1714052686000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4,623.00
|
6,900.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1714052686000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,277.00
|
6,900.00
|
0.3300
|
π |
Tx
|
1714048504000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,039.23
|
7,256.00
|
0.1432
|
π |
Tx
|
1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$7,692.01
|
7,833.00
|
0.9820
|
π |
Tx
|
1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$135.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0180
|
π |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$903.60
|
6,211.00
|
0.1455
|
π |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
π |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
π |
Tx
|
1713660726000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$107.88
|
5,678.00
|
0.0190
|
π |
Tx
|
1713660726000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,570.12
|
5,678.00
|
0.9810
|
π |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4,818.15
|
5,805.00
|
0.8300
|
π |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Republicans |
π΄ |
$4,924.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Democrats |
π΅ |
$2,110.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.3000
|
π |
Tx
|
1713471695000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$145.88
|
7,678.00
|
0.0190
|
π |
Tx
|
1713471695000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$7,532.12
|
7,678.00
|
0.9810
|
π |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,449.06
|
5,555.00
|
0.9809
|
π |
Tx
|
1713390995000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$149.59
|
6,504.00
|
0.0230
|
π |
Tx
|
1713390995000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6,354.41
|
6,504.00
|
0.9770
|
π |
Tx
|
1712324912000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$280.00
|
7,000.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1712324912000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6,720.00
|
7,000.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1712323418000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$269.44
|
6,736.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1712323418000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6,466.56
|
6,736.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1712322670000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$380.52
|
9,513.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1712322670000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$380.52
|
9,513.00
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1712320481000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$600.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1712320481000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$719.40
|
11,990.00
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9c88c0ad
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9,384.00
|
10,200.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,856.00
|
23,200.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6,900.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1712081709000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3,000.78
|
5,662.00
|
0.5300
|
π |
Tx
|
1712080105000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xd1acd392
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,697.05
|
5,678.00
|
0.4750
|
π |
Tx
|
1711381830000
|
Biden to drop out before April?
|
0x432a6328
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$21.53
|
5,383.00
|
0.0040
|
π |
Tx
|
1711027079000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xa84bdfe6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,977.80
|
5,800.00
|
0.3410
|
π |
Tx
|
1711027079000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3,822.20
|
5,800.00
|
0.6590
|
π |
Tx
|
1710959307000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3,899.50
|
5,000.00
|
0.7799
|
π |
Tx
|
1710643868000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$851.70
|
5,678.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1710643868000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5,770.65
|
6,789.00
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1710261464000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$7,613.21
|
7,768.58
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1710127987000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$12,011.68
|
12,345.00
|
0.9730
|
π |
Tx
|
1709844772000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xa3d3da79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$11,888.24
|
12,345.00
|
0.9630
|
π |
Tx
|
1709745922000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xa3d3da79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9,580.56
|
9,959.00
|
0.9620
|
π |
Tx
|
1709745922000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xa3d3da79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,450.88
|
5,678.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1709745922000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xa3d3da79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6,452.83
|
6,742.76
|
0.9570
|
π |
Tx
|
1709656340000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,462.24
|
5,678.00
|
0.9620
|
π |
Tx
|
1709163245000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,450.88
|
5,678.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1709038969000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$965.26
|
5,678.00
|
0.1700
|
π |
Tx
|
1708729007000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xb532895e
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5,449.92
|
5,677.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1708092038000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,747.50
|
5,000.00
|
0.3495
|
π |
Tx
|
1708090238000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,879.54
|
5,191.00
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1708088532000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3,613.52
|
5,314.00
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1707831057000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6,749.76
|
7,584.00
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707831057000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$6,316.00
|
7,096.63
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707349649000
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,937.61
|
5,122.00
|
0.9640
|
π |
Tx
|
1707349649000
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$180.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.0360
|
π |
Tx
|
1707312954000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,212.21
|
6,132.01
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1707312954000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$953.10
|
6,354.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706920213000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6,873.00
|
7,900.00
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706880718000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,650.32
|
5,894.00
|
0.2800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706799647000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3,815.19
|
5,019.98
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1705945368000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xb46ef1a5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.0050
|
π |
Tx
|
1705945368000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$9,950.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9950
|
π |
Tx
|
1705521715000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,171.32
|
5,636.92
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704384983000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x288b61dd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$938.57
|
5,214.29
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1704384983000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$938.57
|
5,214.29
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1703774357000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.55
|
5,555.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1703774357000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5,549.44
|
5,555.00
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1703774319000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.55
|
5,555.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1701814133000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$850.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1700
|
π |
Tx
|
1701814133000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x0c0e270c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$850.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1700
|
π |
Tx
|
1701361253000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x78554861
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4,812.70
|
5,013.23
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1701361253000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,812.70
|
5,013.23
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1700599472000
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,268.20
|
5,300.00
|
0.9940
|
π |
Tx
|
1700599472000
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$30.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.0060
|
π |
Tx
|
1687268263000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,865.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9730
|
π |
Tx
|
1683407623000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30?
|
0x7f2de588
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,810.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9620
|
π |
Tx
|
1683150360000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,970.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9940
|
π |
Tx
|
1683150360000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x117322cc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4,970.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9940
|
π |
Tx
|
1683150338000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x117322cc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4,970.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9940
|
π |
Tx
|
1683150338000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,970.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9940
|
π |
Tx
|
1682609397000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5,445.00
|
5,500.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1682609397000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xee292607
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5,445.00
|
5,500.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1679731257000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xe56d7659
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,000.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.4000
|
π |
Tx
|
1679731257000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xe56d7659
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,000.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.4000
|
π |
Tx
|
1633046555000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
10,799.52
|
0.0001
|
|
Tx
|
1633046493000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
17,454.05
|
0.0001
|
|
Tx
|
1633005889000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
25,617.00
|
0.0010
|
|
Tx
|
1632423889000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
12,112.84
|
0.0041
|
|
Tx
|
1631759114000
|
What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe222b7bc
|
Sell |
Short |
π |
$9.60
|
5,050.00
|
0.0019
|
|
Tx
|
1631569779000
|
Will PNAS retract Dan Arielyβs 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x589cce7a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$36.17
|
7,000.00
|
0.0052
|
|
Tx
|
1631484832000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
15,240.66
|
0.0066
|
|
Tx
|
1631467402000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
13,817.95
|
0.0072
|
|
Tx
|
1631332165000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
15,671.38
|
0.0064
|
|
Tx
|
1631232215000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
6,270.02
|
0.0080
|
|
Tx
|
1631228105000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
7,115.06
|
0.0070
|
|
Tx
|
1631212670000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
6,480.03
|
0.0077
|
|
Tx
|
1631159513000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
11,631.68
|
0.0086
|
|
Tx
|
1631150864000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
11,107.92
|
0.0090
|
|
Tx
|
1631074538000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
8,056.88
|
0.0099
|
|
Tx
|
1628788991000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$136.13
|
6,000.00
|
0.0227
|
|
Tx
|
1628633628000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2690000e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$114.61
|
5,092.07
|
0.0225
|
|
Tx
|