1714006524000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$352.00
|
1,100.00
|
0.3200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1714005383000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$481.26
|
1,234.00
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713995342000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5293d331
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17.25
|
17.62
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713991104000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$728.06
|
1,234.00
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713989564000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$493.33
|
1,233.33
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713971006000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$505.94
|
1,234.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713917424000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xe1e70362
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$362.98
|
558.43
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713906679000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x57c973aa
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4.00
|
25.81
|
0.1550
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713894476000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$67.14
|
159.86
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713893608000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$23.25
|
150.00
|
0.1550
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713893514000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$451.14
|
1,074.14
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$493.25
|
1,233.12
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$415.45
|
989.17
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$493.60
|
1,234.00
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713886281000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$274.59
|
678.00
|
0.4050
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713884693000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$337.75
|
345.00
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713883651000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,209.32
|
1,234.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713881605000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$102.83
|
244.83
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713875581000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe75c5abf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$67.50
|
250.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713875581000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$67.50
|
250.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713875501000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x75bb84e8
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,027.79
|
1,195.10
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713875501000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$167.31
|
1,195.10
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713851302000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,274.05
|
2,318.09
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713830717000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x43372356
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$89.91
|
333.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713818839000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$40.32
|
126.00
|
0.3200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713818839000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$85.68
|
126.00
|
0.6800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713810699000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$26.40
|
26.91
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$327.01
|
333.00
|
0.9820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,692.01
|
7,833.00
|
0.9820
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713797920000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$135.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0180
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$903.60
|
6,211.00
|
0.1455
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$438.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.1460
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713794043000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$465.60
|
3,211.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713744582000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$259.40
|
1,789.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713738839000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$725.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713663461000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x7419add7
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$82.68
|
275.60
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713660726000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$107.88
|
5,678.00
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713660726000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,570.12
|
5,678.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713660680000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$182.14
|
607.14
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713660680000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$182.14
|
607.14
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713628667000
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$615.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713628667000
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$136.53
|
333.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713628667000
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$751.53
|
1,833.00
|
0.4100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713620895000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xf7d3749b
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.57
|
8.57
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713565867000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$155.76
|
177.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713565006000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$176.00
|
200.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713565006000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$528.00
|
600.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713565006000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$24.00
|
200.00
|
0.1200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713565006000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$176.00
|
200.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713554465000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$733.92
|
834.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713553368000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x1dbd3000
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Barney |
|
$104.00
|
200.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713553250000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$336.71
|
647.52
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713553250000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Barney |
|
$336.71
|
647.52
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551550000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$176.00
|
200.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551550000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$176.00
|
200.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551550000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$352.00
|
400.00
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,818.15
|
5,805.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x2c036bf4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,867.50
|
2,250.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,702.70
|
2,051.45
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551518000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x7789806c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$255.60
|
1,503.55
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551342000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x163087b6
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Barney |
|
$570.41
|
1,096.95
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713551326000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x163087b6
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Barney |
|
$71.26
|
137.04
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713549453000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x0bc5aac4
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$604.31
|
1,208.62
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713549441000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x3ff9e444
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$12.69
|
25.38
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548861000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x4cc3522b
|
Sell |
Ansem |
|
$490.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548861000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$510.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548795000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Ansem |
|
$357.89
|
730.39
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548795000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1dbd3000
|
Buy |
Barney |
|
$98.23
|
192.61
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548795000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$470.73
|
923.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548553000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x90f6bb0a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$75.98
|
148.98
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548553000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x90f6bb0a
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$117.00
|
234.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548357000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xbd5a070d
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$26.02
|
51.02
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548049000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Barney |
|
$500.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713548049000
|
Ansem vs. Barney
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xcf580ea4
|
Sell |
Ansem |
|
$500.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Republicans |
🔴 |
$4,924.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713546999000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Democrats |
🔵 |
$2,110.50
|
7,035.00
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713500307000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x69026a45
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$566.23
|
1,155.57
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713499913000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x542aae10
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$101.66
|
776.00
|
0.1310
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713493315000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x44c298af
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$120.53
|
446.42
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713484024000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0xeac3d072
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$38.43
|
78.43
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713471695000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$145.88
|
7,678.00
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713471695000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,532.12
|
7,678.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461460000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6.00
|
40.00
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461374000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$105.15
|
701.00
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713461334000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$239.85
|
1,599.00
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713457521000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.75
|
5.00
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713451537000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$644.88
|
2,345.00
|
0.2750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713450089000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x84f9909e
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$21.00
|
120.00
|
0.1750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713449475000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x19602583
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$53.14
|
303.63
|
0.1750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713448917000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x84f9909e
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$90.83
|
519.00
|
0.1750
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xde242261
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$94.14
|
4,955.00
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,449.06
|
5,555.00
|
0.9809
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x79922857
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$196.20
|
200.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713447915000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0xd0db7930
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$392.00
|
400.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713429892000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$916.70
|
1,041.70
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713424696000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x5088e27b
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.02
|
1.00
|
0.0210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713407963000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x7419add7
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$619.37
|
1,034.00
|
0.5990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713407911000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$119.80
|
200.00
|
0.5990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713407911000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$119.80
|
200.00
|
0.5990
|
📖 |
Tx
|