 0.00% 0.0118 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ -47.37 0.00 0.00 -47.37 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.2400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -48.00 0.00 0.00 -48.00 Trades
Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -49.70 0.00 0.00 -49.70 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 210.86 0.00 0.00% 0.2514 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -53.00 0.00 0.00 -53.00 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 320.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1675 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -53.60 0.00 0.00 -53.60 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -53.63 0.00 0.00 -53.63 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.06 0.00% 6.8196 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -54.96 0.20 0.00 -54.75 Trades
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa González win? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -55.50 0.00 0.00 -55.50 Trades
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? Yes No 35.00 0.00 0.00% 1.6400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -57.40 0.00 0.00 -57.40 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 540.16 0.00 0.00% 0.1090 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -58.88 0.00 0.00 -58.88 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,900.00 0.00% 0.0214 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -62.00 0.00 0.00 -62.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 1,400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0478 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -66.95 0.00 0.00 -66.95 Trades
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -70.94 0.00 0.00 -70.94 Trades
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Heat by more than 6.5 points in their May 21, 8:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 9.04 0.00 0.00% 8.9919 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 ✅ -81.27 9.81 0.00 -71.46 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 6,422.62 0.00 0.00% 0.0115 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 21 2023 ✅ -73.84 0.00 0.00 -73.84 Trades
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? Yes No 395.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1943 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 14 2024 ✅ -76.75 0.00 0.00 -76.75 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.7700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ -77.00 0.00 0.00 -77.00 Trades
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ -79.55 0.00 0.00 -79.55 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 350.00 0.00% 0.2300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -80.50 0.00 0.00 -80.50 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -81.00 0.00 0.00 -81.00 Trades
Ravens vs. Texans Ravens Texans 0.00 520.00 0.00% 0.1646 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ -85.60 0.00 0.00 -85.60 Trades
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15? Yes No 0.00 10.30 0.00% 8.4627 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ -87.19 0.72 0.00 -86.47 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 623.30 0.00 0.00% 0.1389 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -86.58 0.00 0.00 -86.58 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ -87.13 0.00 0.00 -87.13 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -93.20 0.00 0.00 -93.20 Trades
Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat? Yes No 450.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 11 2023 ✅ -99.00 0.00 0.00 -99.00 Trades
Will Ethereum's (ETH) price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in May 2022? Yes No 0.00 366.59 0.00% 0.2728 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.4000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? Yes No 0.00 510.00 0.00% 0.2169 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -110.60 0.00 0.00 -110.60 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 1,378.38 0.00 0.00% 0.0826 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -113.89 0.00 0.00 -113.89 Trades
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $100m on its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 2,573.63 0.00 0.00% 0.0447 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ -114.95 0.00 0.00 -114.95 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -118.90 0.00 0.00 -118.90 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -119.40 0.00 0.00 -119.40 Trades
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,382.14 0.00% 0.0523 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 ✅ -124.50 0.00 0.00 -124.50 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -124.95 0.00 0.00 -124.95 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by March 5? Yes No 0.00 501.00 0.00% 0.2537 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -127.09 0.00 0.00 -127.09 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 2,360.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0547 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -129.00 0.00 0.00 -129.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,019.08 0.00% 0.1335 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -136.00 0.00 0.00 -136.00 Trades
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 5.70 0.00 0.01% 24.2439 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 ✅ -138.20 0.01 0.00 -138.19 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 1,311.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1081 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -141.69 0.00 0.00 -141.69 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $20 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 284.07 0.00% 0.5324 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 ✅ -151.25 0.00 0.00 -151.25 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 5,004.87 0.00% 0.0304 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ -152.17 0.00 0.00 -152.17 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -153.96 0.00 0.00 -153.96 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -154.00 0.00 0.00 -154.00 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.8100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -162.00 0.00 0.00 -162.00 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 900.40 0.00% 0.1856 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 ✅ -167.09 0.00 0.00 -167.09 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 1,686.81 0.00 0.00% 0.1028 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -173.42 0.00 0.00 -173.42 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ -184.41 0.00 0.00 -184.41 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 2,837.50 0.00% 0.0709 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ -201.10 0.00 0.00 -201.10 Trades
Will 'Jurassic World Dominion' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 14 2022 ✅ -217.77 0.00 0.00 -217.77 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -231.64 0.00 0.00 -231.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 736.85 0.00% 0.3206 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ -236.22 0.00 0.00 -236.22 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? Yes No 0.00 750.01 0.00% 0.3203 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -240.21 0.00 0.00 -240.21 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 552.69 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -243.18 0.00 0.00 -243.18 Trades
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -276.00 0.00 0.00 -276.00 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 125.37 0.00% 2.2222 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -278.61 0.00 0.00 -278.61 Trades
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 371.39 0.00% 0.7600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -282.26 0.00 0.00 -282.26 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 390.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7385 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -288.00 0.00 0.00 -288.00 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -292.45 0.00 0.00 -292.44 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? Yes No 0.00 370.00 0.00% 0.8095 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -299.50 0.00 0.00 -299.50 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -300.03 0.00 0.00 -300.03 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -306.01 0.00 0.00 -306.01 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -312.29 0.00 0.00 -312.29 Trades
Will any 15 or 16 seeds win in the first round in 2023 March Madness? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.6400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -320.00 0.00 0.00 -320.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 1.6856 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -337.11 0.00 0.00 -337.11 Trades
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 05 2023 ✅ -360.00 0.00 0.00 -360.00 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 501.96 0.00% 0.7302 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 ✅ -366.53 0.00 0.00 -366.53 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,120.97 0.00% 0.1880 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ -398.72 0.00 0.00 -398.72 Trades
Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first? Biden DeSantis 0.00 900.00 0.00% 0.4444 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -400.00 0.00 0.00 -400.00 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,600.00 0.00% 0.1542 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -401.00 0.00 0.00 -401.00 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.2259 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -451.75 0.00 0.00 -451.75 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 1,083.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4245 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -459.70 0.00 0.00 -459.70 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 12,176.74 0.00% 0.0384 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -468.00 0.00 0.00 -468.00 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 256.10 0.00 0.00% 1.9663 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -503.56 0.00 0.00 -503.56 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,876.82 0.00% 0.2904 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -544.96 0.00 0.00 -544.96 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -670.28 0.00 0.00 -670.28 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 1,017.45 0.00% 0.8644 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -879.51 0.00 0.00 -879.51 Trades
North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 1,079.37 0.00% 0.8397 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -906.30 0.00 0.00 -906.30 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 0.00 5,921.68 0.00% 0.1956 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 ✅ -1,158.10 0.00 0.00 -1,158.10 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 2,012.55 0.00% 0.8085 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -1,627.10 0.00 0.00 -1,627.10 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 3,599.88 0.00% 0.5539 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,993.80 0.00 0.00 -1,993.80 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 7,476.48 0.00% 0.3340 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -2,497.29 0.00 0.00 -2,497.29 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 21,352.43 0.00 0.00% 0.1586 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -3,385.51 0.00 0.01 -3,385.50 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 9,358.76 0.00% 0.6708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -6,278.19 0.00 0.00 -6,278.19 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 10,068.44 0.00% 0.6800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -6,846.36 0.00 0.00 -6,846.36 Trades
Resolved 600.60 6,352.45 21,435.32 63.11 0.07 28,451.56
Unresolved 595.78 0.02 -3,025.87 0.00 0.00 -2,430.07
Total 1,196.39 6,352.47 18,409.45 63.11 0.07 26,021.49