1639789277000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$175.11
|
320.19
|
0.5469
|
|
Tx
|
1639789177000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$174.59
|
194.20
|
0.8990
|
|
Tx
|
1636915011000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$22.69
|
49.23
|
0.4609
|
|
Tx
|
1636914975000
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4a82a5c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$22.69
|
39.79
|
0.5703
|
|
Tx
|
1634656482000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.75
|
83.69
|
0.6064
|
|
Tx
|
1633640931000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$37.45
|
61.28
|
0.6112
|
|
Tx
|
1633640915000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$37.45
|
94.77
|
0.3952
|
|
Tx
|
1633279040000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$53.36
|
97.34
|
0.5481
|
|
Tx
|
1633278980000
|
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x229193d8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.04
|
5.21
|
0.9681
|
|
Tx
|
1633278854000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$26.29
|
27.13
|
0.9691
|
|
Tx
|
1632963585000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$42.75
|
94.77
|
0.4510
|
|
Tx
|
1632245527000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$24.07
|
36.59
|
0.6579
|
|
Tx
|
1632142865000
|
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xee2cf569
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
36.90
|
0.5421
|
|
Tx
|
1632142485000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xe1bc0afa
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
42.75
|
0.5849
|
|
Tx
|
1631755969000
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x25f8b391
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$25.63
|
26.70
|
0.9601
|
|
Tx
|
1630069356000
|
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xa5326d51
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$16.45
|
17.30
|
0.9511
|
|
Tx
|
1630069262000
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x0dcfc0d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
13.86
|
0.7217
|
|
Tx
|
1630069208000
|
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x229193d8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
5.21
|
0.9598
|
|
Tx
|
1630068920000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
27.13
|
0.5529
|
|
Tx
|
1630068864000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$46.45
|
101.71
|
0.4567
|
|
Tx
|
1629379944000
|
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xa5326d51
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$12.95
|
13.81
|
0.9383
|
|
Tx
|
1628558687000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$73.10
|
101.71
|
0.7187
|
|
Tx
|
1628089335000
|
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xc42f1ad7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$52.91
|
73.10
|
0.7237
|
|
Tx
|
1628089215000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xecbebe1f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
12.95
|
0.7720
|
|
Tx
|
1628089155000
|
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xa5326d51
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
12.33
|
0.8108
|
|
Tx
|
1627946446000
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x25f8b391
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
26.70
|
0.7492
|
|
Tx
|
1627596734000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$43.01
|
60.20
|
0.7145
|
|
Tx
|
1627596536000
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4a82a5c6
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
39.79
|
0.6282
|
|
Tx
|
1627307069000
|
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x46cd22b4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$53.57
|
68.01
|
0.7877
|
|
Tx
|
1627306959000
|
Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xa6699511
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
22.83
|
0.8761
|
|
Tx
|
1626276477000
|
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xde69f62a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.07
|
70.08
|
0.7145
|
|
Tx
|
1626276327000
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xe5bd9046
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
63.28
|
0.3161
|
|
Tx
|
1625613568000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xd1278ee9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$21.02
|
22.02
|
0.9543
|
|
Tx
|
1625613534000
|
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x517b5b9e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
70.07
|
0.7136
|
|
Tx
|
1624367738000
|
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xd9c8901e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$69.15
|
73.57
|
0.9399
|
|
Tx
|
1624367356000
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4568e4dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$69.15
|
118.68
|
0.5827
|
|
Tx
|
1623358112000
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x08379e7a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$68.95
|
71.02
|
0.9709
|
|
Tx
|
1623358076000
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4568e4dc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
118.68
|
0.4213
|
|
Tx
|
1621037183000
|
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x28dba558
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.15
|
0.23
|
0.6360
|
|
Tx
|
1611952435000
|
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x66976cab
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
1.31
|
0.7657
|
|
Tx
|
1609722370000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$41.09
|
46.75
|
0.8791
|
|
Tx
|
1609722348000
|
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xd2d782b0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$104.06
|
122.38
|
0.8502
|
|
Tx
|
1609722328000
|
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x012fbf9a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$22.97
|
27.85
|
0.8247
|
|
Tx
|
1609703424000
|
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xd2d782b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.45
|
6.20
|
0.8793
|
|
Tx
|
1609703366000
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x85a75694
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.10
|
102.14
|
0.0499
|
|
Tx
|
1608919401000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$40.00
|
43.86
|
0.9119
|
|
Tx
|
1608918805000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.19
|
1.44
|
0.1350
|
|
Tx
|
1608914833000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,289.96
|
1,486.68
|
0.8677
|
|
Tx
|
1608914763000
|
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xd2d782b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$103.00
|
116.43
|
0.8846
|
|
Tx
|
1608914707000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$102.71
|
717.38
|
