1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$135.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0180
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$465.60
|
3,211.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$903.60
|
6,211.00
|
0.1455
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$438.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.1460
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713660726000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$107.88
|
5,678.00
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713660726000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,570.12
|
5,678.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,818.15
|
5,805.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2c036bf4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,867.50
|
2,250.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,702.70
|
2,051.45
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Democrats |
🔵 |
$2,110.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Republicans |
🔴 |
$4,924.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713471695000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$145.88
|
7,678.00
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713471695000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,532.12
|
7,678.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713451537000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$644.88
|
2,345.00
|
0.2750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$94.14
|
4,955.00
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,449.06
|
5,555.00
|
0.9809
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713390995000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$149.59
|
6,504.00
|
0.0230
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713390995000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,354.41
|
6,504.00
|
0.9770
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713372400000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$304.85
|
2,345.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713211612000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,324.67
|
3,456.00
|
0.9620
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713211612000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,096.32
|
4,267.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713211538000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,992.37
|
2,064.63
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712973525000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,269.96
|
2,345.00
|
0.9680
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712965773000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x2e91439a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,276.99
|
2,345.00
|
0.9710
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712965773000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x2e91439a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,362.69
|
3,456.00
|
0.9730
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712944020000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xc4eddd28
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,063.60
|
2,345.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712864655000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$366.88
|
2,293.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712749475000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$1,313.20
|
2,345.00
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712749475000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,313.20
|
2,345.00
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712724040000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Republicans |
🔵 |
$2,592.00
|
3,456.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712720101000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,216.03
|
2,345.00
|
0.9450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712720091000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,338.65
|
4,567.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712671471000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,283.20
|
3,456.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712495767000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,016.70
|
2,345.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712444173000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,279.43
|
3,452.03
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712362092000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,361.48
|
4,567.00
|
0.9550
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712362032000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xde242261
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,244.16
|
2,345.00
|
0.9570
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712357922000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,229.84
|
2,236.07
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712357922000
|
House control after 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$1,900.80
|
3,456.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712324912000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$280.00
|
7,000.00
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712324912000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,720.00
|
7,000.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712323418000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$269.44
|
6,736.00
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712323418000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,466.56
|
6,736.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712322670000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$380.52
|
9,513.00
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712322670000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$380.52
|
9,513.00
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712320481000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$600.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712320481000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$719.40
|
11,990.00
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712257692000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$200.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712257692000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,300.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,856.00
|
23,200.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x6d57da09
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,760.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,300.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9c88c0ad
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$9,384.00
|
10,200.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712257436000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,900.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712231636000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,000.67
|
2,235.38
|
0.8950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712224206000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x2a2c1dc9
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,040.15
|
2,345.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712206276000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,180.85
|
2,345.00
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712206178000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,204.30
|
2,345.00
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712161629000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x0a26054f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,300.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712161629000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,200.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.4800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712156025000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$129.73
|
3,243.24
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712094216000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,857.14
|
2,857.14
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712081709000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2c036bf4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,841.34
|
3,917.75
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712081709000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,000.78
|
5,662.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712080105000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xd1acd392
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,697.05
|
5,678.00
|
0.4750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712077905000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x668d85d7
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,040.15
|
2,345.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712070541000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x8debd189
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$117.25
|
2,345.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711973015000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,556.56
|
4,342.00
|
0.5888
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711973015000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,025.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711918033000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,087.05
|
2,345.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711918033000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$257.95
|
2,345.00
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711623697000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xe1e70362
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,946.35
|
2,345.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711566654000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,969.80
|
2,345.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711533230000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8e5a5d37
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,946.35
|
2,345.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711518185000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$354.81
|
2,365.43
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711469666000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,811.82
|
2,209.54
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711462803000
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,262.93
|
2,345.00
|
0.9650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711462803000
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$82.08
|
2,345.00
|
0.0350
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711381830000
|
Biden to drop out before April?
|
0x432a6328
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$21.53
|
5,383.00
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711238682000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$680.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711238682000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,790.61
|
4,567.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711109566000
|
Biden to drop out before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,412.46
|
3,449.63
|
0.9892
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711037931000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$401.40
|
3,345.00
|
0.1200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711037931000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,943.60
|
3,345.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711027099000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,234.00
|
4,900.00
|
0.6600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711027099000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,666.00
|
4,900.00
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711027079000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xa84bdfe6
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,977.80
|
5,800.00
|
0.3410
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711027079000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,822.20
|
5,800.00
|
0.6590
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711005362000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,016.70
|
2,345.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710959323000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,560.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710959323000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xa1495534
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$440.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710959307000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xa1495534
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$990.00
|
4,500.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710959307000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,899.50
|
5,000.00
|
0.7799
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710876152000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,319.20
|
2,345.00
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710873549000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,462.17
|
3,111.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710873549000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,648.83
|
3,111.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710764358000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,563.76
|
4,899.85
|
0.5232
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710764358000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xb904a273
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,724.23
|
3,315.82
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|