1714051999000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$396.12
|
3,922.00
|
0.1010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714051999000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$396.12
|
3,922.00
|
0.1010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714051617000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$398.40
|
1,245.00
|
0.3200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714051599000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$703.38
|
1,234.00
|
0.5700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714050044000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$300.00
|
1,200.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714049388000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$487.01
|
498.48
|
0.9770
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714049318000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,461.96
|
4,567.00
|
0.9770
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714049318000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,940.75
|
1,982.38
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714048776000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$461.28
|
1,764.00
|
0.2615
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714048776000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$389.94
|
1,499.77
|
0.2600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714048518000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xf8b58c79
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$260.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714048518000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$325.99
|
2,502.00
|
0.1303
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714048504000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,039.23
|
7,256.00
|
0.1432
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714048504000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$584.93
|
4,034.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714048504000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$423.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.1410
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714039146000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$548.78
|
997.78
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714007943000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$302.91
|
516.91
|
0.5860
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714007076000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$1,336.65
|
2,345.00
|
0.5700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714007076000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Republican |
🔵 |
$1,008.35
|
2,345.00
|
0.4300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714006676000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$418.86
|
716.00
|
0.5850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714006676000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x0a26054f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$297.14
|
716.00
|
0.4150
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714006524000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$680.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714006524000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$352.00
|
1,100.00
|
0.3200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714005383000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$481.26
|
1,234.00
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713991104000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$728.06
|
1,234.00
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713989564000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$493.33
|
1,233.33
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713971006000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$505.94
|
1,234.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713917424000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xe1e70362
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$362.98
|
558.43
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713893514000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$451.14
|
1,074.14
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$493.25
|
1,233.12
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$415.45
|
989.17
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$493.60
|
1,234.00
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$274.59
|
678.00
|
0.4050
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713884693000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$337.75
|
345.00
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713883651000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,209.32
|
1,234.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713875501000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x75bb84e8
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,027.79
|
1,195.10
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713851302000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,274.05
|
2,318.09
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$327.01
|
333.00
|
0.9820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,692.01
|
7,833.00
|
0.9820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$903.60
|
6,211.00
|
0.1455
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$465.60
|
3,211.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$438.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.1460
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713744582000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$259.40
|
1,789.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713660726000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,570.12
|
5,678.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713628667000
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$751.53
|
1,833.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713628667000
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$615.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713565006000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$528.00
|
600.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713554465000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$733.92
|
834.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713553250000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$336.71
|
647.52
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713553250000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Barney |
|
$336.71
|
647.52
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551550000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$352.00
|
400.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2c036bf4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,867.50
|
2,250.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,818.15
|
5,805.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,702.70
|
2,051.45
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$255.60
|
1,503.55
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551342000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x163087b6
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Barney |
|
$570.41
|
1,096.95
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713549453000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x0bc5aac4
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$604.31
|
1,208.62
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548861000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x4cc3522b
|
Sell |
Ansem |
|
$490.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548861000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$510.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548795000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Ansem |
|
$357.89
|
730.39
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548795000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$470.73
|
923.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548049000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$500.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548049000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xcf580ea4
|
Sell |
Ansem |
|
$500.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Republicans |
🔴 |
$4,924.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Democrats |
🔵 |
$2,110.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713500307000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x69026a45
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$566.23
|
1,155.57
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713471695000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,532.12
|
7,678.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713451537000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$644.88
|
2,345.00
|
0.2750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$392.00
|
400.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,449.06
|
5,555.00
|
0.9809
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713429892000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$916.70
|
1,041.70
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713407963000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x7419add7
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$619.37
|
1,034.00
|
0.5990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713403751000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$263.78
|
399.67
|
0.6600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713390995000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,354.41
|
6,504.00
|
0.9770
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$304.85
|
2,345.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713289118000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0xe8324abf
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$925.50
|
1,234.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713235632000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$691.04
|
1,234.00
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713224801000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$880.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713218075000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x482555ee
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$385.01
|
1,234.00
|
0.3120
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713211612000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,324.67
|
3,456.00
|
0.9620
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713211612000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,096.32
|
4,267.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713211538000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,992.37
|
2,064.63
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713206319000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x45cc7857
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$270.56
|
280.37
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713130136000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$579.44
|
1,053.53
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713048333000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$288.00
|
300.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712973525000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,269.96
|
2,345.00
|
0.9680
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712973525000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,117.74
|
1,153.50
|
0.9690
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712965773000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x2e91439a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,276.99
|
2,345.00
|
0.9710
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712965773000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x2e91439a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,362.69
|
3,456.00
|
0.9730
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712944020000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xc4eddd28
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,063.60
|
2,345.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712940160000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$259.14
|
1,234.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712899422000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x7419add7
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$275.72
|
483.72
|
0.5700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712864655000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$366.88
|
2,293.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712860840000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$427.66
|
750.28
|
0.5700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712860680000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$333.53
|
980.97
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712859654000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x74d1ad14
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Republicans |
🔵 |
$900.82
|
1,234.00
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712855543000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$556.86
|
951.90
|
0.5850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712839490000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$740.40
|
1,234.00
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|