0.1432
|
|
Tx
|
1608679816000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$47.00
|
232.48
|
0.2022
|
|
Tx
|
1608679792000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$47.27
|
151.63
|
0.3118
|
|
Tx
|
1608679706000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.22
|
0.9306
|
|
Tx
|
1608679636000
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x85a75694
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$35.00
|
102.35
|
0.3420
|
|
Tx
|
1608679566000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
485.33
|
0.2060
|
|
Tx
|
1608561607000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$126.73
|
508.46
|
0.2492
|
|
Tx
|
1608484677000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
509.47
|
0.1963
|
|
Tx
|
1608309661000
|
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xb91bbf03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$111.07
|
117.79
|
0.9430
|
|
Tx
|
1608260956000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$71.00
|
76.21
|
0.9316
|
|
Tx
|
1608235204000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.54
|
6.07
|
0.2534
|
|
Tx
|
1608235134000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$58.51
|
230.34
|
0.2540
|
|
Tx
|
1608223828000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
238.71
|
0.2095
|
|
Tx
|
1608223560000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
53.87
|
0.9282
|
|
Tx
|
1608155984000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$109.49
|
250.89
|
0.4364
|
|
Tx
|
1608141932000
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xf33797e0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$99.00
|
251.39
|
0.3938
|
|
Tx
|
1608141874000
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x85a75694
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$50.04
|
99.69
|
0.5019
|
|
Tx
|
1608141850000
|
Which party will control the senate?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xec0ab551
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$49.48
|
145.59
|
0.3398
|
|
Tx
|
1608128542000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
21.65
|
0.9236
|
|
Tx
|
1608128498000
|
Which party will control the senate?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xec0ab551
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$50.00
|
145.88
|
0.3428
|
|
Tx
|
1608128452000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
151.93
|
0.3291
|
|
Tx
|
1608128398000
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x85a75694
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
99.89
|
0.5006
|
|
Tx
|
1608128110000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$22.45
|
33.75
|
0.6652
|
|
Tx
|
1608071976000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$16.00
|
17.15
|
0.9329
|
|
Tx
|
1608071938000
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x94d9958a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
147.04
|
0.6801
|
|
Tx
|
1608071804000
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x94d9958a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$116.68
|
347.10
|
0.3362
|
|
Tx
|
1607956942000
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x94d9958a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$149.00
|
347.34
|
0.4290
|
|
Tx
|
1607956798000
|
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x76987874
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$36.11
|
40.45
|
0.8926
|
|
Tx
|
1607913280000
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x94d9958a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$112.91
|
282.84
|
0.3992
|
|
Tx
|
1607876004000
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x94d9958a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$79.00
|
283.41
|
0.2788
|
|
Tx
|
1607822962000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x84ebf471
|
Sell |
Dems/Ossoff |
π΄ |
$27.22
|
66.71
|
0.4080
|
|
Tx
|
1607822930000
|
What will the average sale price of a PS5 be on StockX on Christmas Day?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x74b83558
|
Sell |
Short |
π |
$25.42
|
44.66
|
0.5691
|
|
Tx
|
1607822870000
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x94d9958a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$26.21
|
54.07
|
0.4847
|
|
Tx
|
1607478094000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$13.00
|
14.44
|
0.9006
|
|
Tx
|
1607478052000
|
What will the average sale price of a PS5 be on StockX on Christmas Day?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x74b83558
|
Buy |
Short |
π |
$25.00
|
44.75
|
0.5586
|
|
Tx
|
1607477968000
|
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x012fbf9a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
27.90
|
0.8960
|
|
Tx
|
1607477850000
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x94d9958a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
54.02
|
0.4628
|
|
Tx
|
1607477778000
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4b49f951
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$87.78
|
99.24
|
0.8846
|
|
Tx
|
1607297478000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$17.00
|
19.04
|
0.8930
|
|
Tx
|
1607297404000
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4b49f951
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
99.17
|
0.5042
|
|
Tx
|
1607296894000
|
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0xe2507a28
|
Sell |
Long |
π |
$26.43
|
27.98
|
0.9445
|
|
Tx
|
1607296854000
|
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x3d29edea
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$28.74
|
30.99
|
0.9273
|
|
Tx
|
1607296812000
|
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x13064324
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.03
|
5.46
|
0.9208
|
|
Tx
|
1607010476000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x84ebf471
|
Buy |
Dems/Ossoff |
π΅ |
$25.00
|
66.84
|
0.3740
|
|
Tx
|
1607010438000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
33.82
|
0.7393
|
|
Tx
|
1607010172000
|
What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x8fcc193d
|
Sell |
Long |
π |
$56.93
|
93.23
|
0.6106
|
|
Tx
|
1606509159000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$13.00
|
15.14
|
0.8588
|
|
Tx
|
1606168687000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$104.00
|
117.98
|
0.8815
|
|
Tx
|
1606168639000
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x4b49f951
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$103.99
|
133.82
|
0.7771
|
|
Tx
|
1605988276000
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x822bcba4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$249.00
|
298.78
|
0.8334
|
|
Tx
|
1605988236000
|
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?
|
0xf3593cea
|
0x533ccd96
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$214.85
|
235.58
|
0.9120
|
|
Tx
|